Omar Nokta's questions to Frontline (FRO) leadership • Q2 2025
Question
Omar Nokta of Jefferies inquired about the dynamics of the long-haul VLCC trade, specifically the recent increase in west-to-east flows and how that might be affected by upcoming OPEC volume increases. He also asked for the drivers behind the recent spike in VLCC spot rates and the market's ability to sustain momentum.
Answer
CEO Lars Barstad suggested a potential winter contango in crude prices could further increase tanker utilization by incentivizing inventory builds and longer voyages. He attributed recent rate strength to a demand shift towards compliant tankers as sanctioned oil trade tapers off. Barstad noted a market ceiling around $50,000/day for VLCCs but expressed optimism that strong fundamentals and tight vessel availability could soon push rates through that level.