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ACM Research, Inc. (ACMR)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 revenue was $269.16M, up 32% year-over-year and above Wall Street consensus of $251.7M; gross margin fell to 42.0% due to product mix and inventory provisions; non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.36 versus consensus $0.53, while GAAP diluted EPS was $0.52 . Revenue estimates from S&P Global; EPS estimates from S&P Global.
  • Management narrowed FY25 revenue guidance to $875M–$925M (prior $850M–$950M), citing trade policy, customer spending scenarios, supply chain constraints, and timing of first-tool acceptances; effective tax rate guide lowered to ~7–8% (from ~10–15% earlier in the year) .
  • Total shipments were $263.1M (+0.7% YoY); CFO flagged expected Q4 shipments down QoQ and full-year shipments down YoY on customer pushouts and parts shortages; net cash ended at ~$811M, with liquidity (cash, restricted cash, and time deposits) at ~$1.10B .
  • Strategic catalysts: first Ultra Lith KrF Track shipment, high-temp SPM performance (single-digit particle counts at 19nm), horizontal panel-level plating debut planned for Q4; long-term revenue target reaffirmed at $4B ($2.5B China/$1.5B global) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record revenue and strong multi-product traction: $269.2M, +32% YoY, with growth across single-wafer cleaning/Tahoe/semi-critical, ECP (front-end and packaging), furnace/other, and advanced packaging (ex-ECP), services & spares .
  • Technology milestones: “We are seeing broad interest in our proprietary horizontal plating technology for panel-level packaging… first system in the fourth quarter” and “our high-temperature SPM platform… achieves industry-best performance at 19nm particle size and below” (CEO) .
  • Liquidity strengthened: ACM Shanghai raised ~$623M net on STAR Market; consolidated cash, restricted cash, and time deposits rose to ~$1.10B; net cash ~$811M .

What Went Wrong

  • Margins compressed: GAAP gross margin 42.0% (vs 51.4% YoY); CFO cited ~200 bps product mix headwind from smaller front-end tools and ~300 bps inventory provisions/COGS adjustments .
  • Non-GAAP earnings declined: Operating margin 13.6% (vs 27.5% YoY) and non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.36 (vs $0.63 YoY) reflecting higher OpEx and adjustments; Wall Street EPS miss versus consensus .
  • Shipment outlook softer: Q4 shipments likely down QoQ; full-year shipments expected down YoY amid customer deferrals and parts shortages; some new products shifting revenue contribution to 2026 .

Financial Results

Summary vs Prior Quarters

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD)$172.347M $215.372M $269.160M
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.30 $0.44 $0.52
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.46 $0.54 $0.36
Gross Margin (%)47.9% 48.5% 42.0%
Operating Margin (GAAP, %)15.0% 14.7% 10.7%
Operating Margin (Non-GAAP, %)20.7% 19.3% 13.6%

Actual vs Consensus (Q3 2025)

MetricConsensusActual
Revenue ($USD)$251.7M*$269.160M
Primary EPS ($)$0.5325*$0.36 (Non-GAAP)

Estimates from S&P Global.*

Product Category Revenue

Product Category ($USD ‘000s)Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Single-wafer cleaning, Tahoe & semi-critical$129,569 $154,961 $181,570
ECP (front-end & packaging), furnace & other$27,630 $48,016 $59,853
Advanced packaging (ex-ECP), services & spares$15,148 $12,395 $27,737
Total$172,347 $215,372 $269,160

KPIs

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Shipments ($USD)$157.0M $206.4M $263.1M
Cash + Restricted + Time Deposits ($USD)$498.4M $483.9M $1,098.3M
Net Cash ($USD)$271.0M $205.8M $811.0M
Inventory, net ($USD)$609.6M $648.3M $676.4M

Non-GAAP adjustments: Non-GAAP excludes stock-based compensation; non-GAAP net income/EPS also exclude unrealized gains/losses on short-term investments (e.g., Q3 unrealized gain $18.7M) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2025$850M–$950M $875M–$925M Narrowed (midpoint unchanged)
Effective Tax RateFY 2025~10% ; earlier 10–15% ~7–8% Lowered
R&D (% of sales)FY 202513–14% ; 14–16% 14–16% Maintained (upper range)
Sales & Marketing (% of sales)FY 2025~7% ; ~8% ~8% Maintained
G&A (% of sales)FY 20255–6% ~6% Maintained
Capex ($USD)FY 2025~$70M ~$60M–$70M Range refined
ShipmentsFY 2025Growth vs 2024 implied Down YoY (company commentary) Lowered (outlook)
Gross Margin ModelLT Model42–48% 42–48% (unchanged) Maintained

Additional item: ACM Shanghai paid RMB 264.9M ($36.8M) cash dividend to shareholders, including ACM, during Q3; ACM’s stake in ACM Shanghai declined to 74.6% post offering .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
AI/technology initiativesN2 bubbling tech for Ultra C wb; high-temp SPM qualified; panel-level plating award; roadmap for Track/PECVD SPM performance at 19nm to single-digit particles; first KrF Track shipment; first horizontal panel plating tool shipping in Q4 Accelerating productization and customer engagement
Supply chainStrategic buys to mitigate export control risks; multi-source components Parts shortages caused shipment timing issues; customer pushouts Near-term headwind; mitigation underway
Tariffs/macroOregon facility investment to reduce tariff uncertainty; multi-region ops Continued sensitivity to trade policy in guidance narrative Ongoing risk; footprint expansion as hedge
Product performanceSPM/Tahoe momentum; furnace high-temp anneal >1250°C; beta Track planned KrF Track shipped; furnace progress; panel plating interest across China/US/Taiwan Broadening portfolio, initial shipments
Regional trendsChina stable; plan to ship several tools to U.S. U.S. advanced packaging tools shipped to 2 new customers; continued Korea engagement (e.g., Hynix) Early global traction
Regulatory/legalChina GAAP vs US GAAP revenue timing differences (ACM Shanghai vs ACMR) discussed Clarified Q3 timing differences persist; non-capitalization of R&D under US GAAP Continuing disclosure clarity
R&D executionRaised LT China revenue target; increased R&D intensity R&D kept at 14–16%; pipeline to drive 2026+ Investment sustained

Management Commentary

  • “We believe the market is moving toward ACM as AI and global datacenter investments are demanding new innovative technology requirements for next generation semiconductor equipment” (CEO) .
  • “Our high-temperature SPM platform… achieves industry-best performance at 19nm particle size and below… significantly lower maintenance and no need to clean the outer chamber” (CEO) .
  • “Gross margin was 42.1%. This was at the low end of our target due in part to product mix… ~200 bps… and… inventory provisions… ~300 bps” (CFO) .
  • “We have narrowed our 2025 revenue outlook to $875M–$925M… This implies 15% year-over-year growth” (CEO) .
  • “Net cash… was $811M or about $12 per share… Cash and… time deposits were $1.1B at quarter-end” (CFO) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Shipments outlook and parts shortages: Customer deferrals into Q1’26 and component shortages pushed shipments; Q4 likely down QoQ; full-year shipments down YoY, with recovery expected in 1H’26 .
  • Inventory write-down: ~300 bps COGS headwind tied to aging raw materials and some finished goods; primarily internal tools; process-driven valuation .
  • Panel-level packaging opportunity: Horizontal copper plating approach recognized with industry award; first tool shipping in Q4; active engagements in Taiwan/U.S./China .
  • Product roadmap: PCVD with three-chuck chambers shipping/commissioning; expected 2026 revenue contribution; continued furnace and Track development .
  • ACM Shanghai vs ACMR results: Differences driven by China GAAP rev-rec on installation vs US GAAP ASC 606 (acceptance for first-tool); ACMR does not capitalize R&D, bears incremental public company and global sales costs .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 2025 comparison: Revenue beat and EPS miss. Revenue: $269.16M vs $251.7M consensus; EPS (Primary/Non-GAAP): $0.36 vs $0.53 consensus. GAAP diluted EPS: $0.52 (not the basis for “Primary EPS”). Revenue estimates from S&P Global; EPS estimates from S&P Global.
  • Implications: Street likely raises revenue estimates for ACM’s multi-product momentum but trims EPS/margin assumptions given mix and inventory provisions; tax-rate guide reduction supports EPS beyond Q3 .

Estimates from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue strength broad-based across cleaning, ECP, and advanced packaging; expect Street revenue revisions upward despite margin compression in Q3 .
  • Margin narrative: Near-term mix (smaller front-end tools) and inventory provisions weighed; model range (42–48%) unchanged, suggesting self-help and mix normalization potential in 2026 .
  • Non-GAAP EPS miss vs consensus reflects mix/COGS; lowered effective tax-rate guide (7–8%) is EPS-supportive going forward .
  • Shipments trajectory: Q4 down QoQ and FY down YoY; watch Q1/Q2 2026 for inflection as parts shortages resolve and new tools contribute .
  • Strategic catalysts: First panel-level horizontal plating shipment in Q4; KrF Track shipped; furnace/PCVD progress—key to medium-term share gains, including outside China .
  • Liquidity and balance sheet strength (net cash ~$811M; liquidity ~$1.10B) fund R&D and capacity build (Lingang mini-line; Oregon demo/production), mitigating tariff risk for U.S. customers .
  • Long-term thesis: $4B LT revenue target reaffirmed (China $2.5B/global $1.5B) anchored by differentiated IP and multi-product expansion; monitor global customer adoptions in 2026+ .

Additional Q3 2025 Documents Reviewed

  • 8-K earnings press release (Q3 2025), including Exhibit 99.1 with detailed financials and product/category tables .
  • Preliminary revenue/shipments press release (Oct 29, 2025): Revenue $264–$267M; shipments $257–$262M (unaudited ranges) .
  • Earnings call transcript (Nov 5, 2025): Prepared remarks and Q&A on margins, shipments, product roadmap, tax rate, and liquidity .
  • Prior two quarters for trend analysis: Q2 2025 release and call , Q1 2025 release and call .