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    Sean Dodge

    Healthcare Equity Research Analyst at RBC Capital Markets

    Sean Dodge is a Healthcare Equity Research Analyst at RBC Capital Markets, specializing in coverage of publicly traded healthcare companies such as Sotera Health Company and TruBridge. Over the past year, he has maintained a success rate of approximately 39.8% on his stock recommendations, with an average return of -4.7% according to TipRanks data. Sean Dodge has authored industry outlooks like the 2023 RBC Digital Health Outlook and regularly covers companies involved in digital health and healthcare technology. His professional experience includes in-depth financial analysis and investment strategy within healthcare equities, and he is known for providing insights on companies' revenue guidance and market performance trends.

    Sean Dodge's questions to Sotera Health (SHC) leadership

    Sean Dodge's questions to Sotera Health (SHC) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Sean Dodge from RBC Capital Markets asked for details on the operational changes at Nelson Labs driving margin improvement and the revenue mix and margin profiles of its different service lines (Expert Advisory, routine, validation).

    Answer

    CEO Michael Petras attributed the margin improvement at Nelson Labs primarily to enhanced labor productivity, better aligning staffing with order patterns. He also mentioned the consolidation of a smaller lab to improve operating leverage. He clarified that Expert Advisory Services is the lowest margin category and represents a low-double-digit percentage of Nelson's revenue, while routine and validation testing are roughly split 50/50.

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    Sean Dodge's questions to Sotera Health (SHC) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Sean Dodge of RBC Capital Markets inquired about the wide Q4 revenue guidance, historical seasonal strength, and sequential expectations for Nordion, Sterigenics, and Nelson Labs. He also asked about market dynamics and potential share shifts resulting from the final NESHAP regulations.

    Answer

    CEO Michael Petras confirmed that Nordion's revenue is expected to be up sequentially in Q4 but down year-over-year, with about 60% of its annual revenue in the second half. He noted Nelson Labs would be down mid-single digits due to expert advisory services normalization, while Sterigenics would see continued slight volume and mix growth. Regarding NESHAP, Petras stated that while challenging for the industry, Sotera Health is confident in its position and views the regulations as a net positive for Sterigenics.

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    Sean Dodge's questions to Teladoc Health (TDOC) leadership

    Sean Dodge's questions to Teladoc Health (TDOC) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Sean Dodge from RBC Capital Markets questioned the reasons for the sequential decline in BetterHelp's average revenue per user (ARPU), asking if it was driven by the new weekly pricing model, international growth, or churn.

    Answer

    CFO Mala Murthy clarified that the ARPU decline was not due to the weekly pricing model, which is currently proportional to the monthly price. Instead, she attributed the decrease to the growing mix of international business, which has a lower headline price, and the accounting treatment of international taxes as a contra-revenue item.

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    Sean Dodge's questions to Teladoc Health (TDOC) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Sean Dodge requested more detail on the stabilization of BetterHelp's user count, asking whether the trend was driven by higher new user additions or improved retention. He also asked about management's confidence in maintaining this stability, considering seasonal dynamics at year-end.

    Answer

    Chief Financial Officer Mala Murthy attributed the user count stability primarily to new user additions, driven by incremental advertising spend in international markets. She noted that other metrics like retention and churn have been largely stable throughout 2024. However, she cautioned that Q4 is seasonally a period where ad spend is judiciously pulled back, which impacts user additions in Q4 and can have a roll-over effect into Q1 of the next year.

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    Sean Dodge's questions to Teladoc Health (TDOC) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Sean Dodge requested more detail on the stabilization of BetterHelp's user count, asking if it was driven by new user additions or improved retention and what provides confidence in future stability.

    Answer

    CFO Mala Murthy attributed the stabilization primarily to new user additions, fueled by incremental ad spend in international markets. She noted that other metrics like retention and churn have been largely stable in 2024. She also cautioned that the typical Q4 modulation of ad spend will impact user counts into Q1, with stabilization expected to progress through 2025.

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    Sean Dodge's questions to HEALTHCARE SERVICES GROUP (HCSG) leadership

    Sean Dodge's questions to HEALTHCARE SERVICES GROUP (HCSG) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Sean Dodge inquired about the impact of new business start-up costs on gross margins, the timeline to achieve the 86% cost of sales target, and the drivers behind the Q4 adjusted cash from operations performance relative to guidance.

    Answer

    Executive Theodore Wahl explained that the timing of new business adds will cause quarterly margin fluctuations but affirmed confidence in the 86% cost of services target, driven by operational execution. He noted Q4 cash flow was impacted by pulling forward new business opportunities. Executive Matthew McKee added that new housekeeping and dining accounts typically take 90 and 120 days, respectively, to get on budget. CFO Vikas Singh highlighted that Q4 cash collections exceeded 100%, bolstering cash flow. McKee also provided specific payroll accrual day counts and their cash flow impact for each quarter of 2025.

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    Sean Dodge's questions to HEALTHCARE SERVICES GROUP (HCSG) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Sean Dodge asked for an update on the company's visibility into its full-year cash flow target, the number of payroll accrual days for Q3 and Q4, and the revenue run rate exiting the quarter to better understand the growth outlook for 2025.

    Answer

    Executive Theodore Wahl confirmed strong momentum for the full-year cash flow target, citing over 98.5% collections in Q3, positive Q4 seasonality, and ongoing collections from Change Healthcare-related delays. He reiterated the strategy of increasing payment frequency and using promissory notes. Executive Matthew McKee stated there were 9 payroll accrual days in Q3 and there will be 3 in Q4. Wahl added that he is optimistic about 2025 growth, supported by a strong pipeline and consistent new business additions, though client retention remains a key variable.

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    Sean Dodge's questions to Phreesia (PHR) leadership

    Sean Dodge's questions to Phreesia (PHR) leadership • Q3 2025

    Question

    Sean Dodge inquired about the allocation of sales and marketing expenses, asking if the mix is shifting more towards cross-selling and network solutions versus new client acquisition.

    Answer

    Executive Balaji Gandhi described the allocation as a continuous process focused on returns and paybacks. He noted that the total dollar amount spent on sales and marketing has remained stable for several quarters, suggesting the focus is on efficiency and maximizing returns from the existing budget.

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    Sean Dodge's questions to Phreesia (PHR) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Sean Dodge inquired about the seasonal cadence of the Network Solutions business and the company's visibility into that revenue stream for the second half of the fiscal year.

    Answer

    Executive Balaji Gandhi confirmed that the third and fourth quarters are seasonally the heaviest for the Network Solutions business, which is why the company intentionally set a wider revenue guidance range for the year. He noted that many sales activities are in progress during the fall.

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    Sean Dodge's questions to OptimizeRx (OPRX) leadership

    Sean Dodge's questions to OptimizeRx (OPRX) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Sean Dodge asked for quantification of the sales pipeline growth compared to the previous year, the level of visibility into the significant Q4 revenue step-up implied by the 2024 guidance, and whether there have been any changes in sales cycle lengths.

    Answer

    CEO William Febbo and executive Stephen Silvestro noted that while they no longer provide a specific pipeline metric, the pipeline is building very nicely and is cleaner and smarter, particularly as the DTC business is now aligned with the annual RFP cycle. Mr. Febbo confirmed there is "high visibility" into the Q4 revenue guidance, with very little left to secure. Mr. Silvestro added that the sales cycle for the core HCP business has accelerated by approximately 20%, while the DTC business cycle remains tied to the annual RFP process.

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    Sean Dodge's questions to Evolent Health (EVH) leadership

    Sean Dodge's questions to Evolent Health (EVH) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Sean Dodge of RBC Capital Markets requested a reconciliation for the Q4 adjusted EBITDA guidance reduction, noting a gap between the implied cost trend and the new forecast.

    Answer

    John Johnson explained the Q4 guidance reduction by citing two main factors. First, the guidance range accounts for a potential worsening of medical cost trends. Second, the underlying cost pressure is higher than implied by the $100 million special rate increase alone; the company also expects at least $50 million from normal-course annual escalators, which are also needed to offset the trend.

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    Sean Dodge's questions to GoodRx Holdings (GDRX) leadership

    Sean Dodge's questions to GoodRx Holdings (GDRX) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Sean Dodge of RBC Capital Markets asked about the rollout of the Integrated Savings Program (ISP), specifically if the pace of adoption is consistent across all PBM partners and what factors drive differences in speed.

    Answer

    Interim CEO Scott Wagner responded that the pace is a mix across the PBM environment. He framed ISP as a solution meeting employer demand for a complement to funded plans and highlighted the excitement around expanding the program to include brands, which serves a large market need for employers managing costs while providing benefits.

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    Sean Dodge's questions to Health Catalyst (HCAT) leadership

    Sean Dodge's questions to Health Catalyst (HCAT) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    For Sean Dodge of RBC Capital Markets, Thomas Kelliher asked about the potential size of the incremental EBITDA contribution from existing TEMS clients as newer contracts ramp up to their mature target margins.

    Answer

    CEO Dan Burton reiterated the margin progression for TEMS contracts, which start near 0% gross margin and ramp toward a 25% target over several years. He noted that AI-driven efficiencies in areas like chart abstraction could provide an additional 20-25% efficiency gain on top of that. CFO Jason Alger acknowledged the near-term margin pressure from investments in newer ambulatory TEMS relationships.

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    Sean Dodge's questions to Waystar Holding (WAY) leadership

    Sean Dodge's questions to Waystar Holding (WAY) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Sean Dodge asked for clarification on the implied sequential decline in volume-based revenue for Q4 within the full-year guidance. He also requested color on the potential efficiency gains from the generative AI solutions planned for 2025.

    Answer

    CFO Steven Oreskovich stated that the Q4 guidance reflects a prudent assumption that full-year volumes will normalize toward original expectations after three quarters of outperformance. CEO Matthew Hawkins noted that while specific ROI for new GenAI tools is not yet public, they are being designed with client input to deliver tangible returns and address key industry pain points.

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    Sean Dodge's questions to HEALTHEQUITY (HQY) leadership

    Sean Dodge's questions to HEALTHEQUITY (HQY) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Sean Dodge from RBC Capital Markets questioned the magnitude of the full-year guidance increase, noting it was less than the significant Q2 beat on revenue, EBITDA, and EPS, and asked about potential one-time items.

    Answer

    President and CEO Jon Kessler explained that while Q2 performance was strong, the full-year outlook reflects a net effect. He quantified the outperformance versus internal expectations at about $10 million, which was partially offset by a roughly $5 million negative impact from a downward shift in forward interest rate curves affecting floating-rate cash and back-half placements.

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    Sean Dodge's questions to CDMO leadership

    Sean Dodge's questions to CDMO leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Inquired about recent booking trends for Q4, details on the composition of the $41 million in Q3 bookings (including any shifts or cancellations), and the expected pace of backlog conversion given the mix of early and late-stage projects.

    Answer

    Executives declined to comment on Q4 bookings but expressed optimism for continued growth, while noting potential lumpiness. They confirmed the $41M in Q3 bookings was a solid number with no major cancellations and highlighted a positive trend of increasing early-phase opportunities. They expect backlog conversion to potentially shorten as more early-phase business is added to the mix.

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    Sean Dodge's questions to RCM leadership

    Sean Dodge's questions to RCM leadership • Q4 2023

    Question

    Inquired about the free cash flow trajectory for 2024 and beyond, including key drivers. Also asked about the assumption for credit allowances in the 2024 guidance and what a 'normal' level looks like.

    Answer

    Executives guided to a 2024 free cash flow conversion in the 20%+ range, impacted by Providence investments and Acclara transaction costs, but expect it to improve significantly in 2025 towards a long-term target of 50%+. The 2024 guidance assumes about $10 million for credit allowances, which they consider the 'new normal'.

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    Sean Dodge's questions to CTLT leadership

    Sean Dodge's questions to CTLT leadership • Q4 2023

    Question

    Asked how dependent the guidance is on the upcoming EMBARK trial data for its large gene therapy customer (Sarepta). Also inquired about personnel and oversight changes made at the Bloomington facility to restore confidence.

    Answer

    The guidance does not include any potential upside from a label expansion related to the EMBARK data. The relationship with that customer also spans multiple programs. At Bloomington, several leadership changes have been made, including a new general manager and new leaders in the quality function, to adapt to the site's new phase of launching multiple new products post-pandemic.

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    Sean Dodge's questions to CTLT leadership • Q4 2023

    Question

    Asked how the guidance for the large gene therapy customer depends on upcoming clinical trial data and what specific personnel or oversight changes have been made at the Bloomington facility to address recent challenges.

    Answer

    The company clarified that the guidance does not assume a positive outcome or label expansion from the upcoming clinical trial data, and noted the customer relationship is diversified across multiple programs. At the Bloomington facility, a new general manager and other key leadership positions have been filled to manage the site's new focus on launching multiple products.

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