Lawson Winder's questions to MP Materials Corp (MP) leadership • Q2 2025
Question
Lawson Winder sought clarity on the assumptions underlying the $650 million minimum EBITDA guidance, particularly regarding oxide sales to China, and asked if the new hydrochloric acid facility could lower the long-term marginal cost target.
Answer
CFO Ryan Corbett confirmed the guidance excludes any sales to China and is based on achieving targeted 6,000-ton NDPR throughput, the minimum contracted EBITDA from the DoD for the 10x facility, and conservative assumptions for the Independence plant. He also clarified the HCL facility is the same as the chlor-alkali project, which is an investment in redundancy and resiliency, not necessarily a change to the overall cost target.