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Chen Luo

Managing Director and Research Analyst at Bank of America Corp. /de/

Chen Luo is a Managing Director and Research Analyst at Merrill Lynch (Singapore) Pte Ltd., part of Bank of America, specializing in China consumer equities. He has covered leading Chinese consumer companies and, together with his team, achieved a consistent No.1 ranking in the Consumer categories of the Institutional Investor All-Asia Survey from 2012 to 2016, as well as the top spot in the Consumer Discretionary category for the All-China Survey from 2014 to 2016. Chen began his career as a management consultant before moving into equity research, previously working at Merrill Lynch Far East Ltd. and then joining his current role at Bank of America. He is a CFA charterholder and holds both a Bachelor's in English and a Master's in Corporate Management from Nanjing University.

Chen Luo's questions to Yum China Holdings (YUMC) leadership

Question · Q3 2025

Chen Luo from Bank of America asked about the sustainability of the observed 40% ratio between system sales growth and store count expansion, given the shift to smaller formats and franchise stores. He also inquired about the progress and economics of improving franchise store profitability.

Answer

CFO Adrian Ding explained that the 40% ratio is not necessarily sustainable due to strategic store portfolio optimization (closure of large stores, opening of smaller ones), new store sales ramp-up, and timing of openings/closures. He indicated more details on the growth algorithm would be shared at the investor day. Regarding franchise economics, he noted progress in improving profitability, with current operating margins slightly lower than equity business but expected to align in the mid to long run, leading to ROIC improvement without short-term margin dilution.

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Question · Q3 2025

Chen Luo asked about Yum China's expansion strategy, specifically the relationship between 10% store expansion and 4% sales growth, and the progress made in improving the economics of franchise stores.

Answer

CFO Adrian Ding clarified that the 40% ratio of system sales growth to store count growth is not fixed due to strategic store portfolio optimization, new store sales ramp-up, and timing of openings. He noted progress in franchise economics, with operating margins for franchise business being similar to equity business, and slight revisions in pricing mechanisms. He expects no margin dilution in the short run and ROIC improvement in the mid-to-long run.

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Question · Q2 2025

Chen Luo of Bank of America sought clarification on the delivery platform subsidy war, asking if Yum China bears a significant portion of the subsidies and if this impacted Q2 margins.

Answer

CFO Adrian Ding described the subsidy sharing as dynamic, stating that as a large partner, Yum China enjoys more favorable terms than smaller merchants. While declining to provide specific splits, he confirmed that the company's margin guidance for the second half of the year already incorporates the expected impact of these delivery dynamics.

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Question · Q2 2025

Chen Luo from Bank of America sought clarification on the online delivery platform subsidy war, asking if Yum China bears a significant portion of these subsidies and whether they had a major impact on Q2 margins.

Answer

CFO Adrian Ding explained that the subsidy arrangements are dynamic, but as a large merchant, Yum China generally receives more favorable terms and subsidy splits. He confirmed that the company's second-half margin guidance—stable for KFC and slightly increasing for Pizza Hut—already incorporates the current delivery dynamics and platform subsidies.

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Question · Q1 2025

Chen Luo questioned the new store contribution to growth, noting that an 11% increase in store count only yielded 4% revenue growth, and asked if this lower contribution ratio is the new norm due to smaller store formats.

Answer

CFO Adrian Ding clarified that the 4% contribution was influenced by several factors: the timing of openings within the quarter, a higher mix of smaller stores (70-80% of new openings) with lower initial sales, a multi-year ramp-up period for new stores, and a strategic increase in store closures in Q1. He stated this would normalize as the year progresses and reaffirmed the full-year mid-single-digit system sales growth target.

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Question · Q4 2024

Chen Luo from Bank of America inquired about the implications of the new store expansion strategy—which involves smaller stores, a focus on lower-tier cities, and more franchise locations—on the near-term revenue contribution from new store openings.

Answer

CEO Joey Wat explained the aggressive store opening strategy is driven by significant opportunities and better trading in lower-tier cities, with a strict focus on maintaining payback periods of 2 years for KFC and 2-3 years for Pizza Hut. She clarified that while franchise stores are growing and incremental, company-owned stores still constitute 85% of the portfolio. Acting CFO Adrian Ding added that new stores generate 50-60% of a mature store's revenue in their first year. He concluded that these factors, combined with same-store sales, support the expectation for mid-single-digit system sales growth in 2025.

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