Sophie Karp

Sophie Karp asked for an estimated timeline for the Commercial Operation Date (COD) of the Revolution Wind project, following the expected first power in a few weeks, and whether this milestone would be publicly announced.

Answer

CEO Joe Nolan stated that Eversource is targeting the second half of 2026 for Revolution Wind's COD, noting that the schedule continues to improve. He mentioned that Ørsted, as the lead, would be responsible for disclosing further updates to the market.

Sophie Karp from KeyBanc Capital Markets asked for an estimated timeline for the Commercial Operation Date (COD) of the Revolution Wind project, following the expected first power in a few weeks. Karp also inquired whether the COD would be publicly announced via a press release or during the next earnings report.

Answer

CEO Joe Nolan stated that Eversource Energy is targeting the second half of 2026 for Revolution Wind's COD, noting significant schedule acceleration and continuous improvement. Nolan mentioned that Ørsted, as the lead, would be responsible for disclosing updates, but Eversource would provide market updates as more clarity emerges, particularly after first power.

Sophie Karp asked for clarification on what legally constitutes the end of Eversource's involvement in the Revolution Wind project, specifically at what point they are no longer financially responsible, whether it's at first power or another milestone, and the definition of Commercial Operation Date (COD).

Answer

Chairman, President, and CEO Joe Nolan clarified that Eversource's involvement concludes at the Commercial Operation Date (COD), similar to the South Fork project. He explained that COD signifies full operation, the turnover of all associated documents, and the power purchase agreement (PPA) being in full force.

Sophie Karp inquired about what legally constitutes the end of the Revolution Wind project for Eversource's agreement with Ørsted, asking at what point Eversource is no longer financially responsible. She also asked for a specific definition of 'COD' (Commercial Operation Date).

Answer

CEO Joe Nolan explained that Eversource is off the hook at the Commercial Operation Date (COD), similar to the protocol used for the South Fork project. He defined COD as full operation, including the turning over of all associated documents and the Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) being in full force.

Sophie Karp of KeyBanc Capital Markets asked if the upcoming Millstone recontracting in 2029 could present an opportunity to improve affordability for Connecticut ratepayers.

Answer

Chairman, President and CEO Joseph Nolan acknowledged the importance of Millstone's 1,000 MW of clean baseload generation but stated it is too early to speculate on the 2029 contract. He emphasized that any future arrangements would require collaboration with the state administration, similar to the original contract.

Sophie Karp asked about Ameren's role in educating Missouri communities on the benefits of data centers and their special tariffs, particularly in light of public pushback and potential misunderstandings. She also inquired about the evolving regulatory climate in Illinois and the potential for upside from the multi-year grid plan or other pending regulatory proceedings in the state.

Answer

Marty Lyons, Chairman, President, and CEO, stated Ameren's role is to clarify impacts on reliability and affordability, speaking to legislation, tariff terms, ESAs, and available generation resources to assure customers they won't be negatively impacted. He noted that Illinois remains a significant investment area, with the regulatory environment stabilizing and improving, citing constructive decisions on rate reconciliation and gas cases, and highlighted the multi-year grid plan filing as a comprehensive update. Michael Moehn, Group President, Ameren Utilities, added that the new IRP construct for Illinois is a positive step for long-term reliability.

Sophie Karp questioned Ameren's role in educating communities, particularly in Missouri, about the benefits of data centers under special tariffs, given community pushback. She also inquired about the evolving regulatory climate in Illinois and the potential for upside from the multi-year grid plan or other pending regulatory proceedings.

Answer

Marty Lyons, Chairman, President, and CEO, stated Ameren's role is to clarify impacts on reliability and affordability, emphasizing that data centers will pay their fair share, ensuring no negative impact on existing customers. He described the Illinois regulatory environment as stabilizing and improving, citing constructive decisions and significant ongoing investments. Michael Moehn, Group President, Ameren Utilities, added that the IRP for Illinois is a constructive step for resource adequacy.

Sophie Karp with KeyBanc Capital Markets inquired about the potential impact of federal permitting reform on AEP, specifically what opportunities it might unlock for accelerated infrastructure development in the near and medium term.

Answer

Bill Fehrman, Chairman, President, and CEO, confirmed deep engagement with Senate partners and Department of Energy and Interior secretaries to advocate for permitting reform, recognizing its potential to unleash faster investment. He expressed hope for progress but acknowledged the challenging environment.

Sophie Karp asked about the potential opportunities that federal permitting reform might unlock for AEP in the near and medium term.

Answer

Bill Fehrman (Chairman, President, and CEO) stated that AEP is deeply engaged with Senate partners and leadership in D.C. to advocate for permitting reform to accelerate infrastructure development. He mentioned direct communication with the Department of Energy and Interior, acknowledging that while the environment makes it hard to predict, AEP is actively pushing for reforms that would unleash more investment faster.

Sophie Karp asked if Sempra might take a more decisive step to de-emphasize California, potentially through strategic options for its California utilities, given the increased capital allocation focus on Texas.

Answer

Jeff Martin (Chairman and CEO, Sempra) explained that capital allocation prioritizes areas with the best risk-reward, currently Texas. He noted California's complementary role, providing a strong balance sheet for Oncor, housing the largest natural gas utility in the Western Hemisphere, and maintaining a leadership position in the electric business, while emphasizing efforts to minimize bill impacts and reduce costs in California.

Sophie Karp asked if Sempra might take a more decisive step to de-emphasize California, potentially through strategic options for its California utilities, given the company's increasing focus and capital allocation towards Texas.

Answer

Jeff Martin, Chairman and CEO of Sempra, explained that California remains an important complement to Texas, providing a strong balance sheet for Oncor's growth. He emphasized Sempra's leadership position in both major U.S. economies, ongoing efforts to reduce costs in California, and the state's contribution to the overall credit stack, indicating California will always be an important part of Sempra's diversified portfolio.

Sophie Karp asked whether Entergy anticipates needing regulatory proceedings beyond its regular formula rate plan reviews to accommodate the significant system growth and ensure cost recovery. She also requested a breakdown of the 7-12 GW data center pipeline by stage, differentiating between signed ESAs and earlier-stage opportunities.

Answer

Drew Marsh, Chair and CEO, explained that the regulatory approach varies by jurisdiction. He noted that Mississippi has specific laws for large economic development projects, while Louisiana and Arkansas utilize existing, often expedited, processes like the Generating Arkansas Jobs Act. Kimberly Fontan, CFO, clarified that the 7-12 GW pipeline represents opportunities in various stages, but none are signed ESAs and thus are not yet included in Entergy's forecasts. Drew Marsh, Chair and CEO, added that this pipeline represents opportunities expected to materialize within the next one to two years, with the actual pipeline extending even further.

Sophie Karp asked how Entergy plans for the coexistence of data centers and storm risk in its territory, and whether this creates incremental opportunities for storm hardening or backup generation.

Answer

Chair and CEO Drew Marsh explained that the primary strategy is risk mitigation through geography. Data centers and their supporting generation and transmission assets are being sited further inland, away from the highest-risk coastal areas. He added that all new infrastructure is built to modern, more stringent standards, which inherently improves resilience against storm impacts.

Sophie Karp asked what market signals would accelerate new nuclear development, how quickly a new gas plant can be built, and about the financial impact of new cost-recovery legislation in Arkansas and Texas.

Answer

CEO Drew Marsh stated that the key to accelerating nuclear is solving the commercial question of construction risk and customer willingness to pay, despite strong political support. He noted new gas plants can be built by 2028-2029 using existing queue positions. CFO Kimberly Fontan explained the Arkansas legislation allows for earlier recovery and lower customer costs, while the Texas legislation improves the timing of storm cost recovery, both reducing carrying costs.

Sophie Karp requested a breakdown of the EPS and capital increase, asked about the tariff structure for the new customer, clarified the approval process for the SERI asset transfer, and questioned what milestones are needed before Entergy would commit to a new SMR project.

Answer

Executive Kimberly Fontan stated the financial uplift is a blend of drivers and not broken out. Executive Roderick West confirmed both Mississippi and FERC must approve the SERI transfer. Executive Andrew Marsh explained that committing to a first-of-a-kind nuclear project would depend heavily on achieving an acceptable risk-sharing profile with partners and stakeholders.

Sophie Karp asked how FirstEnergy envisions state-level policymakers responding to rising consumer energy costs and whether there is sufficient momentum for these efforts to be addressed in upcoming legislative sessions.

Answer

Brian Tierney, Chair, President, and CEO, stated that FirstEnergy is actively engaging with regulators and legislators to highlight the causes of bill increases and work on mitigation strategies. He mentioned advocating against PJM capacity auctions and exploring alternative mechanisms, such as a two-tiered structure, to attract new capacity and ensure customers receive what they pay for. He believes there is significant attention on this issue across unregulated jurisdictions, with plans for mitigation expected to be enacted in the near term.

Sophie Karp inquired about FirstEnergy's regulatory strategy in Ohio following the current rate case, specifically asking when the company plans to file under the new framework and how that timing depends on the current case's outcome.

Answer

President, CEO & Chairman Brian Tierney explained that the timing for the next rate case filing is contingent on the current case's outcome. If the company is permitted to recover on recent investments, it may push the next filing out. If not, it will file a new multi-year case as soon as practicable after the decision, which is expected in Q4 2025.

Sophie Karp asked if multiple states would need to act in unison on a new market design to prevent cross-subsidization and sought clarification on whether utilities can legally own generation in deregulated states.

Answer

Executive Brian Tierney explained that under the Federal Power Act, states can act independently to ensure their own resource adequacy and do not need to act in unison. He confirmed that the legal frameworks in West Virginia, Ohio, and Maryland currently allow for utility-owned generation.

Sophie Karp of KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc. asked how increasingly onerous interconnection requirements from utilities might impact Constellation and potentially drive data center customers to other regions. She also inquired about other beneficial provisions in the 'One Big Beautiful Bill' beyond the well-known nuclear credits.

Answer

President & CEO Joseph Dominguez argued that while some states may create difficult rules, the interconnected grid means regional supply-demand fundamentals affect everyone, and he expects rationality to prevail. EVP & CFO Daniel Eggers detailed other benefits from the bill, highlighting that 100% bonus depreciation and R&D expensing are expected to generate $200 to $300 million in annual tax cash favorability for Constellation.

Sophie Karp of KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc. asked how onerous utility interconnection requirements might impact Constellation and data center customer migration. She also inquired about other beneficial provisions in the 'One Big Beautiful Bill' beyond the nuclear credits, such as depreciation.

Answer

President & CEO Joseph Dominguez addressed the interconnection issue, stating that while some regions may have difficult requirements, he believes rationality will prevail as suppressing data center development is ineffective. CFO Daniel Eggers answered the second question, confirming that bonus depreciation and R&D expensing will create $200-$300 million in annual cash favorability, with more expected post-Calpine.

Sophie Karp asked when the company's rate base CAGR might inflect upwards due to significant growth and whether management could quantify the pipeline of large load customers.

Answer

CFO Andrew Cooper noted that larger generation and transmission projects have long lead times but that the formula rate mechanism, once approved, will provide better visibility and more consistent cost recovery, supporting long-term growth. President, CEO & Chairman Ted Geisler quantified the customer pipeline, stating there are 4.5 gigawatts of committed extra high load factor customers and nearly 20 gigawatts of requests in the uncommitted queue.

Sophie Karp from KeyBanc Capital Markets asked for clarification on Q1 O&M lumpiness, inquired about the potential for higher voltage transmission lines, and questioned the impact of lower rooftop solar applications.

Answer

CFO Andrew Cooper confirmed the Q1 O&M increase was contemplated in the annual guidance. CEO Ted Geisler stated that while the engineering team evaluates all options, the current plan does not see a need for lines above 500 kV. He also noted that lower rooftop solar applications are likely a market normalization and are already factored into sales growth forecasts.

Sophie Karp inquired about the company's success rate in self-building generation through its All-Source RFPs and its inflationary assumptions heading into the next rate case.

Answer

APS President Theodore Geisler stated the long-term goal is an even balance between owned generation and PPAs, noting they have more than doubled successful ownership projects since the SRB was approved, with about 800 MW contracted from the last RFP. CFO Andrew Cooper explained that the next rate case is critical for truing up costs, as current rates are based on a test year that predates the recent inflationary period.

Sophie Karp of KeyBanc Capital Markets asked for details on the all-source RFP, specifically inquiring about the inclusion of thermal resources and Avista's potential self-bid competitiveness. She also requested an update on the regional wildfire risk and mitigation efforts.

Answer

President & CEO Heather Rosentrater confirmed that natural gas bids were among the more than 80 bids received in the RFP. She noted that while Avista's self-bids are considered competitive, specifics cannot be shared during the ongoing third-party evaluation process. Regarding wildfires, she stated that while regional conditions are drier than normal and fire activity is above average, the situation has been manageable for the company's system thus far.

Sophie Karp from KeyBanc Capital Markets asked for details on the all-source RFP, specifically if thermal resources like natural gas were bid, and questioned Avista's competitiveness with its self-build options. She also inquired about the current wildfire outlook in the service territory.

Answer

President & CEO Heather Rosentrater confirmed that natural gas bids were received alongside renewables and storage. She noted that while Avista's self-build options are considered competitive, specific details are confidential during the third-party evaluation process. Regarding wildfires, she stated that while conditions are drier than normal, there have been no significant fire starts in their territory to date, and mitigation efforts are ongoing.

Sophie Karp from KeyBanc Capital Markets asked for details on the all-source RFP, specifically if thermal resources were bid and about Avista's competitive position for its self-build proposals. She also requested an update on the wildfire outlook for the region.

Answer

President & CEO Heather Rosentrater confirmed that natural gas was among the resource types bid in the RFP, alongside renewables and storage. She declined to comment on the specifics of Avista's self-build bids while the third-party evaluation is underway, but affirmed they believe their bids are competitive. Regarding wildfires, Rosentrater noted that while conditions are drier than normal, there have been no significant fire starts in their territory to date, and mitigation tactics are in full use.

Sophie Karp from KeyBanc Capital Markets asked for details on the all-source RFP, specifically if thermal resources like natural gas were included in the bids and about Avista's potential competitiveness. She also inquired about the current wildfire outlook in the company's service territory.

Answer

President & CEO Heather Rosentrater confirmed that bids for natural gas resources were received in the RFP, along with wind, solar, and battery storage. She noted that while Avista's self-build bids are expected to be competitive, specific details cannot be shared while the third-party evaluation is ongoing. Regarding wildfires, Rosentrater reported that while conditions are drier than normal, fire activity has been manageable to date and the company continues to deploy its mitigation strategies.

Sophie Karp of KeyBanc Capital Markets asked about the inclusion of thermal resources like natural gas in the RFP bids, Avista's potential to win with its self-build proposals, and the current outlook for wildfire risk in the service territory.

Answer

President & CEO Heather Rosentrater confirmed that natural gas bids were received alongside wind, solar, and storage options. She stated that while Avista's self-build bids are considered competitive, specifics cannot be disclosed during the ongoing third-party evaluation. Regarding wildfires, she noted that while conditions are drier than normal and activity is above average, there have been no significant starts for Avista so far.

Sophie Karp of KeyBanc Capital Markets asked for details on the all-source RFP, specifically if thermal resources were bid and how competitive Avista's self-build options might be. She also inquired about the current wildfire risk outlook in the company's service territory.

Answer

President & CEO Heather Rosentrater confirmed that natural gas bids were received in the RFP alongside renewables and storage. While declining to comment on the specifics of Avista's self-build proposals during the active evaluation, she stated they believe their bids will be competitive. Regarding wildfires, she noted that while regional activity is above normal and conditions are dry, Avista has not seen significant starts in its territory and continues to employ all mitigation tactics.

Sophie Karp asked for a summary of lessons learned from the recent wildfire season, including the use of Public Safety Power Shutoffs (PSPS). She also inquired about any potential legislative initiatives Avista might pursue regarding wildfire response and liability in the next legislative session.

Answer

President and COO Heather Rosentrater described the wildfire season as successful, highlighting the effective deployment of a PSPS for one circuit with minimal customer disruption due to extensive pre-planning. She stated that Avista is now focused on adding more weather stations and undergrounding lines. She also confirmed that the company is actively working with stakeholders and plans to move forward with wildfire-related legislation in both Washington and Idaho in the upcoming session.

Sophie Karp from KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc. asked for a reminder of the estimated range of damages being contemplated for the Marshall Fire trial. She also inquired whether the company was exploring alternatives to equity issuance, such as asset sales, to fund its significant growth opportunities.

Answer

Chairman, President, & CEO Robert Frenzel explained that the trial is bifurcated, with damages to be determined in a second phase if liability is found. He noted they do not have an aggregate damage estimate but pointed to the approximately $2 billion in property damage claims paid by insurers. EVP & CFO Brian Van Abel stated that while their primary equity plan is the ATM program, they are not interested in minority interest sales and view their assets as core, adding any divestiture would be for strategic reasons, not funding.

Sophie Karp asked about the potential for delays or controversy in securing Minnesota Commission approval for the pending resource plan and gas rate case settlements. She also inquired about the outlook for legislative solutions to wildfire risk in Xcel's service territories.

Answer

EVP and CFO Brian Van Abel expressed optimism for timely Q1 approvals for both Minnesota settlements, citing a unanimous agreement in the gas case and broad stakeholder support for the resource plan. On wildfire legislation, Chairman, President and CEO Robert Frenzel noted it's a 'longer burn,' with significant dialogue expected in 2025 but no immediate legislative outcomes anticipated. He confirmed regulatory decisions on mitigation plans are expected in Colorado and Texas next year.

Sophie Karp of KeyBanc Capital Markets asked about the portion of capital that would still require general rate cases after new recovery mechanisms are in place, how the allowed ROE would be determined, and whether the next rate case would be a multi-year filing.

Answer

CEO Maria Pope pointed to the capital plan, noting that while much is covered by various mechanisms, a general rate case would still be required to set the ROE. Both Pope and CFO Joe Trpik indicated that while they see a clear path toward a multi-year rate plan, they would begin those discussions with stakeholders before committing to it for the next case.

Sophie Karp of KeyBanc Capital Markets inquired about Otter Tail's Plastics segment, specifically the volume assumptions in the 2025 guidance, the rationale for expecting continued price declines amid inflationary input costs, and the competitive impact of new capacity in the market.

Answer

Todd Wahlund, VP and CFO, explained that the 2025 guidance for the Plastics segment assumes a low single-digit volume increase, with some caution for the second half of the year due to housing market risks. He clarified that product prices are expected to continue declining until gross margins normalize to pre-2021 levels, a trend expected to continue through 2027. President and CEO Chuck MacFarlane added that while they lack full visibility, they believe competitors are likely making similar incremental capacity upgrades rather than building entirely new plants.

Sophie Karp inquired about the Plastics segment, asking about the volume assumptions in the 2025 guidance, the rationale for expecting simultaneous price declines and input cost inflation, and the impact of competitor capacity expansion.

Answer

Todd Wahlund, VP & CFO, explained that guidance assumes a low single-digit volume increase for the year, with potential second-half softness. He clarified that prices are expected to decline until gross margins revert to pre-2021 levels, which is the core assumption. Chuck MacFarlane, President & CEO, added that while they lack full visibility, they assume competitors are making similar incremental capacity upgrades rather than building new plants.

Sophie Karp asked for clarification on DTE's solar development pipeline, specifically if 'safe harbor' meant physical possession of panels, and inquired about the potential for a settlement in the current electric rate case.

Answer

President and COO Joi Harris confirmed that DTE has solar panels in warehouses, providing inventory for projects through 2027, and is mitigating tariff risk through supplier selection and contractual terms. Regarding the rate case, she stated it is too early to predict a settlement but that DTE is always open to discussions, with more clarity expected in August.

Sophie Karp from KeyBanc Capital Markets inquired whether new regulatory mechanisms, such as storm securitization, might be necessary to manage customer bill impacts from the increased capital spending suggested by the recent system audit. She also asked about potential opportunities for the DTE Vantage segment related to large load growth.

Answer

Chairman and CEO Gerardo Norcia stated that the company does not anticipate needing new structural mechanisms at this time, expressing confidence that DTE can achieve its ambitious reliability goals while maintaining customer affordability, citing a strong track record of cost management. He also confirmed that the Vantage segment is having conversations with potential data center customers about providing custom energy solutions like cogeneration and other central plant services.

Sophie Karp asked about the long-term strategy for offsetting customer bill increases from the large investment plan and questioned the target size of the DTE Vantage business relative to the regulated utilities.

Answer

Chairman and CEO Gerardo Norcia explained that affordability will be maintained as many capital investments, such as reliability improvements and the clean energy transition, will yield lower long-term operating costs. He also cited load growth from EVs and potential data centers as revenue opportunities. For Vantage, Norcia stated the strategy is to pursue high-return, low-risk projects while keeping its earnings contribution at or below 10% of the company's total, noting the utility's rapid growth allows Vantage to grow as well.

Sophie Karp asked a high-level question about the Michigan economy, seeking color on customer activity and sentiment.

Answer

President and CEO Garrick Rochow cited several positive indicators, including solid residential and commercial performance, rising housing permits in Grand Rapids, and customer-requested work remaining above pre-pandemic levels. He highlighted Michigan's economic diversification in aerospace, defense, and agriculture, with food processing growing, all of which provide confidence in the service territory's economic outlook.

Sophie Karp asked why the company is not indicating a potential increase to its long-term EPS growth rate, given the strong load growth forecast and significantly higher capital plan.

Answer

Executive Scott Lauber explained that while capital increased in Wisconsin, it was reduced in the infrastructure segment and Illinois. After factoring in financing needs, the company is comfortable with the existing 6.5% to 7% growth rate, pending outcomes in the Wisconsin rate case and Illinois regulatory proceedings.

Inquired about the company's long-term capital strategy after the immediate goal of debt paydown is accomplished, and asked about the perceived political risk to the ITC adders.

Answer

The long-term strategy is to use the most flexible and cheapest capital available. Currently, that is asset-level financing, as corporate capital is deemed too expensive. Regarding political risk, the company believes the IRA's benefits to domestic manufacturing have bipartisan support and does not expect the adders to be repealed, regardless of the election outcome.

Sophie Karp from KeyBanc asked about PSEG's PJM market strategy, specifically whether the company would bid its nuclear assets into the next capacity auction or hold them back in anticipation of co-location opportunities with data centers.

Answer

Daniel Cregg, EVP and CFO, explained that a potential co-located data center would take time to build. He indicated that the construction timeline does not currently conflict with the commitment period for the upcoming capacity auction, suggesting that the decision is not yet at a critical crossover point.

Asked for an update on the regulatory environment in Connecticut and the prospects for its improvement, as well as a broader perspective on the offshore wind industry's economic viability and cost acceptability for ratepayers.

Answer

The CEO stated that improving the Connecticut regulatory environment is a priority being pursued through legal appeals against a decision they deem flawed, but a timeline is uncertain. On offshore wind, the company will not proceed with financially unviable projects and future bids will require risk mitigation like indexation. The viability of offshore wind is project-specific, and the company remains committed where it makes financial sense.