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ATLANTIC AMERICAN CORP (AAME)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 swung to profitability: net income $0.412M ($0.02 diluted EPS) vs Q3 2024 net loss $(2.0)M and Q4 2023 net loss $(2.2)M, driven by favorable loss experience in life & health, particularly group life and Medicare supplement .
  • Total revenue rose to $49.0M in Q4 (+10.8% q/q; +4.9% y/y), while non-GAAP operating loss improved to $(0.75)M from $(4.29)M in Q4 2023, reflecting improved underwriting results in life & health; property & casualty remained pressured by elevated auto liability claims .
  • The Board declared a $0.02 annual dividend, payable April 23, 2025 (record date April 9, 2025), signaling confidence despite a FY 2024 net loss .
  • No earnings call transcript was available for Q4; management commentary came via press release, emphasizing strong Medicare supplement sales in AEP and planned rate actions in commercial auto—key near-term stock narrative catalysts .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Life & health losses improved materially in Q4, with incurred losses down to $16.6M vs $22.9M in Q4 2023, driving the return to quarterly profitability .
  • Strong Medicare supplement sales during the annual enrollment period, with momentum into the new year: “exceptional new sales…with strong momentum carrying into the new year” — Hilton H. Howell, Jr., CEO .
  • Dividend reinstatement/continuation: Board approved $0.02 annual dividend, highlighting capital confidence and shareholder return focus .

What Went Wrong

  • Property & casualty remained challenged: incurred losses rose to $14.7M in Q4 vs $12.9M in Q4 2023, reflecting continued frequency/severity in auto liability claims .
  • Full-year 2024 net loss widened to $(4.3)M vs $(0.2)M in 2023, driven by P&C auto liability headwinds (frequency/severity) .
  • Operating performance still negative on a non-GAAP basis in Q4 (operating loss $(0.75)M), indicating ongoing underwriting and expense pressures despite improved life & health loss ratios .

Financial Results

Quarterly Performance vs Prior Periods and Prior Year

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Total Revenue ($USD Millions)$47.668 $44.519 $49.043
Net Income ($USD Millions)$(0.684) $(1.998) $0.412
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.04) $(0.10) $0.02
Net Income Margin (%)(1.43%)*(4.49%)*0.84%*
EBIT Margin (%)3.78%*(3.56%)*2.80%*

Values with asterisk retrieved from S&P Global.

Q4 2024 vs Q3 2024 and Q4 2023

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024q/q ChangeQ4 2023y/y Change
Total Revenue ($USD Millions)$44.519 $49.043 +10.8%$46.745 +4.9%
Net Income ($USD Millions)$(1.998) $0.412 +$2.410M$(2.228) +$2.640M
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.10) $0.02 +$0.12$(0.11) +$0.13

Segment Premiums

Metric ($USD Millions)Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Life & Health Premiums (Net)$27.449 $27.568 $29.351
Property & Casualty Premiums (Net)$17.544 $16.214 $16.053
Total Insurance Premiums (Net)$44.993 $43.782 $45.404

KPIs (Loss Ratios by Segment)

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Life & Health Loss Ratio (%)64.0% (Losses $17.579M / Premiums $27.449M) 60.8% (Losses $16.776M / Premiums $27.568M) 56.5% (Losses $16.597M / Premiums $29.351M)
P&C Loss Ratio (%)81.1% (Losses $14.228M / Premiums $17.544M) 86.2% (Losses $13.984M / Premiums $16.214M) 91.8% (Losses $14.742M / Premiums $16.053M)

Balance Sheet Snapshot (Year-End)

Metric ($USD Millions)FY 2023FY 2024
Total Cash & Investments$265.368 $265.696
Total Assets$381.265 $393.428
Debt$36.757 $37.761
Shareholders’ Equity$107.275 $99.613
Book Value per Share ($)4.99 4.61

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Annual Dividend ($/share)2025N/A$0.02; payable Apr 23, 2025; record Apr 9, 2025Initiated/Declared
Commercial Auto Pricing ActionsOngoingN/A“Taking steps to improve rates for that line of business”Actions Announced

No formal quantitative guidance (revenue, margins, tax rate, OpEx, OI&E) was provided in Q4 materials .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q4 earnings call transcript was available; themes below derive from management’s press releases.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2024)Previous Mentions (Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Medicare Supplement SalesPositioning for strong AEP; product launches; investments in tech and talent Strong sales momentum entering Q4; new charter launched; underwriting and distribution enhancements “Exceptional new sales… strong momentum into the new year” Improving sales trajectory
P&C Auto Liability ClaimsFrequency/severity pressure notable; softening market but writing profitable business Highly inflationary auto market; expect stabilization near term Rising costs affecting profitability; taking steps to improve rates Ongoing headwinds; pricing response
Non-GAAP Operating PerformanceDeteriorated vs prior year Negative operating income due to elevated losses Operating loss narrowed vs prior year Sequential improvement
Internal Controls (Material Weakness)Cautioned in forward-looking statements Cautioned in forward-looking statements Cautioned in forward-looking statements Persistent risk disclosure
Ratings/Capital PositionAM Best affirmed ratings across subsidiaries; parent ICR “bbb-” stable outlook; debt-to-capital ~19.9% (as of Sep 30, 2024) Stable external validation

Management Commentary

  • “We are thrilled to report exceptional new sales in our Medicare supplement business during the fourth quarter annual enrollment period, with strong momentum carrying into the new year… we are taking steps to improve rates for [commercial automobile]… the Board… approved the Company’s annual dividend of $0.02 per share.” — Hilton H. Howell, Jr., Chairman, President & CEO .
  • “Strategic investments in technology and talent will provide the foundation for future performance… property and casualty division has demonstrated remarkable resilience in a softening market, consistently writing profitable business.” — Hilton H. Howell, Jr. (Q2) .
  • “Our newest charter has made a promising entrance… enhanced underwriting and distribution strategies… we expect [auto] conditions to stabilize and return to historical norms.” — Hilton H. Howell, Jr. (Q3) .

Q&A Highlights

No earnings call transcript was available for Q4 2024; no Q&A items or clarifications were published [List: 0 transcripts].

Estimates Context

S&P Global consensus was unavailable for EPS and revenue for Q4 2024; the table below anchors actuals only, and highlights the lack of coverage.

MetricPeriodConsensus Mean# of EstimatesActual
Revenue ($USD Millions)Q4 2024N/AN/A$49.043
Primary EPS ($)Q4 2024N/AN/A$0.02

Values retrieved from S&P Global; consensus data was unavailable.

Where estimates exist or emerge, they will need to incorporate: (i) better life & health loss ratios, (ii) ongoing P&C auto liability severity, and (iii) pricing actions in commercial auto .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Q4 inflection: Life & health loss ratio improved to ~56.5% from ~60.8% in Q3 and ~87.8% in Q4 2023, driving a return to profitability despite continued P&C pressure .
  • P&C auto liability remains the swing factor: Loss ratio climbed to ~91.8% in Q4; management is pursuing rate increases—watch for earned-rate cadence and re-underwriting outcomes .
  • Sales momentum in Medicare supplement is strong post-AEP, providing near-term premium growth support; monitor persistency and seasonality effects into H1 2025 .
  • Capital and ratings stable: AM Best affirmed subsidiary FSRs (A/A-) and parent ICR “bbb-” with stable outlook; debt-to-capital ~19.9% at Sep 30, 2024—supports dividend continuity at current level .
  • Non-GAAP operating loss narrowed q/q and y/y in Q4; continued focus on underwriting discipline and expense control should sustain improvement if auto severity normalizes .
  • No formal guidance; dividend at $0.02 provides modest yield signal; track future disclosures for quantitative guidance or rate adequacy commentary .
  • Risk watchlist: Internal control material weakness disclosure persists; macro/claims inflation and reinsurance dynamics cited as potential headwinds in forward-looking statements .

Bolded items to monitor for potential stock reaction: Medicare supplement sales momentum and visible evidence of commercial auto rate adequacy translating to lower loss ratios and improved operating income in subsequent quarters .