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Rikin Shah

Senior Analyst at IIFL Securities Ltd.

Rikin Shah is a Senior Analyst at IIFL Securities Ltd., focusing on banking and financial services sector research for major Indian companies such as IndusInd Bank and Ujjivan Small Finance Bank. Since joining IIFL Securities in 2023 from a prior role at JPMorgan India Pvt Ltd., he has been recognized for his incisive analysis on earnings calls within the sector. Shah covers top publicly traded banks, issuing timely investment recommendations, though publicly disclosed quantitative performance metrics and rankings are currently limited. He holds vice president experience, maintains an active professional profile in institutional research, and is known for supporting informed investor decisions across India's financial markets.

Rikin Shah's questions to HDFC BANK (HDB) leadership

Question · Q2 2026

Rikin Shah questioned why the bank's cost of fund improvement was marginally lower than peers, asking if it was due to longer liability duration or higher term deposit mobilization. He also requested quantification of additional provisions made against the one-time recovery upgrade.

Answer

Srinivasan Vaidyanathan (CFO) reiterated that the balance sheet structure, duration, and mix of time deposits and CASA determine cost of funds movement, implying a longer time for full repricing benefits to materialize. He confirmed that INR 1,600 crore was added to contingent provisions and INR 600 crore to general provisions, increasing general provisions to 41 basis points of loans and contingent provisions by 1-2 basis points.

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Question · Q1 2026

Rikin Shah from IIFL Securities Limited inquired about the recent regrouping of CRB loan classifications, the NPL recognition policy for one-time settlements with standard customers, and the expected trajectory of credit costs.

Answer

CFO Srinivasan Vaidyanathan explained the portfolio reclassifications and stated that the NPL recognition policy for settlements adheres to RBI norms, which typically results in a classification downgrade. He noted that while credit costs remain benign, they are seasonally higher in June and December due to the agricultural portfolio and are expected to revert to the mean over the long term.

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Question · Q1 2026

Rikin Shah from IIFL Securities Limited asked for clarification on the regrouping of the CRB loan portfolio, the bank's NPL recognition policy for one-time settlements with standard customers, and the expected trajectory for credit costs, which saw a slight increase.

Answer

Chief Financial Officer Srinivasan Vaidyanathan detailed the portfolio reclassifications, noting moves between corporate and retail segments without ground-level staff changes. He confirmed that the bank follows RBI norms, where a one-time settlement typically leads to an NPL recognition. Regarding credit costs, he stated they remain benign but acknowledged a seasonal elevation in June and December due to the agricultural portfolio, expecting an eventual, though not imminent, reversion to the mean.

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Question · Q4 2025

Rikin Shah asked about the repricing lag for repo-linked loans following a rate change and whether the number of days in a quarter affects reported margins. He also sought to clarify if there was a reversal of Alternative Investment Fund (AIF) provisions during the quarter.

Answer

CFO Srinivasan Vaidyanathan explained that repo-linked loans reprice at different intervals by product, but most reprice within one to three months. He confirmed the number of days can have a minor impact of a couple of basis points on margins. On AIF provisions, he stated there was no significant reversal that impacted the P&L, as the reduction in the provision stock was absorbed by other provisioning needs.

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Question · Q4 2025

Rikin Shah of IIFL Securities sought clarification on the repricing timeline for repo-linked loans, the impact of the number of days in a quarter on margins, and whether there was a reversal of provisions for Alternative Investment Funds (AIF) in the quarter.

Answer

Executive Srinivasan Vaidyanathan clarified that repo-linked loans reprice based on individual contract cycles, with most repricing within a month or a quarter. He confirmed the number of days can have a minor impact of a couple of basis points on margins. Regarding AIF provisions, he stated there was no significant reversal that impacted the P&L. While the provision stock decreased from ~₹350 crores to ~₹288 crores as some investments matured, the benefit was absorbed by other provisioning needs and did not flow to the bottom line.

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Rikin Shah's questions to ICICI BANK (IBN) leadership

Question · Q2 2026

Rikin Shah asked if a sequential decline in operating expenses (OpEx) is expected in Q3, given that festive and non-salary expenses were front-ended in Q2. He also questioned if the significant drop in retail slippages indicates an improvement in retail asset quality beyond mere stabilization. Additionally, he inquired about the bank's processes for tracking end-use of crop loans and any regulatory discussions regarding PSL classification issues, referencing a peer bank's problem.

Answer

Anindya Banerjee, CFO, indicated that while specific festive/non-salary expense line items might decline sequentially, he does not expect an overall OpEx decline due to continued investment and business growth focus, nor sequential increases at the Q2 pace. Regarding retail asset quality, Mr. Banerjee clarified that it was not considered 'bad' previously, with secured retail being stable or marginally improving for several quarters. He noted that benefits from regulatory and bank actions on unsecured portfolios (PLN cards) are now evident, allowing for renewed growth in those segments. On PSL classification, Mr. Banerjee stated the bank has established processes that are reviewed, with no specific regulatory issues to highlight at this time.

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Rikin Shah's questions to HDFCBANK leadership

Question · Q2 2025

Rikin Shah noted the generation of excess liquidity due to the faster normalization of the LDR and asked why the bank did not prepay bond borrowings this quarter, as it has in the past. He inquired if prepayment optionality still exists for the coming quarters.

Answer

CEO Sashidhar Jagdishan responded that the effort to prepay borrowings continues, but it is challenging as a large portion of the inherited HDFC Ltd. borrowings are non-callable and require negotiation. He explained that the bank is also choosing to maintain an adequate liquidity cushion to manage uncertainties around deposit sustainability and upcoming draft regulatory guidelines. However, he affirmed that if an opportunity to prepay arises without compromising this liquidity cushion, the bank will take it.

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