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    Albert Rice's questions to Acadia Healthcare Company Inc (ACHC) leadership

    Albert Rice's questions to Acadia Healthcare Company Inc (ACHC) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Albert Rice from Bank of America inquired about the expected progression of EBITDA throughout 2025, given the various moving parts like supplemental payment timing, startup losses, and easier year-over-year comparisons later in the year. He also asked for specifics on rate updates from Medicaid, Medicare, and commercial payers.

    Answer

    Heather Dixon, an executive, detailed the EBITDA phasing, noting Q1 had the highest startup costs. She identified the timing of the Tennessee DPP as the largest variable and confirmed the full-year outlook for supplemental payments remains positive despite a Q1 decline. Executive Christopher Hunter added that the company's conservative rate outlook is due to general policy uncertainty, not specific negative trends, and that underlying rate growth remains stable.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Acadia Healthcare Company Inc (ACHC) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Albert Rice asked about the drivers behind the moderated revenue per day growth in Q4 and the low single-digit pricing growth guidance for 2025, probing whether it signaled rate pressure or conservatism. He also inquired about the underlying margin assumption for the core portfolio in 2025, excluding specific headwinds.

    Answer

    CFO Heather Dixon attributed the conservative 2025 rate guidance to a smaller anticipated tailwind from supplemental payments and a prudent approach amid policy uncertainty, while noting commercial rates are assumed stable. For margins, she explained Q4 compression was due to a professional liability reserve and a facility closure. For 2025, she stated that while start-up costs and other headwinds are factored in, the underlying margin of the core business is considered stable and consistent with historical performance.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Acadia Healthcare Company Inc (ACHC) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Albert Rice asked for details on the October volume deceleration, questioning if it was a sudden drop that stabilized or a continuing decline, and whether it was concentrated in specific markets. He also inquired about the impact on joint venture discussions and clinician recruitment.

    Answer

    CFO Heather Dixon confirmed the volume decline was a step-down at the start of October that then stabilized, rather than deteriorating further. CEO Christopher Hunter added that the joint venture pipeline remains robust and that there has been no material impact on talent recruitment, citing ongoing investments in technology and employee engagement.

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    Albert Rice's questions to DaVita Inc (DVA) leadership

    Albert Rice's questions to DaVita Inc (DVA) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    A.J. Rice from UBS requested an update on the Latin America acquisition, particularly in Brazil, and the broader M&A pipeline. He also asked about the rationale for moving a cost-generating IT product out of the IKC segment and whether the IKC business is still on track for breakeven. Lastly, he asked for clarification on G&A drivers.

    Answer

    CEO Javier Rodriguez stated the Brazil acquisition is nearing completion, pending some required divestitures, and that the M&A pipeline remains focused on international opportunities and smaller domestic deals. CFO Joel Ackerman explained the IT product was moved to another segment because its utility expanded beyond IKC to the broader DaVita enterprise, and this does not materially impact IKC's path to profitability. He attributed the G&A per treatment change primarily to lower treatment volume in Q1.

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    Albert Rice's questions to DaVita Inc (DVA) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Albert Rice of UBS asked for the underlying growth rate of patient treatment costs, excluding the new impact from oral phosphate binders. He also inquired about capital deployment plans, including share repurchases and the M&A pipeline.

    Answer

    CFO Joel Ackerman detailed that of the 6.5% midpoint growth in patient care costs, 3.75% is from historical cost inflation for labor and other expenses, which is the comparable figure to prior years. He reiterated the capital allocation strategy of targeting 3-3.5x leverage and returning excess capital via buybacks, noting that while M&A could involve 'hundreds of millions,' it would not significantly alter the repurchase program.

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    Albert Rice's questions to DaVita Inc (DVA) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Albert Rice sought clarification on whether the $10-20 million hurricane impact was on EBITDA or revenue, and asked about trends in new patient starts, drivers of mistreatment rates, and the rationale for extending the elevated mortality outlook into 2025.

    Answer

    CFO Joel Ackerman confirmed the Q4 hurricane impact would be felt almost entirely on EBITDA. He stated that new patient admissions are consistent with prior commentary and that storms added about 10 basis points to the mistreatment rate. Regarding mortality, Ackerman noted that while no new negative trends emerged in the quarter, the persistence of elevated rates informs their cautious outlook for 2025.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Surgery Partners Inc (SGRY) leadership

    Albert Rice's questions to Surgery Partners Inc (SGRY) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    A.J. Rice from UBS asked for a reminder of the company's annual M&A capacity, its ultimate leverage target, and how recent acquisitions will affect same-store metrics as they enter the comp base.

    Answer

    CFO David Doherty reiterated the annual M&A target of around $200 million, which is supportable by internal cash flow while deleveraging towards a sub-3x target leverage ratio. He explained that acquisitions enter the same-store calculation after a full year, and since last year's deals were weighted towards higher-acuity orthopedics, they should provide a positive lift to the rate metric when they are included starting in Q3 2025.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Surgery Partners Inc (SGRY) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    A.J. Rice asked for a potential timeframe on the special committee's review of the Bain Capital proposal and inquired about the 2025 guidance buildup, specifically the expected balance between revenue per case and case growth.

    Answer

    CEO J. Evans stated he could not comment on the timing of the special committee's process. Regarding 2025 guidance, Evans emphasized looking at the full year rather than quarterly metrics. CFO David Doherty added that for the full year, they expect a relatively balanced contribution from case and rate growth, though mathematical effects from prior acquisitions might continue to mute rate growth in the first half of 2025 before balancing out.

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    Albert Rice's questions to AMN Healthcare Services Inc (AMN) leadership

    Albert Rice's questions to AMN Healthcare Services Inc (AMN) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    A.J. Rice sought clarification on whether labor disruption revenue was influencing the reported stabilization in Nurse and Allied bill rates. He also asked about the impact of weakening demand for Spanish translation services and the reasons for bill-pay spread pressure in the locum tenens business.

    Answer

    CFO and COO Brian Scott clarified that the travel nurse bill rate stabilization metrics explicitly exclude the more variable rates from labor disruption events. President and CEO Cary Grace noted that while Spanish remains the top language, there has been a modest downturn in its share of the total mix, though overall client demand remains strong. Scott attributed the locum tenens spread pressure to competition and a mix shift toward lower-margin CRNA business, but mentioned that spreads are now stabilizing and momentum is building in higher-margin specialties.

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    Albert Rice's questions to AMN Healthcare Services Inc (AMN) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Albert Rice from UBS asked about the normalization of demand patterns versus pre-pandemic levels, the revenue trajectory for 2025, the financial impact of the international business headwind, and the reasons for reduced spending from large clients.

    Answer

    CEO Caroline Grace noted a return to more normal pre-COVID seasonality in demand. CFO and COO Brian Scott detailed the Q1 outlook, highlighting growth in locums and language services offsetting some headwinds. Grace quantified the international revenue headwind at approximately $100 million over 2024-2025, with the remainder impacting H1 2025. She clarified that large clients reducing spend are rebalancing their permanent-to-contingent staff mix, not changing vendors.

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    Albert Rice's questions to AMN Healthcare Services Inc (AMN) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Albert Rice asked about the competitive economics of MSP contracts, margin pressures in the Locums business from specialty mix, and the normalized Q4 EBITDA run rate for 2025.

    Answer

    President and CEO Cary Grace confirmed the competitive landscape is intense across all service models, not just MSPs. For Locums, she cited bill-pay spread pressure as the primary margin factor. She noted 2025 growth drivers include potential labor disruption revenue and seasonal growth in PLS and language services. Executive Randle Reece clarified the normalized Q4 run rate, suggesting a midpoint revenue of $650 million and an adjusted EBITDA margin of about 8.3%.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Pediatrix Medical Group Inc (MD) leadership

    Albert Rice's questions to Pediatrix Medical Group Inc (MD) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Albert 'A.J.' Rice questioned the updated 2025 guidance, asking if the underlying assumption of flat volumes and pricing was now too conservative following strong Q1 results. He also sought clarity on the sources of management's cited economic uncertainty.

    Answer

    Executive Mark Ordan explained that the guidance remains conservative due to broad uncertainty in healthcare and the economy, not specific legislative or demographic concerns. He stated the full-year range was raised simply to reflect the significant outperformance already achieved in the first quarter.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Pediatrix Medical Group Inc (MD) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Albert Rice inquired about the underlying assumptions for same-facility volume and pricing within the 2025 guidance, and also asked about trends in hospital subsidy negotiations for NICU management.

    Answer

    CFO Kasandra Rossi explained that the 2025 outlook assumes flat volume and flat pricing, as the significant payer mix tailwind from 2024 is expected to level off. CEO Mark Ordan added that while discussions with hospital partners are continuous, the forecast does not bake in any increase in subsidies or contract economics.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Pediatrix Medical Group Inc (MD) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    A.J. Rice of UBS asked for clarity on the company's normalized cash flow run rate following the RCM and portfolio changes. He also inquired about the broader capital deployment strategy beyond Q1 2025 and sought clarification on whether the $30 million EBITDA improvement from restructuring is a firm number or includes potential for further efficiencies.

    Answer

    Executive Charles Lynch provided a historical baseline, suggesting a 60% to 66% conversion of EBITDA to operating cash flow is a good forward-looking guardrail. CFO Kasandra Rossi stated that for 2025, the company will have 'optimal flexibility' to deploy excess cash across M&A, share repurchases, or debt paydown. She clarified the $30 million EBITDA improvement is an estimate with potential upside, as it is intended to cover all costs of exiting practices, and the company will continue to seek further efficiencies.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Brightspring Health Services Inc (BTSG) leadership

    Albert Rice's questions to Brightspring Health Services Inc (BTSG) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    A.J. Rice asked about the progress of the infusion business repositioning and whether it's on pace for its long-term growth goals, including any tailwind from CVS's exit. He also asked if the Amedisys deal is additive to the typical M&A capital deployment.

    Answer

    CEO Jon Rousseau stated that the impact from Quorum's market exit is largely baked in at this point. He expressed positive thoughts on the overall infusion market and confirmed the business is on track to hit its internal budget for the year. Regarding M&A, he reiterated that the potential deal is a unique situation that fits their philosophy but is separate from their typical tuck-in M&A mode, and he looks forward to sharing more details later.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Brightspring Health Services Inc (BTSG) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Albert 'A.J.' Rice asked about the drivers behind BrightSpring's success in securing exclusive or narrow contracts for limited distribution drugs (LDDs) and questioned if the competitive landscape has changed. He also inquired about the growth trajectory and margin potential of the Infusion business following recent investments.

    Answer

    Executive Jon Rousseau attributed the LDD success to a long-standing focus on operational excellence and high service levels, resulting in top-tier Net Promoter Scores, rather than a material shift in the market. He noted a trend toward narrower networks for niche therapies, where BrightSpring is a chosen partner. For the Infusion business, Rousseau highlighted that a new team and process standardization have led to best-in-class turnaround times, positioning the segment for a return to growth, with a target of over 20% for the year.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Brightspring Health Services Inc (BTSG) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Albert Rice of UBS requested an update on the onboarding of a large long-term care operator and discussions with a managed care plan for home health. He also asked about the expected financial contribution from the recently closed Haven Hospice acquisition.

    Answer

    CEO Jon Rousseau confirmed the successful onboarding of a major customer across over 200 facilities, which is expected to contribute approximately $1 million in monthly EBITDA once start-up costs normalize. He noted that discussions with payers for home-based primary care are progressing well. Regarding the Haven acquisition, Rousseau projected it would contribute $1-2 million in EBITDA in the current year, with the potential to become a $15 million opportunity over several years.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Cigna Group (CI) leadership

    Albert Rice's questions to Cigna Group (CI) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    A.J. Rice inquired about the impact of the current economic environment on the 2026 selling season for both PBM and commercial health plans, and whether economic uncertainty specifically drives growth in the under-500 'Select' segment.

    Answer

    President and COO Brian Evanko characterized the selling season as active, with PBM retention tracking toward the mid-90s. He noted affordability and personalized solutions are key client themes. He attributed the strong 9% customer growth in the Select segment to Cigna's funding-agnostic approach and improved affordability, rather than a direct correlation with economic uncertainty.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Cigna Group (CI) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    A.J. Rice from UBS sought clarification on the 2025 guidance, asking about the net earnings impact from the Medicare business divestiture and subsequent capital redeployment. He also asked if Evernorth's margins would see a favorable step-up in 2025 as large contracts mature.

    Answer

    CFO Brian Evanko confirmed the 2025 outlook reflects the Medicare sale, with the majority of proceeds earmarked for share repurchase. He provided a normalized 2024 Cigna Healthcare earnings base of slightly below $4 billion to aid comparison. He also stated that the maturation of large client contracts is already factored into Evernorth's 2025 guidance, which aligns with the long-term growth targets on a normalized basis.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Cigna Group (CI) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Albert Rice asked about The Cigna Group's 2025 commercial cost trend outlook and potential employer pushback, and also questioned Evernorth's primary care strategy following the VillageMD investment write-down.

    Answer

    CFO Brian Evanko stated that Cigna expects cost trends to remain elevated in 2025 and is pricing for rate increases greater than 2024. CEO David Cordani addressed the VillageMD situation, calling the timing of the investment poor due to market disruption. He noted that while Evernorth's accountable care relationships will continue, the company will take a 'paced path' given the current environment and focus on capabilities like CuraScript.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Service Corporation International (SCI) leadership

    Albert Rice's questions to Service Corporation International (SCI) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    A.J. Rice questioned the transition of preneed funeral sales to an insurance model, the potential revenue uplift from merchandise in the backlog, and the capital deployment strategy between M&A and share repurchases.

    Answer

    CEO Thomas Ryan explained that the transition to an insurance model, particularly for SCI Direct, is temporarily slowing sales but will ultimately increase general agency revenue and significantly boost the average revenue per service as contracts mature. CFO Eric Tanzberger stated that capital deployment is opportunistic, with share repurchases being attractive in Q1. He affirmed the M&A pipeline is strong and the company expects to meet its annual acquisition spending target.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Service Corporation International (SCI) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Albert 'A.J.' Rice from UBS asked about the recent volatility in funeral volumes and the revised 2025 outlook, the specifics of the transition from trust to preneed insurance sales, and the strength of the M&A pipeline after a strong year of acquisitions.

    Answer

    Chairman and CEO Tom Ryan attributed volume volatility to the diminishing ripple effects of COVID and a normalization of mortality trends, leading to a 'flat to slightly down' volume outlook for 2025. He clarified the preneed insurance transition is occurring differently in the SCI Direct and core channels, aiming for more stable, underwritten products. Executive Eric Tanzberger described the M&A pipeline as robust and expressed optimism for exceeding the $75-$125 million guidance, similar to the prior year, contingent on deal timing.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Service Corporation International (SCI) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Albert Rice asked for the rationale behind anticipating more positive funeral volume trends, the company's updated thinking on the COVID pull-forward effect, whether the strong acquisition pace contributes to confidence in growth targets, and for perspective on recent management changes.

    Answer

    Chairman and CEO Thomas Ryan explained that the primary driver for the volume outlook is the diminishing pull-forward effect from the pandemic, combined with population growth and a strong preneed backlog. He noted that the recent strong acquisitions will contribute to growth targets, as they are high-quality, tuck-in businesses in major markets offering synergy potential. Regarding management changes, Ryan stated they were part of a long-term succession plan triggered by an executive's approaching retirement, and the company is excited about the elevated responsibilities for the named executives.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Ensign Group Inc (ENSG) leadership

    Albert Rice's questions to Ensign Group Inc (ENSG) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    A.J. Rice inquired about the deal pipeline, asking if the competitive landscape for acquisitions is easing and about the potential economics in newer markets like the Southeast. He also asked if the policy discussions in Washington are impacting state-level Medicaid rate negotiations and what the company anticipates for composite Medicaid rate updates.

    Answer

    Chief Investment Officer Chad Keetch responded that competition for deals remains consistent, but Ensign often wins due to its operational reputation and closing track record. He expressed confidence in achieving strong economics in new markets by relying on local leaders' expertise. CEO Barry Port addressed the state-level question, stating that states are not proactively planning for federal policy changes due to the uncertainty in Washington. He noted Ensign has good visibility on rates for the current year. CFO Suzanne Snapper added that the company is in continuous discussion with states about rate setting, educating them on local market conditions.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Ensign Group Inc (ENSG) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    A.J. Rice inquired about labor cost trends for 2025, the impact of California's Workforce Standards program, the current deal pipeline, and the competitive landscape for acquisitions.

    Answer

    COO Spencer Burton noted a gradual improvement in the labor market and highlighted the company's relentless focus on attracting and retaining talent through local leadership development. CFO Suzanne Snapper confirmed that the costs associated with the California Workforce Standards program are fully baked into the 2025 guidance. Regarding M&A, Executive Chad Keetch described the deal flow as very strong, with more opportunities than they can pursue, allowing them to be highly selective. He reiterated their disciplined approach, focusing on having local leaders in place and adhering to strict valuation criteria, such as using trailing-12-month performance for rent calculations and maintaining a focus on price per bed.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Humana Inc (HUM) leadership

    Albert Rice's questions to Humana Inc (HUM) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    A.J. Rice sought high-level commentary on the trajectory toward the 3% MA pretax margin target, given the mix of factors like the Stars litigation, Part D changes, and the favorable rate update.

    Answer

    CEO Jim Rechtin responded that, excluding the unknown Stars outcome, the company feels good about the underlying progress of the business. He acknowledged the various external puts and takes but stressed that management's focus is on controllable elements like medical costs, G&A, and Stars performance, with more detail to come at the June investor conference.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Humana Inc (HUM) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Albert Rice sought more clarity on the Stars commentary, questioning the cautious tone for the 2027 payment year compared to the more confident outlook for 2028, and asked if the 2026 appeal outcome would affect 2027.

    Answer

    CEO James Rechtin clarified that the 2026 litigation is separate from 2027 performance. He reiterated that while operational progress in Q4 2024 was strong, uncertainty around 2027 thresholds remains, consistent with prior commentary. For 2028, he expressed more confidence due to having a full year of runway to implement changes. George Renaudin, President of the Insurance Segment, added that new Q4 initiatives were successful, but the cautious tone reflects prudent planning.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Humana Inc (HUM) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    A.J. Rice asked if a successful Stars appeal would lessen the need for investment in 2025 and questioned the company's philosophy on the trade-off between enrollment and margin in its effort to reach a 3% margin by 2027.

    Answer

    CEO Jim Rechtin clarified that the investment need is driven by the broad trend of rising Stars thresholds, separate from the specific appeal. On the strategic trade-off, he stated it's too early to provide a definitive answer but the company's intent is to balance long-term earnings potential with near-term progression, without harming the business long-term.

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    Albert Rice's questions to HCA Healthcare Inc (HCA) leadership

    Albert Rice's questions to HCA Healthcare Inc (HCA) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    A.J. Rice questioned the key drivers of the 2.9% growth in revenue per adjusted admission and asked if the political discussions in Washington are impacting managed care contract negotiations.

    Answer

    CFO Mike Marks explained that the revenue growth was driven by a favorable payer mix and higher acuity in outpatient services. He noted that contracting is well-advanced for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at rates consistent with targets. CEO Sam Hazen added that HCA has improved its overall managed care positioning, citing new, broad participation agreements with Kaiser in Denver and an advanced position with a Blue Cross product in Chattanooga.

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    Albert Rice's questions to HCA Healthcare Inc (HCA) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    A.J. Rice inquired about the strong managed care admissions, asking about the status of 2025-2026 pricing contracts and any changes in utilization review or denial rates from MCOs.

    Answer

    CFO Mike Marks stated that HCA is 80% contracted for 2025 and 60% for 2026, with pricing on target. He noted that while there is a lot of activity around denials and underpayments, HCA's enhanced capabilities have prevented it from becoming a material impact for the company in 2024.

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    Albert Rice's questions to HCA Healthcare Inc (HCA) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Albert J. Rice from UBS asked for clarification on the 2025 earnings outlook framework, particularly how to model the impact of hurricanes and their recovery, and questioned which service lines were driving continued volume strength.

    Answer

    CFO Mike Marks clarified that the preliminary 2025 outlook, which anticipates growth near or slightly above the high end of their long-term range, already accounts for manageable, lingering hurricane effects. CEO Sam Hazen added that volume strength is broad-based, with emergency room and cardiac services being particularly strong performers.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Centene Corp (CNC) leadership

    Albert Rice's questions to Centene Corp (CNC) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Albert Rice inquired about Washington-related policy, asking if the previously estimated $1 per share headwind from the potential expiration of enhanced APTCs is still accurate. He also asked for a conceptual framework on the potential business impact and operational burden of Medicaid work requirements.

    Answer

    CEO Sarah London stated that the $1 per share headwind estimate for APTC expiration remains valid, with further analysis pending on the interplay with new Marketplace rules. Regarding work requirements, she noted Centene's past experience, explaining that the impact would vary by state and that the company sees an opportunity to work with state partners on implementation to ensure member access to care.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Centene Corp (CNC) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    A.J. Rice asked about underlying utilization trends in Medicaid and the drivers of the better-than-expected Medicare medical loss ratio, specifically distinguishing between cost trends and reserve adjustments.

    Answer

    CEO Sarah London confirmed that underlying Medicaid trends remain stable with no new developments to report. CFO Andrew Asher clarified that the outperformance in the Medicare segment was largely driven by a very strong performance in the Part D (PDP) business, which provides confidence heading into 2025 amid further IRA changes.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Centene Corp (CNC) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    AJ Rice sought to compare Centene's 4.5% to 5% composite rate update with peers who have cited needs for higher increases, asking what rate level Centene requires to achieve its MLR improvement goals.

    Answer

    CEO Sarah London responded that rate needs are state-specific and that work on sufficiency continues. CFO Andrew Asher added that Centene has secured high-single-digit rate increases in smaller states, demonstrating that states are responsive to data. He emphasized that the company continues to work on future rate cycles.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Encompass Health Corp (EHC) leadership

    Albert Rice's questions to Encompass Health Corp (EHC) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    A.J. Rice from UBS inquired about the 14% increase in benefit expense as a headwind and what could be done to manage it, and also requested an update on the status of Palmetto audits and the TPE program.

    Answer

    CFO Douglas Coltharp explained that benefit expense is about 10-11% of total SWB and that while they proactively manage plan design, they expect the growth rate to moderate in the second half of the year as they anniversary the increase. On audits, he noted that TPE activity from Palmetto was low in Q1 but can be 'lumpy,' and the company has factored this potential into its full-year bad debt assumption, while also noting a high success rate on claims that are reviewed.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Encompass Health Corp (EHC) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    A.J. Rice questioned the competitive landscape in Florida, asking if the market was at risk of becoming over-saturated with IRF beds. He also inquired about potential regulatory focus from the new administration and the company's advocacy efforts on prior authorization.

    Answer

    CEO Mark Tarr asserted that Florida is not overbedded due to strong demographics and that Encompass Health's first-mover strategy secured a leading position. CFO Douglas Coltharp added that the market had a significant supply deficit before the CON law change. On the regulatory front, Tarr sees no specific near-term threats, while Coltharp noted their advocacy focuses on improving MA pre-authorization and network adequacy rules.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH) leadership

    Albert Rice's questions to Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Albert Rice questioned whether the political discussions in Washington regarding potential Medicaid cuts are affecting state-level conversations about rate updates or RFP processes.

    Answer

    CEO Joseph Zubretsky stated definitively that the Washington political backdrop is not impacting state-level discussions. He explained that rate negotiations are purely actuarial, focusing on specific cost trends, and the RFP cycle is currently at a low point and proceeding without influence from federal budget debates.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    A.J. Rice from UBS inquired about the expected quarterly earnings progression for 2025, considering factors like start-up costs and seasonality. He also asked for Molina's perspective on how states might respond to potential federal Medicaid funding changes and the resulting impact on the business.

    Answer

    CFO Mark Keim projected a very evenly distributed 50-50 earnings split between the first and second halves of 2025, a departure from the typical front-loaded year. This is due to front-loaded G&A for new contract implementations offsetting other seasonal factors. On the political landscape, CEO Joe Zubretsky argued that any major federal funding cuts are unlikely to result in significant program changes, as the necessary actions—cutting enrollment, benefits, or provider payments—are politically untenable for both parties at the state level.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    A.J. Rice from UBS questioned why Molina's expected Medicaid rate needs (around 6%) differ from peers suggesting double-digit increases and whether states can afford such updates. He also asked if rising utilization trends are a market-wide issue or if there are specific medical management opportunities for Molina.

    Answer

    President and CEO Joe Zubretsky expressed confidence, citing significant on-cycle and off-cycle rate increases in the second half of 2024, with Q4 on-cycle rates averaging 9%. He stated the model of using risk corridors as a buffer while rates catch up to trend is working as expected. Zubretsky also affirmed Molina's proven ability to manage medical costs effectively, noting the company's history of operating deep within risk corridors, which provides a financial buffer regardless of gross trend.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Healthcare Services Group Inc (HCSG) leadership

    Albert Rice's questions to Healthcare Services Group Inc (HCSG) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Albert Rice (A. J. Rice) inquired whether the court ruling on minimum staffing rules was merely removing an overhang or actively changing behavior, questioned the sustainability of strong Q1 margins, and asked for an update on food and labor inflation trends.

    Answer

    Theodore Wahl (executive) clarified that the court ruling primarily removed a future overhang rather than changing current operator behavior. He attributed strong Q1 margins to solid service execution and strategic investments in SG&A that improve compliance and customer experience. Matthew McKee (executive) added that while food inflation saw a sequential increase, the overall labor market for healthcare is showing strong recovery, with HCSG's wage growth remaining stable and job applications high.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Healthcare Services Group Inc (HCSG) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Albert Rice questioned the drivers of the Q1 revenue guidance, asking about the contribution from new business versus Q4 carry-over and any potential seasonality in contract wins. He also asked about the embedded assumptions for labor and food inflation in the 2025 outlook.

    Answer

    Executive Theodore Wahl stated that there is no significant seasonal pattern to new business wins. He attributed the Q1 revenue outlook to momentum from new business added throughout Q4, a client retention rate greater than 90%, and a strong pipeline. Executive Matthew McKee detailed that while food inflation is ticking up, wage inflation has moderated. He stressed that HCSG's modified contracts provide the right to pass through inflation for food, supplies, and wages, ensuring the durability of the business model.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Healthcare Services Group Inc (HCSG) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    A.J. Rice inquired about the hourly labor market, asking if wage increases were adequate to staff client facilities. He also asked for an update on food inflation trends and the company's capital deployment strategy, particularly regarding share buybacks and inorganic growth.

    Answer

    Executive Matthew McKee described the labor market as stabilizing, with the industry workforce on track to recover to pre-pandemic levels by late 2026, though challenges persist in rural markets. He noted food inflation was 40 basis points for the quarter. Executive Theodore Wahl explained that capital allocation is holistic, with share repurchases viewed as opportunistic. He also confirmed the company is always evaluating complementary inorganic growth opportunities and sees potential for more activity in the year ahead.

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    Albert Rice's questions to UnitedHealth Group Inc (UNH) leadership

    Albert Rice's questions to UnitedHealth Group Inc (UNH) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    A.J. Rice sought clarification on several points: whether the elevated Medicare Advantage care activity was primarily on the group side, if the impact from competitive plan exits was confined to Optum, and how Part D was performing against expectations.

    Answer

    Timothy Noel, CEO of UnitedHealthcare Medicare & Retirement, responded. He confirmed the care pressure was focused on the community and group MA books, not D-SNP or C-SNP. He specified the trend was slightly more pronounced in the group business but that underlying drivers were likely affecting the individual book as well. He also stated that Part D and other previously discussed pressures like upcoding were tracking as planned.

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    Albert Rice's questions to UnitedHealth Group Inc (UNH) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Albert Rice of UBS asked about the drivers of the fourth-quarter medical loss ratio (MLR) variance, whether the intensity of cost trends changed, and if Q4 results impacted confidence in the 2025 MLR outlook.

    Answer

    CEO Andrew Witty affirmed that nothing seen in Q4 changed their positive view for 2025, citing a better membership mix. Executive John Rex elaborated that Q4 MLR was impacted by normal seasonality, non-run rate revenue effects like group MA refunds (80-90 bps), and seasonal flu/RSV (50-60 bps). He noted that trends in hospital coding intensity and specialty drug prescribing had stabilized at previously elevated levels and were incorporated into the 2025 outlook.

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    Albert Rice's questions to UnitedHealth Group Inc (UNH) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    A.J. Rice asked for quantification of the headwinds and tailwinds that explain the preliminary 2025 EPS outlook of around $30, which implies ~8% growth versus the long-term 13-16% target.

    Answer

    Andrew Witty, CEO, explained that the 2025 outlook is a responsible plan that balances significant external pressures, like government funding cuts, with the critical need to continue investing in long-term growth drivers. He emphasized that the company will not pull back on investments in value-based care and technology modernization to meet a short-term target, framing the plan as one that ensures long-term value creation.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Privia Health Group Inc (PRVA) leadership

    Albert Rice's questions to Privia Health Group Inc (PRVA) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    A.J. Rice asked about the key variables that could influence results within the 16% to 22% EBITDA growth guidance range and inquired about any potential risks or opportunities arising from Washington.

    Answer

    CEO Parth Mehrotra noted the narrow guidance range reflects the business's predictability. The primary variable is the performance of the value-based care book versus accruals. Regarding Washington, he sees no specific threats to Privia's model, citing broad support for the programs they participate in and does not anticipate disruptive changes.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Privia Health Group Inc (PRVA) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Albert Rice of UBS asked for an early outlook on the primary headwinds and tailwinds Privia Health anticipates for 2025.

    Answer

    CEO Parth Mehrotra stated that while it's too early for 2025 guidance, the business is highly predictable, with 90-95% of financial metrics visible by year-end. He highlighted the diversified model across over 100 value-based care programs as the key mitigator of variability. He reiterated the company's long-term target of 20%+ EBITDA growth, supported by a strong balance sheet and record sales year.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Universal Health Services Inc (UHS) leadership

    Albert Rice's questions to Universal Health Services Inc (UHS) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Albert (A.J.) Rice of UBS asked for the key assumptions behind the previously estimated $50 million headwind from a potential expiration of ACA exchange subsidies. He also inquired about the financial impact of new hospital openings in Las Vegas and D.C. on the 2025 guidance and same-store metrics.

    Answer

    Executive Steve Filton reiterated that the ACA subsidy impact is a high-level estimate, assuming about half of the company's exchange-covered patients would lose coverage. Regarding new hospitals, he stated they are expected to be EBITDA-positive combined in 2025 and, while they will likely depress same-store volume metrics via cannibalization, they should not be a drag on consolidated earnings.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Universal Health Services Inc (UHS) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    A.J. Rice from UBS asked for broader comments on labor trends and capital deployment priorities, including the behavioral JV pipeline, M&A, and share buybacks.

    Answer

    Steve Filton stated that labor trends have stabilized, with wage inflation lower and premium pay usage diminishing. For capital deployment, he indicated a continued focus on capital expenditures, including restarting bed additions in the behavioral business, and share repurchases. He noted that while M&A opportunities are reviewed, few have been compelling recently.

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    Albert Rice's questions to Tenet Healthcare Corp (THC) leadership

    Albert Rice's questions to Tenet Healthcare Corp (THC) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    A.J. Rice asked for clarification on USPI's 1% same-facility volume growth, its connection to the high-acuity strategy, and the path to higher growth. He also inquired about capital deployment, asking if Tenet would accelerate USPI M&A, share buybacks, or consider a dividend.

    Answer

    Chairman and CEO Dr. Saum Sutaria explained that the USPI volume pattern was anticipated due to difficult 2023 comparisons and that the focus on higher acuity continues. Regarding capital, he emphasized that accelerating investment in USPI is the most value-accretive action. He noted that while debt paydown is a priority, the company's strong cash position provides flexibility to be more proactive on both M&A and share repurchases.

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