Andrew Buscaglia

Andrew Buscaglia questioned the strong software performance amidst broader AI concerns, asking if Rockwell Automation is seeing new AI competition or if its AI features could be more impactful sooner than anticipated. He also asked about the strong performance in food and beverage and automotive, inquiring if it's due to easy comps, early market improvement, or differentiated offerings.

Answer

Blake Moret (Chairman and CEO, Rockwell Automation) explained that Rockwell's AI strategy focuses on specific applications for efficiency and simplification, not nebulous models, using vision AI, LogixAI, and embedded AI in Plex. He emphasized that AI fortifies existing systems, reducing disruption and risk, and helps grow share. For food and beverage and automotive, Blake acknowledged some help from Q1 comps but highlighted Rockwell's differentiated technology, including mobile robots, fixed automation integration, and software tools like Emulate3D, Logix Echo, and FactoryTalk Design Studio, which are driving wins despite CapEx suppression and tariff concerns.

Andrew Buscaglia from BNP Paribas questioned Rockwell Automation's strong software performance amidst broader AI concerns, asking if new AI competition is emerging and if Rockwell's AI features could impact numbers sooner than expected. He also inquired why Rockwell's food & beverage and automotive market trends differ from other companies, asking if it's due to easy comps or early market improvement.

Answer

Chairman and CEO Blake Moret explained that Rockwell's AI strategy focuses on specific applications for efficiency and simplification, such as vision AI, Logix AI, and Plex demand planning, rather than general language models. He emphasized that AI complements existing systems, reducing disruption and driving share growth. Regarding food & beverage and automotive, Blake Moret acknowledged some help from Q1 comps but highlighted Rockwell's differentiated technology, including mobile robots and advanced software tools, as key drivers for winning business despite suppressed greenfield investments and tariff concerns.

Andrew Buscaglia asked whether FMT has become a longer-cycle business post-COVID, contrasting it with its typical short-cycle history. He also requested an estimate of the combined portion of FMT and HST segments represented by higher-growth areas like data centers, space & defense, and biopharma.

Answer

Eric Ashleman (President and CEO) confirmed that FMT's markets haven't changed; they remain short-cycle with decades-long customer relationships, primarily for like-for-like replacement, and acceleration would lead to quick capture and good flow-through. He explained that a significant percentage of HST is now driven by growth platforms like pneumatics (data center exposure) and Material Science Solutions (double-digit growth in Q4), reflecting diversification. FMT's profile is similar, with water growth being a slight change, but still broad industrial with specific pressures in chemicals and agriculture.

Asked about the revised growth outlook for the Mott acquisition and questioned the company's broader portfolio strategy regarding complexity and the possibility of divestitures.

Answer

The company stated that Mott's growth is now expected to be flat for the year, a reduction from the previous high-single-digit forecast. They affirmed that they continuously review the portfolio and that current integration work in the HST segment is aimed at creating a simpler, more focused platform, while complexity has already been reduced in other segments.

Posed high-level strategic questions about the longer-than-expected recovery cycles in both the HST and FMT segments and how these experiences might influence future strategy and M&A.

Answer

The CEO attributed the prolonged HST downturn to the unique post-COVID recalibrations in life sciences and semi, not a fundamental change in cycle length, and asserted HST is now inflecting to lead growth. The FMT segment's slower recovery is tied to broad industrial uncertainty pending policy clarity, which is typical for its more fragmented, faster-oscillating markets.

Andrew Buscaglia of BNP Paribas posed a high-level strategic question about the HST segment, noting its recovery has been slower and more long-cycle than anticipated, and asked if this experience would alter future M&A strategy. He raised a similar point about the FMT segment's seemingly slow recovery.

Answer

CEO Eric Ashleman attributed the prolonged HST recovery to the unique, multi-year recalibration in the life sciences and semiconductor markets following the pandemic. He affirmed the long-term growth thesis is unchanged and noted that recent M&A, like Mott, has already diversified the segment's end-market exposure. He pointed to the 2025 guidance as evidence of HST returning to a leadership growth role. For the FMT segment, he explained its performance reflects broader industrial caution as customers await policy clarity before increasing capital commitments.

Andrew Buscaglia of BNP Paribas posed strategic questions about the HST and FMT segments. He asked if the longer-than-expected recovery cycle in HST has altered the company's M&A strategy for that segment, and questioned why the more industrial-focused FMT segment was not recovering more strongly.

Answer

CEO Eric Ashleman attributed the HST volatility to the unique post-COVID cycle in life sciences and semiconductors, asserting the long-term growth thesis remains intact and that the segment is now more diversified. He noted the 2025 guidance shows HST returning to a growth leadership role. For FMT, Ashleman explained its performance is closely tied to general industrial activity, which is currently muted by policy uncertainty. He expects a rapid ramp-up in FMT once customers gain clarity and commit to projects.

Andrew Buscaglia from BNP Paribas asked about the semiconductor market, questioning the rationale for a mid-2025 recovery and how margin differentials across HST subsegments might impact profitability. He also inquired about IDEX's positioning for potential future tariffs.

Answer

CEO Eric Ashleman tied the semi-recovery timeline to the need for higher factory utilization rates, which are awaiting a new demand catalyst. He also highlighted IDEX's localized 'in-region for-region' production model as a key defense against supply chain disruptions like tariffs. CFO Abhi Khandelwal added that with cost actions and the integration of Mott, there is 'no reason for HST not to be a low 30% EBITDA business' in the future.

Andrew Buscaglia from BNP Paribas asked about the rationale for a mid-2025 semiconductor market recovery, the margin profile of HST subsegments, and the company's positioning for potential future tariffs.

Answer

CEO Eric Ashleman tied the mid-2025 semi-recovery timeline to the need for factory utilization rates to rise before new equipment orders accelerate. He also noted IDEX's localized production model provides resilience against supply chain disruptions like tariffs. CFO Abhi Khandelwal added that with rightsizing efforts and the integration of Mott, the HST segment is positioned to become a low 30% EBITDA business in the future.

Andrew Buscaglia focused on the Electronic Instruments Group (EIG), noting its 2% organic growth was below expectations and inquiring about the performance of process and analytical instrumentation. He asked for 2026 expectations for EIG and its subsegments, and also questioned if the Electromechanical Group's (EMG) strong 15% sales growth in Q4 2025 was unusual or sustainable.

Answer

Chairman and CEO David Zapico clarified that EIG's positive organic growth in Q4 2025 was a positive turn after negative growth in early 2025, expressing satisfaction. For 2026, he expects both EIG and EMG to achieve low- to mid-single-digit organic growth. Regarding EMG's Q4 performance, Mr. Zapico stated that the broad-based double-digit growth across all EMG divisions was not unusual, reflecting strong execution and momentum, though 2026 would face tougher comparisons.

Andrew Buscaglia focused on the Electronic Instruments Group (EIG), questioning its 2% organic growth in Q4 2025 relative to full-year expectations and asking for 2026 outlook. He also inquired if the strong 15% sales growth in the Electromechanical Group (EMG) in Q4 was due to any unusual, non-recurring factors.

Answer

Chairman and CEO David Zapico noted that EIG's positive organic growth in Q4 was encouraging, especially after negative growth earlier in 2025. For 2026, both EIG and EMG are expected to achieve low- to mid-single-digit organic growth. Regarding EMG's Q4 performance, Mr. Zapico clarified that the strength was broad-based, with every division achieving double-digit growth, indicating no unusual factors but rather strong execution and momentum.

Andrew Buscaglia asked about AMETEK's differing customer conversations regarding spending hesitation in automation compared to other companies, and later inquired about the price versus cost dynamics for the quarter.

Answer

David Zapico, Chairman and CEO, stated that AMETEK's automation market recovery aligns with their predictions of a bottom several quarters ago, noting they serve customers who prioritize performance. Mr. Zapico confirmed that pricing successfully offset total inflation and tariffs, resulting in a positive spread due to AMETEK's differentiated products and leadership in niche markets.

Andrew Buscaglia, a Senior Equity Research Analyst at BNP Paribas, questioned AMETEK's positive commentary on automation, contrasting it with other companies' reports of customer hesitation, and later asked about the company's price versus cost performance for the quarter.

Answer

Chairman and CEO David Zapico explained that AMETEK's automation market, particularly discrete automation for precise machines, is historically strong and is now recovering as predicted after a pandemic-driven slowdown and destocking. He noted customers are likely gaining more clarity on tariffs. Zapico confirmed that pricing successfully offset total inflation and tariffs, resulting in a positive spread due to AMETEK's differentiated product portfolio and leadership in niche markets.

Andrew Buscaglia noted the near-record backlog and asked what is needed for it to convert to sales, questioning if tariffs are causing delays. He also asked if the backlog growth is concentrated in any specific areas.

Answer

CEO David Zapico confirmed that tariffs are causing some conversion delays but views the large backlog as a source of comfort. He stated the backlog growth is not concentrated in one area but did highlight strength in A&D and a notable increase in the medtech backlog, driven by Paragon.

Andrew Buscaglia inquired about momentum in other markets like industrial, automotive, and mobile devices, asking where it was most pronounced, any surprises in the quarter, and the outlook for these markets in 2026.

Answer

Adam Norwitt (CEO) noted broad-based strength, particularly organic growth in industrial and automotive across all territories, with Europe showing surprising strength in automotive. He linked the future potential of these markets to the ubiquitous accelerated compute capability driven by AI, envisioning a 'step function' in their capabilities.

Andrew Buscaglia shifted focus from AI/IT Datacom to inquire about momentum in other markets like industrial, automotive, and mobile devices. He asked where this strength was most pronounced, what surprised management in the quarter, and the outlook for these markets in 2026.

Answer

CEO Adam Norwitt noted broad-based strength, particularly organic growth in automotive and industrial across all operating territories, with Europe showing surprisingly strong organic growth in automotive in Q4. He also highlighted innovation in mobile devices and expressed excitement about the potential for a 'step function' in capabilities for automotive, industrial, and mobile devices driven by the build-out of AI networks, drawing parallels to past technological revolutions.

Andrew Buscaglia questioned the implied margin step-down in the Q4 guidance, contrasting it with historical trends of flat or increasing margins from Q3, and asked for specific dynamics causing this.

Answer

CFO Craig Lampo stated that the Q4 guidance, while implying a slight margin reduction, is still very strong, with revenue also slightly down. He mentioned that at current high margin levels, there will be some variability, and modest costs are being added to support significant organic growth, but the implied Q4 margins are still close to 27% and sustainable.

Andrew Buscaglia questioned why Amphenol's Q4 guidance implies a slight sequential step-down in margins, contrasting with historical trends where Q4 margins are typically flat or up from Q3, and asked about any specific dynamics causing this.

Answer

CFO Craig Lampo clarified that while Q4 guidance implies a slight sequential margin step-down, it aligns with a modest revenue decline and still represents "very good overall profitability" near 27%. He explained that at current high growth levels, some margin variability is expected, and a revenue decline might show a slightly higher conversion. He also mentioned a modest impact from adding costs to support significant growth.

Andrew Buscaglia from BNP Paribas inquired about the recent acquisition of Narda, asking for the purchase price, and questioned the company's capital deployment plans for the second half given its strong cash generation.

Answer

President & CEO R. Adam Norwitt revealed the purchase price for Narda was approximately $300 million. He stated that the M&A pipeline remains robust with opportunities of all sizes and that acquisitions continue to be a top priority for capital deployment, alongside organic investments, given the company's strong cash flow and balance sheet.

Andrew Buscaglia of Berenberg Capital Markets inquired about the potential impact of tariffs, asking which markets might see incremental costs and what financial effects are embedded in the Q2 guidance.

Answer

CEO Adam Norwitt explained that Amphenol's decentralized, entrepreneurial structure is "purpose-built" to handle such dynamics. He stated that local general managers work to mitigate impacts and pass on necessary pricing adjustments to customers. While acknowledging some pricing pressure, he noted that the strong Q2 margin guidance implies the overall impact is not expected to be tremendous.

Andrew Buscaglia asked how Amphenol is planning for potential U.S. tariffs and requested details on its manufacturing exposure to China, Mexico, and Canada.

Answer

CEO R. Norwitt stated that tariffs are not a new issue and the company successfully mitigated them in the past through its agile, decentralized structure. He emphasized that local general managers are empowered to adapt to trade policies in real-time. Rather than predicting policy, Amphenol focuses on maintaining operational flexibility across its expanded global footprint of nearly 300 facilities in over 40 countries, which positions it to react quickly and work with customers to manage any impacts.

Andrew Buscaglia asked for clarification on the IT Datacom segment's strong performance, seeking to understand the contribution split between AI-related demand and the recovering non-AI portion.

Answer

CEO R. Norwitt confirmed that the underlying non-AI IT Datacom market showed very strong growth in the quarter. He clarified that products sold into AI applications accounted for slightly more than half of both the year-over-year and sequential growth, indicating a significant recovery in the base business alongside continued AI strength.

Andrew Buscaglia of BNP Paribas Exane inquired about the margin performance in the Industrial segment, specifically addressing any mixed headwinds and the outlook for future margins. He also asked about the Expansion Markets segment, focusing on higher-margin subsegments and their potential influence on overall margins if they return to growth.

Answer

President and CEO Mark Sheahan affirmed that Industrial segment margins are strong, with potential for significant upside from volume growth beyond low single digits, despite Q4 being skewed by lumpy projects. For Expansion Markets, he confirmed all businesses are profitable, with semiconductor, high-pressure, and QED subsegments having particularly high margins, indicating strong incremental margin potential with increased volume.

Andrew Buscaglia asked about the margin outlook for the industrial business, specifically addressing the mixed headwind and how margins might play out. He also inquired about the expansion markets segment's margins, given lower top-line confidence, and whether higher-margin subsegments returning to growth could significantly influence future margins.

Answer

President and CEO Mark Sheahan stated that industrial margins are 'fantastic' with no concerns about deterioration, noting that Q4 results were skewed by lumpy powder finishing projects. He emphasized significant upside with increased volume beyond low single-digit growth, citing strong incremental margins partly due to One Graco. For expansion markets, he confirmed that all businesses within the segment are profitable, with semiconductor, high-pressure, QED, and motor initiatives having particularly nice margins. He reiterated that with existing infrastructure and teams, higher volumes would lead to strong incremental margins.

Andrew Buscaglia asked about the size and growth drivers of Graco's vehicle service business, noting its resilience. He also inquired about the sustainability of the company's strong free cash flow conversion, which has exceeded 100% for two consecutive years, compared to its historical 80-90% range.

Answer

CEO Mark Sheahan explained that vehicle service, a long-standing business, is driven by fluid management systems for large fleets and auto dealerships. CFO David Lowe added that service is a highly profitable area for dealers. Mark Sheahan stated he couldn't confirm if high free cash flow conversion is the 'new normal' but emphasized focus on cash, inventory, and accounts receivable management, with 'One Graco' driving improvements and recent factory consolidations.

Andrew Buscaglia asked about the size and growth drivers of Graco's vehicle service market, and the sustainability and drivers behind the company's strong free cash flow conversion, which is expected to exceed 100% for the second consecutive year.

Answer

CEO Mark Sheahan explained that while revenue isn't broken out, vehicle service is a strong business driven by fluid management systems that track dispensed fluids, inventory, and integrate with back-office systems for large fleets and auto dealerships. CFO David Lowe added that service is a very profitable area for dealers. Mark Sheahan attributed strong free cash flow to a focus on cash management, improved inventory and accounts receivable management under 'One Graco,' and recent production capability expansions, including factory consolidation.

Andrew Buscaglia of BNP Paribas Exane asked about the outlook for incremental margins for the remainder of the year and how Graco balances its M&A strategy with maintaining high returns on invested capital.

Answer

VP & Controller Christopher Knutson projected incremental margins in the mid-to-low thirties, dependent on business mix. CFO & Treasurer David Lowe explained their M&A strategy focuses on acquiring businesses with Graco-like characteristics at disciplined valuations, which they believe allows them to create value and sustain healthy returns.

Andrew Buscaglia of BNP Paribas Exane inquired about incremental margin expectations for the year, the outlook for the weak home center channel, and how Graco balances its M&A strategy with maintaining a high return on invested capital.

Answer

VP & Controller Christopher Knutson projected incremental margins in the mid-to-low thirties. CEO Mark Sheahan noted home center orders have stabilized recently and linked a recovery to housing turnover. CFO & Treasurer David Lowe explained that Graco protects its high returns by acquiring niche businesses with strong value propositions and by remaining disciplined on valuation.

Andrew Buscaglia of BNP Paribas Exane questioned Graco's pricing power within the Contractor segment, particularly with large customers, in light of tariffs. He also asked about the drivers for the Expansion Markets segment's recent growth.

Answer

Executive Mark Sheahan expressed confidence in Graco's pricing power but noted that its U.S. manufacturing base might create a competitive advantage by not needing to pass on tariff-related costs. For Expansion Markets, he credited the 12% growth to a rebound in the semiconductor business and strength in environmental products, acknowledging it was against an easy prior-year comparison. Executive David Lowe added that the 'One Graco' initiative is beginning to drive cross-selling synergies.

Andrew Buscaglia of BNP Paribas asked for clarification on Corob's expected sales contribution and EPS accretion for 2025. He also inquired about Graco's M&A philosophy regarding returns on invested capital and whether they target margin improvement opportunities or focus on market entry.

Answer

Executive Vice President Mark Sheahan estimated Corob would add 4-5% to 2025 revenue growth. Executive Christopher Knutson clarified that significant EPS accretion is expected in 2026 after one-time costs are absorbed. CFO David Lowe and Mark Sheahan elaborated on their disciplined M&A strategy, stating they use DCF models to target double-digit returns and seek good businesses where Graco can help expand margins or grow the top line.

Andrew Buscaglia of BNP Paribas inquired about the market acceptance of new products in the Contractor segment and whether upcoming launches were informing the guidance. He also asked for more detail on the M&A strategy of entering new end markets.

Answer

Executive Mark Sheahan responded that new products have performed well, driving incremental revenue and preventing worse results in a challenging macro environment. While more products are launching in Q4, he doesn't expect a major impact in the short term, but confirmed this activity informed the full-year guidance. On M&A, Sheahan elaborated that the strategy is to identify fluid handling opportunities in markets Graco doesn't currently serve, leveraging the company's core engineering, manufacturing, and global footprint expertise.

Andrew Buscaglia asked for more details on Teledyne's significant defense awards, specifically the Tranche 3 Tracking Layer program, inquiring about its expected size, revenue contribution in 2026 and beyond, margin profile, and multi-year nature.

Answer

George C. Bobb (President and CEO) stated that the Tranche 3 Tracking Layer program, where Teledyne supplies high-performance infrared arrays, would be north of $100 million over the next few years, with margins expected to be about average. Robert Mehrabian (Executive Chairman) added that performance would begin in 2026 and extend over a two to three-year period, with margins improving over time on these fixed-price contracts.

Andrew Buscaglia with BNP Paribas inquired about the sustainability of strong growth observed in the previous quarter, seeking clarification on how growth materialized across various segments, particularly within Digital Imaging and the machine vision market.

Answer

Executive Chairman Robert Mehrabian noted overall 6.7% growth with acquisitions, highlighting varied performance across segments, including strong marine growth and 3% organic growth for Teledyne FLIR. President and CEO George Bobb specified that industrial and scientific vision systems, including machine vision cameras and sensors for semiconductor and electronic component inspection, saw year-over-year sales increases.

Andrew Buscaglia asked about the sustainability of strong growth observed last quarter, seeking clarification on how growth varied across Teledyne's segments and specifically inquiring about the sustained pickup in industrial automation and machine vision within Digital Imaging.

Answer

Executive Chairman Robert Mehrabian noted overall 6.7% growth with acquisitions, highlighting strong marine businesses and variations in instrument segments. He mentioned some Q2 pull-ins in test and measurement and 3% organic growth for FLIR. President and CEO George Bobb added that industrial machine vision cameras and sensors saw year-over-year sales increases, particularly in semiconductor and electronic component inspection.

Andrew Buscaglia asked for details on the cautious Q3 guidance, specifically questioning which business segments were affected by the potential demand pull-forward and inquiring about order activity in long-cycle businesses like unmanned systems.

Answer

Executive Chairman Robert Mehrabian clarified that the caution primarily relates to short-cycle businesses, where an estimated $15-20 million in demand may have been pulled into Q2 ahead of potential trade policy changes. He affirmed that the overall book-to-bill ratio remains healthy at 1.1x for the seventh consecutive quarter, with particular strength in unmanned systems.

Andrew Buscaglia asked for details on the cautious Q3 guidance, inquiring which business segments were responsible for the potential demand pull-forward and about recent order activity in long-cycle businesses like unmanned systems.

Answer

Executive Chairman Robert Mehrabian clarified that the caution primarily relates to short-cycle businesses, where an estimated $15-20 million in demand may have been pulled into Q2 ahead of potential trade policy changes. He emphasized that long-cycle businesses have good visibility and that overall order activity remains healthy, with a consolidated book-to-bill ratio of 1.1 for the seventh consecutive quarter.

Andrew Buscaglia asked for details on the cautious Q3 guidance, specifically inquiring where the potential demand pull-forward is occurring across business segments and about order activity in long-cycle businesses like unmanned systems.

Answer

Executive Chairman Robert Mehrabian explained the caution is primarily for short-cycle businesses, where a potential $15-20 million demand pull-in may have occurred ahead of trade policy changes. He confirmed long-cycle businesses have better visibility and noted that the overall book-to-bill ratio was a healthy 1.1x for the seventh consecutive quarter, with strong orders in unmanned systems.

Andrew Buscaglia of BNP Paribas inquired about potential risks from government spending cuts and the recent performance of short-cycle businesses, particularly test and measurement and machine vision.

Answer

Executive Chairman Robert Mehrabian stated that he does not foresee a significant negative impact from government spending shifts, as any cuts to lower-margin NASA programs would likely be offset by growth in higher-margin defense space programs. He acknowledged some weakness in sensor sales but highlighted that the overall company book-to-bill was a strong 1.05x, indicating resilient demand.

Andrew Buscaglia sought to confirm if the 3.2% organic growth forecast for 2025 includes an FX headwind and asked about the assumed cadence of the short-cycle business recovery. He also inquired whether the Excelitas acquisition is expected to be accretive to non-GAAP earnings in 2025.

Answer

Executive Chairman Robert Mehrabian confirmed the organic growth forecast incorporates a significant 1.3% headwind from foreign exchange. He noted that short-cycle businesses are expected to grow modestly. Regarding the Excelitas deal, Mehrabian projected it could add $0.15 to $0.20 of accretion on a full-year basis, prior to any significant margin expansion initiatives.

Andrew Buscaglia questioned the sustainability of the Marine segment's strong growth into next year and asked for more details on the M&A pipeline after the company mentioned a potential shift from buybacks.

Answer

Executive Chairman Robert Mehrabian explained the Marine segment's resilience comes from its diverse mix of offshore energy, defense, and science customers, and he expects it to remain strong. On capital allocation, he confirmed the M&A funnel has 'opened up' recently with opportunities outside of digital imaging. He stated Teledyne has the capacity for deals ranging from $50 million to over $0.5 billion and is more likely to focus on acquisitions now.

Andrew Buscaglia from BNP questioned the low end of Nordson's full-year guidance, given management's assertion that tougher markets have troughed, asking about the hesitation and potential risks. He also sought clarification on the IPS segment's sensitivity to the industrial economy and its outlook, considering the masking effect of ARAG weakness.

Answer

Daniel Hopgood, Executive Vice President and CFO, explained that the low end of guidance accounts for a range of potential outcomes and prudent planning for downside scenarios, despite not seeing current indicators of weakness. Sundaram Nagarajan, President and CEO, detailed that IPS's 2025 performance was significantly impacted by polymer processing and automotive, but expects a return to GDP-plus growth in 2026 due to stable demand in packaging, product assembly, precision agriculture, and aftermarket parts, with troughed polymer processing and automotive.

Andrew Buscaglia questioned the conservatism of the low end of the full-year guidance, especially if tougher markets have troughed, and asked about potential risks. He also sought insight into the IPS segment's sensitivity to the industrial economy and its outlook.

Answer

CFO Daniel Hopgood explained that the guidance range accounts for potential outcomes, including a downside scenario, despite no current indicators of weakness, emphasizing prudence. CEO Sundaram Nagarajan detailed that IPS's 2025 performance was impacted by polymer processing and automotive, but 2026 expects sustained investments in packaging and product assembly, strong precision agriculture demand in Europe/South America, stable aftermarket parts revenue, and a troughing of polymer processing and automotive, leading to an expectation of GDP-plus growth.

Andrew Buscaglia from BNP Paribas questioned the historical volatility of the Advanced Technology Solutions (ATS) segment, asking if more consistent growth could be expected and seeking specifics on where order improvements were originating. He also asked about the Medical and Fluid Solutions (MFS) segment, inquiring about the visibility into the end of destocking trends in interventional medicine and the likely pace of the subsequent recovery.

Answer

President and CEO Sundaram Nagarajan acknowledged that the ATS segment is inherently lumpy but stated that the business is now in a growth part of the cycle, evidenced by strong order entry. Executive VP & CFO Daniel Hopgood added that current ATS growth is primarily from Asian customers, with U.S. investments representing future upside. Regarding MFS, Mr. Nagarajan confirmed that destocking is diminishing and projected a gradual, steady recovery to normal demand rather than a sharp rebound, while also highlighting strong performance from the Atrion acquisition.

Andrew Buscaglia inquired about the organic growth of the ATS segment excluding the realigned Measurement & Control Solutions division, the rationale for the realignment, and how the company plans to achieve its EPS guidance midpoint if revenue trends toward the low end of the range.

Answer

CEO Sundaram Nagarajan stated the realignment was due to product and technology similarities with ATS's test and measurement focus. CFO Daniel Hopgood added that the division was not a major driver of the segment's organic growth. Hopgood also expressed confidence in meeting earnings commitments through operational management, citing Q1's results as proof. Nagarajan highlighted positive order entry, strong operational performance, and innovation as key supports for the full-year outlook.

Andrew Buscaglia questioned how Nordson expects to achieve EPS growth with flat organic sales, given the margin dilution from the Atrion acquisition. He also asked about the margin trajectory for the MFS segment and the timing of cost savings.

Answer

CFO Daniel Hopgood explained that EPS growth is driven by benefits from prior restructuring, reduced interest expense from debt paydown, and a lower effective tax rate. He noted Atrion is on a good path with upper 20% EBITDA margins, with improvements expected to play out over 2025 and 2026. CEO Sundaram Nagarajan added that the Atrion integration is off to a good start with early cost adjustments already made.

Andrew Buscaglia asked for the quantification of the LNG portion within the backlog and project funnel, and how the weakening outlook for Europe and China might impact 2026 LNG projects. He also inquired about the balance between share repurchases and M&A in 2026, considering robust cash flow and stock valuation.

Answer

Michael Baughman (EVP and CFO) stated that LNG represents about $2 billion of the $11.1 billion project funnel and $350 million of the $7.4 billion backlog. He noted that while core business in China and Europe is muted, pockets of opportunity exist, and the plan prudently assumes flat growth for these regions, with LNG activity in Europe being EPC-driven. Michael Baughman reiterated the $1 billion share repurchase plan for 2026, with M&A being opportunistic and nothing currently in sight.

Andrew Buscaglia asked for the portion of the backlog attributed to LNG and whether the weakening trends in Europe and China impact the 2026 outlook for LNG projects. He also inquired about the balance between share repurchases and M&A in the capital allocation strategy, given robust cash flow.

Answer

CFO Michael Baughman stated that LNG represents about $2 billion of the $11.1 billion project funnel and $350 million of the $7.4 billion backlog. He noted that while core businesses in China and Europe are muted, pockets of opportunity exist (e.g., power, export in China; LNG, life sciences in Europe), with a conservative plan for flat growth in both regions. For capital allocation, he outlined $1 billion for share repurchases in 2026, with M&A being opportunistic and nothing currently in sight.

Andrew Buscaglia asked about the high-level margin outlook for 2026, considering the Q3 to Q4 margin noise, and how volume dependence on margins might play out in a low or no volume environment. He also sought an update on incremental stranded costs and their expected fallout in 2026.

Answer

Mark Okerstrom, Fortive's CFO, directed attention to the investor day financial framework for 2026-2027, which projects 3-4% revenue growth, 50-100 basis points of adjusted EBITDA margin expansion, and high single-digit plus adjusted EPS growth. He noted that the company is currently balancing margin expansion with accelerating growth during annual planning. Regarding stranded costs, Mr. Okerstrom stated that Fortive is nearing completion, with approximately half of the remaining $25 million (from an initial $50 million) expected to be eliminated over the next 6-12 months, including some stock compensation-related costs.

Andrew Buscaglia asked for a high-level outlook on Fortive's 2026 margins, how they depend on volume, if savings can drive expansion in a low-volume environment, and an update on incremental stranded costs.

Answer

CFO Mark Okerstrom directed attention to the Investor Day financial framework for 2026-2027, which targets 3-4% revenue growth, 50-100 basis points of adjusted EBITDA margin expansion, and high single-digit plus adjusted EPS growth. He noted that the company is balancing margin expansion with accelerating growth during annual planning. Regarding stranded costs, he indicated that Fortive is 'almost there,' with about half of the remaining $25 million expected to be taken out over the next 6-12 months, including some stock compensation-related costs within the segments.

Andrew Buscaglia inquired about current trends in Fortive's software businesses, including their performance and any impact from tariffs. He also asked about the rationale for the significant Q1 share buyback and the capital allocation plan leading up to the spin-off.

Answer

President and CEO James Lico confirmed that the software businesses are performing well, with strong results from ServiceChannel and Provation, and are not materially impacted by tariffs. Regarding capital allocation, Lico stated the company bought back 2.5 million shares and will continue to use free cash flow for buybacks at attractive prices, with more detailed strategies to be shared at the upcoming Investor Day.

Andrew Buscaglia of BNP Paribas inquired about the strong North American PQI trends in the quarter, specifically asking if any of this strength was due to pull-forward demand and Veralto's outlook on sequential trends in PQI, considering CPG market impacts. Buscaglia also questioned the sustainability of water quality margins, which exceeded expectations, and whether increased investments are needed or if current margin rates are a sustainable run rate for both segments in terms of margins into 2026.

Answer

Jennifer Honeycutt, President and CEO, stated that Veralto saw no meaningful pull-forward, attributing PQI's North American strength to exceptional commercial execution, successful product launches (CIJ, laser, secondary packaging), and increased share of wallet. Sameer Ralhan, SVP and CFO, praised water quality's disciplined execution for strong margins. He indicated that PQI's incremental margins should return to the 30%-35% range, translating to 25-50 bps of operating margin expansion, with some one-off tariff-related costs expected to offset next year.

Andrew Buscaglia asked about the strong North America PQI trends, specifically if there was any pull-forward of demand, and the sequential trends and impact from CPG markets. He also questioned the sustainability of Water Quality margins, which exceeded expectations, and whether increased investments would be needed in either segment for 2026.

Answer

Jennifer Honeycutt (President and CEO) stated no meaningful pull-forward, attributing strong North America PQI performance to exceptional commercial execution and successful new product launches by Videojet, driven by increased traceability needs. Sameer Ralhan (SVP and CFO) praised Water Quality's disciplined execution for strong margins. He indicated that PQI's incremental margins should drive 30-35% fall-through in the future, with some one-off tariff impacts offsetting next year, and will provide 2026 guidance in February.

Andrew Buscaglia inquired about the sales channel for the data center opportunity, why the trend is emerging now, and asked for a quantification of its impact on growth.

Answer

President and CEO Jennifer Honeycutt explained that Veralto sells directly into data centers via its Chemtreat business and that the opportunity is gaining focus as it grows rapidly. SVP and CFO Sameer Ralhan noted that the contribution is not disclosed as it's still a small part of the total business.

Andrew Buscaglia asked if tariffs were impacting M&A discussions and sought to clarify if Varalto is a net exporter from China to the U.S.

Answer

President and CEO Jennifer Honeycutt stated that tariffs are not impacting their M&A approach, their funnels remain full, and they remain biased toward capital deployment for M&A. While not directly answering the net exporter question, management implied the 3.5% tariff exposure reflects a balance of both imports and exports tied to China.

Andrew Buscaglia asked a high-level question about the potential impact of a new U.S. administration on the Water Quality and PQI segments and whether the guidance accounts for potential tariff disruptions.

Answer

President and CEO Jennifer Honeycutt stated that Veralto's business is resilient as 85% of sales are tied to essential needs like clean water and safe food, which transcend politics. SVP and CFO Sameer Ralhan added that while the guidance does not assume a sustained tariff impact, the company is well-positioned due to its fortified global supply chain and manufacturing footprint.

Andrew Buscaglia questioned the Water Quality segment's margins, asking about the differential between analytics and treatment, and also asked how the current 'U-shaped' CPG recovery cycle compares to past cycles.

Answer

SVP and CFO Sameer Ralhan explained that a mix shift towards slightly lower-margin treatment solutions and the timing of growth investments impacted Water Quality margins, but advised not to 'read too much into it.' President and CEO Jennifer Honeycutt characterized the current CPG recovery as a more gradual 'U-shaped' improvement, unlike faster 'V-shaped' recoveries in the past, but noted that leading indicators remain encouraging.

Andrew Boscaglia (BNP Paribas) asked how Xylem's Measurement & Control Solutions (MCS) segment's margins compare to larger peers after the international metering divestiture and what further actions could drive long-term improvement. He also requested a breakdown of organic sales drivers, distinguishing between market demand pickup and internal efforts, and identifying end markets that performed better or worse than expected.

Answer

CFO Bill Grogan explained that Xylem's core water business within smart metering achieves profitability at or above its peer set, with the divestiture of international metrology and the lower-margin energy business being key factors. He anticipates significantly higher profitability for the core water business. Regarding demand, Mr. Grogan highlighted resilient demand in MCS (driven by energy meter refresh), strong OpEx/CapEx in Water Infrastructure (especially transport and treatment), and continued growth in Applied Water (strong in Western markets/commercial buildings). The primary headwind was China, experiencing double-digit declines in sales and orders for Applied Water and Water Infrastructure, contributing a 2% headwind to Xylem's overall revenue. Water Solutions & Services saw double-digit growth from outsourced projects and dewatering.

Andrew Buscaglia of BNP Paribas asked about order trends in the Water Solutions and Services (WSS) segment, focusing on the mix between services and capital equipment. He also inquired about the growing importance of data centers as a demand driver.

Answer

CFO William Grogan described the WSS segment as being positioned for strong growth, driven by post-merger synergies, outsourced water projects, and a successful turnaround in the utility services business. He noted the capital business is a 'shining point' and that project lumpiness is normal. CEO Matthew Pine stated that while data centers are not yet a meaningful driver, there is a noticeable uptick in demand for water treatment solutions where municipal water is scarce. He anticipates it will become a more significant issue and opportunity over the next 3-5 years.

Andrew Buscaglia of BNP Paribas asked about the performance trends in the Water Solutions and Services (WSS) segment and the potential influence of the new presidential administration and EPA leadership on the water treatment business.

Answer

An executive explained that WSS had a strong Q4 as customer projects accelerated, though the growing outsourced water solutions business can introduce some quarterly lumpiness. CEO Matthew Pine addressed the political climate, expressing confidence in the strong bipartisan consensus on water infrastructure. He noted that the incoming EPA head has publicly supported PFAS cleanup, suggesting a continued positive regulatory environment for water treatment.

Andrew Buscaglia inquired about Zebra Technologies' Q3 demand trends, the implied deceleration in Q4 guidance, and specific commentary on demand by end market. He also asked for details on the modest growth of the Enterprise Visibility and Mobility (EVM) segment and its expected performance exiting the year.

Answer

CEO Bill Burns highlighted strong Q3 execution driven by solid demand, with the second half playing out as expected due to some early customer orders for peak season. He noted solid growth in North America, Asia Pacific, and Latin America, led by retail and e-commerce, while EMEA remained weak. Mobile computing, printing, and RFID showed relative strength. For EVM, Bill Burns explained strong mobile computing growth was offset by a difficult compare in the scanning portfolio, impacting overall EVM performance.

Andrew Buscaglia asked about the demand trends observed in Q3, the implied organic growth deceleration in Q4 guidance despite tough comparisons, and requested additional commentary on demand by end market. He also inquired about the modest growth in the Enterprise Visibility & Mobility (EVM) segment, what specifically is being observed there, and if it is still expected to grow by year-end.

Answer

CEO Bill Burns explained that Q3 execution was strong with solid demand, driven by some customers ordering earlier for peak season. He noted solid growth in North America, Asia Pacific, and Latin America, with retail and e-commerce as a bright spot, while EMEA remained weak. Product-wise, mobile computing, printing, and RFID showed relative strength. Regarding EVM, Mr. Burns highlighted strong mobile computing growth from large deals but a decline in data capture due to a difficult prior-year comparison, impacting overall EVM performance.

Andrew Buscaglia asked for an update on the company's view of U.S. import tariffs, including concerns about exemptions and potential escalations, and what mitigation efforts are being monitored. He also inquired about the competitive landscape and the potential for market share gains.

Answer

CFO Nathan Winters described the tariff situation as dynamic and confirmed the company has a dedicated team and a playbook of mitigation options, including pricing and supply chain diversification. CEO Bill Burns stated that Zebra feels good about its competitive position due to its broad portfolio, strong customer relationships, and innovation, and will continue to 'play our game' regardless of competitor actions.

Andrew Buscaglia questioned the impact of price increases on volume assumptions within the full-year guidance and asked for color on the strong growth in transportation and logistics (T&L) given negative reports from some large carriers.

Answer

CFO Nathan Winters noted that while pricing provides a tailwind, they are holding the sales guide by taking a more cautious view on the second half. CEO William Burns explained that T&L strength is supported by their global footprint and diverse customer base, including postal services, and that market share shifts between carriers can still result in net business for Zebra.

Andrew Buscaglia asked for commentary on the pickup in demand, particularly regarding large North American retail projects, and inquired about the outlook for this market into next year. He also questioned the current trends with distributors and their decisions to restock inventory.

Answer

CEO William Burns confirmed a broadening recovery across all vertical markets in Q3, with retail and e-commerce outperforming. He expects this to continue into Q4, supported by easier comps and a return to normalized year-end spending. CFO Nathan Winters added that distributor inventory levels are well-positioned to meet the anticipated increase in demand.

Andrew Buscaglia followed up on the data center comment, asking about the competitiveness of the pump valve market in that application, how Pentair captures volume at appropriate margins, and the overall margin profile. He also inquired about capital allocation into year-end and next year, specifically regarding increased M&A activity and the balance of capital deployment.

Answer

CFO Bob Fishman clarified that Pentair focuses on the building infrastructure (water supply, fire protection, disposal) for all commercial structures, including data centers, winning through local municipality specifications and engineer partnerships. CEO John Stauch stated that Bob Fishman will continue to manage cash through February, emphasizing a balanced capital allocation approach (M&A, share repurchases, dividends) and a strong ROIC. He noted an encouraging M&A pipeline but stressed disciplined evaluation.

Andrew Buscaglia inquired about the competitive landscape in the data center pump valve market, specifically how Pentair manages to capture volume at the right margin. He also asked about the company's capital allocation strategy into year-end and next year, given active M&A and share repurchases, and if increased M&A activity is expected due to optimism around interest rates.

Answer

CEO John Stauch clarified that Pentair's approach to data centers is similar to other commercial buildings, focusing on water supply, fire protection, and water disposal, winning through local municipality specifications and engineer relationships. He also stated that CFO Bob Fishman would maintain tight control over capital allocation through February, expressing satisfaction with the balanced approach of M&A, share repurchases, and dividends. John Stauch highlighted the company's high-teens ROIC as a testament to effective capital deployment and noted an encouraging M&A pipeline, though emphasizing continued discipline.

Andrew Buscaglia from BNP Paribas inquired about the preferred use of Pentair's strong cash flow, weighing share repurchases against M&A, especially amid tariff uncertainty. He also asked about the dynamic with distributors and their capacity to absorb further price increases.

Answer

President and CEO John L. Stauch stated that strong cash generation provides flexibility for a balanced approach of buybacks, dividends, and bolt-on M&A, noting that the deal pipeline is becoming more active. He explained that Pentair manages distributor relationships through its 80/20 strategy, focusing on top partners and using aligned dealer incentives to ensure high-value products are pulled through the channel.

Andrew Buscaglia questioned the ability to expand Pool margins with potentially negative volumes and asked about the level of distributor pushback on price increases and the resulting price realization.

Answer

CFO Bob Fishman affirmed the goal of ~100 bps ROS improvement in Pool, driven by transformation initiatives beyond just price/volume. CEO John Stauch added that growth investments can be pulled back if needed. Regarding pricing, he stated that while no one welcomes increases, distributors are generally accepting them because the tariff-driven cost pressures are an industry-wide phenomenon, ensuring fair implementation.

Andrew Buscaglia inquired about the company's capital allocation preference between share repurchases and M&A, and the outlook for aftermarket business expansion.

Answer

CFO Vikram Kini reiterated that M&A, particularly bolt-on acquisitions, remains the top priority for capital, with share repurchases continuing opportunistically as planned. CEO Vicente Reynal added that the strategic goal is for the aftermarket business to consistently outgrow equipment sales, thereby increasing its share of total revenue.

Andrew Buscaglia of BNP Paribas requested an update on the ILC Dover acquisition, specifically its exposure to tariffs and current demand trends in its end markets.

Answer

CEO Vicente Reynal reported continued encouragement with ILC Dover's momentum, highlighting a book-to-bill of 1.11x for its life science business and low-double-digit booking growth in its core single-use powder handling portfolio. He noted that operational improvements are on track and the tariff impact on ILC Dover is minimal and can be passed on to customers.

Andrew Buscaglia asked if market uncertainty would favor smaller, bolt-on M&A deals in 2025 and inquired about the M&A pipeline for the ILC Dover life sciences platform and adjacent medical markets.

Answer

CEO Vicente Reynal confirmed the M&A focus is on bolt-on deals, leveraging market uncertainty to encourage transactions with family-owned companies. He also revealed that two of the seven current LOIs are for bolt-ons in the life sciences space, and that the company has a growing funnel of targets in adjacent medical device components, building on ILC's existing capabilities.

Andrew Buscaglia asked for more detail on the company's activity in the water treatment market and inquired about potential tailwinds for free cash flow in 2025 beyond margin expansion.

Answer

Chairman and CEO Vicente Reynal detailed their broad involvement in water treatment across both segments, citing multiple technologies and highlighting it as a key growth market. CFO Vik Kini addressed cash flow, noting that beyond business growth, working capital remains a huge focus, particularly inventory and opportunities from integrating M&A targets.

Andrew Buscaglia of BNP Paribas questioned whether the strength in logistics, consumer electronics, and packaging could be attributed to demand pull-forward ahead of tariffs. He also asked for the rationale behind excluding the one-time benefit from the strategic channel partnership from the primary Q3 guidance.

Answer

CEO Matt Moschner acknowledged that while tariffs create cost pressures, they also drive long-term demand for automation. CFO Dennis Fehr noted a possible minor pull-forward in Q2 but has not seen a change in the Q3 funnel. Fehr explained the one-time benefit was excluded from guidance to provide a clear view of the underlying run-rate business, as accounting rules require recognizing a multi-year license agreement upfront.

Andrew Buscaglia of BNP Paribas Asset Management inquired about the lack of customer purchasing delays despite macro uncertainty, specifically asking about the automotive sector, and questioned if gross margins have bottomed given mix and tariff headwinds.

Answer

CEO Robert Willett described a fluid but stable situation, noting no material order changes. He detailed a mixed regional picture: US logistics remains steady, auto is cautious, and China is in a 'wait-and-see' mode. CFO Dennis Fehr identified unfavorable product mix (due to strong logistics growth) and FX as the primary Q1 gross margin headwinds. He stated that while the mix headwind will persist, the company's focus is on driving overall profitability, as shown by the strong adjusted EBITDA margin.

Andrew Buscaglia requested an update on the emerging customer initiative, including any context on incremental revenue for 2025, and asked about the primary levers that could drive gross margins back above 70%.

Answer

CEO Robert Willett reported that the new sales cohort acquired over 3,000 customers in 2024, with bookings around $1 million per week and business yielding over 75% gross margin. CFO Dennis Fehr clarified that they cannot isolate an incremental revenue number as the new team is integrated with the broader sales force. For gross margin improvement, Willett and Fehr pointed to volume leverage, new high-margin products, and the long-term accretive impact of the sales initiative, while noting near-term mix headwinds from strong logistics growth.

Andrew Buscaglia sought more clarity on the Q4 gross margin guidance, asking if the core business excluding Moritex would be above 70%. He also questioned if a contribution from the emerging customer initiative was assumed in Q4 guidance and if a new target for 2025 would be provided.

Answer

CFO Dennis Fehr detailed the puts and takes for Q4 gross margin, citing a 1-point benefit from one less month of Moritex, offset by headwinds from product mix (more Logistics, less Consumer Electronics) and pricing pressure. He confirmed that increased bookings from the emerging customer initiative are factored into Q4 guidance but stated it was too early to provide a specific target for 2025.

Representing Andrew Buscaglia of BNP Paribas, an analyst asked why Zurn Elkay isn't seeing weakness in healthcare and education spending, and requested an update on water-related funding and regulations.

Answer

CFO Dave Pauli and CEO Todd Adams explained that these end markets remain strong, as spending cuts often target programs, not building upgrades, and project lag times smooth out demand. Pauli also highlighted ongoing state-level 'filter first' legislation in Michigan, New Jersey, and others, which is driving demand for filtered bottle fillers in schools.

Andrew Buscaglia asked if continuous price hikes are 'borrowing from the future' and unsustainable long-term. He also inquired how the company managed customer pull-forward orders, given the strong Q1 organic growth with little price impact.

Answer

Todd Adams, Chairman and CEO, acknowledged long-term uncertainty but expressed confidence in navigating the near-term, noting all major competitors face similar pressures. He explained that they are actively managing the order backlog on a daily, SKU-by-SKU basis to minimize purely price-driven buy-aheads and ensure high service levels for ongoing customer needs.

Andrew Buscaglia asked about the drivers behind the exceptional gross margins, their sustainability, long-term targets, and whether there is a margin differential across the 18-month construction project timeline.

Answer

CEO Todd Adams attributed the strong and sustainable gross margins to the Zurn Elkay business system and a favorable product mix from the fast-growing drinking water category. He stated that a 50% gross margin is a realistic long-term target. Both Adams and CFO David Pauli clarified there is no significant margin differential across the construction cycle, as projects are in various stages at any given time.