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Jeff Grampp

Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst at Northland Securities, Inc.

Jeff Grampp is a Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst at Northland Securities, Inc., specializing in coverage across the energy, power, and sustainability sectors. He covers companies including Flotek Industries, Tamboran Resources, Hallador Energy, Vitesse Energy, Drilling Tools International, and Electrovaya, and has achieved a 52.94% success rate with an average return of 20.31% as tracked over 22 ratings. Grampp began his career as a lead analyst at a family office, later joining Gateway Group and Alliance Global Partners before returning to Northland in 2025, where he had previously worked from 2013 to 2021. He holds an MBA and bachelor's degree from Chapman University, is a CFA charterholder, and maintains FINRA SIE and Series 7 licenses.

Jeff Grampp's questions to BWX Technologies (BWXT) leadership

Question · Q3 2025

Jeff Grampp asked about the main risks to achieving the 2026 outlook and the potential impact of an extended government shutdown on both 2025 and 2026 guidance.

Answer

Mike Fitzgerald, Senior Vice President and CFO, stated that most sites are operational during the shutdown, but an extended shutdown into 2026 could pose a risk. For 2026, opportunities include operational performance initiatives and potential EAC write-ups not assumed in current guidance, along with strong special materials performance. Risks include timing delays in commercial nuclear orders and defense spending. Jeff Grampp also inquired about the potential acceleration of the commercial side of the business and if order backlog will accelerate in coming quarters. Rex Geveden, President and CEO, expects commercial orders to accelerate, citing recent announcements (Westinghouse, OPG SMRs, potential U.S. SMRs, Canadian large builds) and anticipates 2026 to be characterized more by commercial orders than government orders.

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Jeff Grampp's questions to Mirion Technologies (MIR) leadership

Question · Q3 2025

Jeff Grampp inquired if Mirion expects any material difference in the margin profile should these larger one-time orders become a more significant portion of the revenue mix going forward.

Answer

Brian Schopfer, EVP, CFO, and Medical Group President, reiterated Mirion's commitment to its 30% adjusted EBITDA margin target. He acknowledged that new build projects typically come with lower margins compared to installed base work but affirmed that the company is not moving off its 30% adjusted EBITDA commitment.

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Question · Q3 2025

Jeff Grampp inquired if Mirion anticipates any material difference in the margin profile should these larger, one-time orders become a more significant portion of future revenue.

Answer

Brian Schopfer, EVP, CFO, and Medical Group President, Mirion, reiterated the company's commitment to its 30% adjusted EBITDA margin target. He acknowledged that new build projects typically come with lower margins than installed base work but affirmed that the 30% adjusted EBITDA commitment remains unchanged.

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Jeff Grampp's questions to Ramaco Resources (METC) leadership

Question · Q3 2025

Jeff Grampp inquired about the permitting timeline for the remainder of the Brook Mine to support increased throughput plans. He also asked Chairman and CEO Randy Atkins to elaborate on the types of opportunistic bolt-on acquisitions Ramaco is seeking and his characterization of the overall attractiveness of the acquisition market.

Answer

Chairman and CEO Randy Atkins mentioned ongoing meetings with federal and state groups, noting a recent five-year renewal of the original permit. EVP for Mine Planning and Development Chris Blanchard added that the permitted area is large enough for a 30-year mine plan at the base rate, requiring only minor modifications for staging. Randy Atkins also highlighted deeper, untapped deposits that might require different permitting for in-situ mining. Regarding acquisitions, Randy Atkins described seeking opportunistic, accretive assets (reserves or infrastructure) in the coal space, often driven by market distress, and mentioned a recent small acquisition of surface property near Brook Mine for industrial planning.

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Question · Q3 2025

Jeff Grampp asked for a timeline to get the remainder of the mine permitted to handle the increased throughput plans, and later inquired about the type of opportunistic bolt-on acquisitions Ramaco is seeking and the overall attractiveness of the acquisition market.

Answer

Randy Atkins, Chairman and CEO, mentioned ongoing dialogue with federal and state groups, a recent five-year permit renewal, and developing mine plans for the 16,000-acre site. Chris Blanchard, EVP for Mine Planning and Development, added that the currently permitted area is large enough for initial operations, requiring minor modifications. Randy Atkins also highlighted deeper, untapped deposits potentially suitable for in-situ mining. For acquisitions, Randy Atkins described seeking accretive assets (reserves or infrastructure) in the coal space, picked up opportunistically due to market distress, and mentioned a recent small surface property acquisition near Brook Mine.

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Jeff Grampp's questions to Tamboran Resources (TBN) leadership

Question · Q4 2025

Jeff Grampp from Northland Securities, Inc. asked about the factors influencing the timing and magnitude of Tamboran Resources' next drilling program following the current campaign, specifically if it's primarily dictated by the farmout process outcome. He also inquired if the completion design for upcoming wells would remain materially unchanged, and if the SS2H well's performance had prompted any new considerations for early-day production practices, such as choke management.

Answer

Dick Stoneburner, Chair & Interim CEO, confirmed that the 2026 drilling campaign is largely driven by the farmout process and the partner's desires, with an ideal start in Q2 2026 after the wet season, pending planning and permits. Regarding well practices, Stoneburner noted that while completion design wouldn't change materially, the team is leaning towards using less water (dialing back from 50 barrels per foot) due to the desiccated nature of the reservoir. He also highlighted that more deliberate choke management on the SS2H well might have contributed to its performance, indicating a continued focus on this practice.

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Question · Q4 2025

Jeff Grampp from Northland Capital Markets asked about the key factors influencing the timing and magnitude of Tamboran Resources' next drilling program, specifically whether it would be largely dictated by the farmout process outcome. He also inquired if the completion design for upcoming wells would remain materially unchanged, and if the SS2H well's performance had prompted any new considerations for early-day production and choke management.

Answer

Dick Stoneburner, Chairman and Interim CEO, confirmed that the 2026 drilling campaign would be largely driven by the farmout process and the partner's desires, with an ideal start in Q2 2026 after the wet season, balancing partner input with permitting and long-lead item procurement. Regarding completion design, Stoneburner noted that while sand volumes would likely fall between previous wells' ranges (2,200-2,800), the team is leaning towards using less water due to the desiccated nature of the reservoir. He also highlighted that the more deliberate choke management on the SS2H well might have contributed to its performance, indicating a continued focus on this practice for future wells.

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Question · Q4 2025

Jeff Grampp inquired about the factors influencing the timing and magnitude of Tamboran Resources' next drilling program in 2026, particularly its dependence on the farmout process, and asked about any planned changes to completion design or production flow management, such as choke management, for upcoming wells based on SS2H performance.

Answer

Chairman and Interim CEO Dick Stoneburner confirmed that the 2026 drilling campaign is largely dictated by the farmout process and the partner's preferences, with an ideal target of bringing the rig back on location in Q2 2026. For upcoming wells, Mr. Stoneburner noted that while completion design won't materially change, the team is leaning towards using less water in the frac design due to the desiccated reservoir and maintaining a very deliberate choke management strategy, similar to the approach taken with SS2H.

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Jeff Grampp's questions to Nano Nuclear Energy (NNE) leadership

Question · Q3 2025

Jeff Grampp of Northland Securities, Inc. inquired about Nanonuclear's progress and timeline for re-engaging in the Canadian licensing process for its Cronos microreactor, and also asked for details on the commercialization strategy for its ALIP pump technology.

Answer

CEO James Walker detailed a three-part strategy for Canada, involving finalizing legal control of the project entity, securing land at Chalk River with Canadian Nuclear Laboratories (CNL), and engaging with the Canadian government's Strategic Innovation Fund (SIFF). For the ALIP technology, he explained the goal is to complete the SBIR Phase 3 process to become a default government contractor, with commercial opportunities in both advanced fission and fusion reactors. Founder, Executive Chairman & President Jay Jiang Yu added that a Canadian presence establishes Nanonuclear as a key North American provider.

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Jeff Grampp's questions to HALLADOR ENERGY (HNRG) leadership

Question · Q2 2025

Jeff Grampp from Northland Capital Markets asked for an update on the potential terms for a large-scale PPA, questioning if the terms have improved given the strengthening market dynamics. He also inquired about the company's strategy and current activity level regarding the acquisition of additional generation assets.

Answer

President, CEO & Chairman, Brent Bilsland responded that while the energy price curve has softened slightly, capacity markets have become much stronger. He highlighted that utilities are now significantly more aggressive and willing to commit to longer-term deals than a year ago. Regarding acquisitions, Bilsland confirmed that Hallador is actively engaged in conversations and is positioning itself to acquire additional assets, particularly coal-fired plants, which they see as a niche where they can create significant shareholder value.

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Question · Q2 2025

Jeff Grampp inquired about the potential terms for a large-scale PPA, asking for the company's conviction level on achieving favorable terms given market changes. He also asked about the company's M&A strategy and the current stage of their acquisition activities.

Answer

President and CEO Brent Bilsland responded that while the energy curve has softened, capacity markets have strengthened significantly, and utilities are now more aggressive and willing to sign longer-term deals. Regarding M&A, Bilsland confirmed they are in active conversations and have increased their communication on the topic to attract potential sellers, as they see value in acquiring additional coal-fired assets.

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Question · Q2 2025

Jeff Grampp from Northland Capital Markets asked if the terms for a large-scale PPA have become more favorable given strengthening market dynamics. He also inquired about the company's acquisition strategy, specifically asking how actively they are pursuing deals for additional generation assets.

Answer

President and CEO Brent Bilsland responded that while the energy price curve has slightly dropped, capacity markets have become much stronger. He noted that utilities are now more aggressive and willing to enter longer-term deals. Regarding acquisitions, Bilsland confirmed Hallador is in active conversations and is being more communicative to attract potential sellers, as they see significant value in acquiring coal-fired assets.

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Question · Q2 2025

Jeff Grampp from Northland Capital Markets asked for an update on the potential terms for a large-scale PPA, questioning if the strengthening market has improved the outlook. He also inquired about the company's current activity and strategy regarding potential acquisitions.

Answer

President & CEO Brent Bilsland confirmed that while the power curve has softened slightly, capacity markets are much stronger, and interest from utilities has become more aggressive. Regarding M&A, he stated Hallador is actively having conversations and positioning itself to acquire coal-fired assets, which it views as a core niche for creating shareholder value.

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Jeff Grampp's questions to FLOTEK INDUSTRIES INC/CN/ (FTK) leadership

Question · Q2 2025

Jeff Grampp of Northland Securities, Inc. inquired about the progress of contracting new PowerTech units to third-party customers, the customer and geographic traction for the custody transfer business, and the sustainability of the high gross margins seen in the PowerTech assets.

Answer

CEO Ryan Ezell confirmed solid traction with five new pilot customers for PowerTech and noted the first smart filtration skid would be deployed in Q3 2025. For custody transfer, he stated nine locations are now commercial with a major E&P partner across all major US basins, with more converting soon. CFO Bond Clement addressed margins, stating that while the initial 90% was for a partial quarter, an 80-90% range is a reasonable forward-looking assumption.

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Jeff Grampp's questions to Vitesse Energy (VTS) leadership

Question · Q2 2025

Jeff Grampp of Northland Securities, Inc. questioned Vitesse's production outlook, noting that strong Q2 results contrasted with maintained full-year guidance, which implies a second-half decline. He also requested an update on the acquisition pipeline for both smaller 'ground game' deals and larger transactions, observing that deal flow appeared slower recently.

Answer

President Brian Cree explained that while Q2 production was strong, some wells came online earlier than anticipated. He noted encouraging AFE activity but affirmed the decision to maintain guidance based on current visibility. CFO Jimmy Henderson addressed acquisitions, stating that while the pipeline is robust, potential deals have not met the company's strict return hurdles. He confirmed Vitesse continues to analyze larger opportunities but remains disciplined.

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Question · Q2 2025

Jeff Grampp of Northland Capital Markets inquired about Vitesse's production outlook for the second half of 2025, noting the strong Q2 performance against maintained full-year guidance. He also asked for an update on the acquisition pipeline for both smaller 'ground game' deals and larger asset transactions.

Answer

President Brian Cree explained that while Q2 production was strong due to some wells coming online earlier than expected and AFE activity is encouraging, the company is maintaining its full-year guidance based on current visibility. CFO Jimmy Henderson added that while the deal pipeline is robust, potential near-term development deals have not met their strict return hurdles. He confirmed Vitesse continues to scrutinize larger deals and is cautiously optimistic one will reach the finish line.

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Question · Q2 2025

Jeff Grampp of Northland Securities, Inc. inquired about Vitesse's production outlook for the second half of 2025, noting that maintained full-year guidance implies a decline after a strong Q2. He also asked for an update on the acquisition pipeline for both smaller 'ground game' deals and larger transactions.

Answer

President Brian Cree explained that while Q2 production was strong, some of it was due to wells coming online earlier than anticipated. He noted encouraging AFE activity but confirmed the company is maintaining its full-year guidance based on current visibility. CFO Jimmy Henderson added that while the near-term development pipeline is robust, potential deals have not met the company's strict return hurdles. He affirmed that Vitesse continues to scrutinize larger deals and is cautiously optimistic about finding an opportunity.

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Question · Q2 2025

Jeff Grampp from Northland Securities, Inc. inquired about Vitesse's production outlook for the second half of 2025, noting that the maintained full-year guidance implies a decline after a strong Q2. He also asked for an update on the acquisition pipeline for both smaller 'ground game' deals and larger asset transactions.

Answer

President Brian Cree explained that while Q2 production was strong due to some wells coming online earlier than expected and encouraging AFE activity, the company is maintaining its full-year guidance based on current visibility. CFO James Henderson added that on the acquisitions front, while deal flow is robust, potential near-term development deals have not met the company's strict return hurdles. He confirmed Vitesse continues to scrutinize larger deals and is cautiously optimistic one will reach the finish line.

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Jeff Grampp's questions to PHX leadership

Question · Q1 2024

Questioned the prevalence of completed but shut-in wells on PHX's acreage and inquired about the Q1 acquisition pace relative to expectations for the year.

Answer

Management has not seen material deferrals of completed wells on their assets, noting that the private operators they are exposed to are still bringing wells online. Regarding acquisitions, the current conservative approach of paying down debt and building liquidity is consistent with their behavior in last year's low-price environment. They are not chasing deals but will be ready to act when the market improves.

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Jeff Grampp's questions to Fusion Fuel Green (HTOO) leadership

Question · Q4 2023

Jeff Grampp of Alliance Global Partners inquired about the company's gross margin expectations for 2024.

Answer

CFO Gavin Jones explained that for 2024, Fusion Fuel expects gross margins to be in the region of 15% for projects that include the HEVO Chain product, balance of plant equipment, and EPC services. Jones added that the company anticipates this average will increase to closer to the 20% mark in 2025, primarily as production volumes increase within their Benavente facility.

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Question · Q4 2023

Jeff Grampp from Alliance Global Partners inquired about the company's gross margin expectations for the 2024 fiscal year.

Answer

CFO Gavin Jones stated that for 2024, Fusion Fuel expects gross margins to be around 15% for projects that include the HEVO Chain product, balance of plant equipment, and EPC services. Jones added that this average is projected to increase towards 20% in 2025, primarily due to increased production volumes at their Benavente facility.

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Question · Q4 2023

Jeff Grampp from Alliance Global Partners inquired about the company's gross margin expectations for 2024 and the primary risks to achieving its annual revenue guidance.

Answer

CFO Gavin Jones explained that Fusion Fuel anticipates gross margins of approximately 15% in 2024 for projects including its HEVO Chain product, balance of plant equipment, and EPC services. He projects this margin will increase toward 20% in 2025 as production volumes scale. Jones identified project timing—from tender to contract execution—as the biggest risk to revenue guidance, but noted that a strong pipeline and prudent forecasting should help offset potential delays.

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Question · Q4 2023

Jeff Grampp of Alliance Global Partners inquired about the company's gross margin expectations for 2024.

Answer

CFO Gavin Jones stated that for 2024, Fusion Fuel expects gross margins to be in the region of 15% for projects that include the HEVO Chain product, balance of plant equipment, and EPC services. He added that this average is forecasted to increase closer to the 20% mark in 2025, particularly as production volumes increase at the Benavente facility.

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Jeff Grampp's questions to PEGY leadership

Question · Q3 2023

Asked about the potential for further gross margin expansion given equipment cost tailwinds and sought an update on the M&A environment, including whether private company valuation expectations have adjusted to current market realities.

Answer

The company believes there is still room to manage costs down but is carefully balancing high margins against competitive pricing to potentially drive volume. On M&A, they are actively pursuing deals in what they see as a favorable buyer's market with adjusted valuation expectations, and they plan to use debt for financing rather than dilutive stock issuance.

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