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Paul Chang

Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst at Bank of Nova Scotia

Paul Cheng is a Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst at Scotiabank, specializing in the North American energy sector with a focus on oil and gas exploration and production companies such as Chord Energy. He has consistently been recognized for his in-depth company analysis and has earned a reputation for accurate and actionable investment insights, though third-party platforms such as TipRanks currently do not display specific quantitative metrics for his performance or ranking. Cheng's career in equity research spans over two decades, with prior experience at Barclays and Bear Stearns before joining Scotiabank in the early 2010s. He holds an advanced degree in finance and maintains professional credentials to conduct securities analysis, including relevant industry licenses.

Paul Chang's questions to VALERO ENERGY CORP/TX (VLO) leadership

Question · Q3 2025

Paul Chang asked about the decline in octane value compared to Q2, seeking insights into the cause and whether the trend is expected to continue. He also inquired about the role of robotic technology and AI, asking if these advancements represent an evolution or a transformative shift in how Valero conducts business across refining, back office, and trading, drawing a comparison to cost reduction efforts in the upstream sector.

Answer

Gary Simmons, Executive Vice President and COO, explained that octane value tends to trade inversely to Naptha. He noted that Naptha strengthened in Q3 due to reduced Russian supply, US Gulf Coast Naptha flowing to Venezuela, and increased Asian petrochemical demand, which lessened the incentive to blend Naptha into gasoline. Greg Bram, Vice President, stated that Valero has been using and expanding robotic automation and AI techniques for efficiency and inspection (e.g., tank cleaning, drone inspections) for some time, viewing it as a continuous evolution that will bring further improvements, especially given Valero's strong operational data.

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