Ameeta Lobo Nelson's questions to Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) leadership • Q1 2025
Question
Ameeta Lobo Nelson of BofA Securities inquired about Assured Guaranty's U.K. water exposures, specifically the likelihood of a debt haircut for Thames Water, the expected process timeline, and the potential impact of tariffs on the company's insured credits.
Answer
CFO Benjamin Rosenblum explained that the company's reserving process involves probability-weighting multiple scenarios, not just reacting to market news. CEO Dominic Frederico added that the strong majority of their scenarios show no ultimate loss on the senior debt they guarantee and expects the regulatory process to resolve within 6 to 12 months. Regarding tariffs, Frederico noted the situation is fluid but that general market volatility and economic uncertainty tend to increase demand for Assured Guaranty's products.