American Coastal Insurance - Q3 2023

Transcript

Karin Daly (VP, Investor Relations)

Good afternoon, everyone. American Coastal Insurance Corporation has also made this broadcast available on its website at www.amcoastal.com. A replay will be available for approximately 30 days following the call. Additionally, you can find copies of the latest earnings release and presentation in the Investors section of the company's website. Speaking today will be Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, R. Daniel Peed, and President and Chief Financial Officer, Bennett Bradford Martz. On behalf of the company, I'd like to note that statements made during this call that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements. The company believes these statements are based on reasonable estimates, assumptions, and plans. However, if the estimates, assumptions, or plans underlying the forward-looking statements prove inaccurate, or if other risks or uncertainties arise, actual results could differ materially from those expressed in or implied by the forward-looking statements.

Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially may be found in the company's filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in the Risk Factors section of their most recent annual report on Form 10-K, and subsequent quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made, and except as required by applicable law, the company undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements. With that, it's my pleasure to turn the call over to Mr. Daniel Peed. Dan, you may begin.

Daniel Peed (Chairman and CEO)

Thanks, Karin. Hello, and thanks for joining us on our third quarter earnings call. I plan to provide an overview of activities from the third quarter and year to date, including focusing on the operating results of our continuing operations. I will then turn it over to Brad Martz, who will expand on the financial results. Our Commercial Lines segment now comprises over 90% of the third quarter gross written premium and 95% of the gross earned premium, with pre-tax income of $25.9 million in the third quarter and $90.2 million year to date. The net loss ratio for commercial lines was 19.5% in the third quarter and 19.7% year to date, in line with expectations.

Commercial Lines net expense ratio continues to trend downward, 33% in the third quarter and 35.6% year to date, down from 43% and 44.2%, respectively, last year. The net combined ratio attributable to the Commercial Lines segment was 52.5% in the third quarter and 55.3% year to date, down from 100.5% and 80.3% year-over-year, respectively. Still addressing the Commercial Lines segment, prior year development continued to be favorable at 6.2% in the third quarter and 5.5% year to date. The cat loss ratio was 9.7% in the third quarter and 6.5% year to date, which is in line with expectations and accounts for seasonal AOP, cat activity, as well as Hurricane Idalia.

American Coastal was largely unimpacted by Idalia, with our current loss estimate well below the reinsurance attachment point of $10 million. Nevertheless, we are aware that Floridians along the northern Gulf Coast were impacted by Idalia, and our thoughts and support goes out to them. American Coastal's commercial segment underlying combined ratio was 48.9% in the third quarter and 54.3% year to date, down from 57.7% and 66.1%, respectively, year-over-year. This demonstrates the improvement in profitability produced by the commercial lines portfolio and the earnings power of our commercial book of business. Turning to our underwriting metrics, the commercial portfolio continues to be well-positioned given the current marketplace post-Hurricane Ian.

Commercial total insured value was down 14%, while the probable maximum loss at the 100-year return period was down 23% on a year-over-year basis. The gross written premium is up 22% through the third quarter, as well as 31% year to date. Valuation is up an average of 9%. American Coastal continues to be a commercial residential leader in Florida, and we believe that our commercial lines segment will be an earnings leader for the foreseeable future. Florida continues to be a hard market, and we continue to see the benefits of Florida's insurance reform. Litigation is down, and we've been able to effectively utilize the pre-suit notification of intent to litigate, to settle claims and get the insured's funds to make appropriate repairs, which allows us to continue to provide capacity to Floridians.

As we have mentioned several times before, we continue with our efforts to divest of Interboro, our New York-domiciled personal lines carrier. Once Interboro is sold, American Coastal will have achieved its multi-year strategy to divest of personal lines and focus on commercial lines. In conclusion, while the hard market creates challenges, it also creates excellent opportunities for American Coastal, with the number one market share for admitted commercial residential exposure in Florida. My outlook on Florida, Florida's commercial marketplace remains unchanged. The market remains hard, and I expect it to remain that way for both the near and intermediate terms. With that, I'll turn it over to Brad Martz.

Bennett Martz (President and CFO)

Thank you, Dan, and hello.

...Today, I'm pleased to review our financial results, but encourage everyone to also review the company's press release, earnings and investor presentations, and Forms 10-Q and 10-K, including amendments, for more information regarding our performance. Pages three and four of our earnings presentation provide a summary of the quarter ending September 30, 2023, which includes core income of $14.9 million, or $0.34 per share, which increased nearly $33 million compared to a core loss of $18.1 million, or $0.42 per share last year. Net income from continuing operations of $14.4 million, or $0.33 per share, improved approximately $42 million versus a net loss of $27.5 million, or $0.64 per share, in the same period last year.

Both core income and net income from continuing operations were driven by strong underwriting performance in our commercial line segment and lower catastrophe losses year-over-year. Hurricane Idalia represented a gross loss incurred of approximately $4 million and $2.5 million net of reinsurance, with the remaining $3.3 million of catastrophe losses stemming from a couple of current year PCS events. While we also continue to see favorable prior year reserve development, with $3.3 million in the current quarter from both cat and non-cat losses, helping to offset those cat losses during the quarter. Our combined ratio for the third quarter improved over 70 points to 68.7% versus last year.

Excluding catastrophe losses and prior year reserve development, our underlying combined ratio also improved 27 points to 64.2%, fueled by a $27.4 million or 20% increase in gross premiums earned year-over-year, despite our intentional reduction in commercial lines, policies and risk exposures, as well as a $16.4 million decline in personal lines gross premiums written. Page five of our earnings presentation provides a breakdown of our results for the quarter, which highlights the growth in gross premiums earned and the lower net loss in operating expenses, which were partially offset by higher reinsurance costs.

Page six of our earnings presentation breaks down our results by segment, with $25.9 million of pretax profit from commercial lines, reduced by a $5.5 million pretax loss from personal lines and $3 million of expense at the holding company level, which is mostly interest expense in the other column. This brought our year-to-date pretax profit in commercial lines to over $90 million, with a combined ratio of 55.3%. We've noted that action on the personal lines business is being taken to reduce the drag on earnings. The first significant action involves Interboro filing for rate increases of roughly 13% in New York, expected to be effective in mid-January.

Second, on October 6, 2023, the Company entered into a non-binding term sheet for the sale of Interboro, where the buyer will acquire 100% of the issued and outstanding securities of Interboro Insurance Company in exchange for cash purchase price equal to GAAP book value of Interboro at the time of closing, subject to entering definitive documents containing customary terms and conditions and obtaining regulatory approvals. The Company expects the transaction to close in approximately six months. Page seven of our earnings presentation provides balance sheet highlights that include stockholders' equity of $120.6 million, or $2.78 a share, which increased 7.3% from the prior quarter.

Unrealized losses on our fixed income portfolio of $23.8 million, or $0.55 a share, indicate an underlying book value of approximately $3.33 a share. Cash and invested assets totaled nearly $287 million, with total assets of approximately $1.15 billion. At the end of the third quarter, the Company launched an at-the-market common stock offering, and as of today, November 13, the Company has sold roughly 978,000 shares, raising approximately $7.1 million net of expenses. The prospectus allows for up to 8 million shares to be sold, but we are targeting to only raise between $10 million and $20 million, and plan to use the proceeds to support exposure growth and optimizing our reinsurance spend via increased utilization of our captive.

Our goal with the ATM is to minimize dilution while also allowing for the development of new earning streams and the underwriting of more profitable commercial lines business by leaning further into the hard market conditions in Florida that are ripe for outsized returns on capital. Page eight of our earnings presentation shows premium and exposure trends for the last 12 months. But American Coastal has been shrinking its commercial lines' total insured value and P&L for even longer than that, due to capital constraints and uncertainty regarding the cost and availability of reinsurance. However, I am pleased to announce that improved capitalization and market outlook mean that we have resumed exposure growth and are actively writing new commercial lines business again.

This may take time to be reflected in our results, but improving terms and conditions shown on page nine of our earnings presentation also support this change in strategy.

That completes our prepared remarks, and we are now happy to take any questions.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. We'll now be conducting a question-and-answer session. If you'd like to be placed in the question queue, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. Once again, that's star one to be placed into question queue. Our first question is coming from Aryan Gupta from Eagle Eye Asset Private Limited. Your line is now live.

Aryan Gupta (Equity Research Analyst)

Hello, I just had a quick question regarding the current quota share agreements that ACIC has in place. So how do you see the pathway to reducing those quota share agreements going forward with Berkshire? And also have, like, just a sort of quick follow-on question regarding the potential for any sort of captive MGA that ACIC might create and how they would go about doing so.

Bennett Martz (President and CFO)

Hi, thanks for your question. This is Brad Martz. We have—as you mentioned, we have two 20% quota shares, one with Arch Re and one with Berkshire. We view both quota share partners as instrumental in the current catastrophe reinsurance program. If we were to consider reducing those quota shares, they contain a tremendous amount of catastrophe limit. These are gross quota shares. So, we've got $350 million of aggregate cat limit in those two quota shares, $175 million per occurrence.

So, you know, task number one would be to replace that cat limit on an excess of loss basis in the open market, which, you know, we're not prepared today to talk about the prospects of doing that, but we have stated, you know, it would be our intention over time to reduce the quota share and retain more of our direct underwriting results going forward. And second, as it relates to a captive, we already have a captive formed. It's a Class B reinsurer domiciled in Cayman. It's filed a 953(d) election. So it's a U.S. taxpayer, included in our consolidated tax returns, and we have used it in the past and plan to utilize it more extensively going forward.

So we want to be very strategic in approaching some of the high expected return on capital layers and opportunities we're seeing in our reinsurance programs today.

Aryan Gupta (Equity Research Analyst)

Sure, that makes sense. Thank you so much for answering.

Bennett Martz (President and CFO)

You're welcome.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. As a reminder, that's star one to be placed into question queue. Our next question is coming from Bill Dezellem from Tieton Capital Management. Your line is now live.

Bill Dezellem (Founder, President & Chief Investment Officer)

Thank you. What is the current book value of Interboro?

Bennett Martz (President and CFO)

Current book value is approximately $23 million.

Bill Dezellem (Founder, President & Chief Investment Officer)

So if the transaction were to close today, you would be selling it for about $23 million. Is that what we understood in your opening remarks?

Bennett Martz (President and CFO)

That's correct, but the purchase price will be determined at closing. So, you know, we do expect Interboro to have some earnings between now and then and hopefully grow its book value. So, the purchase price will be reflective of the, you know, the final closing balance sheet, you know, near closing.

Bill Dezellem (Founder, President & Chief Investment Officer)

Great, and congratulations on getting that agreement put in place or sale put in place. Secondarily, with your commercial lines, gross written premiums were up 22.3%. What's the split between price and volume in that 22% increase?

Daniel Peed (Chairman and CEO)

I can respond to that, Bill, just real quick, the volume is actually down, the TIV down about 13-14%. So the rate is up, around 30%.

Bill Dezellem (Founder, President & Chief Investment Officer)

Great. That's, I don't need any level of precision beyond that. Congratulations.

Daniel Peed (Chairman and CEO)

Thank you.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. We've reached the end of our question and answer session. I'd like to turn the floor back over to Dan for any further closing comments.

Daniel Peed (Chairman and CEO)

Okay, thank you. I want to thank our callers for your time on this call and your interest in our company. Thanks again.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. That does conclude today's teleconference and webcast. You may disconnect your line at this time, and have a wonderful day. We thank you for your participation today.