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Karen Holthouse

Karen Holthouse

Senior Equity Analyst at Citigroup Global Markets Holdings Inc.

De Pere, WI, US

Karen Holthouse is a Senior Equity Analyst at Citigroup specializing in the U.S. services sector, with particular expertise in restaurant and food distribution companies. She actively covers firms including US Foods Holding Corp. and Performance Food Group, consistently delivering stock ratings with a success rate of 70.49% and an average return of 6.44%. Holthouse began her career over a decade ago, previously holding analyst roles at Goldman Sachs before joining Citi, and she is recognized as an accomplished equity researcher with ongoing coverage of 22 stocks. She maintains professional credentials including FINRA registration and relevant securities licenses, marking her as a prominent and credible figure in Wall Street’s equity research community.

Karen Holthouse's questions to JACK IN THE BOX (JACK) leadership

Question · Q1 2026

Karen Holthouse asked about the guardrails for the remodel program, specifically the cost per unit, key elements driving curb appeal, and how franchisees plan to fund these efforts. She also inquired about potential corporate incentives or financial support for franchisees when a broader remodel program is rolled out later in the year.

Answer

CEO Lance Tucker explained that the current focus is on a 'mini refresh' to improve curb appeal with cosmetic changes (paint, parking lot, landscaping) costing under $20,000 (under $10,000 for franchisees). He confirmed that for a future full-scale reimage program, corporate would provide meaningful financial assistance, estimating it to be around the 35% contribution level seen in previous programs.

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Question · Q1 2026

Karen Holthouse inquired about the guardrails for the mini-refresh remodel program, including the cost per unit, key elements driving curb appeal, and how franchisees plan to fund these updates. She also asked if financial support or incentives are expected for a broader remodel program later in the year.

Answer

CEO Lance Tucker described the current mini-refresh as cosmetic, costing under $20,000 (or under $10,000 for franchisees) for paint, parking lot work, and landscaping, intended to improve curb appeal until a full reimage program is established. He confirmed that corporate would make a meaningful contribution to a future full-scale reimage program, similar to the 35% contribution in the most recent prior program.

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Karen Holthouse's questions to US Foods Holding (USFD) leadership

Question · Q4 2025

Karen Holthouse asked about any observed impacts of GLP-1s on restaurant customers, including concerns, innovation requests, and how this might influence US Foods' Scoop strategy for the year. She also inquired about the factors that would push the independent case growth guidance (4%-7%) towards the lower or higher end of the range, specifically differentiating between macro-related factors and internal self-help initiatives.

Answer

Dave Flitman (CEO, US Foods) stated no significant shifts have been observed yet, but believes GLP-1 impacts (healthier choices, portion sizes) align with US Foods' strengths in Center of Plate and produce, and their ability to assist with menu design. He clarified that while self-help efforts will be consistent, macro factors like foot traffic will primarily determine whether independent case growth lands at the lower or higher end of the guidance range.

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Question · Q4 2025

Karen Holthouse asked about any observed impacts from GLP-1 medications on the restaurant side, including customer concerns, innovation requests, and how this might influence the company's Scoop strategy for the year. She also inquired about the factors that would push the 4%-7% independent case growth guidance towards the lower or higher end of the range, distinguishing between macro-dependent factors and internal/self-help initiatives.

Answer

CEO Dave Flitman stated that the company hasn't seen significant shifts from GLP-1s but believes any impact towards healthier choices would align well with their portfolio, which includes a large portion of Center of Plate and produce. He noted that customer requests for menu design and portion sizes play to their strengths. Regarding independent case growth guidance, Flitman explained that while self-help initiatives are consistent, macro factors like foot traffic would primarily influence whether results lean towards the lower or higher end of the range.

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Question · Q2 2025

Karen Holthouse from Citigroup noted the 80 basis point increase in private label penetration and asked if the company is now past the post-COVID challenges that hindered growth in this area, and what the outlook is from here.

Answer

CEO Dave Flitman confirmed that the post-COVID supply chain challenges for private label products are 'behind us.' He stated that momentum has been ramping up for the last 12-18 months and that he sees 'no near-term ceiling' to penetration growth, supported by a confident sales force and a strong product innovation pipeline, including an upcoming Scoop launch.

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Karen Holthouse's questions to Performance Food Group (PFGC) leadership

Question · Q2 2026

Karen Holthouse asked about the underlying health of the Florida market, excluding Cheney Brothers' noise, specifically addressing concerns about international tourism, theme park attendance, and Canadian snowbird travel. Karen Holthouse also inquired about geographic performance in the quarter to date, prior to the recent major weather events.

Answer

CEO Scott McPherson noted Cheney's strong independent share gains in Florida and acknowledged a slowdown in international/Canadian travel and theme park attendance, but expressed overall confidence in Florida's growth. He also stated that January (start of Q3) showed pretty consistent performance across the map, without material lulls or surges, contrasting with prior reported slowness in the Midwest and Canadian fringe travel areas.

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Question · Q2 2026

Karen Holthouse asked about the underlying health of the Florida market, excluding Cheney Brothers' noise, specifically addressing concerns around travel, tourism (international, theme parks), and the impact of snowbird season. She also inquired about geographic performance in the quarter to date prior to the recent major weather events.

Answer

Scott McPherson, EVP and Chief Field Operations Officer, Performance Food Group Company, expressed satisfaction with Cheney's independent share gain in Florida. He acknowledged a slowdown in international and Canadian travel, and theme park attendance, but maintained confidence in Florida's overall growth and the company's performance in the state. Regarding geographic performance, Mr. McPherson noted pretty consistent performance across the map in January (the start of Q3), with no material lulls or surges, contrasting with prior calls.

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Karen Holthouse's questions to Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) leadership

Question · Q2 2025

Karen Holthouse, on for Jon Tower at Citigroup, asked if Texas Roadhouse would consider offering third-party delivery on a unit-by-unit basis, particularly if managing partners in certain markets requested it.

Answer

CEO Gerald Morgan responded that the company has resisted third-party delivery for the core Texas Roadhouse brand, with the exception of one urban location in New York. While it is used at Jaggers and Bubba's, the current focus for Roadhouse remains on the in-restaurant and proprietary to-go experience. He stated they will continue to have conversations but are holding the line for now.

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Karen Holthouse's questions to CHEESECAKE FACTORY (CAKE) leadership

Question · Q3 2024

Karen Holthouse, on for Jon Tower, asked for the Q3 commodity inflation figure and requested more detail on customer engagement with the rewards program, particularly the role of reservation access.

Answer

EVP and CFO Matt Clark stated that Q3 commodity inflation was approximately 1%. President David Gordon explained that high usage of reservations indicates their importance to members. He added that the program is successfully driving incremental visits from moderate and frequent guests, who report even higher satisfaction scores, and that the company continues to test unpublished rewards to maintain margin neutrality.

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Karen Holthouse's questions to BJs RESTAURANTS (BJRI) leadership

Question · Q3 2023

Karen Holthouse, on for Jon Tower, asked if menu simplification could lead to smaller kitchen and restaurant footprints for new builds in the future. She also requested the marketing spend for the quarter and clarification on the adjusted EPS calculation.

Answer

President Lyle Tick confirmed that menu simplification could absolutely enable different, potentially smaller, restaurant formats in the future as part of a 'right cost, right size, right place' strategy. Interim CEO Brad Richmond added that they are also exploring menu regionalization for the existing store base. On the modeling questions, management stated that marketing spend was approximately 1.9% of sales in Q3 and that they would follow up regarding the specifics of the adjusted EPS calculation.

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