Question · Q4 2025
Mitch, on behalf of Greg Peters, asked for an update on commercial auto renewal pricing in the fourth quarter and the estimated additional rate required to maintain underwriting margins in 2026. He also inquired about the expected translation of reinvestment yields (70 basis points above book yield) into net investment income growth for 2026, considering a declining rate environment.
Answer
CEO Steve Spray reported that commercial auto rates were up mid-single digits in Q4, expressing confidence that prospective pricing exceeds loss costs. He highlighted Cincinnati Financial's focus as a package writer, not heavily involved in long-haul trucking, which contributes to more predictable results and slight profitability in commercial auto for 2025. CIO Steve Soloria stated that longer maturity rates are expected to hold steady, allowing consistent investment of strong cash flow from insurance operations. He anticipates solid investment income growth in 2026 and beyond, despite Federal Reserve caution on short-term rates.
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