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John Lavallo

Managing Director and Construction Analyst at UBS Asset Management Americas Inc.

John Lovallo is a Managing Director and Construction Analyst at UBS Group, specializing in stock research focused on the homebuilding, construction materials, and related sectors. He currently covers 28 publicly traded companies, predominantly within construction, with notable coverage of Lennar, KB Home, and other leading homebuilders, as well as a range of building products and retail/wholesale firms; over the last decade, he has issued 89 stock ratings, with 50.6% Buy recommendations, 29.2% Hold, and 20.2% Sell, indicating a bullish but balanced research approach. Lovallo has been recognized for his timely calls on market cycles, including articulating a bullish stance on homebuilders despite challenging macro conditions and predicting a housing market bottom in 2026 if mortgage rates ease; while specific success rates and returns are not publicly disclosed outside subscriber platforms, his analysis is frequently cited within the investment and financial media. He has built his career at UBS Group, with no public information available on previous firms or earlier roles, and while his FINRA registration and specific securities licenses cannot be confirmed from available public sources, his prominence as a sector expert and regular appearances on CNBC reflect his standing as a trusted analyst for institutional investors.

John Lavallo's questions to Ferguson Enterprises Inc. /DE/ (FERG) leadership

Question · Q4 2025

John Lavallo asked about the implied calendar year second half operating margin, which is expected to be lower than the first half despite sales improvement, and the drivers behind this decline. He also inquired about the cadence of the $100 million expected annual savings from restructuring actions.

Answer

Kevin Murphy (CEO) attributed the expected margin decline primarily to seasonality, noting that the second half of the calendar year typically has lighter activity due to holidays. He pointed out that the guide implies continued year-over-year improvement compared to the previous calendar year's second half operating margin of 8.8%. Bill Brundage (CFO) confirmed that cost savings from streamlining actions are playing through, with improved decision-making agility. He expects roughly $25 million year-over-year savings to play through over the next three quarters, noting that Q4 costs as a percentage of sales were flat year-over-year, with underlying cost reductions offset by sales volume-driven costs and performance-linked associate pay.

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Question · Q4 2025

John Lavallo followed up on the $100 million in expected annual savings from restructuring actions, asking about the cadence of these savings and their impact in the recent fiscal fourth quarter and going forward.

Answer

CFO Bill Brundage confirmed that the cost savings from streamlining actions are playing through, with roughly $25 million year-over-year expected over the next three quarters. He noted that costs as a percentage of sales were flat year-over-year in Q4, reflecting underlying cost reductions offset by sales volume and cost inflation, including performance-linked associate pay.

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