Brook Campbell-Crawford

Brook Campbell-Crawford asked if Amcor's Fiscal Year 2026 EPS guidance range accounts for a scenario where volumes continue to decline at the 2.5% year-over-year trend observed in the first quarter.

Answer

Peter Konieczny, CEO of Amcor, suggested there's an opportunity for positive volumes in the second half of FY26 due to softer comps and growth initiatives, but acknowledged macroeconomic uncertainty. He confirmed that the guidance range includes various volume outcomes and that Amcor will continue to manage costs, adjust capacities, and focus on synergy delivery, even if the macro environment doesn't improve.

Brook Campbell-Crawford asked if the company's fiscal year 2026 EPS guidance range accounts for a scenario where volumes continue to decline at the 2.5% year-over-year trend observed in the first quarter.

Answer

CEO Peter Konieczny (PK) indicated that while the underlying market environment is uncertain, there's an opportunity for positive volumes in the second half of fiscal year 2026 due to softer comparisons and traction from growth initiatives. He affirmed that the guidance range covers various volume outcomes, and the company will continue to manage costs and adjust capacities, ensuring the guidance is achievable even without macroeconomic improvement.

Brook Campbell-Crawford asked about the accretion from the Berry acquisition before synergies in fiscal 2026 and sought comment on the legacy Berry business's EBIT performance in May and June.

Answer

CFO Michael Casamento noted the Berry deal added about half a cent to one cent of EPS in the quarter and that the significant EPS growth guided for FY26 is driven by synergy delivery. He stated that Berry's overall performance was similar to Amcor's, with volumes down slightly and its net income off by about 4-5% year-over-year.

Brook Campbell-Crawford highlighted the significant volume decline in the North American beverage business and asked if management sees any structural issues developing.

Answer

CEO Peter Konieczny asserted that the high-single-digit decline aligns with the broader market and is not a share loss issue. While acknowledging the extended downturn, he stated the company is not ready to call it a structural problem. CFO Michael Casamento added that EBIT was also impacted by a prior-year JV divestiture and higher-than-needed labor costs.

Brook Campbell-Crawford asked for the new medium-term target for organic growth, given the new focus on acceleration and the context of volumes still being below pre-COVID levels.

Answer

CEO Peter Konieczny declined to set a specific new numerical target but stated he believes Amcor can perform "definitely better" than its pre-COVID growth expectations. He acknowledged that overall volumes have not fully recovered to pre-COVID levels but noted the situation is complex, with some product lines at full capacity. The primary goal is to drive consistently higher growth through new strategic initiatives.

Brook Campbell-Crawford from Barrenjoey pointed out that the annual report noted North American share gains were below target in FY'25 and asked for reasons for the shortfall and the strategy to improve performance.

Answer

CEO Aaron Erter clarified that the core single-family exteriors business grew in a down market, but overall share gains were impacted by a dramatic downturn in the multifamily segment and a high-single-digit decline in the interiors business. CFO Rachel Wilson added that they expect an acceleration from new construction wins, ColorPlus momentum, and new product contributions.

Brook Campbell-Crawford from Barrenjoey asked about the expected volume seasonality between Q3 and Q4 and inquired if the Philippines exit signals a broader portfolio review for other non-core assets.

Answer

CEO Aaron Erter stated that traditional seasonality has been disrupted by market uncertainty and declined to speculate on specific quarterly hypotheticals. He confirmed the Philippines exit resulted from a comprehensive review of all geographies, with the decision made to reallocate resources to areas with a greater 'right to win' and potential for long-term value creation.