ACCO Brands - Q4 2025

Transcript

Operator (participant)

Hello, everyone, thank you for joining us today for the ACCO Brands Q4 and 2025 year-end earnings conference call. My name is Sammy, I'll be coordinating your call today. During the presentation, you can register a question by pressing Star followed by one on your telephone keypad. If you change your mind, please press Star followed by Two on your telephone keypad to remove yourself from the question queue. I'll now hand over to your host, Chris McGinnis, Director of Investor Relations, to begin. Please go ahead, Chris.

Chris McGinnis (Senior Director of Investor Relations)

Thank you. Good morning and welcome to the ACCO Brands conference call to review our fourth quarter and full year 2025 results. Speaking on the call today is Tom Tedford, President, Chief Executive Officer of ACCO Brands, and Jagannath Bobbili, Senior Vice President, Global Financial Planning and Analysis and Treasurer. Deb O'Connor, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, will not be joining today due to a personal matter, but is expected to return in a few weeks. Slides that accompany this call have been posted to the investor relations section of accobrands.com. When speaking about our results, we may refer to adjusted results. Adjusted results exclude amortization, restructuring costs, non-cash goodwill, intangible asset impairment charges, and other non-recurring items and unusual tax items, and include adjustments to reflect the estimated annual tax rate on quarterly earnings.

Schedules of adjusted results and other non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliation of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are in the earnings release in slides that accompany this call. Due to the inherent difficulty in forecasting and quantifying certain amounts, we do not reconcile our forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures. Forward-looking statements made during the call are based on the beliefs and assumptions of management based on information available to us at the time the statements are made. Our forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, and our actual results could differ materially. Please refer to our earnings release and SEC filings for an explanation of certain risk factors and assumptions. Our forward-looking statements are made as of today, and we assume no obligation to update them going forward. Now, I will turn the call over to Tom Tedford.

Tom Tedford (President and CEO)

Thank you, Chris. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today for ACCO Brands fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings call. This morning, we reported full year 2025 sales and adjusted EPS in line with our outlook. I'm pleased with how our team executed while navigating significant disruptions throughout 2025. Despite continued demand challenges globally and tariff-related disruptions in the U.S., ACCO Brands maintained or grew its market position in most categories, demonstrating the resilience and strength of our brand portfolio. We continue to invest in higher growth categories as we reposition the company for improved revenue performance. We have refined the company's strategy to focus on the growing technology peripherals market. The acquisition of EPOS represents a strategic move and broadens our technology peripherals portfolio, which now represents approximately 25% of the company's projected revenues.

The EPOS line of premium audio solutions strengthens our enterprise computer accessories business with key third-party certifications across unified communications platforms. The acquisition aligns well with our strategy of targeting value-enhancing transactions and is complementary to our Kensington business. Our teams have proven their ability to realize cost synergies from acquisitions. We expect to realize $50 million in annual cost synergies from this transaction. We are pleased with early integration efforts and are excited about adding this growth category to our portfolio. Our expected solid cash flow and improving leverage will allow for a more aggressive inorganic growth approach. An accomplishment I am proud of in 2025 was our team's quick response to U.S. tariffs and trade disruptions. Our proactive China Plus One strategy prevented significant disruptions to our business.

We have a flexible supply chain that enables competitive costs, value-added products, and provides category-leading service levels to our customers. We continued the solid implementation of our multi-year cost reduction program, delivering $35 million of savings in 2025, bringing the cumulative total to over $60 million since its inception in early 2024, and are on track to deliver $100 million in savings by the end of 2026. In the fourth quarter, revenue trends improved sequentially in the Americas segment, led by impressive growth in our technology accessories categories. The PowerA brand performed well during the fourth quarter, with sales strengthened by our leading new product offerings supporting the Nintendo Switch 2 launch and holiday retail placements. Kensington also had a good quarter in the segment, driven by a strong pipeline and new product introductions.

The international segment faced challenges from continued weakness in EMEA, which was partially offset by growth in Australia. Results were challenged in Europe due to difficult comparable sales comps to Q4 of 2024 and lower demand of traditional business essentials. Looking ahead to 2026, we expect the combination of the EPOS acquisition, improved demand in many categories, and favorable foreign exchange to drive revenue growth. In technology accessories, we're excited about our pipeline of new products from Kensington as we expand our breadth of offering to support enterprise-level customers. PowerA is expected to benefit from the recent launch of Nintendo Switch 2 and an increase in new gaming titles in the marketplace in 2026, especially Grand Theft Auto VI, which is anticipated to be released late in the year.

In learning and creative, our solid market share performance in North America during 2025 positions us well for the 2026 back-to-school season, with initial orders indicating an improvement year-over-year. Within Latin America, Brazil's 2025 results were lower than expected, resulting from adverse mix and market trade down due to lower priced product. We are working to reposition our product offering to Brazilian consumers, reflecting the challenging consumer dynamics. Additionally, we are focused on managing the gross margin impact of the adverse product mix by addressing our cost structure. In our international segment, we expect the rate of decline to moderate in 2026, aided by execution on growth initiatives. We remain optimistic about the Buro acquisition and are using acquired capabilities to expand into categories like ergonomic gaming chairs.

In EMEA, we continue to focus on enhancing our ergonomic product offering, which is driving incremental sales and accretive gross margins. We remain focused on improving revenue performance while maintaining expense discipline. We will closely manage expenses in 2026 and expect to deliver the balance of savings against our $100 million cost reduction program. Overall, we are expecting a better year on the demand front in 2026, with EPS and cash flow also expected to improve. While external challenges persist, I am confident in our strategy and our team's ability to execute. We are building a more focused, efficient, and growth-oriented company. Our transformation towards technology peripherals, combined with our operational excellence and strong financial position, creates multiple pathways for value creation. The foundation we have been building positions us well for profitable growth in the years ahead.

Before I hand the call over to JB, I want to thank our employees for their dedication and resilience throughout a challenging year. I am proud of our team and the work we are doing to transform our company. I will come back to answer your questions. JB?

Jagannath Bobji (SVP, Global Planning and Financial Analysis, and Treasurer)

Thank you, Tom. Good morning, everyone. As Tom mentioned, fourth quarter sales and adjusted EPS were in line with outlook. Reported sales in the fourth quarter decreased 4% with comparable sales down 8%. While demand continued to be constrained by global macroeconomic factors, trends in the Americas segment improved sequentially, led by growth in technology accessories and planning products. Gross profit for the fourth quarter was $144 million, a decrease of 7% with a margin rate of 33.6%, down 110 basis points. The margin rate decline was attributable to lower volumes, reduced fixed cost absorption, and unfavorable product mix. SG&A expense of $84 million was down $7 million versus the prior year due to cost reduction actions and lower incentive compensation expense.

Adjusted operating income for the fourth quarter was $60 million, with a margin rate of 14%, down 30 basis points. Let's turn to our segment results for the fourth quarter. In the Americas segment, comparable sales declined 5%. We had good growth in our technology accessories categories and planning products, which was more than offset by lower demand for core products, as well as unfavorable mix of lower priced product in Brazil. The Americas adjusted operating income was $43 million, up modestly in the fourth quarter, with the margin rate improving 110 basis points to 17.7%. The margin rate improvement was driven by cost savings and lower incentive compensation. In the international segment for the fourth quarter, comparable sales declined 12%.

Sales were impacted by soft demand in Europe and a difficult Q4 2024 comparison due to non-repeats of year-end buying by certain customers. Backing this out, the comparable sales decline was similar to the third quarter. The decline in Europe was partially offset by growth in Australia. International adjusted operating income was $26 million, with the margin rate at 14.1%, both down compared to the prior year. The decreases are due to the lower volumes, which more than offset the benefit of pricing and cost savings. Adjusted free cash flow for the year was $70 million. This includes $19 million in cash proceeds from the sale of three owned facilities. Cash flow was lower in 2025, reflecting the EBITDA decline as well as tariff related cash payments, which were approximately $15 million higher than prior year.

During the year, we returned $42 million to shareholders in the form of $27 million dividends and $15 million in share repurchases. At year-end, we had approximately $292 million available for borrowing under our revolver, and we finished the quarter with a consolidated leverage ratio of 4.1x. Before turning to Outlook, let me provide a little more detail on the EPOS acquisition. EPOS generated sales of approximately $90 million in 2025, with the majority in Europe. We expect to realize $15 million in annual cost synergies as a result of the transaction over the next 12 to 18 months. Additionally, the acquisition will be slightly accretive to EBITDA in the first year. We have identified synergy savings and are in the early stages of integrating and executing on these initiatives.

We expect to record $7 million in restructuring charges related to these actions in 2026. Moving to the outlook for 2026, we expect full year sales growth as demand across most categories and geographies improve, the EPOS acquisition and the positive foreign currency translation. For the full year, we expect reported sales to be flat to up 3% and adjusted EPS to be within the range of $0.84-$0.89. Free cash flow is expected to be within the range of $75 million-$85 million. Our free cash flow outlook does not include asset sales. Excluding asset sales from 2025, we expect cash flow to increase by more than 50% at the midpoint of our 2026 outlook. Lastly, we anticipate a consolidated leverage ratio within a range of 3.7-3.9x.

For the first quarter, we expect reported sales to be within a range of flat to up 3% and an adjusted loss per share within a range of $0.06 to $0.03. It is important to note that the first quarter of 2025 was positively impacted by higher margin back-to-school business that was pulled forward due to tariffs in the U.S. and a one-time Kensington order in Europe. While the current environment remains volatile, we are confident in the future of the company. We have no debt maturities until 2029 and a long history of productivity savings and cost management. Our strategy pivot is an exciting opportunity for ACCO Brands to accelerate growth and potential value creation for our share owners. Now let's move on to Q&A, where Tom and I will be happy to answer your questions. Operator.

Operator (participant)

Thank you very much. To ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad now. If you change your mind, please press star two. When preparing to ask your question, please ensure your device is unmuted locally. Our first question comes from Joe Gomes from Noble Capital. Your line is open, Joe. Please go ahead.

Joe Gomes (Senior Research Analyst)

Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions.

Tom Tedford (President and CEO)

Good morning, Joe.

Joe Gomes (Senior Research Analyst)

I wanted to start out, maybe get a little more color on the EPOS acquisition. You said it did $90 million in revenue in 2025. How did that compare to 2024? What kind of is the addressable market here? What kind of margins are we talking about in this business compared to the ACCO overall corporate margins? Any more color on that would be appreciated. Thank you.

Tom Tedford (President and CEO)

Yeah, Joe. It's an attractive addressable market. We've sized it to about $1.7 billion, and we believe that the market shares that EPOS has is around 5%. There's some significant headroom for growth just from market share gains. We also believe that the market is growing low single digits. The EPOS asset was for sale for some time, and the business was a bit disrupted during that process. Its rate of decline was mid to high single digits over the last year. We think that is in large measure because of the disruptions caused by the process that they were going through. We anticipate that to be a growing business over time and are really excited to add it to our portfolio.

Joe Gomes (Senior Research Analyst)

Great. Thanks for that. If we could talk a little bit on, I know it's still early days, but you know, kind of the back-to-school market, you know, what are the inventory positions start looking like? You know, any color you can provide on that would be great. Thank you.

Tom Tedford (President and CEO)

Yeah, that's a good question, Joe. In our prepared remarks, we discussed some of the timing shifts that we experienced last year as retailers moved orders into Q1 from Q2 to avoid tariff disruptions. We don't anticipate that to happen again this year, so we think we'll get back to a normal ordering pattern from our customers. We also know going into the year that our brands performed well in 2025, as noted in our prepared remarks, and that positions us typically very well for the following back-to-school season. Our early order book, which is what we can react to given the data that we have now, is strong.

We're anticipating sell-in of our product to be equal to or better than prior year, but the timing of it will be a little bit different because of disruptions that we experienced last year. Overall, we think BTS in North America is gonna be solid. Our brands will perform well, and we're excited about the opportunities.

Joe Gomes (Senior Research Analyst)

Great. Thanks for that, Tom. I'll get back in queue. Thank you.

Tom Tedford (President and CEO)

All right. Thank you, Joe.

Operator (participant)

Our next question comes from Greg Burns from Sidoti Company. Your line is open, Greg. Please go ahead.

Greg Burns (Research Analyst)

Morning. Can you just maybe talk a little bit about You mentioned the cost synergies with EPOS, but maybe some of the revenue synergy potential that you see with that business, maybe either through geographic expansion or?

Being able to leverage your distribution to amplify that company's growth?

Tom Tedford (President and CEO)

Yeah. Great. Good morning to you. That is really an exciting opportunity. As we said, they have relative market share of about 5%, in a very significant and growing market. We believe that the complementary nature of the business with Kensington enables not only cost synergies, but growth synergy opportunities. We have, as you know, feet on the ground in significantly more markets than the legacy EPOS business has. We have the opportunity to essentially add to the bag of our selling organization, the EPOS product portfolio. The Kensington business has been in audio for some time, but really at the value end of the price spectrum, and had very little features, right? We were really a bid-oriented audio business within Kensington. EPOS has enabled us to expand to the upper price points with value-enhancing solutions.

They have over 130 patents in their product portfolio, in addition to all the certifications that we referenced in our materials. It is a great opportunity for us to leverage for growth synergies. We don't have a number identified. We don't typically publish or speak publicly to a number, but we know that there is growth opportunities in the future between the combined Kensington and EPOS portfolios.

Greg Burns (Research Analyst)

Okay. For the guidance, revenue guidance for this year, I guess the implied organic decline, could you just maybe break that down of what you expect from the Americas versus international and, maybe within that, you know, what are the relative rates of growth and maybe some of the growth areas like tech and gaming versus some of your more traditional. The declines you're seeing in the more traditional office categories. Thank you.

Tom Tedford (President and CEO)

Sure. Let's talk about Q1 and kind of the componentry of our outlook in Q1. We expect the Americas segment to be down mid-single digits, and we expect international to be up low double digits in Q1. As you're looking at the full year, we expect the Americas to be down low single digits, and we expect international to be up mid-single digits. That's kind of the build, if you will, by segment of our Q1 and full year outlook. There's obviously a lot of things going on in the world right now that could potentially impact demand, and we'll monitor those things closely and certainly keep everyone updated on our thinking as the year progresses. That's how we are thinking about the sales build for 2026 currently.

you know, we think the key highlights of the growth drivers or the better revenue performance drivers within the year, certainly EPOS being one of those. It's a business that we don't have for the full year in our numbers, but we have for the majority of the year. Last year, as we noted, they did roughly $90 million in revenue. So we anticipate that to be obviously a positive. We believe FX will be a positive benefit in 2026 as well. We expect better performance through our technology peripherals businesses. Both PowerA and Kensington have new products that are being introduced and positive macro trends that should enable us to leverage for growth in the year.

We have a good, strong pipeline of new products coming out in 2025, that also we've incorporated into our thinking. Then we have the Buro acquisition in Australia as we continue to look to expand that geographically to other markets. We have a number of different initiatives internally that we're using to build positive revenue momentum, and we think 2026 should return to growth.

Greg Burns (Research Analyst)

Okay, thank you.

Operator (participant)

Our next question comes from-.

Tom Tedford (President and CEO)

Thank you.

Operator (participant)

Kevin Steinke from Barrington Research. The line is open, Kevin. Please go ahead.

Kevin Steinke (Equity Research Analyst)

Good morning, and thank you. I wanna also ask a little bit more about EPOS. I know you said, $90 million of revenue in 2025, and, you know, you'll have it for 11 months in 2026. How should we think about the seasonality of that business and just trying to think about, you know, how much revenue you're incorporating in your 2026 outlook from EPOS, you know, if you think it'll grow or if it's more kind of a back half-weighted business or any other color you might provide?

Tom Tedford (President and CEO)

Sure, Kevin. Thanks for the question. We believe in 2026, EPOS will contribute approximately $80 million of revenue. On a monthly basis, the splits are fairly consistent, so we don't have huge seasonality swings from quarter to quarter or month to month that we've noted in the business. It should be pretty consistent from quarter to quarter as you're thinking about your modeling.

Kevin Steinke (Equity Research Analyst)

Okay, great. That's helpful. What are you incorporating into the 2026 outlook in terms of, like a percentage point benefit from foreign exchange?

Jagannath Bobji (SVP, Global Planning and Financial Analysis, and Treasurer)

Yeah, Kevin, this is JB. We're looking at about 1.5% as a benefit from FX for the year. As you know, that's a dynamic metric. Things are changing every day, but that's what we have in the plan.

Kevin Steinke (Equity Research Analyst)

Okay. Sounds good. That's helpful. To the extent possible, could you maybe give us a sense to what you're thinking about for 2026 in terms of gross margin and also SG&A expense trends? You know, should we see gross margins up a bit, or how do you think SG&A expenses trend in relation to your cost savings plans, et cetera?

Tom Tedford (President and CEO)

Let me start with gross margins. We do anticipate in 2026 growth margin expansion. It's due to a number of factors. Operationally, we have been very disciplined in our footprint optimization work, so we should reap benefits of that continued work that we're doing throughout the globe. We've pushed through price increases in certain markets. We have more price increases in the U.S. planned for April of this year to offset the impacts of inflation due to tariffs and other inflationary drivers in the business. We should see modest expansion of gross margins in 2026. SG&A, we have to hopefully pay out incentives in 2026, that'll increase SG&A modestly in the year. We continue to be very focused on cost discipline.

We certainly don't want to spend ahead of revenue, so we'll monitor those spending initiatives very, very closely throughout the year.

Kevin Steinke (Equity Research Analyst)

Great. Thanks. You mentioned their price increase related to tariffs. You know, how much? Did you get the full benefit of what you were expecting in the fourth quarter? Can you give us a sense as to the types of increases that will be going into place initially in 2026?

Tom Tedford (President and CEO)

I think we lagged a bit versus our expectations from pricing in 2026 or 2025, pardon me, in the U.S. 2026, we have mid-single-digit price increases announced and expected to be implemented in April. We're hopeful that that catches us up to kind of pre-tariff gross margins in the U.S. business. We'll monitor the situation. Obviously, that's dependent on mix, and if there's a need to adjust pricing further, we will, both up or down. We'll monitor it closely as we have been for the last year.

Kevin Steinke (Equity Research Analyst)

Okay. Again, thanks for the comments. I will turn it back over. Appreciate it.

Tom Tedford (President and CEO)

Okay, Kevin. Thank you.

Operator (participant)

We currently have no further questions. I'd like to hand it back to Tom for some closing remarks.

Tom Tedford (President and CEO)

Thank you everyone for joining us. We expect the combination of the EPOS acquisition, stabilizing end markets, and positive foreign exchange to drive revenue growth in 2026. Our commitment to operational excellence through continued cost management and productivity programs positions us to deliver improved profits and cash flow. With our optimized operational structure and our momentum with our leading brands, we have a strong platform to generate consistent free cash flow while strategically repositioning ACCO Brands towards faster-growing technology peripheral categories. We appreciate your interest in ACCO Brands. Deb, Chris, and I look forward to talking to you when we report our first quarter in April.

Operator (participant)

This concludes today's call. We thank everyone for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.