Marissa Lobo's questions to Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) leadership • Q2 2025
Question
Marissa Lobo inquired about the potential impact of a lower interest rate environment on Assured Guaranty's primary and secondary public finance business, and also sought details on the increase in below-investment-grade exposures, particularly regarding non-US credits like Thames Water.
Answer
President and CEO Dominic Frederico explained that lower rates have mixed effects, potentially depressing premium calculations but also stimulating more issuance and refunding activity. COO Robert Bailenson added that the secondary market provides a balance with higher-return opportunities. Regarding credit, Mr. Frederico and CFO Benjamin Rosenblum clarified that while their internal ratings can be conservative, their position in the capital stack often makes actual losses remote, describing loss reserves as primarily an accounting concept. For Thames Water specifically, Mr. Frederico expressed confidence in their well-protected position within the operating company's capital structure.