Question · Q3 2025
Michael Gorman asked about the compression of the lease-to-economic occupancy spread and whether it could fall below 2021 levels, or where it might stabilize into 2026 and beyond, given strong leasing and retention. He also questioned the balance between the strong grocer sector and increasing consumer spend on eating out, asking if both can continue to grow or how the consumer adapts if the economic environment softens.
Answer
DJ Busch, President and CEO, explained that the occupancy spread is largely timing-dependent, with a normal run rate of 150-200 basis points, and noted a $5 million signed but not open pipeline expected to contribute significantly to NOI next year. Regarding grocers and dining out, Mr. Busch observed that in InvenTrust's portfolio, these categories have acted as complements rather than substitutes, with both performing well. He attributed this to strong in-migration in their markets and the quality of their grocer tenants like Publix and H-E-B, who have invested in stores and achieved ID sales growth.