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    Alan RatnerZelman & Associates

    Alan Ratner's questions to Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) leadership

    Alan Ratner's questions to Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) leadership • Q3 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner from Zelman & Associates inquired about the drivers of the July order improvement, the sales trend in August, the expected duration of gross margin pressure from older assets, and the value of an anticipated Q4 joint venture consolidation gain.

    Answer

    Chairman and CEO Ara Hovnanian attributed the July sales uptick primarily to macroeconomic factors rather than specific company actions, though he noted a slight increase in incentives. Both Hovnanian and CFO Brad O'Connor described August sales as remaining 'choppy.' Regarding gross margins, Hovnanian explained that while a precise timeline is difficult, the company is actively working through lower-margin lots, particularly in slower geographies, and is having success renegotiating with land sellers. He highlighted that newly acquired land parcels have excellent margin profiles. O'Connor clarified that the upcoming Q4 JV consolidation gain is expected to be around $30 million, similar to past transactions, and is included in the pretax income guidance.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner asked for insight into the recent choppiness in housing demand, the outlook for the D.C. market amid potential federal layoffs, and whether any data points like resale inventory or traffic suggest a slowdown.

    Answer

    CEO Ara Hovnanian attributed demand volatility to a "flavor of the month" of consumer concerns, such as tariffs or global events, rather than a single factor. He noted that while the Maryland market could be affected by government layoffs, the company's larger Delaware and Virginia operations remain strong. Hovnanian also stated that while resale inventory has ticked up slightly, it remains far below historical norms. He confirmed that foot traffic was lower than expected, but CFO Brad O'Connor added that the most recent week showed a positive increase.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Alan Ratner inquired about the mechanics of the joint venture (JV) consolidation gain, its future impact on JV income versus wholly-owned margins, the sustainability of the ~22% gross margin, and the company's long-term Return on Equity (ROE) potential once its book value normalizes.

    Answer

    CFO Brad O'Connor clarified that while the consolidated JV's profits will now flow through the main income statement, new JVs are expected to keep the separate JV income line robust. He noted the consolidated project's margins will align with the company average due to a land basis step-up. O'Connor also affirmed that a ~22% gross margin is a reasonable Q4 expectation, though rising land costs could add pressure in 2025, potentially offset by lower mortgage buydown costs. CEO Ara Hovnanian addressed the ROE question by highlighting the company's superior EBIT Return on Investment (ROI), suggesting that this strong operating performance, which is independent of leverage, will ensure Hovnanian's ROE remains above peers' on a long-term basis.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) leadership

    Alan Ratner's questions to Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) leadership • Q3 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner of Zelman & Associates asked about Toll Brothers' current 50/50 spec-to-build-to-order mix versus pre-COVID levels and the margin difference between the two. He also questioned how the industry might return to a more traditional build-to-order model.

    Answer

    Douglas Yearley, Chairman & CEO, stated the pre-COVID spec mix was 10-15%. He confirmed build-to-order margins are north of 30%, with spec margins about three percentage points lower. Mr. Yearley asserted that he does not see a return to a 90% build-to-order model, as the current 40-60% spec range offers capital efficiency and appeals to modern buyers. Martin Connor, CFO, added that the current mix generates excellent returns, and Mr. Yearley noted the strategy of reserving premium lots for high-margin build-to-order homes.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner of Zelman & Associates asked for qualitative commentary on how stock market volatility affected buyer behavior and inquired about the percentage of foreign national buyers.

    Answer

    Executive Douglas Yearley stated it was too early to see a definitive trend from recent stock market stabilization but noted consumer confidence is the primary driver for their affluent buyers. He mentioned modest positive signs like improved traffic quality. On foreign buyers, he said they constitute less than 5% of their business, with no significant change in demand year-to-date, and noted that the Chinese buyer remains particularly strong in California.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Toll Brothers Inc (TOL) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Alan Ratner asked about the company's analysis of potential tariff impacts on its supply chain and requested more color on the composition of its joint venture investments on the balance sheet.

    Answer

    Executive Chairman and CEO Douglas Yearley stated that while they are monitoring the situation, they believe any tariff impact will be 'de minimis.' CFO Martin Connor detailed the JV investments, which include apartment projects, a small number of City Living buildings, and land development ventures with other builders that are structured to be 'breakeven' and hold land off the balance sheet.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Beazer Homes USA Inc (BZH) leadership

    Alan Ratner's questions to Beazer Homes USA Inc (BZH) leadership • Q3 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner of Zelman Partners LLC questioned the optimism in the Q4 order guidance, which implies a significant sequential increase, asking how this aligns with a flat gross margin outlook. He also asked if the opening of new communities could lead to cannibalization of sales from existing, slower-selling communities in the same submarkets.

    Answer

    SVP and CFO David Goldberg and Chairman and CEO Allan Merrill defended the guidance by pointing to a growing community count and a commitment to improving the sales pace in Texas from its Q3 low. Merrill explained that while incentives may increase in Texas, the overall margin is supported by a backlog of higher-margin, to-be-built Zero Energy Ready homes. He also stated that he does not believe community cannibalization is a significant issue for the company.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Beazer Homes USA Inc (BZH) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner of Zelman & Associates asked for specifics on the Q1 order pace shortfall, questioning whether it was driven by competitor incentives or particular markets. He also inquired about the company's commitment to its energy efficiency strategy amid potential political changes and the risk of land impairments given thin margins.

    Answer

    CEO Allan Merrill attributed the order softness, especially in December, to 'shocking' price and incentive aggression from competitors in Texas and Florida. Regarding the energy strategy, Merrill affirmed they are 'full steam ahead,' stating the commitment is based on building a superior product, not tax credits. CFO David Goldberg addressed impairment risk, stating they see no expectation for material changes and that their land costs are in line with the market.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Beazer Homes USA Inc (BZH) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Alan Ratner asked for the rationale behind the optimistic fiscal 2025 absorption pace guidance, questioned if land deals were being renegotiated given the low Q1 margin forecast, and inquired about the potential impacts of the upcoming administration change on labor and housing.

    Answer

    Chairman and CEO Allan Merrill explained that the fiscal 2024 absorption pace was unusually low due to an 8% mortgage rate environment and being out of position on spec homes, issues that have since been addressed. He confirmed some land deals were renegotiated but stated a 'wholesale reset' is not occurring as the '25 and '26 pipeline is largely set. Regarding the new administration, Merrill noted they have internalized that rates may stay elevated but see potential for economic enthusiasm from deregulation, while the impact of immigration policy on labor remains unclear.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) leadership

    Alan Ratner's questions to Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner of Zelman Partners LLC asked about the financial model for the Hearthstone acquisition, competitive pressures in the land banking space, the potential for lower land prices amid builder pullbacks, and opportunities to reduce land development costs through technology.

    Answer

    VP, CFO & Treasurer Kim Tobler confirmed the Hearthstone business should be modeled based on assets under management. President & CEO Daniel Hedigan addressed the other points, stating that high demand in the land banking space mitigates competitive pressure, and Five Point's uniquely positioned California land allows it to remain patient on pricing despite market softness. Mr. Hedigan also noted that while technology like AI is being explored for efficiency, it has not yet changed development budgets.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Alan Ratner asked about the potential secondary effects of recent California fires on the insurance market and Five Point's operations. He also requested more details on the San Francisco project's strategy, specifically regarding the initial capital outlay, development timeline, and potential for joint ventures.

    Answer

    Executive Daniel Hedigan explained that while the insurance market is a key concern, Five Point's fire-resistant master-planned communities have a proven track record of safety, which should help maintain insurance availability. He noted the product mix has already shifted away from large attached buildings. Regarding San Francisco, Mr. Hedigan stated that engineering for the initial infrastructure phase is underway, with construction expected to begin early next year and last 12-18 months. He confirmed Five Point can finance the horizontal development and is exploring various options for the vertical construction.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Alan Ratner inquired about Five Point's future growth strategy, specifically the 'asset-lighter' model beyond its legacy projects, whether the company retains land pricing power amid builder incentives, and any shifts in builder demand for different housing product segments.

    Answer

    Executive Daniel Hedigan explained that the company aims to replicate its Great Park partnership model, focusing on non-generational projects within California initially, working with a broad spectrum of builders. Hedigan stated that California's acute land shortage supports land values, allowing for price appreciation despite builder incentives, particularly in Irvine. He noted that demand remains consistent for family-oriented communities and has not seen a significant shift away from any particular product segment.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Tri Pointe Homes Inc (Delaware) (TPH) leadership

    Alan Ratner's questions to Tri Pointe Homes Inc (Delaware) (TPH) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner questioned the company's strategy on pace versus price, noting weaker order trends compared to peers while margins are normalizing. He also asked about trends in contingent sales for move-up buyers and any related strategic shifts.

    Answer

    CEO Douglas Bauer reiterated the strategy to favor price over pace, attributing soft demand to consumer uncertainty rather than affordability for their buyer profile. COO Tom Mitchell clarified that recent margin changes reflect the timing of sales with varying incentive levels. EVP & CMO Linda Mamet stated that home-to-sell contingencies are a disciplined part of their strategy, currently representing 5% of backlog, and are not being used more aggressively.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Tri Pointe Homes Inc (Delaware) (TPH) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner asked about the elevated SG&A guidance, questioning how much of the increase is due to costs from new market expansion versus general inflation. He also inquired if the current market is creating opportunities for talent acquisition and land deals in these new expansion markets.

    Answer

    CFO Glenn Keeler explained that higher SG&A is a result of both costs from three new divisions that are not yet generating revenue and broad wage inflation, noting the long-term goal is to return to a 10-10.5% ratio. CEO Douglas Bauer added that this is a strategic investment in building strong teams, which he prefers over acquisitions with goodwill. He confirmed they are seeing opportunities for talent and land deals and are being disciplined in their underwriting.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Tri Pointe Homes Inc (Delaware) (TPH) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Alan Ratner asked why Q4 gross margin guidance is flat despite a sequential increase in incentives on new orders in Q3. He also questioned if the company could still achieve closings growth in 2025 given a lower starting backlog, and asked for a comparison of current spec inventory to the prior year.

    Answer

    CFO Glenn Keeler explained that the higher Q3 incentives were on a smaller order base and the overall backlog still contains strong margins, supporting the Q4 guidance. He acknowledged a lower starting backlog presents a challenge for 2025 delivery growth but highlighted the 1,300 spec homes available to capture spring demand. EVP & CMO Linda Mamet confirmed the current spec count is very similar to the 1,372 homes a year ago.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) leadership

    Alan Ratner's questions to Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner inquired about the full-year volume outlook, whether the company was scaling back spec starts, and if the $500 million reduction in land spend could lead to an accelerated share buyback program.

    Answer

    CEO Phillippe Lord stated that while the company has the inventory to meet prior volume expectations, market conditions create uncertainty. He noted starts are being moderated due to faster cycle times but are also ramping for new communities. CFO Hilla Sferruzza confirmed a rebalancing of capital from land spend to share repurchases, with Phillippe Lord adding that they will continue to buy back shares opportunistically above the programmatic commitment due to the stock's valuation.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner questioned the implied increase in average closing price in the full-year guidance without apparent pricing power, and asked about expectations for incentive levels for the remainder of the year.

    Answer

    CFO Hilla Sferruzza clarified that the higher average selling price (ASP) is driven primarily by product mix, as the backlog ASP is already higher than Q1's closing ASP. CEO Phillippe Lord added that April's sales trends are consistent with Q1, and confidence in full-year guidance stems from significant new community openings in the second half, not an assumption of improving market conditions or lower incentives.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Alan Ratner questioned the company's strategic trade-off between volume and margin, asking if there is a margin floor they would defend. He also asked if the growth required to reach 20,000 closings by 2027 would be organic or necessitate M&A.

    Answer

    CEO Phillippe Lord stated that the current sweet spot is 4-4.5 sales per community at a 22-23% margin, but they would accept lower margins to maintain pace if rates worsen. He confirmed that the path to 20,000 units is expected to be fully organic, supported by recent acquisitions and a strong land pipeline, with no further company M&A required. CFO Hilla Sferruzza reinforced this by highlighting their extensive lot supply.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Meritage Homes Corp (MTH) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Alan Ratner inquired about the drivers behind the guided 200 basis point sequential decline in Q4 gross margin, asking for a breakdown between higher incentives and product mix. He also questioned if margins could fall below the company's normalized range if incentive levels remain elevated.

    Answer

    CFO Hilla Sferruzza explained that the 'lion's share' of the anticipated Q4 gross margin decline is due to heavier-than-expected financing incentives driven by the current interest rate environment. She noted that while their quick-turn model reflects this pressure faster than peers, they are not currently forecasting margins to drop below their long-term target range.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC) leadership

    Alan Ratner's questions to Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner inquired about the specific drivers behind the higher cancellation rate and questioned how the company plans to reaccelerate starts to achieve growth in 2026, given the declining backlog.

    Answer

    CEO Sheryl Palmer explained that while the cancellation rate rose, it remains low for the industry, with drivers including buyers' inability to sell their existing homes and some finding better deals elsewhere. Regarding 2026, she stated that reaccelerating starts is dependent on market conditions, with a focus on responsibly replenishing spec inventory and growing the to-be-built business.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner asked about pricing elasticity and whether incentives are as effective as before, and also questioned the multiyear impact of reduced land spend on the 2028 closings target.

    Answer

    Sheryl Palmer, Chairman and CEO, stated that financing incentives remain the primary tool and that base price cuts are a last resort, with the approach varying by community. Erik Heuser, Chief Corporate Operations Officer, addressed the land spend, explaining the company is well-supplied for the coming years and is securing more favorable deal structures, such as take-down options and finished lots, which mitigates the impact of reduced near-term cash outlay on long-term goals.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Alan Ratner of Zelman & Associates sought to understand the drivers behind incentive usage, asking where incentives are most aggressive, and inquired about current dynamics in the land market, specifically regarding potential price softening or renegotiations.

    Answer

    Chairman and CEO Sheryl Palmer identified the first-time buyer segment as requiring the most significant incentives due to affordability challenges. Chief Corporate Operations Officer Erik Heuser added that land and new home competition is also highest in these markets. Regarding the land market, Heuser noted that while demand has softened slightly, the primary benefit has been increased flexibility in deal structuring rather than absolute price reductions.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Alan Ratner asked if the company's analysis showing only 17% of resale listings are competitive is unique to Taylor Morrison's strategy or indicative of the broader new home market. He also questioned the nearly 20% year-over-year increase in inventory dollars and its future trajectory.

    Answer

    Chief Corporate Operations Officer Erik Heuser stated that while there might be some correlation for other builders, Taylor Morrison's unique positioning comes from its pride in core locations. Chairman and CEO Sheryl Palmer added that differentiation is stronger in move-up and active adult communities. Regarding inventory, Erik Heuser explained the increase was part of a planned growth strategy and that inventory dollar growth should moderate as their asset-light land approach takes further hold.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Century Communities Inc (CCS) leadership

    Alan Ratner's questions to Century Communities Inc (CCS) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner of Zelman Partners LLC questioned the extent of land price concessions from sellers and whether they impact active communities. He also asked about the implied Q3 pretax margin and the risk of further impairments.

    Answer

    CEO Robert Francescon clarified that land renegotiations are more about structuring deals and pushing out takedowns rather than significant price cuts, which are not widespread. CFO J. Scott Dixon noted the Q2 impairment was specific to five closeout communities and that the market would need to deteriorate significantly for more impairments. He also clarified that impairment tests exclude SG&A costs.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Century Communities Inc (CCS) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner inquired about the timing of the guided 200 basis point incentive increase for Q2, asking if it was a recent reaction to April's softness. He also questioned the counter-seasonal full-year absorption guidance, and whether it depends on this increased incentive level. Lastly, he asked about the potential for supply chain disruptions due to tariffs.

    Answer

    CFO John Dixon confirmed the incentive increase is a prospective measure recently implemented in response to the market volatility and consumer pause observed in April. He affirmed that the stable full-year absorption guidance of 2.8 is predicated on the strategy of using incentives as needed to achieve that pace. CEO Robert Francescon addressed tariffs, stating that while they see no immediate impact, they are aware of potential future disruptions and are working on mitigation plans.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Century Communities Inc (CCS) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Alan Ratner from Zelman & Associates questioned the company's pace versus price strategy, asking when they might increase incentives if absorption rates remain weak. He also inquired about any observed or anticipated impacts from immigration enforcement on construction labor.

    Answer

    Financial Officer John Dixon responded that the spec model allows them to right-size inventory to demand and that they are bullish on the spring selling season. He mentioned levers like moderating square footage to maintain affordability. Regarding labor, CEO Robert Francescon stated that while it's early, they have not seen any impact on their job sites or cost structure to date and are in a 'wait and see' mode.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Century Communities Inc (CCS) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Alan Ratner sought clarification on the Q4 sales absorption outlook, asking if the expectation for it to be 'similar sequentially' to Q3 was based on the higher end-of-quarter community count. He also asked about geographic performance trends and any impact from recent storms.

    Answer

    Chairman and Co-CEO Dale Francescon clarified the outlook for similar absorptions applied to Q4 as a whole compared to Q3. Co-CEO Robert Francescon addressed the storm question, stating there was no material negative impact on closings or operations, and no significant damage to homes, thanks to modern building codes.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to M/I Homes Inc (MHO) leadership

    Alan Ratner's questions to M/I Homes Inc (MHO) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner of Zelman Partners LLC inquired about M/I Homes' performance trends across different geographies and price points, the primary headwinds and tailwinds for gross margins, and the reasons behind the monthly order progression in Q2, specifically the uptick in June.

    Answer

    Robert Schottenstein, Chairman, President & CEO, provided a detailed geographic overview, noting that Midwest markets slightly outperformed the Carolinas, Florida was a mixed bag with Orlando stronger than a softer Tampa, and Texas markets like Dallas and Houston have softened but remain strong. He stated that gross margins are beginning to level off, with mortgage rate buy-downs being the main headwind, and he does not foresee another significant drop. The June order uptick was attributed to a brief improvement in buyer sentiment when it appeared interest rates might fall.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to M/I Homes Inc (MHO) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner inquired about shifts in buyer demand across different price points and geographies, and also asked about the company's spec home strategy, including its share of sales and margin differential.

    Answer

    CEO Robert Schottenstein explained that demand by price point remains stable, with the first-time buyer 'Smart Series' accounting for about 54% of sales. Geographically, he noted Tampa is rebounding after a struggle, while markets like Indianapolis and Chicago are strong. Regarding spec homes, Schottenstein stated they constitute 50-65% of sales, a balance the company prefers, with margins typically 150-200 basis points lower than to-be-built homes. Derek Klutch, President of the mortgage company, added that the spec strategy is managed on a subdivision-by-subdivision basis.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to M/I Homes Inc (MHO) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Alan Ratner inquired about market trends in Texas and Florida, specifically regarding incentives and inventory levels. He also asked if the company was altering its spec home strategy due to demand choppiness and sought clarity on the drivers of the sequential gross margin decline in the fourth quarter.

    Answer

    CEO Robert Schottenstein stated that Texas markets feel stronger than Florida, with Tampa being the most challenged. He confirmed the continued use of rate buydowns, which are critical for sales, and noted the company is maintaining its spec home strategy, as specs are essential for offering attractive, short-term financing incentives. Executive Phillip Creek added that rate buydowns are more cost-effective on homes closing within 30-60 days, reinforcing the spec strategy. Schottenstein explained the margin compression was due to the increased cost and usage of rate buydowns, which rose from one-third of buyers in Q3 to half in Q4.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to M/I Homes Inc (MHO) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Alan Ratner asked about demand differences across price points, particularly between the entry-level 'Smart Series' and move-up homes, and whether the company is shifting its strategy for the upcoming spring selling season. He also followed up on the potential impact of increased mortgage rate buydowns on M/I Homes' strong gross margins.

    Answer

    CEO Robert Schottenstein affirmed the strength of M/I Homes' diversified product offering, noting that sales were split 50/50 between the 'Smart Series' and move-up products, which provided stability. He stated there is no planned strategic shift, as the current mix is performing well. Regarding margins, Schottenstein conceded that 27% gross margins may not be sustainable long-term but does not foresee a significant decline, citing strong performance in many communities even with incentives. He believes margins will remain comparatively strong versus peers, though some slight downward pressure is possible depending on market conditions and interest rate movements.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to DR Horton Inc (DHI) leadership

    Alan Ratner's questions to DR Horton Inc (DHI) leadership • Q3 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner of Zelman Partners LLC asked about the trend in sales incentives, whether they are driven by competitive pressures or a strategy to accelerate activity, and the overall strength of the consumer, referencing FICO scores, LTVs, and the impact of student loan repayments.

    Answer

    President and CEO Paul Romanowski explained that incentives have been choppy and were increased to maintain sales pace and meet annual guidance. EVP & COO Michael Murray added that starts were aligned with sales, and noted a shift towards more heavily incentivized FHA products, but has not seen a significant impact from student loans.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to DR Horton Inc (DHI) leadership • Q3 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner of Zelman Partners LLC inquired about the trend in sales incentives through Q3 and into July, asking whether the increase was driven by competitive pressures or a strategic move to accelerate sales pace. He also asked for commentary on consumer strength, noting the decline in average FICO scores and the rise in LTVs, and questioned any visible impact from the resumption of student loan repayments.

    Answer

    President and CEO Paul Romanowski explained that incentives were adjusted throughout the quarter to maintain sales pace and meet annual guidance. EVP and COO Michael Murray added that the lower FICO scores are partly due to successfully incentivizing FHA loan products and that the company has not yet observed a significant impact from student loan repayments.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to DR Horton Inc (DHI) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner of Zelman & Associates asked about the company's reduced start pace and low spec count, questioning if starts would ramp up for 2026 growth. He also asked if the gross margin guidance accounts for potential supplier price hikes due to tariffs.

    Answer

    President and CEO Paul Romanowski explained that improved construction cycle times allow for a leaner inventory model and that he expects starts to accelerate in Q3. EVP and COO Michael Murray added that any significant cost impact from tariffs is not expected to affect closings until fiscal 2026 and is not a major factor in the current margin guide.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to DR Horton Inc (DHI) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner from Zelman & Associates asked about the declining start pace and whether the company would reintroduce build-to-order components or simply match starts to sales. He also inquired about strategic changes in anticipation of potential new housing policies.

    Answer

    President and CEO Paul Romanowski explained that improved cycle times allow for a lower inventory level, hence the lower start pace, and that future starts will likely align more closely with sales. Regarding policy changes, CFO Bill Wheat stated the company remains focused on affordability and supplying homes to meet core demand, adapting to administrative changes as they occur without preemptive strategy shifts.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to DR Horton Inc (DHI) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Alan Ratner questioned D.R. Horton's market share strategy, noting their 2025 growth guidance appears more conservative than some peers and asking about the competitive dynamics influencing this outlook. He also inquired if the company might pivot back toward a build-to-order model from its current spec-heavy strategy.

    Answer

    President & CEO Paul Romanowski responded that the company is well-positioned with lots and inventory to capture demand if the spring market is strong, suggesting the guidance is a flexible starting point. EVP & COO Michael Murray stated there would be no 'sea change shift' away from the spec model, but local operators have the flexibility to do more presales based on community-specific conditions.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to KB Home (KBH) leadership

    Alan Ratner's questions to KB Home (KBH) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner of Zelman & Associates asked about the competitiveness of KB Home's base-price-focused strategy when other builders are increasing incentives, and whether this contributed to the order slowdown. He also requested a breakdown of the 3.2% direct cost reduction between lumber and other negotiated inputs.

    Answer

    President & COO Robert McGibney defended the strategy, stating it offers transparent value and that the company is happy with the results since returning to its traditional approach. He acknowledged some buyers are drawn to incentives but believes the company's method is effective. On costs, McGibney could not provide a specific breakdown but confirmed the 3.2% reduction includes significant decreases beyond just commodity drops like lumber, driven by divisional efforts.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to KB Home (KBH) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner inquired whether the recent sales momentum was driven more by converting existing leads or by attracting new buyer traffic. He also asked how the company is managing its existing backlog in communities where base prices have been lowered.

    Answer

    COO Rob McGibney stated that while some sales came from past leads, the majority of the uplift was from new traffic generated by advertising the lower, more transparent prices online. Regarding the backlog, he explained that potential conflicts are handled on a case-by-case basis and that overall exposure is considered 'pretty small' because many existing contracts already had unique incentives.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to KB Home (KBH) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Alan Ratner questioned the lighter-than-expected community count guidance, asking if development delays were a factor. He also asked about the potential business impact from the California fires on costs, labor, permitting, and insurance.

    Answer

    EVP and CFO Jeff Kaminski explained the guidance reflects a significantly higher number of community sellouts in 2025, with a temporary dip in Q4 before growth resumes. Chairman and CEO Jeffrey Mezger stated it was too early to speculate on the fires' full impact but does not anticipate a major, long-term labor or material pinch, though rebuilding utility infrastructure could cause some short-term community opening delays.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to KB Home (KBH) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Alan Ratner questioned the confidence in the 2025 revenue outlook, given that the backlog is down year-over-year, and asked if this implies an increase in spec building. He also inquired about future free cash flow generation and asset efficiency, particularly regarding the company's supply of owned land.

    Answer

    EVP & CFO Jeff Kaminski clarified that confidence in the 2025 outlook is supported by their forward view on starts combined with significant improvements in construction cycle times, which enables faster revenue conversion. Regarding cash flow, Kaminski stated the focus is on asset efficiency through inventory turn and further reducing build times, which is a major cash generator. He noted the strong balance sheet allows for more shareholder-friendly capital allocation.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Lennar Corp (LEN) leadership

    Alan Ratner's questions to Lennar Corp (LEN) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Alan Ratner inquired if new land acquisitions are being underwritten to current high-incentive market conditions and asked about the potential for margin seasonality in the second half of the year.

    Answer

    Executive Stuart Miller and another executive confirmed that Lennar is actively underwriting new land deals based on current market information and incentives, with a focus on turning over older inventory. They noted that land sellers are beginning to adjust their price expectations. Regarding second-half margin seasonality, Stuart Miller declined to provide guidance beyond Q2, citing market uncertainty. He emphasized the core strategy of converting assets to cash and redeploying that capital based on the latest market conditions, even if it means accepting lower near-term margins.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Lennar Corp (LEN) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Alan Ratner inquired about the drivers behind weaker-than-expected consumer demand during the quarter, given mortgage rates were not dissimilar to prior periods. He also asked about Lennar's pace-versus-price strategy for 2025, specifically questioning if there is a lower limit on margins the company would accept to achieve its volume targets.

    Answer

    Executive Chairman Stuart Miller attributed the demand softness to a combination of factors, including consumer difficulty in accumulating down payments, hesitancy from interest rate volatility, and seasonality, which required increased incentives. Regarding strategy, Miller reaffirmed Lennar's conviction to maintain sales volume by adjusting prices and margins, using steady production as a lever to rationalize land and construction costs over time, without specifying a hard floor for margins.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Lennar Corp (LEN) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Alan Ratner inquired about the upcoming Millrose spin-off, specifically asking about the potential margin impact from its fee structure compared to existing land banking deals. He also questioned the revised gross margin guidance, which is now flat for the year instead of ramping up as previously expected, despite falling interest rates.

    Answer

    Executive Chairman Stuart Miller explained that Millrose will be a 'mirror image' of current land structures, with the main difference being its permanent capital REIT structure. He anticipates a 'relatively small' impact on Lennar's margin. Regarding the gross margin guidance change, Miller cited several factors: interest rates remained high for much of the quarter, consumer confidence has been slow to recover, and a temporary dip in community count required using incentives to maintain strategic volume goals during the company's operational restructuring.

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    Alan Ratner's questions to Lennar Corp (LEN) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Alan Ratner inquired about the upcoming Millrose spin-off, specifically its fee structure and potential margin impact, and questioned the revised gross margin guidance, which is now expected to be flat rather than ramping up as previously anticipated.

    Answer

    Executive Chairman Stuart Miller explained that while he is limited in what he can say about Millrose, he expects its margin impact to be relatively small and similar to existing land bank structures. Regarding gross margins, Miller stated that sticky interest rates early in the quarter, waning consumer confidence, and a temporary drop in community count prompted the company to use incentives to maintain its strategic volume goals, impacting near-term margins.

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