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    Daniel Guardiola

    Research Analyst at BTG Pactual

    Daniel Guardiola is an Executive Director of Equity Research at BTG Pactual, specializing in Latin American oil and gas sector coverage with a focus on companies such as Vista Energy and YPF. Known for his active participation in corporate earnings calls and in-depth financial analysis, Guardiola closely monitors company performance metrics like EBITDA, production growth, and free cash flow. He began his finance career after earning a degree in Finance and International Relations from Externado University in Colombia and a Master of Corporate Finance from EDHEC Business School, progressing through various research roles before joining BTG Pactual where he has established a reputation for rigorous sector expertise. Guardiola's professional credentials include advanced financial education and significant experience in cross-border energy sector analysis, recognized for bringing detailed operational and financial insights to institutional investors.

    Daniel Guardiola's questions to Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) leadership

    Daniel Guardiola's questions to Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Daniel Guardiola from BTG Pactual questioned the large negative free cash flow in Q2, focusing on the deterioration of working capital and the company's free cash flow strategy for 2026 and beyond amid price uncertainty.

    Answer

    CEO Miguel Galuccio attributed the negative free cash flow to several one-off items: the $842 million net outflow for the Petronas acquisition, a $250 million income tax payment, and a $140 million increase in CapEx working capital. He stated that based on the updated plan, Vista forecasts neutral free cash flow for the second half of 2025, composed of a negative Q3 and a positive Q4. For 2026 and onward, he confirmed the model shows positive free cash flow generation alongside continued growth.

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    Daniel Guardiola's questions to Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Daniel Guardiola questioned the expected impact on leverage following the acquisition and sought clarification on the negative free cash flow in Q1, as well as the outlook for 2025 and 2026.

    Answer

    Miguel Galuccio, Chairman and CEO, explained that the pro forma net leverage ratio is approximately 1.0x and is expected to remain below 1.5x, which may necessitate some additional financing. He attributed the negative Q1 free cash flow to planned CapEx acceleration and seasonal working capital effects, noting the acquisition will strengthen the future cash flow profile. New guidance will be provided in Q2.

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    Daniel Guardiola's questions to Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Daniel Guardiola requested an update on the sale process for Exxon's assets in Argentina, asking if Vista is still participating and what strategic merits the assets hold.

    Answer

    Chairman and CEO Miguel Galuccio confirmed Vista remains in the competitive process, stating the assets are attractive as they could establish a new, material development hub in the north. However, he emphasized that Vista has sufficient acreage for its growth plans regardless of the outcome.

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    Daniel Guardiola's questions to GeoPark (GPRK) leadership

    Daniel Guardiola's questions to GeoPark (GPRK) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Daniel Guardiola of BTIG followed up on the Argentina deal, asking if parties can withdraw without penalty after May 13, what specific requirements are holding up the closing, and if GeoPark is considering further cost-saving measures.

    Answer

    Outgoing CEO Andrés Ocampo confirmed that either party can withdraw from the Argentina deal without penalty after the outside date and stated that GeoPark has complied with all requirements. CFO Jaime Caballero Uribe explained that the company is in a solid position to weather market volatility and is focused on total cash cost efficiency across OpEx, G&A, and taxes, but the current plan remains solid and does not require immediate changes.

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    Daniel Guardiola's questions to GeoPark (GPRK) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Daniel Guardiola raised concerns about the deteriorating OpEx per barrel, which has nearly doubled in two years, asking for the drivers and mitigation plans. He also requested an update on the prolonged production halt in Brazil and the progress of the DUPLICAR pipeline project in Argentina.

    Answer

    Executive Rodolfo Terrado attributed higher OpEx to increased fluid handling and spot energy prices, stating the goal is to return to a $10-$12/bbl range by locking in energy contracts and purchasing facilities. Executive Jaime Caballero Uribe added that immature exploration assets also temporarily inflate costs. Regarding Brazil, Terrado updated the restart date to late February. For DUPLICAR, Uribe confirmed a March online date, which will add 9,000 bbl/d of net evacuation capacity for GeoPark.

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