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Nate Svenson

Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst at Deutsche Bank Securities

Nate Svensson is a Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst at Deutsche Bank Securities, specializing in payments, processors, and IT services. He covers specific companies including Accenture, Toast, Shift4 Payments, Payoneer Global, Corpay, Chime Financial, Endava, Flywire, and FIS, with recent ratings showing 45.5% Buy and 54.5% Hold recommendations across 11 ratings over the past year, though full performance metrics like success rate and ROI are available only via premium subscriptions. Svensson joined Deutsche Bank in 2021 after roles as an Equity Research Associate at Truist Securities and in credit at Morgan Stanley, complemented by experience as a Senior Consultant at Deloitte. He holds a Master’s Degree from Duke University’s Fuqua School of Business and a Bachelor’s Degree from Brown University.

Nate Svenson's questions to Flywire (FLYW) leadership

Question · Q4 2025

Nate Svenson with Deutsche Bank Securities inquired about the prudence of Flywire's macro assumptions for U.S. (30% visa decline) and Australia (flat visas despite 9% growth in new international student places), and sought more color on Student Financial Software (SFS) performance, including its 3x ARR growth, new signings, pipeline, and expansion opportunities outside the Big Four markets.

Answer

Cosmin Pitigoi, Chief Financial Officer, explained that the U.S. visa assumption reflects a prudent approach given early-year data and last year's high-teens decline in first-year payers, while Australia's flat visa assumption is also conservative despite strong execution. Rob Orgel, President and Chief Operating Officer, highlighted SFS's successful year with 13 full-suite deals driving 3x ARR growth, noting strong product positioning and pipeline. He clarified that non-Big Four success is driven by core cross-border and domestic payment capabilities, not SFS, which is primarily focused on the U.S. and U.K.

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Question · Q4 2025

Nate Svenson asked about Flywire's prudent macro assumptions for 2026, specifically the projected 30% decline in U.S. visas and flat Australian visas despite reported 9% growth in new international student places. He also inquired about the Student Financial Software (SFS) performance, noting a threefold increase in signed ARR, and the potential for SFS expansion into non-Big 4 geographies.

Answer

Cosmin Pitigoi (CFO) explained that the U.S. visa assumption reflects prudence given early-year data and a high-teens decline in first-year payers last year, offset by retention and higher tuition. For Australia, he noted past outperformance against conservative assumptions and continued strong execution. Rob Orgel (President and COO) detailed SFS success, including 13 full suite wins driving the 3x ARR growth, and confirmed SFS is currently focused on the U.S. and U.K., with non-Big 4 growth driven by core cross-border and domestic payment capabilities.

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