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Steve Koenig

Steve Koenig

Research Analyst at Macquarie Group LTD

San Francisco, CA, US

Steve Koenig is Managing Director and US Head of Technology Research at Macquarie Capital, specializing in equities research for enterprise software, artificial intelligence, and cybersecurity. He covers leading technology companies within these sectors and has a publicly measured analyst track record, including a 31.82% success rate and an average return of -7.56%. With over 20 years’ experience, Koenig’s career includes senior roles at SMBC Nikko Securities, Wedbush Securities, Jefferies, KeyBanc Capital Markets, and Longbow Research, alongside consulting for enterprise software firms, before joining Macquarie in 2024. He holds both bachelor’s and master’s degrees from Stanford University and an MBA from Harvard Business School.

Steve Koenig's questions to Gitlab (GTLB) leadership

Question · Q3 2026

Steve Koenig asked Bill Staples about the most immediate productivity impact areas of the Duo Agent Platform across the software development lifecycle and inquired whether the observed SMB softness is primarily a macro-economic issue or related to execution.

Answer

Bill Staples, CEO, GitLab, explained that Duo Agent Platform's impact is broad, enabling AI orchestration for tasks like planning, bug analysis, code review, security analysis, and pipeline troubleshooting, automating fixes across the lifecycle. James Shen, Interim CFO, GitLab, attributed SMB softness to segment-specific weakness, price and spend sensitivity, and license usage scrutiny, noting it's a macro trend impacting a small (8% of ARR) segment.

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Question · Q3 2026

Steve Koenig asked about the most immediate impact areas for productivity improvement across the software development lifecycle once the Duo Agent Platform is generally available and adopted. He also requested more details on the SMB softness, specifically whether it's a macro-economic issue or related to GitLab's execution.

Answer

Bill Staples, CEO, GitLab, explained that Duo Agent Platform, being a platform approach, allows customers to orchestrate AI actions for any engineering problem, from planning and documentation to bug analysis, code authoring/review, security analysis, and troubleshooting failing pipelines. James Shen, Interim CFO, GitLab, attributed SMB softness to segment-specific weakness observed for several quarters, noting price and overall spend sensitivity, and increased scrutiny around license usage. He confirmed it's a macro issue, not execution, and SMB is a small part (8% of ARR) of their business.

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Question · Q1 2026

Steve Koenig from Macquarie Capital followed up on the back-end weighted linearity, asking if it was macro or execution-related, what metrics are used to track the macro environment, and if any go-to-market adjustments are planned.

Answer

CFO Brian Robbins indicated the end-of-quarter dynamics were normal and not indicative of a specific execution issue. He noted that while they track linearity and pipeline metrics closely, the platform's strong ROI continues to resonate with customers. He stated that while the company always focuses on improving execution, no specific tactical adjustments were being made as a result of Q1's linearity.

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Steve Koenig's questions to McGraw Hill (MH) leadership

Question · Q2 2026

Steve Koenig inquired about McGraw Hill's second-half outlook, asking how much of the full-year guidance raise was attributable to Q2 performance versus changes in the outlook or assumptions for the back half of the year. He also asked for general color on the company's capital allocation strategy moving forward.

Answer

Bob Sallmann, EVP and CFO, explained that Q2 is the most significant quarter, providing visibility into enrollments, share gains, and K-12 RPO. He noted that K-12 performance was in line with expectations, while higher education performed slightly better due to continued share gains and slightly higher enrollment. The full-year guidance was narrowed due to greater visibility post-Q2. For capital allocation, Bob Sallmann stated that organic investments are the priority due to the greatest ROI. The company remains committed to deleveraging to a target of 2-2.5 times, as demonstrated by recent debt prepayments. He also mentioned a full funnel of smaller, strategic tuck-in M&A opportunities that expand the addressable market, with nothing transformational currently planned.

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Question · Q2 2026

Steve Koenig followed up by asking for more general color on McGraw Hill's capital allocation strategy moving forward.

Answer

Bob Sallmann, EVP and CFO, outlined capital allocation priorities: first, organic investments for the highest ROI; second, deleveraging to a target of 2-2.5 times net leverage, demonstrated by a $150 million term loan prepayment in October; and third, strategic tuck-in M&A, with a full funnel of smaller, addressable market expansion opportunities, but nothing transformational currently.

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