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John Gibson

John Gibson

Vice President and Equity Research Analyst at BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc.

Calgary, AB, CA

John Gibson is a Vice President and Equity Research Analyst at BMO Capital Markets specializing in Canadian industrials and energy services, with coverage spanning companies such as RB Global, Precision Drilling, Canadian Energy Services, and Black Diamond Group. He has issued multiple stock ratings with a total success rate of roughly 47% and an average return of approximately -4%, with individual picks ranging from substantial gains to notable underperformance. Gibson began his analyst career prior to joining BMO and has established himself as a key sector specialist, most recently providing insights into niche energy and specialty business services markets. He holds the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation and maintains active registration with FINRA to perform equity research in North America.

John Gibson's questions to PRECISION DRILLING (PDS) leadership

Question · Q2 2025

John Gibson of BMO Capital Markets asked for a geographic or basin-level breakdown of where the 22 rig upgrades are targeted and inquired about the number of idle Precision rigs remaining in the Haynesville.

Answer

CFO Carey Ford stated that the upgrades are primarily targeted for basins with strong demand and a significant company presence, namely the Haynesville, Marcellus, Montney, and Canadian heavy oil regions. President and CEO Kevin Neveu added that Precision still has a 'large, high single digits' number of rigs idle in the Haynesville.

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Question · Q1 2025

John Gibson from BMO Capital Markets asked about conversations with producers and the specific commodity price levels that might trigger significant changes in capital spending plans in Canada and the U.S.

Answer

CFO Carey Ford provided his sense of the market, suggesting U.S. oil-directed activity is stable in the high $50s to low $60s WTI range. For Canada, he believes the threshold for customer concern is lower, potentially in the low $50s, due to the exchange rate and narrowed differentials. He cautioned that these are not hard thresholds provided by customers.

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Question · Q2 2024

John Gibson requested details on international rig margins, the status of potential rig activations, and an update on day rates and margins for the Super Single rigs in Canada.

Answer

CFO Carey Ford stated that specific international margins are not disclosed but are better than mid-cycle North American margins. CEO Kevin Neveu added there was no news on international activations after an unsuccessful bid in Saudi Arabia. For Super Singles, he reiterated margin guidance of $7,000-$14,000/day, with pad-equipped rigs at the high end, and noted plans to convert more rigs to pad style.

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John Gibson's questions to North American Construction Group (NOA) leadership

Question · Q1 2025

John Gibson from BMO Capital Markets inquired about the quantifiable financial impact from the severe weather in Australia during Q1 and asked about the drivers behind the improving performance in the oil sands business.

Answer

Executive Jason Veenstra quantified the weather impact in Australia at approximately 5% to 7% of gross profit margin, or about a $10 million impact. Executive Joseph Lambert explained that the oil sands improvement is due to greater operational efficiency and strong demand, and he anticipates modest year-over-year growth in that segment.

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