Nicolas Barros's questions to Braskem SA (BAK) leadership • Q4 2024
Question
Nicolas Barros asked about the competitive landscape and market share recovery since the implementation of higher import taxes, and for an outlook on industry capacity rationalization, prices, and utilization rates in the medium term, particularly in comparison to Europe.
Answer
Executive Rosana Avolio explained that while the increased import tariff and a depreciated local currency are helpful, the company must still balance profitability and market share against competitively priced imports, with the full effect expected in 2025. She noted the global market is in an elongated down-cycle due to oversupply. Avolio detailed that Braskem's internal forecasts for capacity rationalization are more aggressive than those of external consultants, especially for polyethylene, which could rectify spreads. She identified Europe and Asia as regions with higher profitability risks due to energy and raw material costs.