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Jose Manuel Arroyo

Research Analyst at Santander

Jose Manuel Arroyo is an Equity Analyst at Santander specializing in European financial services, with a particular focus on large cap banking institutions such as Banco Santander, BBVA, and CaixaBank. He is recognized for delivering insightful coverage and maintaining a strong track record of accurate investment calls, with a success rate above industry average and positive returns documented on independent analyst ranking platforms. Arroyo began his career analyzing equity markets in the early 2010s and has held progressive research roles within Santander since joining the firm, previously supporting sector research at smaller Spanish investment boutiques. He holds professional credentials including securities analyst certifications and is duly registered with regulatory authorities for his advisory functions.

Jose Manuel Arroyo's questions to Ferrovial (FER) leadership

Question · Q4 2025

Jose Manuel Arroyo asked about the revenue sharing payments for NTE and I-77 in Q4, noting they were above average or annual budget, and whether this was due to a recalculation or specific Q4 factors. He also questioned the reason behind the budgeted 50% increase in the revenue sharing provision for I-77 in 2026, asking if it's a conservative assessment.

Answer

CFO Ernesto López Mozo clarified that the Q4 revenue share payments for NTE and I-77 were in line with the budget but reflected a catch-up accrual due to the budget being outperformed, and future reporting will correlate more closely with performance. For I-77's 2026 revenue sharing provision, he explained that the increase is due to the asset moving into a different bracket of revenue sharing, which creates a substantial-looking effect that will not be as pronounced in subsequent years.

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Question · Q4 2025

Jose Manuel Arroyo asked about the revenue sharing payments for NTE and I-77 in Q4, noting they appeared above average or the annual budget, and inquired if there was a specific reason or recalculation. He also questioned the budgeting of a 50% increase in the revenue sharing provision for I-77 in 2026, asking for the rationale or if it's a conservative assessment.

Answer

CFO Ernesto López Mozo explained that the Q4 revenue share for NTE and I-77 was in line with the budget, but the assets had outperformed, leading to a year-end catch-up accrual. He indicated that future accruals would likely correlate more closely with performance throughout the year. For the I-77's 2026 revenue sharing provision, López Mozo clarified that the budget accounts for a move into a new revenue sharing bracket, which creates a substantial effect in the initial year of that bracket, but this effect will not be as significant in subsequent years.

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Question · Q3 2025

Jose Manuel Arroyo asked about the potential to leverage managed lanes like I-66 and 407 ETR for dividends exceeding free cash flow, and for clarification on how 407 ETR promotions contribute to customer segmentation.

Answer

CFO Ernesto López Mozo confirmed the possibility of relevering I-66 in the coming years and clearly for 407 ETR, with some exploration for other express lanes but no short-term news. He explained that 407 ETR's segmentation involves tailoring promotions (teasers) differently for infrequent users to encourage more travel versus heavy users, based on their understood travel patterns.

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