Albertsons Companies - Earnings Call - Q1 2025
July 15, 2025
Transcript
Operator (participant)
Greetings and welcome to the Albertsons Companies First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference call, and thank you for standing by. All participants will be in a listen-only mode until the Q&A session. This call is being recorded. I would like to hand the call over to Cody Perdue, Senior Vice President, Treasury, Investor Relations, and Risk Management. Please go ahead, sir.
Cody Perdue (SVP Treasury, Investor Relations, and Risk Management)
Good morning, and thank you for joining us for the Albertsons Companies First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference call. With me today are Susan Morris, our CEO, and Sharon McCollam, our President and CFO. Today, Susan will recap the first quarter of 2025 and update you on our progress against our strategic priorities. Sharon will provide the details related to our first quarter 2025 financial results and our outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2025. Before handing it back to Susan for closing remarks, after management comments, we will conduct a Q&A session. I would like to remind you that management may make forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations and projections.
These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the factors identified in our filings with the SEC. Any forward-looking statements we make today are only as of today's date, and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any such statements as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Additionally, we will be discussing certain non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of these financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in this morning's earnings release. With that, I will hand the call over to Susan.
Susan Morris (CEO)
Thanks, Cody. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us today. In the first quarter, our team delivered solid results with ID sales growth of 2.8%, adjusted EBITDA of $1.11 billion, and adjusted earnings per share of $0.55. These results, again, demonstrate gradual and incremental progress against our five strategic priorities, which include driving customer growth and engagement through digital connection, growing our Media Collective, enhancing the customer value proposition, modernizing capabilities through technology, and driving transformational productivity. Within these priorities, our four digital platforms continue to be the catalyst for customer growth and engagement. We continue to drive increased sales and to more deeply engage our most loyal customers, all while generating data and insights for the Media Collective. Our first digital platform is e-commerce, which grew 25% and reached 9% of total grocery revenue in the first quarter.
This growth was again led by strong performance in our first-party business, driven by award-winning capabilities in our fully integrated mobile app, and supported by our five-star certification program. Our focus on delivering exceptional customer service experience is fueling new customer acquisition and strengthening existing customer retention. To do this, we're continuing to enhance our digital shopping experience, including the introduction of AI and interactive features that deliver both ease and convenience. For example, we launched our new ShopAssist feature, which enables a connected shopping experience that allows customers to communicate back and forth with our in-store associates throughout their orders' fulfillment process. We've also created more flexibility in our basket building. Customers can now add items to their orders up until picking has started, recognizing that shoppers often think of one more item they need just after an order is placed.
While our e-commerce penetration is still below industry peers, it is one of our biggest growth, customer acquisition, and customer retention opportunities for 2025 and beyond. From a profitability perspective, our e-commerce business is near break-even and improving. Our second digital platform is loyalty, which grew 14% to 47 million members in the first quarter as we capitalized on the simplification of our program and further enhanced the value the program offers. Members in the program today are engaging more frequently, using more of our easy-to-understand and redeem features, and spending more with us. As a case in point, 30% of our engaged households are now electing the cash-off option, reinforcing the customer's desire for immediate value. As we said last quarter, loyalty is a key enabler of digital customer engagement and a rich source of data for our Media Collective.
Throughout 2025, we will continue to introduce compelling benefits that will attract new members, improve share of wallet, and further enable marketing and monetization opportunities for the Media Collective. We will also continue to simplify and expand the program to include strategic partnerships to offer even more value. Our third digital platform is pharmacy and health, which grew 20% year over year, driven by industry-leading script and immunization growth, best-in-class customer satisfaction scores, and the ongoing integration of pharmacy and Sincerely Health into our overall digital experience. Cross-shoppers between grocery and pharmacy are exceptionally valuable. Over time, these customers visit the store four times more often and buy significantly more groceries with us, resulting in outsized customer lifetime value across the entire store.
For this reason, in addition to the market share opportunity competitor closings are creating for us, we're also continuing to invest in our pharmacy and health digital platform. Through this platform, we're also launching customized omnichannel benefits that are not only attracting new customers but also converting existing pharmacy and grocery-only customers to become cross-shoppers. It is also helping customers to find new and personalized ways to improve their health and well-being, consistent with evolving national trends. Our pharmacy and health platform is an integral part of our customers-for-life strategy and a significant growth and customer engagement opportunity. For this reason, leveraging our growing scale to improve pharmacy profitability over time is a key operational priority. To deliver this, we are continuing to pursue higher-margin service offerings and drive productivity through improved sourcing, increased automation, and labor optimization.
This quarter, we opened our third central fill processing facility, which is reducing our cost to serve while at the same time improving overall customer experience. The fourth digital platform is the integration of the mobile app for use in our stores. We're not just selling food; we're simplifying meal planning and making shopping easier and more convenient both in-store and online. Our app has become the epicenter of the omnichannel experience, with digital customers engaging nearly three times a week on average. What began as a tool for enabling e-commerce and delivering great deals is now a Swiss Army knife of tools that makes customers' lives easier regardless of whether they're shopping in our stores or online. These tools include best-in-class list building and personalized meal planning capabilities, powerful search and product locating capabilities, and an in-store mode that connects meal planning and other store-specific capabilities.
In our Media Collective in the first quarter, we significantly increased the high-impact digital inventory as our digital platforms work together to enrich our data and generate deeper customer engagement to accelerate growth and deliver a superior return on ad spend. We will continue to invest in building industry-leading integrated solutions that will support both endemic and non-endemic partners. These solutions include refining shopper audiences, running targeted media campaigns with compressed measurement timelines, and delivering consistent omni-execution to develop personalized relationships for our collective partners with our customers. These same solutions are also providing benefits for our internal loyalty and marketing initiatives. As we look forward, we expect the collective to grow faster than the retail media market and ultimately be one of the largest sources of fuel for reinvestment into our core business over time.
To improve our customer value proposition, we intentionally invested in value in both loyalty and promotional offerings, as well as by partnering with strategic vendors to invest in price in certain categories and certain markets. We also surgically managed through the pass-through of cost inflation to further invest in the customer's needs for immediate value. While it is early, these investments did deliver a sequential quarterly unit sales improvement, and over time, are expected to drive greater existing and new customer engagement across our banners. We additionally amplified our own brand's presence to drive further value for our customers. Own brand sales penetration finished the quarter at 25.7% as we launched new offerings across multiple categories. We also expanded the assortment in our recently introduced Overjoyed brand and launched our newest brand, Chef Counter, a chef-inspired meal solution targeting foodies seeking fast and easy restaurant-quality choices at affordable prices.
These launches, coupled with greater prominence and better value in own-brand merchandising, are expected to drive greater loyalty, increased digital and omnichannel household engagement, and higher transaction counts over time. Our next priority is the modernization of our capabilities through technology. As we said last quarter, our North Star is to use technology in everything we do, and we are energized by the progress we are making toward this aspiration. Our technology-first focus is positioning us to make a greater impact faster, allowing us to drive greater innovation at a lower cost. Our advanced technology platform, on which we are continuing to innovate, powers our e-commerce, store, pharmacy, supply chain, merchandising, and Media Collective operations and is allowing us to leverage emerging AI technologies to accelerate our operational transformation going forward.
We are also using our advanced capabilities to use AI agents to enhance many business functions, including pricing and promotion, personalization, customer care, and code generation, among others. Driving transformational productivity is our next priority, which is an imperative to fuel our growth. Our productivity engine continues to reduce costs, offset headwinds, and fund our growth priorities. It works hand in hand with our technology modernization, including our initiatives to leverage AI and data analytics, optimize supply chain costs through automation, and build out shrink and labor management tools, to name a few. In addition, the largest of our opportunities continues to be the leveraging of our consolidated scale to buy goods for resale through national buying and more efficient supplier relationships.
As we previously shared, from fiscal year 2025 through 2027, we expect our productivity engine to deliver $1.5 billion in savings, which we plan to reinvest in growth and our customer value proposition, as well as to offset other inflationary headwinds. Before I hand the call over to Sharon for an overview of our first quarter and to provide an update to our 2025 outlook, I'd like to give you an update on recent labor negotiations. In fiscal 2025, we have negotiations covering approximately 120,000 associates. As of today, we've reached agreement covering nearly half of these associates, with two pending ratifications in Colorado and Southern California. We appreciate and value our associates, and in these contracts, we are meaningfully improving wages and benefits.
At the same time, we're working to negotiate contracts that are not only financially viable but also provide the operational flexibility the company needs to streamline operations, manage costs, and offer affordable prices in a rapidly changing grocery landscape. Sharon, over to you.
Sharon McCollam (President, and CFO)
Thank you, Susan, and good morning, everyone. It's great to be here with you today. As Susan shared, the investments we are making are delivering value to our customers and adding breadth to the capabilities we need to drive future growth. During the quarter, we saw early wins from these investments, affirming our confidence in our strategic priorities and our customers-for-life strategy. Included in these wins was identical sales growth this quarter of 2.8%, driven by 20% growth in pharmacy and a 25% increase in digital sales. We also saw a sequential improvement in core grocery units. To drive this growth, our gross margin rate of 27.1% was lower than last year by 85 basis points, excluding fuel and LIFO expense.
Incremental investments in our customer value proposition and the mixed shift impact related to the strong growth in our pharmacy and digital businesses drove this decrease but was partially offset by benefits driven by our productivity initiatives, including improved shrink expense. Offsetting this gross margin investment was a 63 basis point improvement, excluding fuel, in our selling and administrative expense rate. This decrease was primarily driven by the leveraging of employee costs, reflecting the positive benefits from our ongoing productivity initiatives and lower merger-related costs. Interest expense in Q1 2025 decreased $4 million to $142 million, compared to $146 million last year due to lower average borrowings. Income tax expense in the first quarter totaled $75 million, or 24.1%, compared to $69 million, or 22.3%, in Q1 last year.
This tax rate increase was primarily driven by a reduction of an uncertain tax position last year that did not recur in 2025. Adjusted EBITDA was $1,111 million in the first quarter, compared to $1,184 million last year. Adjusted EPS was $0.55 per diluted share, compared to $0.66 per diluted share last year. Now I'd like to discuss capital allocation, the balance sheet, and cash flow. Consistent with our capital allocation priorities, during the first quarter, we invested $585 million in capital expenditures, including the opening of three new stores and the completion of 36 remodels, as well as the ongoing modernization of our digital and technology capabilities. We also returned $401 million to our shareholders, including $86 million in quarterly dividends and $315 million in share repurchases, leaving approximately $1.5 billion in our existing multi-year $2 billion share repurchase authorization.
At the end of the first quarter, our net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio was 1.96. Now let me walk you through our updated 2025 outlook. As Susan said, we remained focused on our five strategic priorities. Through the balance of fiscal 2025, we will continue to invest in our customer value proposition, customer experience, digital growth, the Media Collective, and health and pharmacy. These investments are expected to drive outside growth in digital and pharmacy, both of which drive higher future customer lifetime value but create near-term margin headwinds. We will also continue to drive our productivity agenda to fuel this growth and offset inflationary headwinds. With that backdrop, we are updating our outlook as follows. We expect identical sales growth in the increased range of 2-2.75%. Up from 1.5-2.5% last quarter.
This assumes continuing growth in pharmacy and digital sales, as well as gradually increasing units in grocery. From a cadence perspective, we expect the second quarter ID sales to be towards the lower end of our guidance range, with gradual acceleration in the back half of the year. We expect adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $3.8 billion-$3.9 billion, unchanged from last quarter. As a reminder, this includes approximately $65 million in adjusted EBITDA in the fourth quarter related to our 53rd week. We expect adjusted EPS to be in the range of $2.03-$2.16, unchanged from last quarter, and including $0.03 related to the 53rd week. The effective income tax rate is expected to be in the range of 23.5%-24.5%, unchanged from last quarter, and capital expenditures are expected to be unchanged in the range of $1.7 billion-$1.9 billion.
Looking beyond 2025, as we capitalize on the investments we are making behind our strategic priorities, we continue to expect fiscal 2026 to coincide with our long-term growth algorithm of 2% plus identical sales and adjusted EBITDA growth higher than that. I will now hand the call back to Susan for closing comments.
Susan Morris (CEO)
In closing, our customers-for-life strategy is working. We're investing in our core operations and improving our customer value proposition. These investments are driving increased traffic. Growing digitally engaged customers, omnichannel households, and loyalty members. To fuel these initiatives, we are driving productivity and leveraging new technologies to drive efficiencies across our operation. As Sharon said, we continue to expect 2025 to be a year of investment, including enhancing our customer value proposition. As a result, we expect gradual and incremental improvement in top-line trends in our grocery business in the second half of 2025, ultimately driving growth in line with our long-term algorithm of 2% plus identical sales and adjusted EBITDA growing higher than that in fiscal year 2026. With just over two months as CEO of Albertsons Companies, let me say that I am more confident in our strategy with each day.
I'm energized by the work our teams are progressing and excited to continue building on our strong foundation. To our 285,000 great associates, I am more inspired than ever by you and all that you make possible for our customers and our communities each day. No matter where you are across our business, you make a difference. You keep our systems running, ensure our products are in stock, and delight our customers.
We will now open the call for questions. Thank you. If you'd like to ask a question, please press *1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press *2 if you'd like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the Star keys. To allow for as many questions as possible, we ask that you each keep to one question and one follow-up. Thank you. Our first question comes from the line of Paul Lejuez with Citi. Please proceed with your question.
Paul Lejuez (Managing Director)
Thanks, guys. Curious if you could talk about the drivers of the gross margin decline this quarter, maybe five of them for us, and how we should think about each of them remaining a headwind for the rest of the year. Which stay, which might go away, which become less of a headwind. Maybe you could start with that. Also curious how you would characterize the pricing environment around you in the competitive landscape. Thanks.
Susan Morris (CEO)
Thanks, Paul. As I think about gross margins, we've been very clear that our top priority is driving sales and specifically driving an increase in units. We're investing in that and remain true to that. We expect to continue that, by the way, throughout the rest of the year. As we think about Q1, it was actually one of our largest overlaps year over year, and thus, the compare that you're seeing from the gross margin investment. That said, as I mentioned before, we're going to continue to invest in margin, but we also expect our productivity to begin to provide a tailwind as our national buying gradually kicks in as the year progresses. Also keep in mind our focus is on gross margin dollars, on EBITDA dollars, and not on rate.
You had a second question about the pricing environment, and I might have missed a question in the middle. What we are seeing is continued promotional investment from the competitive set, of course, in our own operations. We are also leaning in more heavily on loyalty, on personalized deals. I would say that the pricing environment is rational. We have not seen any broad swings across the industry at this point in time.
Sharon McCollam (President, and CFO)
I would just add to that that you're continuing to see pressure from mass club stores and the value players.
Paul Lejuez (Managing Director)
Thank you, guys. Good luck.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. Our next question comes from Leah Jordan with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed with your question.
Leah Jordan (Equity Research Analyst)
Good morning. Thank you for taking my question. You made an interesting comment that e-comm profitability is near break-even and improving. Just seeing if you could provide more detail on the key drivers supporting that improvement. How much is Albertsons Media Collective a factor at this point? What is your line of sight into reaching break-even in that business?
Sharon McCollam (President, and CFO)
Leah, I think it's really important to recognize that different companies are calling e-commerce different things in their P&Ls. When we are talking about e-commerce, that is specifically our e-commerce business. There is nothing in our e-commerce P&L related to the Media Collective from a financial point of view. Of course, it creates data for the Media Collective, and it is a major provider of information for the Media Collective, but from a P&L point of view, it's pure. What is driving that is volume, first and foremost, leveraging the fixed costs of the operations of that business. Also, labor efficiency in the business. We've invested in tools and systems in order to drive efficiency in labor. We are also very much focused on continuing to leverage transportation costs in that process.
It is across the P&L where we're seeing improvement, but in that type of a business where you've got fixed costs, the space in the stores, the real estate, because all that's allocated to that business. We are continuing to lever that. We are getting very close to break-even in our e-comm business.
Susan Morris (CEO)
Sharon, if I could just add to that as well, and you touched on this, a reminder that our fulfillment model is through our stores, and our stores are already in the neighborhoods that are serving our customers. That creates efficiencies for us, perhaps versus some others out there. I think that's it.
Leah Jordan (Equity Research Analyst)
That's very helpful. Thank you. I just had a quick follow-up on the ID sales guidance. I mean, just seeing if you could comment on the cadence of ID sales throughout the quarter. With the deceleration that you're guiding into Q2, just what are the key drivers of that? Are you seeing something change with the consumer? Is this related to the pharmacy business? Anything there would be helpful. Thank you.
Susan Morris (CEO)
Leah, there's a couple of things. First and foremost, the compares on pharmacy, you have to look at pharmacy growth last quarter, which we disclosed. If you take a look at that, that has a major swing impact on the comp each quarter, so look at that. Secondly, from a cadence point of view, we feel pretty confident that as we progress through the year, we expect to see our, on the grocery side of the business, we talked about the fact that we're expecting to see progressive units as we go through the back half of the year, thus the price investment that we have spoken about. In Q2, we do need to keep in mind that there will be an impact from the strike that we had during the quarter.
That'll have an impact, but we quantified that for you in order for you to help model. We said in our prepared remarks that we expected in the second quarter to be at the low end of our guidance range. Hopefully that'll be helpful. We continue to expect to see strong pharmacy in the numbers going into Q2.
Leah Jordan (Equity Research Analyst)
Very helpful. Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question comes from Edward Kelly with Wells Fargo. Please proceed with your question.
Edward Kelly (Managing Director in Equity Research)
Hi, good morning, everyone. I was hoping that you could maybe take a step back and update us on your price investment goals, just kind of given what you have seen so far. Customer response. Does that give you any confidence maybe to lean in a little bit more? As you think about productivity initiatives rolling in, and then you think about returning to your algo next year, is it your expectation that eventually you get to the point where you will continue to invest in price, productivity offsets, gross margin is a bit more stable? Just curious as to how we should be thinking about all that. Thank you.
Sharon McCollam (President, and CFO)
Sure. Thanks, Ed, for the question. As we think about price, just a reminder, as we went into the year, we have an incredible amount of data, and our price investments are very surgical. We know the categories and the markets where we need to make those investments. We have begun that process. Also keeping in mind too that as we talk about investing in price, it is really investing in the total value proposition. Yes, some of it is based pricing, it is promotional, it is investing in our loyalty programs as well, and of course, focusing on own brands. To date, it is still early in the investment process, so we will be able to understand a little bit more. This is certainly a journey, not something that is a one-and-done. It will be an iterative process with multiple phases launching throughout the year.
Right now, we've seen sequential improvements in our unit trajectory, which is what we expected to see.
Susan Morris (CEO)
We have been tracking our CPI versus the competitive set and are generally pleased with what we see, but once again, it's quite early in the process. You asked about productivity, and what I would say here is, as I mentioned a moment ago, there will be a tailwind from a gross margin perspective as we implement our national buying processes. Keeping in mind too that that is a process, we're working closely with our vendor partners, category by category, vendor by vendor. We expect to see that start to show through towards the second half of the year and expect to leave 2025 going into 2026, delivering on the long-term algorithm.
Edward Kelly (Managing Director in Equity Research)
Just maybe a follow-up on the pharmacy and grocery cross-shopping momentum. I mean, pharmacy growth has obviously been very impressive. The grocery business has lagged. I'm just curious as to what's happening with the momentum of that cross-shopping activity, what you're doing to get those customers to engage more in the store. Over time, I mean, it seems like we should expect the grocery ID to respond to all this. I'm just kind of curious as to how you are thinking about the momentum there and when that really begins to improve.
Sharon McCollam (President, and CFO)
As we've shared before, it does take time for the cross-shopping to begin between pharmacy and grocery customers. That said, we know when they do, they often visit the store four times more frequently. They drive outsized customer lifetime value. One of our goals with all of this is, of course, getting them engaged in both center store and pharmacy, recognizing that as they're engaging in the pharmacy side of the business, we are working to increase their engagement with higher service offerings. Test and treat is one example. Immunizations is another. From a grocery perspective, we did see positive growth in grocery in the first quarter, exclusive of our pharmacy business. We were pleased to see that happening there. As I mentioned before too, we're focused on creating incredible amounts of productivity in our pharmacy business.
Including improving our sourcing, buying better, increasing automation, creating solutions for our pharmacy techs and teams to make their jobs more efficient. We've invested in three central fill facilities in our Southwest division in Dallas and in Southern Washington State, which are also helping our productivity. We like the total value equation when our customers engage with us in store, in pharmacy, online. That's a virtuous flywheel for us that drives ongoing growth and productivity, by the way. We're very excited about the future and believe in the priorities that we've laid forth.
Edward Kelly (Managing Director in Equity Research)
Thank you.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. Our next question comes from Rupesh Parikh with Oppenheimer and Company. Please proceed with your question.
Rupesh Parikh (Managing Director, and Senior Analyst)
Good morning, and thanks for taking my question. Just going back to retail media, I was just curious how that ramp is going versus expectations so far and just anything surprising at this point.
Sharon McCollam (President, and CFO)
Hi, Rupesh. We are very pleased with the progress that we're seeing on the Media Collective. Our growth is outpacing the industry. Our team has done a phenomenal job of condensing the amount of time that it takes for us to be able to give feedback to our vendor partners on the performance of their investments. They're enhancing our digital properties so that we have more inventory to be able to sell. We are also working on really creating more streamlined personalization opportunities so that our vendor partners can have direct connections with the customers that they're serving. We feel good about our progress there. We also see that as some blue sky ahead. We recognize that we're catching up in some ways, and our goal is to leap forward. There is great progress there from the team.
Rupesh Parikh (Managing Director, and Senior Analyst)
Great. Maybe just one follow-up question. Just on the consumer, just curious what you guys are seeing right now and with the recently passed legislation, just any thoughts on SNAP impact?
Sharon McCollam (President, and CFO)
I'll start with the SNAP impact. For us, we have a lower penetration of SNAP than the majority of the competitive set that we have. That said, that customer is very important to us. They typically have a larger basket. They're very loyal. We will work hard to make sure that they have the communication and information they need to get access to those resources when available.
I would also add to that that when you look at the new legislation, there is a very long ramp to implementation of many of the things within that legislation. In the short term, we do not anticipate that being a headwind of any material amount in the short term.
Susan Morris (CEO)
Thanks, Sharon. On the consumer side, we continue to see the customer seeking value. We're selling more on promotion. That's been happening for quite some time now. We're leaning heavily into own brands, understanding that. As we've mentioned before, we're proud of our own brands program that we have, but we're not satisfied with the penetration that we have. We're really leaning in for the Q2 and the rest of the year. That's upside potential for us moving ahead. As I think about the customer, we were looking at some category information, and it's been interesting. Some of our top-performing categories in the first quarter, it was kind of a tale of two cities. We absolutely saw increases in a shift into pork and ground beef as one example, again, indicating that the customer is looking for value.
We also saw strong growth in our deli chicken business as an example. Knowing that I think customers are always looking for quick and easy meal solutions, and with the increase of food away from home, I think the inflation was almost 4%, we're absolutely providing value there.
Rupesh Parikh (Managing Director, and Senior Analyst)
Great. Thank you for all the color.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of John Heinbockel with Guggenheim Partners. Please proceed with your question.
John Heinbockel (Managing Director)
Hey, guys. I wanted to start with, I think you said, if maybe I heard wrong, food volumes were positive in the quarter, grew. Was that right? If so, is that predominantly traffic or items per basket? And then I think your goal, a couple of quarters ago, you talked about 50 basis points. Is that still a fair goal? You think you can do better than that?
Susan Morris (CEO)
Yeah. John, traffic and AIV were positive. On the units, it is a sequential improvement in units from Q4 to Q1. That is not yet to positive.
John Heinbockel (Managing Director)
Okay. And then a follow-up is, if you think about, you referenced technology, where do you think the most fruitful labor productivity opportunities are? I think about, because you guys are promotional, electronic shelf labels, thinking about that, thinking about automation, back into the warehouses. Where are the biggest opportunities to move the needle on cost per unit?
Sharon McCollam (President, and CFO)
John, thanks for the question. You actually touched on a few that are very important to us today, one of which is DC automation. We've had some great success with recent launches and look forward to accelerating that agenda for a variety of reasons, efficiency being one of them. With regards to store labor, we are. We have an incredible amount of data. I think about e-commerce as one example where we've actually been able to enhance productivity because we're able to get the data that we need to create more predictive scheduling. That's really helping us create efficiencies there. That's already underway in the rest of the store. We're in the process. It's actually fairly robust in center store. We're working through the fresh departments. Wall-to-wall forecasting is what we call it. That's going to be a big unlock for us.
We are currently in pilot on ESLs in, I think it's 40 stores at this moment in time, seeing great results there. To your point, we're absolutely leaning in heavily on technology and automation of tasks where we can, eliminating pain points across the organization and existing tasks. Looking forward to what we're going to learn from our experiments on AI across the company because we see further opportunity there for efficiency.
John Heinbockel (Managing Director)
Thank you.
Susan Morris (CEO)
John, I would also add that over the last several years, we've invested heavily in our stores in several technologies that are used by a very large number of people in our stores. We implemented OpFresh. We've implemented ordering and other types of technologies. One of the big opportunities that every retailer has is the utilization of that technology. There is a full-court press within the company on execution in the stores and elevating that in our stores. We are expecting to see changes and continued improvement in the stores in the utilization of the tools we currently have. Another area that we continue to invest in, and you have to invest in it from two perspectives.
One is the customer experience, and one of them is from a shrink perspective, but is in the self-checkout and the various things we can do with self-checkout from a customer experience point of view. Using Vision AI as part of that process. We saw, as you saw in our prepared remarks, that we did have some favorability in shrink. Part of that, we believe, is coming from the technology that we have invested in self-checkout. That is another area that benefits you in labor in many different ways. The key to self-checkout is making sure that that customer experience is as great as it can be. We are spending time on that and ensuring that. I believe that will help us continue to take self-checkout to the next level.
John Heinbockel (Managing Director)
Thank you.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. Our next question comes from Simeon Gutman with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed with your question.
Simeon Gutman (Research Analyst)
Hey, Susan. Hey, Sharon. How are you? I wanted to follow up on pricing. Susan, I ask you about where your head is on pricing. I think you've lived in the HiLo environment for most of your career. Curious what this iteration looks like. Are you moving to part EDLP with HiLo? You mentioned this isn't—is this a one-time catch-up or this is iterative and, of course, open to changes down the road? I don't know what in the conversations with vendors, how you're communicating some of the changes as you try to work with them on the central buying.
Susan Morris (CEO)
Thanks, Simeon. Thanks for the question. First and foremost, I want to highlight the fact that, and I've mentioned this a couple of times, and we talked about this last time, we have an incredible opportunity with our own brand. Our penetration, while it's growing at 25.7% for the quarter, we should be at 30% plus. We are leaning into that from both ends, both from a price perspective, but also from a cost of goods perspective so that we can fuel our own growth there. Going back to your price question in general, I would just, yes, you're right. We've typically been a HiLo retailer. If I had to describe our go-forward approach, I'd say we're more of a modified HiLo. That's where we're looking to achieve. Yes, it's iterative. This is absolutely not a one-and-done.
What the team has created, which is actually pretty fantastic, internally, we've created a suite of tools that helps us utilize the data that we have to anticipate the changes that we're making based off of past performance of various price points, understand the customer elasticities, and then feed us what those pricing changes should be to optimize unit growth, optimize profitability. Those tools are only becoming more and more robust. We continue to add to the suite. To answer your question shortly, no, this is not a one-and-done. This is a new go-to-market strategy. We are deeply engaging our vendor partners. That takes time, by the way. As we talk about our productivity as a tailwind, that will come gradually over time as we're leaning into partnerships with our vendors to say, "Hey, how do we do this together? We want to move more units.
We want to move them with you. How can we lean in and create the right opportunity to grow sales and share, unit sales and share collectively?
Simeon Gutman (Research Analyst)
Okay. Then switching topics for a follow-up, SG&A run rate. Can you talk about—I think it was up 3.5% or so. Union contracts, I'm sure it was part of your plan at some point because you know when they come up and you have some expectation. Can you talk about how the union contract could or could not change that run rate and any investments that come in, and then managing it relative to where you think comps can come in? Is it in the right range so that you could eventually leverage when you get some of the unit pickup in the back half?
Susan Morris (CEO)
Simeon, yes. In our SG&A guidance, in our outlook for this year, we have anticipated what these increases could look like. That is incorporated in the adjusted EBITDA guidance that we provided for the year. As it relates to other areas in SG&A that you did not ask about, keep in mind this quarter, we had a year-over-year benefit of about 63 basis points. Take a look at how much of that is one-time cost. You can see the one-time cost in our reconciliations in the press release. About half of that comes from the elimination of merger costs. The rest of that has been driven by productivity. One of the big areas of productivity that we expect to see this year, early in the year particularly, is going to be in SG&A. Remember, we are materially changing our ways of working.
We've had several announcements on the opening of our new headquarters in India for technology, which we're very excited about. We are also transitioning many of our back-end accounting functions to an existing location that we have in the Philippines. That transition is also happening. We are making several, we call them internally, ways of working moves that are helping to offset some of the pressure that we're seeing in wages. Wages, I don't want to specifically say union wages. It's wages in general.
Simeon Gutman (Research Analyst)
Okay. Thanks. Good luck.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. Our next question comes from Mark Carden with UBS. Please proceed with your question.
Mark Carden (Analyst)
Good evening. Thanks so much for taking the questions. On the pharmacy front, how did the contribution shake out from GLP-1s? For the growth outside of GLP-1s, is it being more driven by newer customers or more by your engaged existing customers?
Sharon McCollam (President, and CFO)
On the GLP-1 question, it's about half the pharmacy comp. So think about GLP-1 as half the comp. However, remember, it comes at an incredibly outsized average unit retail. And script growth, actual script growth outside of GLP-1 was also very strong. Susan, do you have something you'd like to add to that?
Susan Morris (CEO)
Sharon touched on it. Clearly, the profitability is quite different on the GLP-1 script itself, but the customer is quite valuable. What we found is there might be an initial dip when they start shopping with us in their grocery basket, but that quickly turns around and actually leans into items like supplements, lean proteins in our meat department, categories that are actually quite profitable for us as a company. Sharon mentioned our core script count ex-GLP-1s is very strong. That is, again, exciting to us as customers continue to engage in our total ecosystem. That adds profitability. That adds long-term lifetime value. We feel very good about where we are at in the pharmacy space. That said, I mentioned this earlier, we are very focused on productivity there, improving sourcing, increasing automation, and of course, the central sale that I spoke of.
Mark Carden (Analyst)
Great. On tariffs, I know that indirect impacts were a big unknown from an ingredient and a packaging standpoint in grocery and pharmacy. Now that we are a few months in, are you expecting this to be any more or less of a contributor to inflation over the course of the next few quarters relative to what you were expecting last quarter? Thanks.
Susan Morris (CEO)
Thank you. Yes, as we've mentioned before, well over 90% of the goods we source are domestically based. To your point, ingredients are certainly playing a factor in our CPG partners and their cost of goods. We're starting to see increases in cost of goods moving ahead. We've got a very rigorous process of, first and foremost, quite frankly, just pushing back. We've worked hard, and it shows in our price position as well that we've not passed through all of the inflation that we're seeing from a cost of goods perspective. Our first line of defense, though, is to push back with our vendor partners, deconstruct the cost increase, and make sure that we're all in alignment of the rationale behind it. Looking for alternate sources of supply or other products that we can push if the tariffs become unwieldy.
Finally, in certain cases, if we have to, we'll pass them on to customers. We're going to remain very close to the competitive set, especially on key items. When I start to think about commodity items that come through, which is something we do every day, by the way, this is part of our DNA. We sell a lot of commodity-driven items, and we are very agile in the pricing process there.
Sharon McCollam (President, and CFO)
Susan, I would just add to that. It is also having us take a look at what we are offering in own brands. As we look forward and we look at the tariffs, it may be that there comes a point where we decide that an expansion in our assortment in own brands is a great solution for our customer. We are looking at that as well.
Mark Carden (Analyst)
Great. Thanks so much and good luck.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. Our next question comes from Kelly Bania with BMO Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.
Kelly Bania (Research Analyst)
Hi, good morning, Susan and Sharon. Thanks for taking our questions. Wanted to go back to the sequential improvement in grocery units. It sounds like you were pleased with that. Just want to clarify, would you expect that to continue into Q2? Is it just a pharmacy dynamic there in Q2? Just wanted to understand really what underpins that confidence regarding the stronger second-half IDs and what's the measure of that? Is that more of a grocery unit dynamic?
Sharon McCollam (President, and CFO)
Kelly, first and foremost, in Susan's prepared remarks, her statement about the sequential improvement in units, that is, and we were clear, it is grocery. When we are referring to this sequential improvement and what we expect for the balance of the year, what is important and one of our top priorities is growing units in grocery. Now, as we look for the rest of the year, we said last quarter, and we continue to believe that each quarter this year, we will continue to sequentially improve grocery units. We're making the investment in the margin. We are focused on driving those units. As we get toward the back half of the year, when you think about the margin, remember what Susan said, the productivity will start to provide a tailwind to the investment in order to drive the units.
We are committed to driving units through the balance of the year. Susan, do you want to add to that?
Susan Morris (CEO)
No, Sharon, I think you said it well. The primary purpose of the investments that we're making, yes, in price, yes, in loyalty, yes, in own brands, is literally all about driving that unit growth and driving those improvements. We do expect it to continue. We will be funding it, again, over time. As we mentioned, the investment and the tailwinds do not exactly line up, which, again, though, fits the algorithm that we've shared.
Sharon McCollam (President, and CFO)
That's what gives us the confidence. Your question was, what gives us confidence? That is why we are confident.
Kelly Bania (Research Analyst)
That's helpful. Is there anything that you've learned as you've had these discussions with vendors in terms of more of a national buying process that makes you think about the opportunity over time and in any different way? Sizing that up in terms of the impact that could have on productivity?
Sharon McCollam (President, and CFO)
Just what we're learning as we go through the process is there's an incredible opportunity for us, right? As you think, we own our own manufacturing plants. We understand that the more information that we can get and the further out that we're out on forecasting for our own plants creates incredible efficiencies for production. It's no different for our vendor partners who shared with us that their ability to forecast demand, which, by the way, we're also developing. Have developed, and then there's more in development, various AI tools to help us create stronger and further out demand planning signals. It's just a complete unlock in terms of efficiencies for everybody.
It also enables us to plan further ahead and align our Media Collective dollars along with our digital dollars and, of course, the cost of goods reductions that we'll see so that we can create a comprehensive program. In-store, online to drive more traffic and drive more units by creating, again, this total package for the customers that we serve. Our vendors, I think. We're a large company, and there are times when it's very efficient and effective for us to act locally and be very agile. Our vendors clearly recognize that there is a significant change in our thought processes that we're committed to doing this. I'm excited about what that brings for the future.
Susan Morris (CEO)
In the conversations, the goals that we have about driving units are completely aligned with our vendors. When you're aligned on the same business objective, it's very helpful and very constructive in those conversations.
Sharon McCollam (President, and CFO)
Yes. To your point, sure, we have joint business plan goals that we have put in place with most of the major CPGs. Again, we are aligned on the same targets. We are leaning in together. I really am excited about what will come in the second half of the year.
Kelly Bania (Research Analyst)
Thank you. Our next question comes from Michael Montani with Evercore ISI. Please proceed with your question.
Michael Montani (Research Analyst)
Yes. Hi. Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. Just wanted to ask one on guidance and then one on the trends for the consumer. On the guidance front, there was about a 40 or 50 basis point increase in ID sales, but then obviously EPS did not change. I just wanted to confirm, is that due to the nature of the ID sales being stronger in pharma, or was there incremental investments either in price or labor as you do the union contract negotiations that caused that?
Susan Morris (CEO)
Yes. I think it's a blend of some of the things that you just described. Yes. Some of the growth in our pharmacy growth continues to be outsized, right? That's great because we love that customer. We love that relationship. There is an impact on profitability there. Sharon, is there anything that you would add from?
I think that throughout the year, we expect this in the total comp guidance for 2025. Pharmacy is going to be the biggest driver of comp for sales growth for the year. They're continuing—you know what that business is doing, Mike—and we continue to believe that we are going to continue to take share from pharmacy. On the grocery side, you will see that each quarter we expect to see gradual and incremental improvement in units. That will, through the year, bring the grocery comp as a slightly bigger percentage of the total. On the top line, you're going to see the increase that we put in the guidance for 2025, that is pharmacy.
Michael Montani (Research Analyst)
Got it. Okay. Thanks for clarifying that. In terms of the consumer trends, as it relates to kind of better-for-you product, natural, organic, and otherwise, what % of the mix is that for you today? How is that trending? I guess, is there any surprises that you're seeing with respect to GLP-1 absorption and then how that's impacting consumer buying behavior?
Sharon McCollam (President, and CFO)
Sure. Mike, what we're seeing—and we call it NOSHI, Natural, Organic, Specialty, Health, and Ethnic Products. Those categories are growing for us. It's interesting as you start to break it down, I think there's a few things at play. Certainly, trends for you—sorry, certainly trends in better-for-you products—are strong. Also interesting, though, the influence that we see from specialty items like premium sparkling water is one of our top growth categories. It's fascinating to watch. This one—oh, I had to double-check the numbers—but cottage cheese is actually a strong growth category. Yes, some of that's from the focus on protein, lower carbs, perhaps GLP-1 users. Just being totally frank, TikTok is driving some of that. We're leaning into those categories. They do lend themselves—those categories pair well with some of what we see for GLP-1 customers.
It goes well beyond just the GLP user. We're definitely seeing overall trends focusing on health and well-being. That works perfectly for us, as one of our five priorities is driving the customer value proposition and creating an environment, an ecosystem that brings customers into brick and mortar, into digital, into pharmacy and health.
Michael Montani (Research Analyst)
Got it. Thank you.
Susan Morris (CEO)
Thank you.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. Our final question this morning comes from the line of Robby Ohmes with Bank of America. Please proceed with your question.
Kendall Toscano (Analyst)
Hi, this is Kendall Toscano. I want to Robbie. Thanks for taking my question. Just have a follow-up in terms of the % of your customers that are cross-shopping grocery and pharmacy today versus how much higher you think that number could go over time. Basically, just trying to get a sense of, after four years of pharmacy growth in the double-digit range, which has obviously been a huge sales driver, but a headwind to profitability, are we nearing a point where pharmacy could eventually start to normalize or the growth rate could start to normalize? Thanks.
Susan Morris (CEO)
Hi, Kendall. What we're seeing is, yes, of course, the cross-shopping between pharmacy and grocery is pivotal for us. We do have very strong pharmacy growth. I mentioned a lot of that is core pharmacy business. Just a side note there as well. In that core pharmacy business, we continue to strive for profitability, stronger profitability, increasing our generics mix, improving offerings such as test and treat, immunizations, those kinds of things. Again, creating that linkage between store and pharmacy is critical. The pharmacy business, here's what I see. There's been a serious—I mean, you guys see the information out there—there's been a serious decline in the availability of doors for customers to go to take care of their pharmacy needs. We think that's critical.
I believe that we're well-positioned with the steps that we've made, both from an acquisition perspective, meaning acquiring scripts from outside, hiring the amazing pharmacists and techs that are out there looking for work. We need more and more of that support. We're leveraging that and becoming—I think we're becoming—that helps us become an essential choice for customers. I can get my groceries there. I can meet my pharmacy needs in an environment where the doors are shrinking, right? We have less and less opportunity in certain markets, less choices for customers, and we're happy to be there for them. I actually see it as a moat and a competitive advantage for us moving ahead. With the investments that we've made in pharmacy. I can't repeat also enough the fact that we are striving to improve the profitability there.
Again, recognizing that that customer's total value when we engage them in both center store as well as pharmacy is tremendous for us. We love those customers. We want to serve them.
Sharon McCollam (President, and CFO)
Susan, I would only add also, we have invested significantly in the customer experience in pharmacy, integrating it into the total company app, and being able to serve that customer, including we talked last quarter, now being able to pick up your prescription at the same time that you're picking up your drive-up and go order. As we continue to create the linkage and the ease of shopping between the pharmacy customer and the grocery customer, we believe that that does provide incremental opportunity for us as we move forward through the year and into next year. These investments we're making on the digital side and linking them together with everything we're doing in pharmacy and health, and then the mobile app for use in the stores, we think that that is also going to make a significant difference with these cross-shopping customers.
Kendall Toscano (Analyst)
Thank you.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes our question and answer session. I'll turn the floor back to Ms. Morris for any final comments.
Susan Morris (CEO)
Just thank you, everybody, for the time today. We are excited about the year to come. Thank you to our associates that make all of this happen.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.