Question · Q4 2025
Erin Wright asked about the earnings growth profile into 2027, whether Molina expects to return to its growth algorithm, and the trajectory for realizing the $11+ per share in embedded earnings power, ahead of the Investor Day.
Answer
President and CEO Joe Zubretsky stated that a more specific accounting and realization timeline for the $11+ per share in embedded earnings will be provided at the Investor Day. He noted that while he cannot predict the exact rate versus trend improvement for 2027-2028, a 100 basis point MCR improvement in Medicaid translates to $5 per share. He highlighted that Molina is projecting a 1.6% pretax margin in 2026, which is considered the trough, and if the market recovers the estimated 300-400 basis points of underfunding, Molina would return to target margins, implying significant future earnings potential.
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