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David

Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst at RBC Capital Markets, LLC

David Novak is a Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst at RBC Capital Markets, specializing in the coverage of the oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) sector. He covers major companies such as ConocoPhillips, EOG Resources, Devon Energy, and Marathon Oil, and has established a notable track record for producing actionable investment research, with a published success rate of over 61% and high average returns across his stock recommendations according to independent analyst rankings. David started his career in equity research at Jefferies in 2005 before joining RBC Capital Markets in 2012, and he is a CFA charterholder and registered with FINRA, holding Series 7, 63, 86, and 87 licenses. Recognized for his sharp insights and industry expertise, David has consistently been ranked among the top analysts in his sector by platforms like TipRanks.

David's questions to PAYCHEX (PAYX) leadership

Question · Q1 2026

David asked about Paychex's perspective on the regulatory environment, including potential government shutdowns and H1B changes, and how the business is positioned to navigate these factors.

Answer

President and CEO John Gibson stated that Paychex's small business clients are resilient, with no heavy concentration in government sectors or significant internal H1B visa issues, thus expecting no direct impact. He highlighted a stable small and medium-sized business market with consistent employment and moderating wage inflation (below 3% for 18 quarters). Gibson noted that clarity on the tax bill and initial Fed rate cuts are supporting renewed business confidence and investment decisions.

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Question · Q1 2026

David asked about Paychex's perspective on the current regulatory environment, including potential government shutdowns and H1B changes, and how the business is positioned to navigate these factors.

Answer

President and CEO John Gibson stated that Paychex's small business clients are resilient, and the company does not have a heavy concentration with the federal government or significant internal H1B visa issues, thus not expecting direct impacts. He noted a stable small business environment with consistent employment and wage inflation below 3%. Mr. Gibson believes clarity from the tax bill and initial Fed rate cuts will support renewed business confidence and investment.

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