John Dunigan's questions to Graphic Packaging Holding Co (GPK) leadership • Q2 2025
Question
John Dunigan, on for Phil Ng, questioned the significant projected increase in free cash flow from 2026 to 2027 and asked whether achieving the full $160 million benefit from the Waco project is dependent on volume recovery.
Answer
EVP & CFO Stephen Scherger explained the 2027 free cash flow growth is driven by the company's standard growth algorithm plus the second $80 million tranche of EBITDA from the Waco facility. CEO Michael Doss clarified that while a portion of the Waco benefit is fixed from shutting down higher-cost mills, another portion does rely on the expected volume growth needed to utilize the new, low-cost capacity as it ramps up through 2027-2028.