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Matthew M. Breese

Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst at Stephens Inc. /ar/

Matthew M. Breese is a Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst at Stephens Inc., specializing in Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regional banks with a coverage focus that includes companies such as Signature Bank, Sun Bancorp, Chicopee Bancorp, Beneficial Bancorp, Cape Bancorp, National Penn Bancshares, Merchants Bancshares, Bank of Hawaii, First Connecticut Bancorp, Bancorp, Astoria Financial, and more. Over more than a decade in equity research, Breese has established a strong performance record, with a 59% success rate and an average return of 7.4% per rating according to TipRanks, including notable stock picks like a 282% return on Signature Bank. He began his analyst career at Sterne Agee in 2008, moved to Piper Jaffray in 2015, and joined Stephens as Managing Director in August 2019. Breese holds a BA in Accounting and Finance from the University of Rhode Island and is FINRA registered, confirming relevant securities licenses and regulatory credentials.

Matthew M. Breese's questions to NBT BANCORP (NBTB) leadership

Question · Q3 2025

Matthew M. Breese posed several margin-related questions, including the spot cost of deposits at quarter-end or the most recent date, and the roll-on versus roll-off dynamics for fixed and adjustable-rate loans. He also questioned when NBT Bancorp expects a more pronounced pickup in securities yields as the back book resets or matures. Finally, Mr. Breese inquired about the potential for near-term securities growth as part of earning asset expansion, and the extent to which the company might utilize its excess cash position for this purpose.

Answer

Scott Kingsley, NBT Bancorp's CEO and President, noted that the spot cost of deposits was not immediately available but likely slightly lower in October than September due to post-Fed rate change adjustments. Annette Burns, CFO, detailed loan roll-on/off dynamics, indicating a 50 bps differential for commercial loans, near parity for indirect auto (depending on the yield curve belly), and about 160 bps room for residential mortgages between portfolio and new origination yields. Mr. Kingsley explained that the securities portfolio is cash-flowing, primarily mortgage-backed, with orderly cash flows of a couple hundred million dollars annually, and acknowledged that portfolio yields are below peers due to not undertaking a one-time restructuring. Regarding earning asset growth, Mr. Kingsley confirmed flexibility for securities growth, emphasizing a duration-based risk-reward approach and no plans for significant duration mismatches, with a primary focus on collateralization for municipal deposits rather than incremental earnings from large security additions.

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Matthew M. Breese's questions to VALLEY NATIONAL BANCORP (VLY) leadership

Question · Q3 2025

Matthew M. Breese sought clarification on the 4-6% normalized loan growth range for 2026 and the outlook for deposit growth, including the potential for a further lowering of the loan-to-deposit ratio. He also asked about Valley National Bancorp's thoughts on strategic alternatives, including a potential sale, given the opening M&A window for big banks.

Answer

Travis Lan, CFO, confirmed the 4-6% loan growth expectation for 2026, anticipating deposit growth to exceed loan growth, with a long-term goal of reducing the loan-to-deposit ratio to 90% and loans to non-brokered deposits closer to 100%. Ira Robbins, CEO, reiterated that all strategic decisions, including M&A, are guided by a 'shareholder first' principle.

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