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Monique Greco

Monique Greco

Research Analyst at Itau Unibanco Holding S.A.

Brazil

Monique Greco is the lead Oil & Gas Equity Research Analyst at Itaú BBA, overseeing coverage of major Brazilian petroleum companies and bringing more than a decade of experience in the sector. She is recognized for her strategic insights and was ranked 10th in the 2024 Broadcast Analysts Awards for her work covering companies such as Braskem, demonstrating impactful investment calls and a strong performance track record in her field. Greco began her analyst career over ten years ago and, prior to joining Itaú BBA, accumulated extensive experience in various financial institutions. She holds a robust set of professional credentials in securities analysis and is known for her thorough sector expertise and leadership in research.

Monique Greco's questions to Cosan (CSAN) leadership

Question · Q3 2025

Monique Greco asked for details on the streamlining measures at the Holdco level, including implementation status, timeframe, and the goal of cutting annual expenses by half. She also inquired about the divestment agenda, specifically the order and pipeline of assets.

Answer

Rodrigo Araujo Alves, CFO of Cosan, confirmed mapped streamlining processes, including decentralization, aiming for BRL 30 million in savings next year and a goal to cut costs by half. Marcelo Martins, VP of Finance, Cosan, stated that divestments would follow capital allocation priority, starting with Radar, with other businesses considered for diluted stakes depending on strategy and market opportunities.

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Question · Q2 2025

Monique Grego from Itau BBA focused on Raizen, asking about the ideal conditions for bringing in a strategic partner. She also followed up on the Move insurance claim, requesting more color on the expected timing of cash receipts and the potential results generation capacity of Move's new production arrangement.

Answer

Executive Marcelo Martins confirmed that bringing in a strategic partner for Raizen is a preferred option being actively pursued with Shell, highlighting a sense of urgency. CFO Rodrigo Araujo praised Raizen's operational performance. Regarding Move, Rodrigo reiterated that the company would not provide guidance but is focused on optimizing the new production ecosystem and that volume recovery is on track.

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Question · Q2 2024

Monique Greco asked about the primary challenges for CapEx execution at the subsidiary level in the current high-interest-rate environment and where there is room to adjust investment plans. She also inquired about the Radar business, specifically the reason for no Q2 land appraisal, current land market conditions, and the status of the joint venture with Nuveen.

Answer

Executive Rodrigo Alves addressed the CapEx question, stating that the need for higher returns and execution challenges apply across all businesses, and that portfolio optimization has been ongoing at Rumo, Compass, and Raízen. On the second question, Executive Ana Luísa Perina explained that Radar's most significant land appraisal occurs annually in the third quarter. She added that the joint venture with Nuveen expands opportunities for portfolio recycling and value creation.

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Monique Greco's questions to PETROBRAS - PETROLEO BRASILEIRO (PBR) leadership

Question · Q2 2025

Monique Greco of Itaú BBA inquired about the potential for CapEx to exceed the $18.5 billion guidance, considering upcoming opportunities like pre-salt auctions and investments in areas such as ethanol.

Answer

CEO Magda Chambriard stated that while Petrobras will always evaluate opportunities in its home territory, including pre-salt auctions and renewable fuels, any investment will only proceed if it makes clear economic sense and aligns with the company's business plan. She emphasized that all projects, whether in E&P or energy transition, must meet strict profitability and attractiveness criteria before being approved.

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Question · Q4 2024

Monique Greco of Itaú BBA requested more detail on the connection between the additional $2 billion in Q4 CapEx and accelerated production in the Buzios field, asking if it was tied to completed projects or the anticipation of future ones like Buzios 8-11.

Answer

Executive Director of Engineering, Technology and Innovation, Renata Baruzzi, explained the spending was part of a 'herculean effort' to recover timelines on delayed projects, specifically mentioning P78 and P79 in the Buzios area. An executive added that the strategy involved both mitigating further delays on some projects (P-68, P-69) and actively pulling forward the start of others, such as the Almirante Tamandare and Maria Quiteria FPSOs, which began operations earlier than originally scheduled.

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Monique Greco's questions to ULTRAPAR HOLDINGS (UGP) leadership

Question · Q1 2025

Monique Greco of Itau BBA inquired about the impact of open import arbitration on Ipiranga's inventory prices and margins, and asked for expectations regarding the new ethanol single-phase taxation, specifically on competitive gains and volumes.

Answer

Leonardo Linden, an executive at Ultrapar, explained that open price arbitration has been a market factor since February, altering supply dynamics but not fundamentally changing the game. He expressed strong optimism for the ethanol single-phase taxation, stating it will reduce irregularities and benefit efficient, well-prepared distributors like Ipiranga, with market share gains expected as a consequence of improved market health.

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Question · Q4 2024

Monique Greco asked for Ultrapar's perspective on the government's 'Gas for Everyone' program discussion, which considers replacing a cash benefit with a free bottle of LPG for low-income families. She inquired about the potential impact of this proposed model on the LPG industry.

Answer

Executive Tabajara Costa responded that Ultragaz views the program as a very positive initiative to combat energy poverty and is actively participating in discussions to support the government. He expressed confidence that the industry can implement the change, viewing it as a significant societal improvement that would leverage the country's well-developed LPG infrastructure.

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Question · Q2 2024

Monique Greco asked for Ipiranga's market share expectations for the second half of the year and requested an update on the Ultragaz-SHV integration timeline and synergy capture.

Answer

Executive Leonardo Linden explained that Ipiranga's market share is now more volatile due to the spot market but expects stability in the branded network. Executive Tabajara Costa reported that Phase 1 of the SHV operational consortium integration is complete, with marginal synergy capture expected in H2 2024 and full implementation in 2025.

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