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    Patrick FischerGoldman Sachs

    Patrick Fischer's questions to Nutrien Ltd (NTR) leadership

    Patrick Fischer's questions to Nutrien Ltd (NTR) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Patrick Fischer (Duffy Fischer) asked about the weakness in crop protection pricing, questioning if it was a structural issue or a temporary inventory hangover, and whether tariffs on Chinese generics were having a beneficial impact.

    Answer

    Executive Jeff Tarsi explained that the Q1 revenue dip was weather-related, while margin pressure was anticipated due to an inventory hangover and increased competition from generics. He noted that pricing for generics is expected to rise due to tariffs, which could slow their flow into North America. President and CEO Kenneth Seitz added that the company's guidance already assumes a 4% reduction in crop protection margins for the year, accounting for these dynamics.

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    Patrick Fischer's questions to Corteva Inc (CTVA) leadership

    Patrick Fischer's questions to Corteva Inc (CTVA) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Patrick Fischer asked for the specific pitch to Brazilian seed multipliers for Conkesta E3 versus the competing Intacta, focusing on efficacy, herbicide tolerance systems, and profitability.

    Answer

    Judd O'Connor, EVP, Seed business unit, explained that the core strategy is to offer a competitive technology alternative and choice to multipliers and their customers. He emphasized that shifting to a licensing model allows for significantly faster and broader market penetration than a branded-only approach. The pitch centers on providing another high-performing option to meet grower demand and expand Corteva's reach in the market.

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    Patrick Fischer's questions to Chemours Co (CC) leadership

    Patrick Fischer's questions to Chemours Co (CC) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Patrick Fischer of Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. inquired about the pricing of Freon in Q1, asking for the delta between Chemours' realized price and commodity prices in China to gauge a potential floor. He also questioned the dynamics of using Mexico for blending, asking if it was a strategy to alter the product's country of origin to circumvent U.S. tariffs.

    Answer

    SVP and CFO Shane Hostetter did not provide a specific price floor comparison but reiterated the company's focus is shifting quota allocation toward higher-margin HFO/Opteon products. He clarified that while significant blending occurs in Mexico, the strategy is to serve local OEMs in that region, not to circumvent U.S. tariffs by re-importing the blended product.

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    Patrick Fischer's questions to Linde PLC (LIN) leadership

    Patrick Fischer's questions to Linde PLC (LIN) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Patrick Fischer of Goldman Sachs requested an updated perspective on the $50 billion clean energy opportunity outlined two years ago, focusing on its current size, timing, and customer sentiment around the IRA.

    Answer

    Sanjiv Lamba, CEO, stated the long-term $50B opportunity remains attractive and the company is halfway to its shorter-term $8-10B goal. He emphasized the focus is on low-carbon (blue) hydrogen, supported by the resilient 45Q tax credit, viewing large-scale green hydrogen as 5-7 years away. CFO Matt White added that the capital allocation algorithm provides flexibility through buybacks and M&A if energy projects are delayed.

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    Patrick Fischer's questions to Linde PLC (LIN) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Patrick Fischer of Goldman Sachs asked about the EPS leverage from a 1% change in Industrial Production (IP) and requested a global overview of current IP trends and regional outlooks.

    Answer

    CFO Matt White clarified that while project volumes are independent of IP, base volumes do correlate, with higher leverage in developing nations. CEO Sanjiv Lamba then provided a global tour, forecasting low single-digit growth in the Americas with a stronger second half, continued softening in Europe, and a mixed outlook for Asia Pacific, featuring a stable but flat China (buoyed by electronics) and strong growth in India.

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    Patrick Fischer's questions to Linde PLC (LIN) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Patrick Fischer asked for an update on the healthcare business, specifically about the portfolio pruning, its timeline, and the expected long-term structural growth rate.

    Answer

    CEO Sanjiv Lamba stated that the healthcare business grew year-over-year. The portfolio pruning, which was concentrated in the U.S. home care segment, is largely complete and on track to be finished by the end of the year. Looking forward, he expects the healthcare business to achieve a structural growth rate in the low- to mid-single-digit range.

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    Patrick Fischer's questions to PPG Industries Inc (PPG) leadership

    Patrick Fischer's questions to PPG Industries Inc (PPG) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Patrick Fischer of Goldman Sachs asked about the increased volatility in the Automotive Refinish business, questioning if structural changes are occurring and if this volatility could impair PPG's consistent pricing power.

    Answer

    CEO Timothy Knavish stated that the recent 'lumpiness' in Refinish sales does not impact pricing power, which is driven by PPG's total value proposition and productivity solutions for body shops. He attributed the volatility to the two-step distribution model and noted that despite lower collision claims, PPG continues to grow through its chemistry, digital tools, and allied products.

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    Patrick Fischer's questions to PPG Industries Inc (PPG) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Patrick Fischer requested clarification on the year-over-year shape of EPS in 2025, noting the full-year guidance midpoint is close to 2024's actual results.

    Answer

    CEO Tim Knavish confirmed that EPS will be down year-over-year in the first half, particularly Q1, but will be 'nicely above' in the second half. He noted the full-year forecast represents 7% operational EPS growth, which is offset by a significant headwind of about $0.33 per share from foreign exchange. CFO Vince Morales and Director of IR Alex Lopez provided recast quarterly EPS figures for 2023 and 2024 to aid in modeling.

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    Patrick Fischer's questions to PPG Industries Inc (PPG) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Patrick Fischer, also known as Duffy Fischer, asked about the cash outflow timing for the $250 million restructuring charge, whether the $60 million in 2025 savings would be offset by stranded costs, and the rollout of the remaining savings.

    Answer

    SVP and CFO Vince Morales explained that the $250 million cash charge will be spread over three years, with the majority occurring in the first 15-18 months. The program will deliver $60 million in savings in 2025, with the remainder realized pro-rata over the following two years. He also noted an additional $70 million in related costs will be booked as incurred over the next three years.

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    Patrick Fischer's questions to Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW) leadership

    Patrick Fischer's questions to Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Patrick Fischer, also known as Duffy Fischer, sought to understand the interplay between the pricing and cost cadence for the year, asking if pricing would continue to rise and if it would be sufficient to offset cost inflation.

    Answer

    Executive Allen Mistysyn stated there is 'still more room to run on the price increase effectiveness.' However, he said it is 'to be determined' whether another broad price increase will be needed to offset tariffs, as the situation remains volatile. He also mentioned that other business segments are implementing their own price increases to help offset the total cost basket.

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    Patrick Fischer's questions to Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Patrick Fischer asked for a review of the 2024 5% price increase, including its effectiveness and shape, and how the 2025 increase might differ given its earlier timing.

    Answer

    SVP & CFO Allen Mistysyn conceded that the 2024 price increase took longer than planned to reach full effectiveness. For 2025, he expects better and earlier realization due to disciplined field training and more customer lead time, which should result in a stronger first-half impact compared to the prior year.

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    Patrick Fischer's questions to Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Patrick Fischer questioned the drivers of raw material costs, asking why the company isn't seeing relief from lower oil prices and what specific feedstocks are causing inflationary pressure.

    Answer

    Executive James Jaye explained that while crude oil is down, key derivative propylene was up nearly 50% year-over-year in Q3 due to outages. Epoxy resins were also up. He noted that TiO2 pricing is stable and emphasized that the company evaluates the entire cost basket, which includes significant headwinds from non-raw material items like healthcare costs.

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    Patrick Fischer's questions to Tronox Holdings PLC (TROX) leadership

    Patrick Fischer's questions to Tronox Holdings PLC (TROX) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Patrick 'Duffy' Fischer asked about the disposition of market share from the Venator JV sale in North America and inquired about the 2025 global pricing outlook for ilmenite and other high-grade ores.

    Answer

    CEO John Romano opined that the acquirer of the Venator JV likely retained most of its market share. Regarding ore pricing, both Romano and CFO John Srivisal stated they do not expect significant price increases in 2025, as a lack of major new global mining investments should keep the market relatively stable. They do not foresee competitor raw material costs declining significantly.

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    Patrick Fischer's questions to Tronox Holdings PLC (TROX) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Patrick Fischer of Goldman Sachs asked about relative TiO2 pricing across geographies, the outlook for 2025 price negotiations, the forecast for ore pricing, and the expected inventory build in Q4 for TiO2 and zircon.

    Answer

    CEO John Romano stated that while not providing regional specifics, competitive activity is highest in Asia and Europe. He noted that ore prices have been stable but are expected to rise as the market recovers. For Q4 inventory, he explained the TiO2 build is due to a larger-than-expected seasonal demand drop (10-15%). Zircon inventory is not expected to build significantly, as part of Q3's volume miss was due to orders shifting into Q4.

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    Patrick Fischer's questions to Air Products and Chemicals Inc (APD) leadership

    Patrick Fischer's questions to Air Products and Chemicals Inc (APD) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Patrick "Duffy" Fischer of Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. asked for a detailed walk-through of the drivers for the guided second-half EPS improvement and requested the Americas segment's price and volume figures for Q1 excluding a one-time helium sale.

    Answer

    Chief Financial Officer Melissa Schaeffer explained that the second-half earnings ramp is consistent with prior years and will be driven by seasonality, the Uzbekistan plant returning online, pricing actions, and productivity initiatives. Regarding the Americas, she noted strong pricing outside of helium and robust hydrogen volumes but did not provide specific adjusted figures.

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    Patrick Fischer's questions to Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (AXTA) leadership

    Patrick Fischer's questions to Axalta Coating Systems Ltd (AXTA) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Patrick Fischer of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. asked for clarity on the economics of the 2,800 Refinish body shop wins, such as average sales and initial margins. He also questioned whether the $10 million tariff impact is incremental or inclusive of existing duties.

    Answer

    CEO Chris Villavarayan explained that while they don't break out sales per shop, the new wins are coming in at or accretive to the Refinish business's overall margin. CFO Carl Anderson clarified that the $10 million tariff estimate was an attempt to incorporate recent developments from China, Canada, and Mexico, while duties like those on TiO2 are already embedded in their outlook. The CEO added that mitigation efforts are underway.

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    Patrick Fischer's questions to Olin Corp (OLN) leadership

    Patrick Fischer's questions to Olin Corp (OLN) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Patrick Fischer, also known as Duffy Fischer, asked about the expected impact of potential antidumping tariffs on Epoxy trade flows and pricing.

    Answer

    CEO Kenneth Lane predicted that duties in the U.S. and Europe would increase prices. He suggested that instead of product being redirected, the situation would likely lead to the rationalization of uncompetitive Asian capacity, as many producers there were already operating at a loss and facing rising costs.

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    Patrick Fischer's questions to Olin Corp (OLN) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Patrick Fischer of Goldman Sachs inquired about the market impact of a competitor's (Shintech) new chlorovinyl project and its potential effect on Olin's supply relationship. He also requested a preview of the key themes for Olin's upcoming Investor Day.

    Answer

    President and CEO Kenneth Lane stated that the Shintech announcement was expected and doesn't necessarily pose a negative for their existing relationship, as it reflects growth in the vinyls segment. Regarding the Investor Day, Lane highlighted it will focus on the company's portfolio strategy, long-term financial targets, growth potential, and will provide an opportunity to meet the experienced leadership team.

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    Patrick Fischer's questions to Eastman Chemical Co (EMN) leadership

    Patrick Fischer's questions to Eastman Chemical Co (EMN) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Patrick Fischer of Robert W. Baird & Co. asked for details on the newly approved Texas methanolysis plant, focusing on lessons learned from the Kingsport project, differences in scope and cost, and the construction timeline. He also requested a breakdown of volume versus mix for the AM and AFP segments.

    Answer

    CEO Mark Costa explained the Texas plant will incorporate all learnings from Kingsport for a more efficient build and startup, but has a larger scope including a new polymer line and a significant decarbonization component supported by $375M in DOE funding. Despite higher costs, government incentives help maintain a ~12% return target. Greg Riddle from Investor Relations noted that the company does not break out volume versus mix, but Costa added that a recovery in higher-margin discretionary markets would provide a significant positive mix shift.

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    Patrick Fischer's questions to Dow Inc (DOW) leadership

    Patrick Fischer's questions to Dow Inc (DOW) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Patrick Fischer asked for details on the licensing income in the quarter, specifically how much larger it was than expected and whether it was a pull-forward from a future period.

    Answer

    James Fitterling, Chair and CEO, explained that the licensing income variance was due to the timing of engineering package deliveries. He characterized the amount as 'relatively small' in the context of the P&SP segment's overall performance, noting that a delayed cracker turnaround was a more significant factor in the quarterly results.

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