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    Justin BowersDeutsche Bank AG

    Justin Bowers's questions to Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc (CON) leadership

    Justin Bowers's questions to Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc (CON) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Justin Bowers of Deutsche Bank asked for an explanation for the softer workers' compensation volume in Q1 2025 and whether the updated guidance assumes a specific same-store visit growth range. He also questioned if the stable employer services performance was driven by market trends or internal initiatives.

    Answer

    CEO Keith Newton attributed the Q1 softness to normal quarterly variability rather than a specific underlying issue. President & CFO Matthew DiCanio added that the back-half guidance assumes performance closer to the year-to-date average of Q1 and Q2, not just the strong Q2 results. On employer services, Newton described the performance as a mix of both internal initiatives, like sales restructuring, and a stable, albeit not rapidly growing, labor market.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc (CON) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Justin Bowers asked about the typical seasonality of workers' compensation fee schedule updates and inquired about any weather impacts in Q1, as well as the strategy for gaining market share with large Fortune 500 accounts.

    Answer

    Executive William Newton explained that 80-90% of workers' comp rate updates occur in Q1, with a majority effective January 1, and the remainder staggered in July and October. He noted that while weather has an impact, it's difficult to quantify year-over-year, so it wasn't called out. Regarding large accounts, Newton described a value proposition centered on deep integration with employers and their TPA partners, leveraging technology to speed up communication and return-to-work, which validation studies have shown can save clients 25-30% on healthcare costs.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc (CON) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Justin Bowers from Deutsche Bank asked for a summary of Concentra's long-term growth algorithm, clarification on whether the 2025 guidance includes development activity beyond what was announced, and the extent of the company's exposure to government payers.

    Answer

    Executive William Newton reiterated the company's long-term target of mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth, driven by low single-digit visit growth, approximately 3% rate increases, and ongoing de novo and M&A activities. He confirmed the 2025 guidance only includes the one center already opened and five with signed leases, with no further M&A assumed. Newton also stated that government payer exposure from Medicare and Medicaid is negligible, at less than 1% of the business.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Concentra Group Holdings Parent Inc (CON) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Justin Bowers of Deutsche Bank asked for commentary on the business's seasonality and the factors driving the implied sequential decline for Q4 in the guidance. He also sought clarification on the timing for new center openings and the release of 2025 guidance.

    Answer

    Executive William Newton confirmed Q4 is historically the slowest quarter due to holidays and weather. Executive Matthew DiCanio added that the implied Q4 performance is expected to show stronger year-over-year growth than the first three quarters. DiCanio clarified that two new centers will open in Q4, with ten new on-site clinics ramping up through Q4 and into 2025. He also indicated that 2025 guidance would likely be issued before the Q4 earnings release.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Fortrea Holdings Inc (FTRE) leadership

    Justin Bowers's questions to Fortrea Holdings Inc (FTRE) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Justin Bowers from Deutsche Bank inquired about the current demand environment across the pharma and biotech sectors and requested an update on the company's robust Phase I (Clinical Pharmacology) business, particularly regarding its reliance on third-party capacity.

    Answer

    CEO Anshul Thakral expressed cautious optimism, noting that RFP pipelines are trending upwards for both biotech and large pharma. CFO Jill McConnell added that the Clinical Pharmacology business continues to be an industry leader but is facing capacity constraints, necessitating the use of third-party support, which the company is actively working to manage and normalize.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Fortrea Holdings Inc (FTRE) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Justin Bowers inquired about the performance of the clinical pharmacology segment, asking about RFP volume, the outlook for the year, any changes in win rates, and plans for price optimization.

    Answer

    CEO Tom Pike described the clinical pharmacology business as strong, noting that while Q1 bookings were slightly soft, the pipeline has since recovered. He highlighted the success of a strategic shift to focus more on large pharma clients. Pike also mentioned that the company is working to convert more pass-through work, which involves third-party services due to capacity constraints, into direct service revenue.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Fortrea Holdings Inc (FTRE) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Justin Bowers inquired about the assumptions behind the 2025 guidance, specifically the implied backlog burn rate, the mix of business opportunities, and the expected ratios for cost of services and SG&A.

    Answer

    CEO Tom Pike stated the business mix remains around 50/50 between large pharma and biotech. CFO Jill McConnell confirmed that the implied burn rate is an appropriate way to model for now, given the slower-burning nature of the current project mix. McConnell also guided for an 80 basis point reduction in SG&A as a percentage of revenue in 2025, with another 100 basis points targeted for 2026.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Fortrea Holdings Inc (FTRE) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Justin Bowers asked for a characterization of the current large pharma spending environment and the status of industry restructurings, and also questioned which component of the Q4 EBITDA bridge—revenue growth or cost savings—has more variability.

    Answer

    CEO Tom Pike categorized large pharma clients into three groups (growing, flat, and slow-growth), noting Fortrea's exposure is manageable. CFO Jill McConnell explained that Q4 EBITDA variability is influenced by factors like variable compensation and the timing of revenue from large clinical pharmacology projects, which can be affected by holiday schedules.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Select Medical Holdings Corp (SEM) leadership

    Justin Bowers's questions to Select Medical Holdings Corp (SEM) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Justin Bowers from Deutsche Bank asked about the expected performance of the outpatient rehab business for the remainder of the year and the mid-term outlook for its EBITDA margins. He also sought to understand the Q2 financial impact of the high-cost outlier threshold and the policy initiatives being pursued to influence CMS.

    Answer

    EVP & CFO Michael Malatesta stated that outpatient rehab is expected to continue improving, targeting a 10% EBITDA margin by late 2025 or early 2026, driven by scheduling initiatives. Co-Founder & Executive Chairman Robert Ortenzio added that he is bullish on the division due to system upgrades. Ortenzio also noted that the current CMS administration is more open to dialogue on policy reform and that the Q2 outlier impact was less significant than in Q1, as anticipated.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Select Medical Holdings Corp (SEM) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Justin Bowers inquired about the Inpatient Rehabilitation Facility (IRF) occupancy outlook for the remainder of the year, given new capacity, and asked for quantification of the miss in the Long-Term Acute Care (LTAC) segment attributed to regulatory factors.

    Answer

    Executive Robert Ortenzio projected that IRF occupancy would remain strong at around 85% or higher, even with new hospitals coming online. Executive Martin Jackson clarified that the regulatory impact on the LTAC segment was larger than anticipated, particularly the 100% increase in high-cost outlier costs year-over-year, and noted this impact was factored into the revised guidance.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Select Medical Holdings Corp (SEM) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Justin Bowers of Bowers & Co. sought to clarify Select Medical's post-spin-off growth outlook for 2025, the maturation timeline and start-up costs for its extensive development pipeline, and the company's new long-term growth algorithm.

    Answer

    Martin Jackson, an executive, confirmed market confusion regarding the Concentra spin-off and validated the growth metrics. He explained that new inpatient rehab facilities mature quickly, projecting significant double-digit EBITDA growth in 2026 and 2027. For the near-term, Jackson anticipates double-digit EBITDA growth for the inpatient rehab and outpatient segments, with low single-digit growth for the critical illness (LTAC) division.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Select Medical Holdings Corp (SEM) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Justin Bowers from Deutsche Bank asked about Select Medical's post-spin capital deployment strategy, questioning the preference between deleveraging and share buybacks and inquiring about the company's optimal leverage range. He also sought clarification on LTAC development plans and the final Medicare rate for inpatient rehabilitation facilities (IRF).

    Answer

    Executive Robert Ortenzio explained that maintaining a leverage ratio around 3x is a key priority to preserve flexibility. He reiterated the company's opportunistic approach to capital deployment, balancing a robust development pipeline with deleveraging and stock buybacks. Ortenzio added that LTAC growth will be judicious, favoring less capital-intensive hospital-within-a-hospital models. Executive Martin Jackson confirmed the IRF Medicare base rate is expected to be in the 3% range.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Repligen Corp (RGEN) leadership

    Justin Bowers's questions to Repligen Corp (RGEN) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Justin Bowers asked about the margin trajectory outlined in the five-year strategic plan for both gross and operating margins. He also requested clarification on the moving parts affecting margins in the current quarter and outlook, such as tariffs and FX, and asked about the pricing assumption.

    Answer

    CFO Jason Garland stated the company is still targeting a 30% EBITDA margin over the five-year plan, driven by productivity, volume leverage, and modest pricing. For Q2, he explained that margin was impacted by an unfavorable mix from high chromatography resin pass-through sales but was supported by volume. He expects sequential margin improvement in Q3 and Q4. He confirmed the pricing assumption is low single digits, which has been achieved year-to-date.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Repligen Corp (RGEN) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Justin Bowers asked for Repligen's perspective on recent announcements from large biopharma companies about onshoring and increasing CapEx, and whether this is leading to early discussions. He also requested clarification on the expected gross margin cadence for the remainder of the year.

    Answer

    Executive Olivier Loeillot viewed the onshoring trend as a positive long-term tailwind, confirming that early discussions are happening with these key customers. Executive Jason Garland explained that Q1 gross margin was a high point due to a favorable protein mix, and he expects margins to be around 52% for the rest of the year, with productivity and volume leverage offsetting mix shifts.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Repligen Corp (RGEN) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Justin Bowers of Deutsche Bank requested more detail on the hardware strength, including any platform wins, and asked about the growth drivers in APAC ex-China, specifically the mix between CDMO and pharma.

    Answer

    President and CEO Olivier Loeillot confirmed hardware strength was broad-based and driven by differentiated solutions with integrated PAT. He revealed that Repligen is now being 'platformed' at 3-4 large pharma companies for its CFF manufacturing solutions. Regarding APAC ex-China, he described the growth as balanced, citing Korea's mix of large CDMOs and biosimilar firms, and highlighted Japan and Singapore as other key growth regions.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Repligen Corp (RGEN) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Justin Bowers asked for perspective on whether 2025 will be a year of normalization for the industry, the key swing factors for growth, and the current activity levels in process development.

    Answer

    President and CEO Olivier Loeillot expressed that Repligen is in a much better spot than a year ago, citing strong momentum in CDMO, pharma, and consumables. He identified equipment uptake and emerging biotech softness as areas to watch. He noted that while process development activity could be constrained by funding, Repligen is not seeing an impact due to high customer engagement.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to ICON PLC (ICLR) leadership

    Justin Bowers's questions to ICON PLC (ICLR) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Justin Bowers of Deutsche Bank requested insight into the new opportunities in ICON's pipeline, asking about the mix by therapeutic area and customer type, and what is needed for these opportunities to convert into bookings.

    Answer

    CEO Steve Cutler identified oncology as the primary driver of backlog and new wins. He also highlighted a significant uptick in the cardiovascular and metabolism therapeutic area, largely driven by obesity and NASH-related studies. In terms of trial phase, he noted that both early-phase and Phase III work are moving forward nicely.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to ICON PLC (ICLR) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Justin Bowers from Deutsche Bank asked about the current stage of large pharma reprioritization and what levers ICON can pull to increase its revenue burn rate.

    Answer

    CEO Dr. Steve Cutler stated that large pharma is currently focused on cost reduction but will eventually shift to R&D spending and M&A, positioning ICON well. COO Barry Balfe explained that the burn rate can be increased by accelerating trial execution through standardized best practices. CFO Nigel Clerkin confirmed the burn rate is a factor in the guidance range.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to ICON PLC (ICLR) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Justin Bowers inquired about the current demand environment for both large pharma and biotech customers, and whether the observed strength in Phase I clinical trials should be seen as a leading indicator for future Phase II and III work.

    Answer

    CEO Dr. Steve Cutler responded that the overall demand environment is solid, with stable opportunity flow from large pharma and low single-digit growth in biotech. While ICON's early-phase business is seeing a positive trend, he cautioned that there isn't a strong historical correlation for Phase I strength to directly pull through into later-phase studies for the same projects, describing the connection as 'fairly loose'.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to ICON PLC (ICLR) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Justin Bowers asked a two-part question on large pharma, seeking clarity on the persistence of development model changes and whether the two challenging customers would be a headwind in 2025 while the rest of the top 20 cohort grows.

    Answer

    CEO Dr. Steve Cutler confirmed it was a reasonable characterization that the two specific customers would be a headwind, but noted that growth outside of these accounts is strong, around 6%, and driven by higher-margin full-service work. He described development model preferences as cyclical and stated ICON is well-positioned with its hybrid model to capture work regardless of whether customers favor functional or full-service approaches.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to West Pharmaceutical Services Inc (WST) leadership

    Justin Bowers's questions to West Pharmaceutical Services Inc (WST) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Justin Bowers from Deutsche Bank asked for an update on customer destocking, particularly in the strong generics segment, and what market conditions are necessary for West to return to durable high-single-digit growth.

    Answer

    CEO Eric Green stated that while some destocking headwinds persist in generics, ordering patterns are broadly normalizing. He emphasized that returning to the long-term growth algorithm depends on the High-Value Products (HVP) components business, which is expected to see stronger growth in the second half of the year driven by GLP-1 demand, biologics, and Annex One conversions.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to West Pharmaceutical Services Inc (WST) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Justin Bowers followed up on the HVP supply constraint, asking for confirmation of the product line and whether some demand might shift into 2026. He also inquired about the tariff impact, specifically whether it affects component sourcing or finished goods.

    Answer

    CEO Eric Green confirmed the constraint is within an HVP plant and acknowledged that some demand could potentially spill over into 2026. Regarding tariffs, management clarified the impact is on both sourced components and finished goods, and that estimates for these costs are embedded in the current guidance.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to West Pharmaceutical Services Inc (WST) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Justin Bowers of Deutsche Bank sought clarification on whether the 100-150 basis points of growth from Annex 1 was specific to 2025 and if the focus on improving device profitability was related to Proprietary Products or Contract Manufacturing. He also asked about recent price/incentive headwinds.

    Answer

    CEO Eric Green confirmed the 100-150 bps growth from Annex 1 is a 2025 impact as projects convert to revenue. He specified his comments on device profitability were focused on the Proprietary SmartDose platform. He also clarified that the majority of a specific $0.44 EPS headwind was related to a device incentive, with a smaller portion from the CGM business transition.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to West Pharmaceutical Services Inc (WST) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Justin Bowers asked for an assessment of the current stage ('inning') of the destocking cycle across different product components and whether the high decremental margins seen recently could lead to stronger-than-normal incremental margins during the recovery.

    Answer

    CEO Eric Green detailed the destocking status by segment: pharma is mostly normalized, biologics destocking is getting closer to the end, and some generics destocking will persist into early 2025. CFO Bernard Birkett stated that once demand and mix normalize, margins should return to 2023 levels and then grow according to their long-term construct of ~100 bps annually, implying a strong recovery potential driven by the HVP mix.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Medpace Holdings Inc (MEDP) leadership

    Justin Bowers's questions to Medpace Holdings Inc (MEDP) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Justin Bowers of Deutsche Bank requested clarification on the hiring growth forecast, asked about the mix of the pre-backlog pipeline, the timing of the cancellation inflection, and the level of change order activity.

    Answer

    President Jesse Geiger clarified the full-year headcount growth target is around 5-6%. CEO August Troendle confirmed the pre-backlog pipeline shows a continued shift towards metabolic studies and could not pinpoint an exact intra-quarter timing for the cancellation improvement. Both executives stated there was nothing unusual about change order activity during the quarter.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Medpace Holdings Inc (MEDP) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Justin Bowers from Deutsche Bank followed up on the faster program progression in Q1, asking if it was driven by internal execution or external client pressure. He also sought clarity on whether in-flight cancellations were elevated and if pricing pressure was coming from mid-sized or larger CRO competitors.

    Answer

    CFO Kevin Brady noted that Q1's strong program progression was not due to any specific internal changes but reflected the steady execution of active trials. CEO August Troendle confirmed that funding issues have been a significant driver of in-flight backlog cancellations, in addition to drug performance. President Jesse Geiger added that pricing pressure is coming from both mid-sized and larger competitors, as well as clients' own funding constraints.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Medpace Holdings Inc (MEDP) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Justin Bowers from Deutsche Bank asked about trends in pre-backlog awards and associated cancellations compared to the main backlog. He also inquired if the demand environment's trajectory of improving quality and stabilizing pricing was still intact and if decision-making velocity had changed.

    Answer

    CEO August Troendle reported that the flow into pre-backlog awards remains 'okay' and that cancellations decreased in that category, which had been a major headwind in 2024. He noted the business environment improved through the first three quarters of 2024 but felt weaker in Q4, emphasizing that the main issue had been funding-related cancellations rather than decision delays.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Medpace Holdings Inc (MEDP) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Justin Bowers inquired about the proportion of the current backlog originating from the 2020-2021 award vintage. He also asked about the historical contribution of the pre-backlog pipeline to quarterly bookings, the outlook for employee growth, and the expected trend for reimbursable costs.

    Answer

    CEO August Troendle did not provide a specific breakout of the backlog by award year but acknowledged that projects from that period still represent a "chunk" of the backlog. He reiterated that virtually 100% of quarterly bookings come from the pre-existing pipeline. President Jesse Geiger stated that headcount growth was modest but is expected to accelerate in 2025. CFO Kevin Brady noted that while reimbursable costs are stabilizing, they will likely remain somewhat elevated compared to the historical 33-35% range.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Charles River Laboratories International Inc (CRL) leadership

    Justin Bowers's questions to Charles River Laboratories International Inc (CRL) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Justin Bowers followed up on the faster study starts, asking if the trend continued into May, whether it was isolated to large pharma, and if there were any changes in large pharma booking patterns.

    Answer

    CEO James Foster clarified that the fast starts were seen across the client base, not just large pharma, but reiterated it was likely a one-quarter phenomenon. CFO Flavia Pease added that the Q1 activity provides positive visibility for the first half of the year, but they are not assuming the trend will continue into the second half.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Charles River Laboratories International Inc (CRL) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Justin Bowers sought clarification on whether the sequential stability in DSA bookings referred to the book-to-bill ratio or nominal bookings. He also asked for the underlying drivers of the projected mid-to-high single-digit organic revenue decline for DSA in 2025.

    Answer

    EVP & CFO Flavia Pease confirmed the stability was in the net book-to-bill ratio. Chair, President & CEO James Foster explained the 2025 DSA revenue decline will be driven roughly equally by both lower volume and lower pricing, whereas the 2024 decline was principally volume-driven.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Charles River Laboratories International Inc (CRL) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Justin Bowers from Deutsche Bank asked about the significant improvement in Safety Assessment bookings and cancellations, questioning if it was broad-based and if the current level represents a stable run rate. He also inquired about how far out customers are booking and if pharma restructuring is creating CRADL opportunities.

    Answer

    Chairman, President and CEO James Foster confirmed lower cancellation rates across the client base and noted that biotech demand feels more stable, though the recovery is slow. EVP and CFO Flavia Pease added that study start times vary widely, from within a month to nine months out. She also noted that while the CRADL model remains attractive, some biotechs are rightsizing their space, causing some softness.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to IQVIA Holdings Inc (IQV) leadership

    Justin Bowers's questions to IQVIA Holdings Inc (IQV) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Justin Bowers inquired about the primary drivers for the strong performance in Real-World Evidence (RWE) during the quarter, the outlook for the order book for the remainder of the year, and the sustainability of this outperformance.

    Answer

    Chairman and CEO Ari Bousbib explained that the Technology & Analytics Solutions (TAS) segment's outperformance was led by strong double-digit growth in RWE. He attributed this to a return of both discretionary and mission-critical work that had been previously delayed, creating pent-up demand. Based on the current book of business, he expects this positive trend to continue.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to IQVIA Holdings Inc (IQV) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Justin Bowers of Deutsche Bank asked about capital deployment plans, given the underspend relative to the annual target, and whether pricing pressure was expanding beyond FSP to full-service outsourcing.

    Answer

    CEO Ari Bousbib confirmed capital deployment is below the $2-3 billion target due to uncompleted large M&A deals and stated a strong intention to 'massively buy' shares in Q4. He affirmed that pricing pressure is tough 'across the board' in both commercial and R&DS, driven by large pharma rebids and aggressive pricing from smaller competitors.

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    Justin Bowers's questions to Bio-Techne Corp (TECH) leadership

    Justin Bowers's questions to Bio-Techne Corp (TECH) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Justin Bowers of Deutsche Bank asked if the similar Q2 growth outlook implies a divergence between segments, with Protein Sciences at low-single-digits and Diagnostics at mid-teens. He also sought confirmation on large pharma spending stability and trends within Protein Sciences' sub-businesses.

    Answer

    CFO Jim Hippel indicated that while the company doesn't guide by segment, the outlook suggests a gradual improvement in Protein Sciences as biotech momentum builds. He noted that Diagnostics and Spatial Biology growth could moderate from Q1's high level due to lumpiness in its OEM business. Hippel confirmed that large pharma spending has been stable sequentially since dropping off early in the calendar year, with no significant change expected until new budgets are released in 2025.

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