Question · Q4 2025
Jana Galan inquired about specific markets driving the decline in renewal rates during Q4 2025 and January 2026 compared to Q3 2025, and where AvalonBay might be negotiating more to protect occupancy. She also asked for more color on New Jersey's lease-up expectations and the confidence in new starts given market supply.
Answer
Sean Breslin, COO, explained that Q4 moderation in renewal rates was broad-based due to seasonal softening in asking rents, with more negotiation in softer markets like Mid-Atlantic, Boston, and Denver. Matthew Birenbaum, CIO, and Sean Breslin, COO, expressed confidence in New Jersey lease-ups, noting strong January leasing paces and projects tracking pro forma, despite some supply, due to the market's strength within New York City's orbit.
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