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Ravi Shankar

Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst at Morgan Stanley

Ravi Shankar is a Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst at Morgan Stanley, specializing in transportation, logistics, and trucking sectors with comprehensive coverage of companies such as FedEx, UPS, XPO Logistics, C.H. Robinson, and Old Dominion Freight Line. He is widely recognized for his accurate stock calls and has consistently ranked among the top analysts on platforms like TipRanks, maintaining a success rate above 60% and delivering double-digit average annual returns on his recommendations. Shankar began his career in equity research after earning an MBA from NYU Stern, and joined Morgan Stanley in 2004 following previous experience at Citigroup and Lehman Brothers. He holds FINRA Series 7, 63, 86, and 87 licenses, and has received multiple awards for his industry expertise and influential insights in investment research.

Ravi Shankar's questions to RXO (RXO) leadership

Question · Q3 2025

Ravi Shankar asked about RXO's AI investments, how the company sells its technology platform to customers, and how it differentiates itself in the brokerage space. He also sought clarification on whether the Q4 guidance assumes the current demand-supply equation holds, and if a looser supply side would lead to better gross margins.

Answer

Drew Wilkerson, Chairman and CEO of RXO, emphasized that their AI investments are focused on results for employees, customers, and carriers, highlighting improvements in pricing algorithms, carrier communication, and last-mile installation validation. Jared Weisfeld, Chief Strategy Officer, explained that the Q4 guidance midpoint assumes current market tightness sustains, while the low end anticipates further tightening without spot opportunities. The high end, however, could be achieved if market tightening leads to routing guide pressures and accretive spot opportunities, or if buy rates ease.

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Ravi Shankar's questions to Aurora Innovation (AUR) leadership

Question · Q3 2025

Ravi Shankar sought to confirm the nature of Aurora Innovation's relationship with International, specifically whether it's a stock truck purchase or an OEM partnership, and inquired about the timeline for commercial launch. He also asked about the visibility into the bill of materials (BOM) costs for Gen 2 and Gen 3 hardware and the timing for pricing discussions with OEM partners.

Answer

CFO David Maday clarified that Aurora is ordering stock trucks from International for upfitting, not a co-development partnership. Co-Founder and CEO Chris Urmson added that the International LT Series trucks are expected to be driverless in Q2 2026. David Maday stated that Aurora has good insight into the BOM costs for the Aurora Driver today, which are factored into the driver-as-a-service subscription model rather than an upfront truck purchase.

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Ravi Shankar's questions to DELTA AIR LINES (DAL) leadership

Question · Q3 2025

Ravi Shankar asked about Delta's 1Q network planning, considering market noise and last year's close-in weakness in corporate travel, and whether last year is being treated as a one-off or if a more cautious approach is being taken. He also inquired if European strength in transatlantic travel is expected to continue into 1Q 2026, similar to 1Q 2025, despite a less favorable U.S. dollar.

Answer

President Glen Hauenstein stated that Delta expects to enter 1Q with a strong backdrop, similar to the Q4 exit, with robust demand, hoping the 'spring swoon' does not recur. He confirmed that European strength in transatlantic travel is expected to continue into 1Q 2026.

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Question · Q3 2025

Ravi Shankar asked about Delta's 1Q network planning, considering market noise and last year's close-in weakness in corporate travel, questioning if last year is treated as a one-off or if a more cautious approach is being taken. He also inquired if European strength is expected to continue into 1Q 2026, similar to this year, despite a less favorable dollar.

Answer

President Glen Hauenstein stated that Delta is heading into 1Q with a very strong backdrop, similar to exiting Q4, with robust demand. He confirmed that European strength is expected to continue into 1Q 2026, similar to what was seen coming into this year.

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Ravi Shankar's questions to GXO Logistics (GXO) leadership

Question · Q2 2025

Ravi Shankar of Morgan Stanley sought clarity on the primary factors driving GXO's repeated guidance increases, asking whether it was due to macro improvements or company-specific execution. He also requested more details on the aerospace and defense (A&D) business.

Answer

CFO Baris Oran clarified that the improved profitability guidance is primarily driven by internal actions, including site-level efficiencies, maturation of new startups, and better space utilization. CSO Kristine Kubacki added that the A&D market is a massive opportunity, with GXO's related pipeline doubling to $500 million in 18 months, a key focus for the Wincanton integration.

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Ravi Shankar's questions to Sun Country Airlines Holdings (SNCY) leadership

Question · Q2 2025

Ravi Shankar from Morgan Stanley inquired about the factors driving the 2027 EPS target of $2.50, specifically its reliance on industry macro trends versus company-specific initiatives. He also asked for insights into Amazon's expectations for the upcoming peak season.

Answer

CEO Jude Bricker stated the long-term forecast assumes a 3% inflationary tailwind and normalized utilization, without aggressive assumptions. Regarding Amazon, he noted that aircraft induction delays have pushed back the ramp-up of asset utilization and availability, taking longer to reach full velocity.

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Ravi Shankar's questions to Schneider National (SNDR) leadership

Question · Q2 2025

Ravi Shankar of Morgan Stanley inquired about the competitive environment across Schneider's segments and asked whether truckload capacity exits could be outpacing other areas. He also asked about the company's agility in shifting between spot and contract freight.

Answer

EVP Jim Filter noted that TL capacity is exiting due to smaller competitors leaving and regulatory enforcement on English language proficiency. CEO Mark Rourke added that dedicated faces competition from alternative solutions, while intermodal's main competitor is over-the-road truck. He described the network segment as highly competitive. Regarding agility, Rourke asserted that Schneider is 'very capable' of pivoting capacity quickly between spot and contract markets using its proprietary tools and technology.

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Ravi Shankar's questions to CANADIAN PACIFIC KANSAS CITY LTD/CN (CP) leadership

Question · Q2 2025

Ravi Shankar of Morgan Stanley asked for more color on the impressive 40% year-over-year growth in MMX intermodal service volumes, questioning the drivers and if there was any tariff-related pull-forward.

Answer

EVP & CMO John Brooks attributed the growth to a 'really strong sales effort' for a truck-like, seamless service that is the fastest in the industry. He confirmed the growth is sustainable, driven by strong partnerships like Schneider, a sizable new automotive parts contract that is ramping up, and forthcoming reefer business from the new Americold facility. He expects the growth trajectory to continue, putting pressure on operations to start a second train.

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Ravi Shankar's questions to UNITED PARCEL SERVICE (UPS) leadership

Question · Q2 2025

Ravi Shankar from Morgan Stanley asked for clarification on which aspects of the Amazon volume 'glide down' were not proceeding as planned and whether lower-than-expected employee attrition could jeopardize the $3.5 billion cost savings target.

Answer

CEO Carol Tomé stated that the only deviation from the plan was a lower employee attrition rate than modeled. She explained this is a timing issue, as attrition rises the longer a facility is closed, and most Q2 closures occurred late in the quarter. She expressed confidence that the attrition rate will normalize over time and that the full $3.5 billion cost savings target remains on track for the year. CFO Brian Dykes added that the voluntary separation program for drivers is a key lever to manage this.

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Ravi Shankar's questions to ALASKA AIR GROUP (ALK) leadership

Question · Q2 2025

Ravi Shankar inquired about the customer profile being attracted to the new international routes. He also asked for an update on the recovery of the Hawaii tourism market relative to the company's initial conservative assumptions.

Answer

CEO Ben Minicucci expressed confidence that the strength of the Seattle hub, domestic network, and loyalty program will attract both leisure and business travelers to the new international flights. CFO Shane Tackett and CCO Andrew Harrison clarified that while the core assumption of a slow Asia-to-Hawaii recovery holds, the West Coast-to-Hawaii and inter-island markets are performing well.

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Ravi Shankar's questions to RYDER SYSTEM (R) leadership

Question · Q2 2025

Ravi Shankar of Morgan Stanley inquired about Ryder's confidence in deploying its balance sheet 'dry powder' immediately versus waiting for a market upcycle, and asked about the outlook for used truck values in the second half of the year.

Answer

Chairman & CEO Robert Sanchez stated that the company feels confident about its capital position, with share repurchase programs in place and an active search for acquisition opportunities. He noted that while the increase may be muted, he expects the upward trend in used tractor pricing to continue through the second half, particularly in the fourth quarter.

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