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    Jay McCanlessWedbush Securities

    Jay McCanless's questions to Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) leadership

    Jay McCanless's questions to Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) leadership • Q3 2025

    Question

    Jay McCanless of Wedbush Securities inquired about potential debt restructuring opportunities, the strategy regarding bulk sales of underperforming lots, and the specific buyer segments driving price increases in certain communities.

    Answer

    CFO Brad O'Connor confirmed the company is actively exploring debt restructuring, including refinancing secured debt into unsecured, as market conditions improve. CEO Ara Hovnanian added that while bulk sales of lots at a loss are not a primary strategy, they prefer to renegotiate with land partners. He noted the company has successfully sold excess entitled land at a profit. Regarding pricing power, Hovnanian identified active adult and move-up buyer segments as the most resilient, while the entry-level market, particularly at the lowest price points, remains more challenging.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to CoreCivic Inc (CXW) leadership

    Jay McCanless's questions to CoreCivic Inc (CXW) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Jay McCanless of Wedbush Securities asked for modeling clarifications on bed counts including Dilly, Cal City, and Farmville. He also inquired about the timeline to reach mid-80s occupancy and potential revenue opportunities from the DHS border funds.

    Answer

    CEO Damon Hininger confirmed the bed count methodology. CFO David Garfinkle stated that reaching mid-80s occupancy is likely a 2026 event, though low-80s could be achieved by year-end 2025 with new contracts. Hininger clarified that the new federal funding allows ICE to move directly to long-term contracts, likely phasing out the use of preliminary 'letter contracts' and accelerating new awards.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to Smith Douglas Homes Corp (SDHC) leadership

    Jay McCanless's questions to Smith Douglas Homes Corp (SDHC) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Jay McCanless of Wedbush Securities asked for clarification on monthly absorption rates, the feasibility of hitting the full-year closings target, the effectiveness of incentives, and the potential impact of lumber price inflation.

    Answer

    Management clarified that monthly sales per community were 2.8 in April, 2.4 in May, and 2.8 in June. EVP and CFO Russell Devendorf affirmed the 'pace over price' strategy to achieve the full-year closings goal and noted that rate buy-down incentives have been effective in driving traffic and conversion. President and CEO Gregory Bennett stated they have not yet received any notifications of lumber price increases.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to LGI Homes Inc (LGIH) leadership

    Jay McCanless's questions to LGI Homes Inc (LGIH) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Jay McCanless of Wedbush Securities asked about the current level of incentives as a percentage of ASP compared to last year and the drivers of the Q3 SG&A guidance. He also sought directional commentary on community count into 2026 and clarification on the priority between debt reduction and share repurchases.

    Answer

    Chairman & CEO Eric Lipar estimated incentives are about 50-100 basis points higher than last year and confirmed community count should directionally increase into 2026. CFO & Treasurer Charles Merdian explained the SG&A guidance reflects revenue variability. Merdian also emphasized that delevering is a primary focus, aiming to lower the net debt-to-cap ratio from its current 45% level by right-sizing inventory.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to Cavco Industries Inc (CVCO) leadership

    Jay McCanless's questions to Cavco Industries Inc (CVCO) leadership • Q1 2026

    Question

    Jay McCanless from Wedbush Securities questioned why gross margins were flat year-over-year despite higher volumes and pricing. He also asked about current chattel mortgage rates, consumer confidence, and whether price competition seen in the previous quarter had reemerged.

    Answer

    EVP and CFO Allison Aden attributed the flat margin to a mix of factors, including leveraging factory overhead while also absorbing some tariff costs. Corporate Controller Mark Fusler stated chattel rates were stable in the 8-9% range. President and CEO William Boor commented that while consumer confidence fluctuates, strong underlying demand is evident. He also confirmed that significant price competition had not reemerged, noting a general upward bias on pricing in local markets during the quarter.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to Cavco Industries Inc (CVCO) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Jay McCanless of Wedbush Securities inquired about the average selling price (ASP) trend, asking if it was approaching an inflection point due to retail sales mix or product shifts. He also requested an update on current Chattel loan interest rates.

    Answer

    President and CEO William Boor explained that the gradual decline in ASP over the past two years was driven more by mix shifts, such as channel and product type, than by same-product price reductions. He stated that a true price inflection point would require higher industry-wide capacity utilization and growing backlogs. Executive Mark Fusler provided an update on Chattel rates, stating they have been steady but are slowly declining, with current quotes ranging from the high 7% to high 8% range.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to Beazer Homes USA Inc (BZH) leadership

    Jay McCanless's questions to Beazer Homes USA Inc (BZH) leadership • Q3 2025

    Question

    Jay McCanless of Wedbush Securities sought clarification on the expected sequential decline in adjusted gross margin from Q3 to Q4, asking about the sales mix driving it. He also asked for an outlook on competitive new home inventory levels and the potential impact of higher Canadian softwood lumber import duties on costs.

    Answer

    Chairman and CEO Allan Merrill explained the Q4 margin guidance reflects a continued high share of spec homes, which weighs down the margin uplift from their to-be-built backlog. He expressed a belief that new home inventory will compress as the industry has slowed start activity. Regarding lumber, he stated he has not heard of impending price increases from suppliers, who seem more concerned about declining housing starts.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to Builders FirstSource Inc (BLDR) leadership

    Jay McCanless's questions to Builders FirstSource Inc (BLDR) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Jay McCanless of Wedbush Securities asked about the future goal for the 92% on-time and in-full delivery metric and questioned how long it would take to pass through higher lumber costs resulting from Canadian tariffs.

    Answer

    CEO Peter Jackson stated the goal for on-time and in-full delivery is simply 'higher,' driven by better vendor partnerships and customer alignment, aided by new digital tools and the ERP system. Regarding lumber tariffs, he asserted that the cost increase will be passed through to the market, as the company cannot absorb such a significant tax. He noted the market will adapt through rebalancing and substitution.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to Builders FirstSource Inc (BLDR) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Jay McCanless asked for the rationale behind updating the long-term margin targets on Slide 17, questioning what had improved since the last quarter. He also requested the company's outlook for the Repair & Remodel (R&R) market for the upcoming year.

    Answer

    CEO Designate Peter Jackson clarified that Slide 17 was not an update to the forecast but a new disclosure intended to bridge historical performance to the long-term 30-33% gross margin target established at Investor Day. Regarding R&R, he noted the market has significant pent-up demand and could see a tailwind from falling mortgage rates. While the 2025 forecast is modest, he sees good momentum building for 2025-2026.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to Ufp Industries Inc (UFPI) leadership

    Jay McCanless's questions to Ufp Industries Inc (UFPI) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Jay McCanless of Wedbush Securities requested clarification on UFP's lumber mix, specifically the percentage of Southern Yellow Pine and the potential impact of softwood duties. He also asked about the sustainability of growth in the concrete forming business from data centers and whether new tax deductions could boost the packaging business.

    Answer

    CEO Will Schwartz confirmed that Southern Yellow Pine is about two-thirds of fiber purchases and that 75% of total purchases are domestically sourced, limiting direct exposure to Canadian duties. He expressed confidence in the infrastructure growth outlook for the concrete forming business, noting it's a small part of a larger business. CFO Michael Cole stated that while the company benefits from tax changes like bonus depreciation, they have not yet seen it impact customer demand in the packaging segment.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to Ufp Industries Inc (UFPI) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Jay McCanless sought an update on the company's cost-saving initiatives, asking if the targeted $60 million in savings by 2026 represents the full extent of the plan or if further actions are being considered. He also inquired about early first-quarter trends in the factory-built housing business and whether the Concrete Forming business has seen any impact from potential government budget changes.

    Answer

    Executive Chairman Matthew Missad explained that cost evaluation is a constant, ongoing effort. CFO Michael Cole specified that actions for approximately $41 million of the savings have already been taken and will benefit 2025, with the full $60 million impact expected by 2026. CEO William Schwartz expressed continued optimism for the factory-built housing business due to affordability challenges but noted it was too early to see any impact on the Concrete Forming business from policy changes.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to Tri Pointe Homes Inc (Delaware) (TPH) leadership

    Jay McCanless's questions to Tri Pointe Homes Inc (Delaware) (TPH) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Jay McCanless asked what drove the Q2 closings beat and inquired about demand softness in Northern California, particularly Sacramento, and whether tech job concerns were a contributing factor.

    Answer

    CFO Glenn Keeler stated the closings beat was broad-based, resulting from a focus on selling completed homes. COO Tom Mitchell confirmed that Northern California softened in Q2 but attributed it to general consumer confidence issues, not specific job loss concerns. CEO Douglas Bauer added that other California markets like the Inland Empire and San Diego are performing well above the company average, highlighting the choppy nature of the market.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC) leadership

    Jay McCanless's questions to Taylor Morrison Home Corp (TMHC) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Jay McCanless inquired about performance in the East and West regions, specifically Florida, Atlanta, and Northern California, and the implications of shopper surveys showing macro-level anxiety.

    Answer

    CEO Sheryl Palmer detailed strong sales in the Southeast and a generally positive, though mixed, story in Florida. In the West, she noted a deliberate reduction in Southern California while Northern California was stable. She and Erik Heuser confirmed that shopper hesitation stems from macro uncertainty rather than personal financial distress, which they see as a positive indicator of latent demand.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to M/I Homes Inc (MHO) leadership

    Jay McCanless's questions to M/I Homes Inc (MHO) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Jay McCanless from Wedbush Securities asked about the potential gross margin impact from Canadian lumber tariffs, plans for expansion in the stronger Northern markets, whether the current SG&A level is a new run rate, and for details on the average mortgage rate and gross margin in the backlog.

    Answer

    Phillip Creek, EVP, CFO & Director, responded that it's too early to determine the impact of lumber tariffs, as the company sources components and can substitute materials, not anticipating a significant cost increase. Robert Schottenstein, Chairman, President & CEO, confirmed plans to grow in all Midwest markets. Phillip Creek stated that SG&A dollars will likely continue to increase with community count growth. He also noted the backlog margin is slightly lower than Q1's and that the company does not disclose average mortgage rates in its backlog.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to DR Horton Inc (DHI) leadership

    Jay McCanless's questions to DR Horton Inc (DHI) leadership • Q3 2025

    Question

    Jay McCanless of Wedbush Securities Inc. asked about the potential gross margin impact from the Canadian softwood lumber agreement, the factors that allowed D.R. Horton to maintain its gross margin, and the outlook for community count growth in fiscal 2026.

    Answer

    EVP & COO Michael Murray stated the company has not quantified the lumber tariff's impact. President and CEO Paul Romanowski credited the strong Q3 margin to field execution but reiterated the guidance for a sequential decline in Q4. SVP Jessica Hansen reconfirmed that community count growth is expected to moderate to the mid-to-high single-digit range.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to DR Horton Inc (DHI) leadership • Q3 2025

    Question

    Jay McCanless from Wedbush Securities asked about the potential gross margin impact from the Canadian softwood lumber agreement. He also inquired about any specific geographic or product factors that contributed to the strong Q3 gross margin performance and sought clarity on the fiscal 2026 community count growth outlook.

    Answer

    EVP and COO Michael Murray acknowledged a potential impact from lumber tariffs but did not quantify it. President and CEO Paul Romanowski credited the Q3 margin strength to field execution but reiterated the guidance for a 50 bps decline in Q4. SVP Jessica Hansen reconfirmed that community count growth is expected to moderate to a mid-single-digit rate over time.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD) leadership

    Jay McCanless's questions to Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Jay McCanless of Wedbush Securities asked if the 'extend and pretend' strategy in commercial real estate is ending, given client acceptance of higher rates. He also inquired about the potential timeline for the GSEs exiting conservatorship and the company's strategy for expanding into the hospitality sector.

    Answer

    Chairman and CEO Willy Walker explained that while clients accept higher rates, many face cash-in refinancing hurdles, which limits options and can lead to sales, but he does not foresee broadscale distress due to ample market capital. On GSE privatization, he noted it's a possibility in 2025 if tied to the tax bill, but the odds would decrease if that window is missed. Regarding hospitality, he compared the expansion to their successful move into multifamily investment sales, aiming to leverage client overlap and create a one-stop-shop for financing and sales.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Jay McCanless of Wedbush Securities sought confirmation that the transaction pipeline remains solid despite recent rate hikes. He also asked about other potential catalysts or risks for the emerging real estate cycle and questioned the credit risk outlook for the servicing portfolio if interest rates stay at current levels.

    Answer

    CEO Willy Walker confirmed the Q4 pipeline is holding strong. He identified several potential tailwinds for the new cycle, including the deployment of sidelined equity capital, a potential pickup in M&A activity, and transactions from private REITs. Regarding credit risk, Walker highlighted that 91% of the at-risk portfolio consists of fixed-rate loans with very few maturities in 2025, making it largely insulated from current rate fluctuations. He stressed that rate stability is more crucial for new transaction volume than the absolute rate level.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to Rithm Capital Corp (RITM) leadership

    Jay McCanless's questions to Rithm Capital Corp (RITM) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Jay McCanless of Wedbush Securities Inc. asked for a market outlook on mortgage credit availability for 2025 and questioned how potential policy changes might affect Rithm's strategy for infrastructure finance investments.

    Answer

    Baron Silverstein, President of Newrez, stated that with rates expected to stay elevated, overall mortgage credit availability will likely remain in its "current state." Michael Nierenberg, Chairman, CEO, and President, addressed infrastructure, noting the massive capital need for power generation and that Rithm will rely on expert partners to navigate the space, regardless of administrative changes.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to Rithm Capital Corp (RITM) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Jay McCanless of Wedbush asked for a general market outlook on mortgage credit availability for 2025. He also inquired about the new infrastructure finance initiative and how the administrative landscape might affect investment desire in that space.

    Answer

    Baron Silverstein, President of Newrez, opined that mortgage credit availability will likely stay in its current state, with a focus on affordability and growth in purchase and home equity loans. Michael Nierenberg, Chairman, CEO, and President, addressed the infrastructure question by stating that despite political shifts, the need for capital is massive due to a global power shortage, driven by data centers and AI. He emphasized their strategy is to partner with world-class experts to capitalize on this multi-trillion dollar opportunity.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK) leadership

    Jay McCanless's questions to Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Jay McCanless of Wedbush Securities asked about the mix of incentives being used, specifically the level of base price adjustments versus rate buydowns, and inquired about any plans for expansion into new markets beyond the recently announced Austin entry.

    Answer

    President and COO Jed Dolson responded that adjustments are primarily 'incentive-driven' and the company avoids touching base prices unless necessary, suggesting 6% is a good guide for recent incentive levels. CEO Jim Brickman addressed market expansion, stating that while the company is always open to good deals, the primary focus remains on the 'fantastic runway for growing' within their existing core markets of Dallas, Houston, and Atlanta, where they own 37,000 lots.

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    Jay McCanless's questions to Century Communities Inc (CCS) leadership

    Jay McCanless's questions to Century Communities Inc (CCS) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Jay McCanless asked about the financial contribution of Anglia Homes in Q3, the expected purchase accounting impact on future gross margins, Anglia's historical closing volume, and the trajectory of the company's net debt to capital ratio.

    Answer

    CFO John Dixon stated Anglia's Q3 delivery contribution was minor (less than 2%) and projected a 30-50 basis point gross margin drag from purchase accounting in Q4 and Q1 2025. Chairman and Co-CEO Dale Francescon noted Anglia historically closed 400-500 homes annually. Mr. Dixon explained the leverage increase was due to the acquisition and expects the ratio to decline by year-end as assets are monetized.

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