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    Jason Stewart's questions to MFA Financial Inc (MFA) leadership

    Jason Stewart's questions to MFA Financial Inc (MFA) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Jason Stewart from Janney Montgomery Scott inquired about how capital allocation might shift in a future rate-easing cycle with a steeper yield curve, specifically questioning the role of the agency MBS portfolio in such an environment and seeking clarification on a previously mentioned loan discount.

    Answer

    President & CIO Bryan Wulfsohn explained that Lima One originations would remain highly accretive in a steeper curve environment due to high coupons and lower funding costs. He confirmed the agency MBS portfolio is an opportunistic investment and that capital would be redeployed into credit assets if agency spreads tighten. CFO Michael Roper clarified the remaining discount on transitional loans, noting progress had been made but there was 'still some wood to chop.'

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    Jason Stewart's questions to MFA Financial Inc (MFA) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Jason Stewart of Janney Montgomery Scott asked about the impact of rate volatility on Lima One's loan demand, competition, and buyer appetite. He also questioned how the agency portfolio is viewed relative to hedges and its potential ultimate size.

    Answer

    President and CIO Bryan Wulfsohn reported that demand from loan buyers like insurance companies remains strong for Lima One products and the competitive environment is stable. Regarding the agency portfolio, he explained they hedge with SOFR swaps and could see the portfolio grow to $2 billion before reassessing market conditions.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc (FBRT) leadership

    Jason Stewart's questions to Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc (FBRT) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Jason Stewart from Janney Montgomery Scott inquired about the return on equity (ROE) breakdown for NewPoint's segments, the marginal ROE on new CLO executions, and current renewal rates within FBRT's multifamily portfolio.

    Answer

    Jerome Baglien, CFO & COO, stated that a specific ROE breakdown for NewPoint's business lines is not disclosed. Michael Comparato, President, estimated the marginal ROE on new originations is in the low teens, describing returns as "outstanding on a risk-adjusted basis." He also noted FBRT's unique position to benefit from a decline in SOFR due to high floors on recent originations. Comparato could not provide a specific renewal rate figure for the portfolio.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to Franklin BSP Realty Trust Inc (FBRT) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Jason Stewart from Janney Montgomery Scott requested an estimate of the agency business's revenue contribution after the NewPoint closing and asked for clarity on the specific metrics used to evaluate dividend sustainability.

    Answer

    CFO Jerome Baglien stated that financial projections for the NewPoint business would be provided in future releases. Regarding the dividend, he explained that management monitors distributable earnings coverage (ex-losses), which was around 90%, and that the key variable is the timing of resolving the REO portfolio to restore earnings. President Michael Comparato added that the REO portfolio holds $0.25 to $0.30 of earnings potential once liquidated and redeployed.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to Two Harbors Investment Corp (TWO) leadership

    Jason Stewart's questions to Two Harbors Investment Corp (TWO) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Jason Stewart of Janney Montgomery Scott LLC followed up on the topic of originations, asking if there was any intent to retain principal-only securities (POs) as production ramps. He also questioned if there was a broader strategic thought behind shifting the balance sheet from primarily agency securities to private label credit.

    Answer

    William Greenberg, President & CEO, confirmed that retaining certain assets like POs is a possibility they are evaluating as they grow their origination products and outlets. He clarified that while they may add other asset classes for diversification, the portfolio would remain primarily focused on Agency RMBS and would not shift to be primarily non-agency or private label credit.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to Two Harbors Investment Corp (TWO) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Jason Stewart of Janney Montgomery Scott LLC asked for the company's outlook on prepayment speeds and how factors like float income and recapture value are influencing MSR transaction multiples.

    Answer

    Chief Investment Officer Nicholas Letica projected a short-term uptick in prepayments followed by a decline due to rate reversals and seasonality. President and CEO Bill Greenberg noted that MSR supply is normalizing and that multiples are being influenced by forward short-term rates, recapture value expectations, and a steepening yield curve, resulting in small overall changes. Letica added that TWO's MSR price sensitivity is more tied to float income than prepayments due to its low WACC.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to Orchid Island Capital Inc (ORC) leadership

    Jason Stewart's questions to Orchid Island Capital Inc (ORC) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Jason Stewart of Janney Montgomery Scott sought clarification on the share issuance price relative to book value and asked for help reconciling the high-teens ROE potential with the current dividend yield, particularly concerning tax versus economic returns.

    Answer

    Robert Cauley, Chairman, President & CEO, explained that while Q2 issuance was at a slight discount, the net issuance for the first half of 2025 was approximately 99.5% of book value. He detailed that the dividend is driven by taxable income, which is affected by tax laws requiring gains from closed hedges to be amortized over the hedge's life. This creates a non-cash adjustment to interest expense. He noted this effect is diluting as the company grows and that taxable income projections for the year are aligned with the dividend distribution.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to Orchid Island Capital Inc (ORC) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Jason Stewart inquired about the current gross ROE after recent portfolio changes and questioned the economic rationale for raising capital versus the dividend payout, also asking about the expected taxability of the 2025 dividend.

    Answer

    Executive Robert Cauley and CIO/CFO George Haas responded. Cauley estimated the gross ROE versus swaps is very high, potentially in the low 20s. Regarding capital, they explained that while buybacks were accretive at lower stock prices, the current price near book value makes capital raises a consideration for liquidity. Cauley detailed how the dividend is based on taxable income, which includes amortized gains from prior closed hedges, making new investments economically attractive. They declined to forecast the 2025 dividend's taxability but noted the current taxable income is covering the distribution.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to Orchid Island Capital Inc (ORC) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Jason Stewart asked about the forward-looking Return on Equity (ROE), the discount to book for Q4's ATM issuance, and the strategy for balancing the high dividend yield against book value preservation, especially compared to peers.

    Answer

    Executive Robert Cauley and CIO George Haas explained that ROEs on new capital are in the mid-teens (~16%), driven by a ~200 basis point spread on higher-coupon assets with ~7x leverage. They stated the dividend was 96% covered by taxable income for the year, with the trend improving into Q4, making them comfortable with its sustainability. While not providing a specific ATM discount for Q4, they noted issuance was minimal and typically done near book value. They believe the stock is undervalued and should trade at a premium, which would support book value.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to Orchid Island Capital Inc (ORC) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Jason Stewart sought clarification on current repo funding costs versus the quarterly average, asked about marginal return on equity (ROE) levels relative to the dividend, and questioned how the board weighs retaining capital to build book value against paying a high dividend.

    Answer

    Executive Robert Cauley clarified that the reported average repo cost was skewed high by portfolio growth timing and that actual funding costs have decreased. Executive George Haas noted marginal ROEs are in the high teens. Regarding capital allocation, Cauley explained the board has discussed retaining capital but believes the market doesn't typically reward it, though it remains a consideration, especially in a rising rate environment.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) leadership

    Jason Stewart's questions to Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Jason Stewart of Janney Montgomery Scott LLC inquired about Annaly's expectations for GSE reform and its potential impact on the credit business. He also asked about external factors, like M&A, that could affect MSR valuation multiples.

    Answer

    CEO & Co-CIO David Finkelstein stated that he expects GSE reform to be a near-term focus, which could create opportunities to compete for non-core GSE originations. Co-CIO Mike Fania added that Annaly already capitalizes on this by including agency collateral in non-QM transactions. Regarding MSRs, Finkelstein and Head of MSR Ken Adler noted that technological advancements and consolidation are lowering servicing costs, which supports valuations, while growth in float income provides an additional tailwind.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Jason Stewart of Janney Montgomery Scott LLC asked for an update on expectations for GSE reform and inquired about external factors, such as M&A, that could impact MSR valuation multiples.

    Answer

    CEO David Finkelstein reiterated that GSE reform is a near-term focus, which could create opportunities in non-core originations. Regarding MSRs, Finkelstein and Head of MSR Ken Adler cited technology-driven servicing cost reductions, strong float income growth, and longer customer retention as key factors supporting current valuations.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Jason Stewart from Janney Montgomery Scott LLC inquired about Annaly's perspective on GSE reform, the potential for an expanded credit market, and any emerging opportunities, followed by a request for a book value update.

    Answer

    CEO David Finkelstein stated that significant GSE reform faces high hurdles but anticipates a reduced GSE footprint in non-core products, creating a key opportunity for private capital and Annaly's residential credit business. He then provided a book value update, noting it was up slightly over 2% quarter-to-date, inclusive of the dividend accrual.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to Annaly Capital Management Inc (NLY) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Jason Stewart from Janney Montgomery Scott LLC questioned the company's perspective on GSE reform, the potential for an expanded credit market, and any emerging opportunities. He also requested a quarter-to-date book value update.

    Answer

    CEO David Finkelstein stated that significant GSE reform faces high hurdles but sees a potential silver lining in a reduced GSE footprint for non-core loans, creating opportunities for private capital. He also provided a book value update, noting it was up slightly over 2% quarter-to-date, inclusive of the dividend accrual.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc (ARR) leadership

    Jason Stewart's questions to ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc (ARR) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Jason Stewart of Janney Montgomery Scott LLC asked how the company balances total return versus carry in its portfolio construction, given dislocations between swaps and treasuries, and also inquired about the pricing of the recent ATM stock issuance relative to book value.

    Answer

    Co-CIOs Desmond Macauley and Sergey Losyev explained they are positioned for a bullish steepener and favor production coupons for their high ROE. They balance cheaper swap hedges with more effective treasury hedges. CFO Gordon Harper added that the quarter-to-date ATM issuance was only 'mildly dilutive' to book value.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc (ARR) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Jason Stewart of Janney Montgomery Scott asked for more detail on GSE reform, specifically how much risk is priced into the mortgage basis, the potential magnitude of spread widening, and how ARMOUR would position its portfolio for that risk.

    Answer

    CEO Scott Ulm opined that very little GSE reform risk is currently priced into the market. He acknowledged that a full privatization could imply significant spread widening but considers it an unlikely scenario. Sergey Losyev added that Ginnie/Fannie swaps have not reacted to reform headlines, suggesting the market expects a gradual path to exit conservatorship rather than an abrupt change.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to AGNC Investment Corp (AGNC) leadership

    Jason Stewart's questions to AGNC Investment Corp (AGNC) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Jason Stewart from Janney Montgomery Scott LLC asked how AGNC is positioning its assets for a 'post steepener' environment and requested an updated book value estimate.

    Answer

    Peter Federico, President, CEO & CIO, responded that it is too early to position for a 'post steepener' trade, as he expects the yield curve to continue steepening. He noted the current portfolio is already positioned to benefit from this trend. He also reiterated the earlier update that tangible net book value was up approximately 1% for July as of the end of the previous week.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to AGNC Investment Corp (AGNC) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Jason Stewart asked for clarification on any post-quarter-end portfolio changes, the timeframe for the book value update, and the context behind comments on the housing finance system's complexity.

    Answer

    Peter Federico, President, CEO, and CIO, confirmed no substantial portfolio changes occurred after quarter-end and that the book value update was from March 31. He explained his housing finance comments reflect a growing policymaker appreciation for the current GSE system's importance to affordability, suggesting major disruptive changes are less likely as key decision-makers want to preserve the system's positive attributes.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to AGNC Investment Corp (AGNC) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Jason Stewart requested clarification on the per-share earnings impact from using treasury futures, which are not included in the primary spread metric. He also asked if the financial impact of the ATM issuance timing—raising capital early and deploying it later in the quarter—could be quantified.

    Answer

    Peter Federico, Director, President and CEO, and Bernice Bell, EVP and CFO, clarified that the imputed carry from treasury hedges contributed approximately $0.04 per share to earnings in the quarter. Regarding the ATM timing, Peter Federico explained that while not providing a precise number, raising capital at accretive levels early in the quarter and deploying it later at wider, more attractive mortgage spreads was a significant benefit to book value.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to AGNC Investment Corp (AGNC) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Jason Stewart of Janney Montgomery Scott asked for an elaboration on the current prepayment environment, particularly the impact of servicing industry capacity. He also requested clarification on how to interpret the MBS spread sensitivity analysis provided in the slide deck.

    Answer

    Christopher Kuehl, CIO, explained that while the recent refinance response was sharper, it remained slower than during the COVID era, suggesting factors beyond servicer capacity are at play. Peter Federico, President and CEO, clarified that the spread sensitivity disclosure is a portfolio-wide shock analysis and cannot be replicated using a single benchmark. He advised that a more accurate view requires looking at the performance of individual coupons within the portfolio.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to Dynex Capital Inc (DX) leadership

    Jason Stewart's questions to Dynex Capital Inc (DX) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Jason Stewart of Janney Montgomery Scott asked about the hedging strategy, specifically regarding adding longer duration and the choice between treasuries and swaps, and also sought clarity on the G&A expense line.

    Answer

    CIO T.J. Connelly stated that hedges remain focused on the longer end of the curve to maintain a flat duration profile, and the current mix of roughly two-thirds swaps is a good baseline. CFO & COO Robert Colligan addressed G&A, explaining that expenses are typically higher in the first half of the year and are expected to trend down in Q3 and Q4.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to Dynex Capital Inc (DX) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Jason Stewart of Janney Montgomery Scott followed up on the GSE question, asking how Dynex is preparing for potential price action. He also inquired about any markers for accelerated GSE policy, changes to the hedge portfolio, and the strategy for hedging forward rates.

    Answer

    Co-CEO Smriti Popenoe emphasized that the primary defense against a GSE shock is maintaining liquidity, lower leverage, and a high bar for adding risk, confirming only minor hedge adjustments. Chief Investment Officer Terrence Connelly added that while they consider extending repo duration, they remain mindful of uncertainties like the debt ceiling and use a spectrum of SOFR and swap instruments to hedge.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to Dynex Capital Inc (DX) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Jason Stewart asked for the company's view on the potential direction of the GSEs' origination footprint under a new FHFA director and its supply implications for the agency mortgage market. He also requested clarification on the timing of the book value update.

    Answer

    Co-CEO Smriti Popenoe noted that while ideological biases suggest a smaller GSE footprint, actual policy implementation is what matters. CIO Terrence Connelly added that any policy shift would be a long process with back-and-forth between markets and policymakers. Smriti Popenoe clarified the book value update was as of Friday's close, net of the dividend.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc (AOMR) leadership

    Jason Stewart's questions to Angel Oak Mortgage REIT Inc (AOMR) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Jason Stewart of Janney followed up on credit quality, asking about performance by vintage in Q4 and if there were any signs of deteriorating roll rates. He also inquired about credit performance trends quarter-to-date, accounting for seasonality.

    Answer

    Chief Financial Officer Brandon Filson reported no significant negative trends by vintage, aside from a slight, expected uptick in delinquencies for recent 2024 originations. He noted that performance had improved slightly quarter-to-date, with delinquency levels as of January having decreased by about 10 basis points from the 2.4% reported at year-end.

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    Jason Stewart's questions to New York Mortgage Trust Inc (NYMT) leadership

    Jason Stewart's questions to New York Mortgage Trust Inc (NYMT) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Jason Stewart from Janney Montgomery Scott asked for an overview of gross ROEs by strategy, specifically for Agency RMBS and BPLs. He also inquired about capital allocation shifts in response to agency spread volatility and the broader impact of rate volatility on CRE deal flow.

    Answer

    CEO Jason Serrano and President Nicholas Mah responded. Serrano detailed the gross ROEs: 20-plus percent for BPL bridge loans, mid-teens for Agency RMBS, and mid-to-high teens for BPL rental loans. He added that capital allocation to agencies is market-driven, with activity increasing as spreads widen. Mah noted that rate volatility has slowed CRE deal activity, which he expects to remain muted for the rest of the year before potentially rebounding in early 2025.

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