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Renata Cabral

Research Analyst at Citigroup Global Markets Holdings Inc.

State of São Paulo, Brazil

Renata Cabral is an Equity Analyst at Citigroup, specializing in Latin American consumer staples with particular focus on the beverage industry. She covers major companies such as Ambev, Coca-Cola FEMSA, Fomento Económico Mexicano, Arca Continental, and Grupo Bimbo, issuing ratings and price targets with a record of up to 15 stock ratings. While her analysis has maintained a low success rate and negative average returns according to platforms like TipRanks, she remains an active industry voice tracking M&A activity and sector trends. Cabral began her career in equity research and joined Citigroup prior to 2023, managing coverage across key consumer companies in Latin America, and she is reachable through Citi's São Paulo office with credentials as a registered sell-side analyst for the region.

Renata Cabral's questions to MEXICAN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT (FMX) leadership

Question · Q3 2025

Renata Cabral asked about FEMSA's ambition for the OXXO Digital Ecosystem (Spin by OXXO and Spin Premia), its distinctive position against other fintech solutions in Mexico, and the top capabilities the company plans to invest in.

Answer

José Antonio Fernández Garza-Laguera, CEO of Fomento Económico Mexicano, views Spin by OXXO as a digital extension enhancing OXXO's value proposition and user lifetime value, noting that combined Premia and Spin users consume significantly more. He aims to embed the ecosystem for rewards, personalized promotions, and frictionless experiences, seeing it as an opportunity to dramatically increase customer interaction. He highlighted the convenience of Spin by OXXO, even for cash withdrawals via QR codes, and expressed optimism about digital transactions covering potential service declines.

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Question · Q3 2025

Renata Cabral from Citigroup asked about FEMSA's long-term ambition for the OXXO Digital Ecosystem and financial services, OXXO's distinctive niche against competitors like wallets and fintechs, and the top capabilities the company plans to invest in for this area.

Answer

José Antonio Fernández Garza-Laguera, CEO of Fomento Económico Mexicano, views Spin by OXXO as a digital extension enhancing OXXO's value proposition and customer lifetime value, noting that Spin by OXXO users with Premia loyalty consume significantly more. He emphasized creating an ecosystem for rewards, personalized promotions, and frictionless experiences, seeing digital as an opportunity to increase interaction and use OXXO for cash-ins and withdrawals, even in a highly digital future. He highlighted innovative uses like QR code tipping and cash withdrawals.

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Renata Cabral's questions to COCA COLA FEMSA SAB DE CV (KOF) leadership

Question · Q3 2025

Renata Cabral from Citibank asked for an evaluation of how much of Mexico's year-to-date performance is attributable to weather versus the economic situation, requesting monthly performance color. She also inquired about the outlook for Argentina, specifically the ability to conserve current improvements or continue growth amidst a slowdown in overall consumption.

Answer

CEO Ian Craig stated that weather was less of a factor in Mexico's Q3 2025 performance compared to the previous year, as both periods had unfavorable weather. He identified the overall macro development as the main driver of underperformance, noting that the entire Nielsen basket saw a decrease for the first time this quarter. For Argentina, Ian Craig observed a slowdown in consumption, particularly since the Buenos Aires province election, with future outlook dependent on the upcoming legislative elections and the government's ability to push through reforms. He suggested a scenario of sluggish growth next year is possible, rather than continuous recovery.

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Question · Q3 2025

Renata Cabral asked for an evaluation of Mexico's Q3 performance, distinguishing between the impact of weather and the economic situation, and sought color on monthly performance. She also inquired about the outlook for Argentina, given observed improvements but also a recent slowdown in overall consumption.

Answer

CFO Gerardo Cruz stated that weather was less of a factor in Mexico's Q3 performance compared to the previous year, with macro development (a decrease across the entire Nielsen basket) being the main driver of underperformance. He anticipates a marginal macro improvement in 2026. CEO Ian Craig noted that Argentina's consumption slowed significantly after the Buenos Aires province election, with the outcome of upcoming legislative elections being crucial. He suggested a scenario of sluggish growth next year, rather than continuous recovery, depending on the government's ability to push through reforms.

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Question · Q2 2025

Renata Cabral of Citigroup Inc. inquired about the company's capital expenditure plans, asking if there were any changes for Mexico given the challenging first half. She also requested an update on the operational status of the flood-affected plant in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, and the associated CapEx plans for that region.

Answer

CEO Iain Craig García stated that long-term structural CapEx plans remain intact, while volume-linked investments are being adjusted. CFO Gerardo Cruz Celaya confirmed the company maintains its CapEx target of 8-9% of net sales but will phase projects dynamically. IR Director Jorge Collazo Pereda reported that the Porto Alegre plant is back to 100% production and distribution capacity, with a full SKU portfolio restored by July.

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Question · Q2 2025

Renata Cabral of Citigroup Inc. asked for an update on CapEx plans, questioning if there were any changes for Mexico, and requested information on the operational status and CapEx strategy for the Porto Alegre plant in Brazil.

Answer

CEO Iain Craig García stated that long-term structural CapEx projects are proceeding, while volume-dependent spending is being adjusted. CFO Gerardo Cruz Celaya confirmed the company maintains its CapEx target of 8-9% of net sales but is dynamically phasing projects. IR Director Jorge Collazo Pereda reported that the Porto Alegre plant is back to 100% capacity and has restored its full SKU portfolio, with a flood containment wall project planned for 2026.

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Renata Cabral's questions to JBS (JBS) leadership

Question · Q2 2025

Renata Cabral from Citigroup asked for an update on the Brazilian beef cycle outlook and whether the company would consider providing more detailed disclosures on its prepared foods business, given its increasing strategic importance.

Answer

Global CEO Gilberto Tomazoni expressed optimism for the Brazilian beef cycle, citing structural improvements like increased feedlot usage. Global CFO Guilherme Cavalcanti explained that prepared foods are embedded across segments, making a separate disclosure complex, but estimated that highly processed items represent about 15% of the business, with branded products reaching up to 50%.

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Renata Cabral's questions to AMBEV (ABEV) leadership

Question · Q2 2025

Renata Cabral asked for insights into the 2026 outlook for raw material costs and requested details on Ambev's current hedging strategy for these inputs.

Answer

CFO Guilherme Fleury de Figueiredo Ferraz Parolari stated that Ambev is maintaining its standard 12-month forward, non-speculative hedging policy to protect the business. He reiterated confidence in the 2025 cash COGS per hectoliter guidance for Brazil Beer (5.5% to 8.5% range) but declined to provide any specific guidance for 2026.

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