Bruno Montanari's questions to Ecopetrol SA (EC) leadership • Q2 2025
Question
Bruno Montanari of Morgan Stanley asked about the company's contingency plan if oil prices fall to the $50/barrel breakeven level, specifically regarding CapEx adjustments and dividend policy. He also questioned if the external factors pressuring downstream EBITDA in H1 would be fully resolved in H2 2025.
Answer
CFO Camilo Barco stated that if prices fall below breakeven, the company would flexibilize investments while prioritizing production and reserves, and intensify efficiency efforts. The dividend policy of a 40-60% payout is expected to remain, but could be reviewed in extreme scenarios. Regarding downstream, an executive confirmed that major refinery overhauls were completed in H1, and no further significant interventions are planned for H2, suggesting operational pressures should ease, though external risks like light crude supply remain.