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    Daniel Cardenas

    Director and Equity Research Analyst at Janney Montgomery Scott LLC

    Dan Cardenas is a Director and Equity Research Analyst at Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, specializing in coverage of banks and thrifts, with a particular focus on institutions in the Midwest and Southeast. He covers companies such as Blue Ridge Bankshares (BHRB), for which he has issued high-profile price targets, and has consistently provided value-driven equity research recognized within the sector. Cardenas began his career as a Federal Reserve Bank examiner, then spent nearly two decades at Howe Barnes Hoefer & Arnett, followed by senior analyst roles at Raymond James and Boenning & Scattergood before joining Janney in July 2022. He holds both BBA and MBA degrees from St. Mary's University and maintains FINRA Series 7, 24, 63, 86, and 87 licenses.

    Daniel Cardenas's questions to PEOPLES BANCORP (PEBO) leadership

    Daniel Cardenas's questions to PEOPLES BANCORP (PEBO) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Daniel Cardenas of Janney Montgomery Scott inquired about the company's capital management strategy, specifically its appetite for stock repurchases. He also asked for an update on the M&A environment and where Peoples Bancorp sees potential opportunities for franchise expansion.

    Answer

    CFO Kathryn Bailey described the company's share repurchase approach as 'opportunistic,' noting some activity in April but emphasizing that they are not overly aggressive. President & CEO Tyler Wilcox stated that building capital is a priority to be poised for a transformative M&A deal that would take the bank over the $10 billion asset threshold. He confirmed active conversations are occurring, with a preference for larger deals in or adjacent to their existing footprint.

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    Daniel Cardenas's questions to PEOPLES BANCORP (PEBO) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Daniel Cardenas asked for the forward-looking tax rate, a breakdown of the improvements in criticized and classified loans, and the company's geographic priorities for potential acquisitions.

    Answer

    Kathryn Bailey, CFO, guided the tax rate to be closer to 22% to 22.5%. Tyler Wilcox, President, detailed the credit quality improvement, attributing it to approximately $28 million in upgrades (often after receiving updated client financials) and $22 million in paydowns. For M&A, Mr. Wilcox prioritized in-market opportunities in Ohio, Kentucky, and West Virginia, with a strong interest in expanding into contiguous markets like Virginia, Southwest Pennsylvania, and Southern Indiana, while also evaluating national specialty finance businesses.

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    Daniel Cardenas's questions to PEOPLES BANCORP (PEBO) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Daniel Cardenas asked how much of the Q4 charge-offs were covered by specific reserves, the outlook for rebuilding the reserve level, and whether recent market M&A has spurred talent acquisition opportunities.

    Answer

    CFO Kathryn Bailey confirmed about $3 million in Q4 charge-offs, all from the leasing portfolio, were covered by existing specific reserves. Both she and Executive Tyler Wilcox expressed confidence in the current reserve level and do not foresee a significant build, absent a negative economic shift. Tyler Wilcox affirmed they are actively hiring talent, having recently added nine commercial bankers in core markets to capitalize on market disruption.

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    Daniel Cardenas's questions to PEOPLES BANCORP (PEBO) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Daniel Cardenas asked about the potential for stock repurchase activity given the improving TCE ratio. He also inquired about the specific rates and terms offered on the special deposit products during the third quarter.

    Answer

    CFO Kathryn Bailey reiterated the bank's capital priorities, placing organic growth and the dividend ahead of M&A and buybacks, but stated they will continue to evaluate repurchases opportunistically. She specified that the Q3 special deposit product was a 5-month CD with a rate close to, and at times slightly above, 5%, which has since been lowered to around 4.5%.

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    Daniel Cardenas's questions to ORRSTOWN FINANCIAL SERVICES (ORRF) leadership

    Daniel Cardenas's questions to ORRSTOWN FINANCIAL SERVICES (ORRF) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Asked about the quarterly cash flow from the securities portfolio and its intended use, and inquired about the current M&A environment, including the level of discussions and potential geographic expansion.

    Answer

    The securities portfolio generates about $15 million a month in runoff. The strategy is to opportunistically reinvest these proceeds and other cash into the securities portfolio to generate margin, in addition to funding loan growth. On M&A, the company is frequently presented with opportunities but remains disciplined, focusing on shareholder value and cultural fit, with nothing imminent.

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    Daniel Cardenas's questions to ORRSTOWN FINANCIAL SERVICES (ORRF) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Daniel Cardenas asked about the quarterly cash flow from the securities portfolio, how those proceeds would be deployed, and for an update on the M&A environment, including potential geographic expansion.

    Answer

    EVP & CFO Neelesh Kalani stated the securities portfolio generates about $15 million in monthly runoff and that the bank is now more open to growing the portfolio to enhance margin, especially given market volatility. CEO Thomas Quinn addressed M&A by stating that while they receive many inquiries, the bank remains highly disciplined, focusing on shareholder value, payback period, and cultural fit, and that nothing is imminent.

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    Daniel Cardenas's questions to Northwest Bancshares (NWBI) leadership

    Daniel Cardenas's questions to Northwest Bancshares (NWBI) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Daniel Cardenas sought clarification on the provision guidance, asking if the expected 'slight increase' for 2025 is relative to a normalized level that excludes the Q4 derisking impact. He also asked about the company's intentions for share buybacks in 2025 and whether the pending acquisition of Penns Woods would restrict such activity.

    Answer

    Chief Financial Officer Douglas Schosser confirmed that the provision guidance assumes a normalized base, excluding the one-time impacts from Q4's derisking transactions, and that increases would be to provide for new loan growth. On capital deployment, Schosser reiterated the bank's priorities: supporting the dividend, funding organic growth, and pursuing strategic M&A. He stated that share buybacks are the last priority and are not contemplated in the near or intermediate future.

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    Daniel Cardenas's questions to Northwest Bancshares (NWBI) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Daniel Cardenas inquired about potential future balance sheet restructuring, whether provisioning would rise with classified loans, the number of credits driving the classified increase, and the expected breakeven period for potential de novo branches.

    Answer

    CFO Douglas Schosser confirmed there are no immediate plans for balance sheet restructuring and does not expect material provision increases for the healthcare portfolio, as provisions have already been made. Executive Thomas Creal noted the classified increase was driven by a net of five credits with no geographic concentration. Management deferred the question on de novo breakeven timing, stating the strategy is still under review.

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    Daniel Cardenas's questions to FIRST COMMONWEALTH FINANCIAL CORP /PA/ (FCF) leadership

    Daniel Cardenas's questions to FIRST COMMONWEALTH FINANCIAL CORP /PA/ (FCF) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Daniel Cardenas asked for the size of the loan participation portfolio, whether other loans within it were being watched, and for specific details on the property whose loan recently became nonperforming.

    Answer

    An executive, likely Chief Credit Officer Brian Taake, stated the shared national credit portfolio has been reduced to just over $115 million across 10 relationships and is not a major concern. He explained the nonperforming loan was for a mixed-use property that suffered from post-rehabilitation tenancy issues, not mismanagement. The property is located in Allegheny County, just outside the downtown Pittsburgh district.

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    Daniel Cardenas's questions to CIVISTA BANCSHARES (CIVB) leadership

    Daniel Cardenas's questions to CIVISTA BANCSHARES (CIVB) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Daniel Cardenas asked for an update on criticized loan levels, whether charge-offs are expected to normalize, the amount of remaining deposits from the exited tax program, and the size of the customer segment with low or no balances that the bank is targeting.

    Answer

    Chief Credit Officer Michael Mulford stated that criticized loans have been fairly stable, with a large relationship payoff being offset by downgrades of a few other commercial relationships, including in hospitality and healthcare. Management confirmed they expect charge-offs to elevate slightly back toward more normal historical levels in the coming quarters. President and CEO Dennis Shaffer reported that $14 million in deposits from the old tax program remained at quarter-end but were in the process of being closed out. The team did not have a precise number for the low/no balance customer base but affirmed it represents a clear opportunity.

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    Daniel Cardenas's questions to S&T BANCORP (STBA) leadership

    Daniel Cardenas's questions to S&T BANCORP (STBA) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Daniel Cardenas inquired about the deposit growth outlook for 2025, the company's priorities for capital deployment, specifically its stance on stock repurchases, and asked for the quarter-end AOCI number.

    Answer

    CEO Chris McComish expressed confidence in maintaining deposit growth momentum, viewing the changing rate environment as an opportunity. Executive Mark Kochvar described stock repurchases as the 'least favorite' use of capital, prioritizing organic growth, inorganic opportunities, and dividends first. He also provided the quarter-end AOCI figure of $77 million.

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