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    Nick Joseph

    Managing Director and Global Head of Real Estate Research Super Sector as well as Head of the US Real Estate and Lodging Team at Citigroup Inc.

    Nick Joseph is a Managing Director and Global Head of Real Estate Research Super Sector as well as Head of the US Real Estate and Lodging Team at Citi, specializing in in-depth equity research across the U.S. real estate and lodging sectors. He oversees coverage of approximately 80 publicly traded companies, including a broad range of REITs and lodging operators, and has built a performance track record highlighting sector benchmark returns and alpha generation through strategic property sector allocation and precision stock selection. Beginning his Citi career in 2010 after his time at Citi Private Bank, Joseph holds an MBA from New York University's Stern School of Business and a bachelor’s degree from the University of Virginia, with prior industry participation including advisory board roles in recognized real estate centers. He is active in professional and industry organizations and recognized for his leadership and contribution to institutional real estate investment analysis.

    Nick Joseph's questions to NNN REIT (NNN) leadership

    Nick Joseph's questions to NNN REIT (NNN) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Nick Joseph from Citigroup questioned the rationale for maintaining a 60 basis point bad debt forecast despite low actuals and asked about the pricing spread between portfolio deals and single-asset transactions.

    Answer

    EVP & CFO Vincent Chao explained the bad debt forecast is a prudent measure to maintain 'dry powder' for the unresolved At Home bankruptcy and normal course turnover. President and CEO Stephen Horn added that the pricing spread for portfolios has widened, with some larger portfolios trading at a premium due to new capital entering the space.

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    Nick Joseph's questions to CubeSmart (CUBE) leadership

    Nick Joseph's questions to CubeSmart (CUBE) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Nick Joseph, speaking on behalf of Eric Wolfe's team, asked if there are any signs of construction starts increasing in CubeSmart's markets and how much in-place rents would need to rise for new development to become economically viable again.

    Answer

    CEO Christopher Marr responded that the trend is the opposite of an increase, citing high costs for materials, land, and labor, along with tight financing, as significant headwinds for new development. He believes it will be 'a bit of a ways to go' before new supply pencils out, making the supply outlook for 2026-2027 constructive for existing operators.

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    Nick Joseph's questions to CubeSmart (CUBE) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Nick Joseph of Citigroup Inc. asked if there are any signs of construction starts increasing in CubeSmart's markets and questioned how much in-place rents would need to rise before new supply development becomes financially viable again.

    Answer

    President & CEO Christopher Marr responded that construction starts are actually trending down due to a combination of high material costs, expensive labor, and tight financing conditions. He believes a significant gap remains before rental rates can support the economics of new development projects.

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    Nick Joseph's questions to AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES (AVB) leadership

    Nick Joseph's questions to AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES (AVB) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Nick Joseph of Citigroup inquired about the specifics of delayed development occupancies, particularly in Denver, and sought to understand the company's confidence in meeting year-end occupancy targets despite a potentially missed peak leasing season.

    Answer

    Chief Investment Officer Matthew Birenbaum explained that while overall leasing velocity remains strong at around 30 homes per month, one urban Denver project faced elevated concessions in a competitive submarket. He and COO Sean Breslin expressed confidence in catching up by year-end, citing strong performance in newly opened lease-ups in markets like South Miami and Northern New Jersey.

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    Nick Joseph's questions to UDR (UDR) leadership

    Nick Joseph's questions to UDR (UDR) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Nick Joseph of Citigroup inquired about UDR's confidence in its second-half blended lease rate growth assumptions, noting that peers have signaled a weaker peak leasing season, and asked if the rent growth spread between regions is expected to narrow.

    Answer

    SVP & COO Michael Lacy explained that the guidance raise is based on strong execution to date, with first-half blended rent growth exceeding the high end of the original guide. He noted that while market rents have been more muted recently, leading to a revised back-half outlook with renewal growth around 4-4.5%, the strong first-half performance provides a buffer. He also confirmed the spread between coastal and Sunbelt markets is narrowing as expected, from a 450 basis point gap in Q1 to around 400 basis points in Q2.

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    Nick Joseph's questions to KITE REALTY GROUP TRUST (KRG) leadership

    Nick Joseph's questions to KITE REALTY GROUP TRUST (KRG) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Nick Joseph of Citigroup inquired about trends in lease negotiation timelines, tenant willingness to sign leases amid tariff discussions, and the company's success in pushing for higher embedded rent escalators.

    Answer

    CEO John Kite reported that leasing activity has accelerated, with no slowdown related to tariffs, and highlighted strong demand across the board. President & COO Tom McGowan added that landlord-tenant cooperation is improving to expedite store openings. Kite also noted the success in achieving higher rent growth, citing 3.4% embedded escalators on new small shop leases as evidence.

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    Nick Joseph's questions to KITE REALTY GROUP TRUST (KRG) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Nick Joseph of Citigroup inquired about any changes in lease negotiation timelines and tenant willingness to sign leases, particularly with more clarity on tariffs. He also asked about the tenant reception to KRG's push for higher embedded escalators.

    Answer

    CEO John Kite stated that leasing activity has picked up substantially, with no signs of indecisiveness from tenants. President & COO Tom McGowan added that cooperation between landlords and tenants has improved to expedite store openings. Regarding escalators, John Kite pointed to the company's results, including 3.4% embedded growth in the first half of the year, as proof of their success, noting it's a key focus.

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    Nick Joseph's questions to KITE REALTY GROUP TRUST (KRG) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Nick Joseph of Citigroup inquired about any changes in lease negotiation timelines and tenant willingness to sign leases, particularly with more clarity on tariffs, and also asked about the tenant response to the company's push for higher embedded rent escalators.

    Answer

    Chairman and CEO John Kite stated that leasing activity has picked up substantially, with significant demand across the board, negating any earlier indecisiveness. President and COO Thomas McGowan added that landlord-tenant cooperation has increased to expedite store openings. Regarding escalators, Mr. Kite cited the 3.4% achieved on new small shop leases as evidence of their success, while acknowledging it remains a challenge with anchor tenants.

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    Nick Joseph's questions to REGENCY CENTERS (REG) leadership

    Nick Joseph's questions to REGENCY CENTERS (REG) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Nick Joseph from Citigroup Inc. questioned the sustainability of the improved expense recovery rates observed in the quarter.

    Answer

    EVP & CFO Mike Mas clarified that the Q2 recovery rate was boosted by a one-time, approximately $1 million benefit from the annual reconciliation process. He anticipates the rate will decline by about 100 basis points from Q2 levels going forward. However, the fundamental driver of higher recoveries—a projected 100+ basis point increase in average commenced occupancy for the year—will ensure rates remain strong.

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    Nick Joseph's questions to REGENCY CENTERS (REG) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Nick Joseph from Citigroup asked about the sustainability of the high expense recovery rates observed in the quarter.

    Answer

    CFO Mike Moss stated that the recovery rate will likely decelerate going forward. He explained that Q2 included a one-time benefit of approximately $1 million from the annual reconciliation process. The fundamental driver of the elevated rate is higher average commenced occupancy, which is now projected to increase by over 100 basis points for the full year, providing a sustained, albeit lower, benefit.

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    Nick Joseph's questions to WELLTOWER (WELL) leadership

    Nick Joseph's questions to WELLTOWER (WELL) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Nick Joseph of Citigroup inquired about Welltower's optimal capital stack going forward, considering the 3.5x run-rate leverage target, recent capital markets activity, and significant investment pipeline.

    Answer

    CEO Shankh Mitra explained that a low-leverage, strong balance sheet is core to their 'handshake business' model, ensuring they can always honor commitments. He stated that the funding mix—debt, equity, asset sales, and retained cash flow—is determined by the most attractive risk-adjusted cost of capital at a given time. As conviction in growth rises, the internal cost of equity increases, which can make debt a more attractive option.

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    Nick Joseph's questions to WELLTOWER (WELL) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Nick Joseph asked for quantification on how far off the market is from new construction making economic sense, considering current rent growth and costs.

    Answer

    Shankh Mitra (CEO & CIO) stated that it currently makes no economic sense to build. He explained that a 25-30% increase in RevPOR relative to operating labor costs would be needed for new construction to become viable, a level not achievable by rent growth alone in most markets.

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    Nick Joseph's questions to HEALTHPEAK PROPERTIES (DOC) leadership

    Nick Joseph's questions to HEALTHPEAK PROPERTIES (DOC) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Nick Joseph of Citigroup inquired whether the life science supply coming offline was considered truly competitive space. He also asked for current private market cap rates for medical office buildings (MOBs) across various quality tiers.

    Answer

    CEO Scott Brinker stated that the 4 million square feet of supply removed was mostly less competitive space, though some directly competitive properties are now marketing to alternative uses. For MOBs, he indicated that cap rates for the types of high-quality assets Healthpeak owns are trading in the 6% to 7% range. He noted that life science cap rates are much harder to pinpoint due to lower transaction volume, except for long-term leased, credit-tenant assets.

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    Nick Joseph's questions to HEALTHPEAK PROPERTIES (DOC) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Nick Joseph from Citigroup inquired about the competitiveness of the life science supply that has recently come offline and asked for current private market cap rates for Medical Office Buildings (MOBs).

    Answer

    CEO Scott Brinker stated that most of the lab supply removed from the pipeline was not directly competitive, though some competitive space is now being marketed for alternative uses. He estimated that cap rates for Healthpeak's quality of MOB assets are trading in the 6% to 7% range, while life science cap rates remain much harder to determine.

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    Nick Joseph's questions to ALEXANDRIA REAL ESTATE EQUITIES (ARE) leadership

    Nick Joseph's questions to ALEXANDRIA REAL ESTATE EQUITIES (ARE) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Nick Joseph asked for details on why the Campus Point tenant opted for a build-to-suit project instead of available vacant space and inquired about current trends in the leasing pipeline, such as tenant size or common themes.

    Answer

    Joel Marcus, Founder & Executive Chairman, explained that major R&D firms seek comprehensive, amenity-rich campus environments, not isolated buildings. Hallie Kuhn, SVP of Life Science & Capital Markets, added that the specialized infrastructure needs of such tenants, like power capacity and vibration controls, necessitate a build-to-suit solution. Regarding the pipeline, Mr. Marcus stated that trends are highly specific to each submarket, making generalizations difficult.

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    Nick Joseph's questions to JONES LANG LASALLE (JLL) leadership

    Nick Joseph's questions to JONES LANG LASALLE (JLL) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Nick Joseph of Citigroup asked for the 2025 outlook for office leasing, with a focus on the U.S. West Coast, and inquired about the company's capital allocation priorities between share repurchases and M&A.

    Answer

    CFO Karen Brennan noted encouraging signs in office leasing, with the U.S. market about 80% through its downsizing cycle and activity at its highest since 2019. She expects gradual leasing growth in 2025. CEO Christian Ulbrich stated that capital allocation balances share repurchases against platform investments and M&A, with a commitment to at least offset share dilution from stock compensation.

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    Nick Joseph's questions to ESSEX PROPERTY TRUST (ESS) leadership

    Nick Joseph's questions to ESSEX PROPERTY TRUST (ESS) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Nick Joseph of Citi asked about Essex's pricing strategy, the outlook for new lease and renewal rates, and the potential market impact if Proposition 33 were to pass.

    Answer

    Executive Angela Kleiman explained that Essex has shifted to a seasonal occupancy-focused strategy for Q4. Renewal offers are being sent in the mid-4% range and are finalizing in the high-3s. Regarding Proposition 33, she expressed confidence it would be defeated, noting that only 8% of California cities have rent control, many mayors oppose the measure, and similar initiatives failed by large margins in 2018 and 2020.

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    Nick Joseph's questions to APARTMENT INVESTMENT & MANAGEMENT (AIV) leadership

    Nick Joseph's questions to APARTMENT INVESTMENT & MANAGEMENT (AIV) leadership • Q3 2021

    Question

    Nick Joseph of Citigroup asked if the California asset sales would be outright dispositions, questioned the strategic rationale for the Blackstone JV instead of a simpler outright sale, and inquired about the pricing of the OP units issued in the D.C. acquisition.

    Answer

    EVP, Co-CIO John McGrath confirmed all California sales would be outright. CEO Terry Considine explained the JV was an advantageous balance of maintaining the operating platform, adding value, and achieving attractive levered returns. EVP & CFO Paul Beldin reported the OP units were priced at approximately $50 per unit, based on a trailing average price at closing.

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