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ACRES Commercial Realty Corp. (ACR)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 delivered GAAP diluted EPS of $0.52 and EAD per diluted share of $0.48, with results aided by a $7.5M ($0.95/sh) gain on sale of an office property; book value per share rose to $28.87 and liquidity ended at $76.9M .
  • Credit quality remained stable-to-improving: CECL allowance decreased $1.2M q/q to $32.8M (2.2% of par), loans rated 4/5 increased to 27% (pro forma 25% after a January payoff), and 94.6% of loan par value is current on payments .
  • Management outlined 2025 objectives to re-leverage via CRE CLOs (target 3.5x–4.0x total leverage), grow the loan portfolio to ~$1.8–$2.0B, and drive mid-teens ROEs that support an 8–10% EAD run-rate at book value; expect EAD to trough early-2025 then trend higher as redeployment proceeds .
  • Capital allocation remained shareholder-friendly: $2.5M repurchases in Q4 at ~43% discount to BV; Board authorized an additional $5M buyback in Dec-2024, and preferred dividends were declared consistent with terms .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Accretive asset monetization and buybacks: $7.5M gain from office sale increased EPS/EAD; repurchased 155K shares for $2.5M at ~43% discount to BV, boosting per-share book value .
    • Portfolio quality actions: Post-quarter payoff of a 4-rated $30M loan reduced 4/5-rated share to ~25% pro forma; weighted average risk rating improved to 2.8 pro forma .
    • Strong prepared remarks on strategy: “The ACRES team continues to proactively manage the investment portfolio. As always, our primary objective is to protect and enhance shareholder value” — CEO Mark Fogel .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Lower net interest income and deleveraging: Q4 EAD was supported by gains, but underlying net interest income fell $0.24/sh q/q due to payoffs and SOFR decline; delevered CLOs pressured earnings capacity .
    • Real estate expense volatility: Q4 real estate expenses increased due to one-time “cleanup items” and new managers; management said 4Q is not a run-rate .
    • Higher share of risk-rated loans: 4/5-rated loans rose to 27% at year-end (from 23% in Q3), reflecting pockets of worsening property performance despite overall proactive management .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Total Revenues ($USD Millions)$22.445 $20.936 $22.353 $21.431
Net Interest Income ($USD Millions)$13.362 $10.755 $10.459 $8.596
Real Estate Income ($USD Millions)$9.045 $10.143 $11.857 $12.799
Net Income Allocable to Common ($USD Millions)$1.697 $1.653 $2.824 $4.090
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.20 $0.21 $0.36 $0.52
EAD per Share – Diluted ($USD, Non-GAAP)$0.55 $0.51 $0.24 $0.48
Book Value Per Share ($USD)$26.65 (FY-end ref) $27.20 $27.92 $28.87
Total Liquidity ($USD Millions)N/A$98.4 $79.7 $76.9

Margins vs prior periods and estimates:

  • Net income and EBIT margin percentages from SPGI were unavailable due to S&P Global request limits; margin comparisons to consensus cannot be provided at this time. Values that would be retrieved are from S&P Global.*

Segment/Portfolio Mix (by carrying value % of CRE loans)

Property TypeQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Multifamily79.4% 79.4% 77.4%
Office13.7% 14.0% 16.2%
Self-storage2.9% 2.3% 2.5%
Hotel4.0% 4.3% 3.9%

Key Portfolio KPIs

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
CRE Loans at Par ($USD Billions)$1.7 $1.6 $1.5
Weighted Avg Spread over 1M SOFR3.75% 3.73% 3.73%
Weighted Avg LTV77% 78% 79%
% Loans Current (par)94% 94% 94.6%
Loans Risk-Rated 4 or 5 (% of par)21% 23% 27%
CECL Allowance ($USD Millions)$35.0 $34.7 $32.8
Net CRE Loan Repayments ($USD Millions)$61.9 $110.7 $81.8

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Loan Portfolio Size (par)FY 2025Not specified~$1.8B–$2.0B target by YE 2025 Raised specificity
Total Leverage TargetFY 2025~3.0x (Q4 actual) 3.5x–4.0x via new CRE CLOs Raised
EAD Run-Rate ObjectiveMedium-termNot specifiedMid-teens ROE supporting ~8–10% EAD run-rate at BV New
EAD Near-Term TrajectoryEarly 2025Not specifiedTrough in early-2025; trend up as redeployment/refi proceeds New
CLO Structure2025Existing CLOs paying down New CLOs with ≥24-month reinvestment periods New
Dividend PolicyNext 12 monthsPreferred dividends per terms Aim to pay a “market-based” common dividend as earnings/leveraging normalize Qualitative update
Share Repurchase AuthorizationCurrent+$5M authorized Dec-2024 ~$4.8M remaining as of 12/31/24; ongoing buybacks Maintained/extended

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2, Q3)Current Period (Q4)Trend
Portfolio deleveraging and CLO strategyCLOs paying down; considering new issuance to restore ROEs Plan to re-leverage to 3.5–4.0x; new CLOs with ≥24-month reinvestment Positive execution visibility
REO monetization and gainsInitiated sale processes; unrealized/realized gains emerging $7.5M realized gain; expect additional gains largely completed in 2025 Accretive to BV/EAD
EAD trajectoryQ2 EAD $0.51; Q3 EAD $0.24 pressured by payoffs; preferred dividend shift Q4 EAD $0.48 aided by gains; expect near-term trough then uptrend Near-term trough, improving later
Credit/CECLCECL % rose through 2Q; modest reversal in Q3 $1.2M CECL reversal; allowance 2.2% of par; mix shows more 4/5-rated loans Mixed: allowance down, risk mix up
Origination pipelinePlatform remains active; redeploy as liquidity frees Strong market activity across multifamily, hospitality, self-storage Improving opportunity set
Dividend outlookAspires to pay “market-based” dividend over next 12 months (as earnings normalize) Reiterated medium-term dividend ambition; preferred dividends paid per terms Contingent on re-leveraging

Management Commentary

  • Strategic focus: “We continue to execute on our business plan… actively managing the portfolio and… growing earnings and book value for our shareholders.” — CEO Mark Fogel .
  • Capital redeployment: “We expect to redeploy [equity gains] into the loan book… working on liquidation of our two CRE securitizations… will incur a charge with the acceleration.” — CEO Mark Fogel .
  • Financial detail: “GAAP net income allocable to common shares… $4.1M or $0.52 per diluted share… $0.95 per share resulting from the sale… CECL reserves decreased $1.2M to $32.8M (2.2%).” — CFO Eldron Blackwell .
  • Target model: “Re-leverage… to 3.5–4.0 turns… drive mid-teens ROEs that net down to an 8–10% EAD range at book value… some noise as we re-leverage.” — Chairman Andrew Fentress .
  • Commitment to shareholder value: “Our primary objective is to protect and enhance shareholder value.” — CEO Mark Fogel .

Q&A Highlights

  • Portfolio growth: Expect additional payoffs and net portfolio growth to ~$1.8–$2.0B by YE 2025, with rapid redeployment into new originations .
  • Market opportunity: Strong activity in multifamily (post-construction refis), hospitality, and self-storage; ability to “pick and choose” attractive assets .
  • CLO mechanics: New structures anticipated to include ≥24-month reinvestment periods to support future originations while locking attractive liabilities .
  • REO gains timing: Expect gains from REO monetizations to be “largely completed” in 2025; magnitude not specifically guided but expected positive .
  • Expense normalization: Q4 real estate expense increases were one-time “cleanup items”; management does not view Q4 as a forward run-rate .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue were unavailable at time of request due to S&P Global daily request limits; as a result, we cannot provide beat/miss vs consensus at this time. Estimates would be retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Based on management’s commentary, near-term estimate revisions may reflect: lower underlying NII from payoffs/benchmark declines; non-recurring gains supporting EAD/GAAP in Q4; and an anticipated EAD recovery trajectory in mid/late-2025 as CLO re-leveraging and redeployment progress .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Book value accretion and buybacks are working: gains + discounted repurchases supported BV/share up to $28.87; expect further accretion as REO monetizations continue in 2025 .
  • Earnings capacity should improve with re-leveraging: plan to reissue CLOs with reinvestment periods and restore leverage to 3.5–4.0x, targeting mid-teens ROEs and an 8–10% EAD run-rate over time .
  • Near-term EAD caution: underlying NII headwinds from payoffs and lower SOFR led to Q4 reliance on gains; management guides to a trough early-2025 before improving; position sizing should consider this cadence .
  • Credit watch: allowance fell q/q but 4/5-rated loan share rose to 27%; proactive management and recent 4-rated payoff help, but monitor risk migration and CECL trends relative to macro/property-level performance .
  • Origination pipeline looks constructive: multifamily, hospitality, and self-storage flows are robust; redeployment into higher-ROE opportunities is a key 2025 driver .
  • Dividend path: management aims for a “market-based” common dividend over the next 12 months as earnings normalize; preferred dividends continue per terms; common dividend timing depends on re-leveraging progress .
  • Tactical catalysts: announcements on new CLO issuance, REO sale closings (especially student housing), and additional buybacks are likely stock narrative drivers in the next 1–3 quarters .

References:

  • Q4 2024 press release and 8-K (Item 2.02, exhibits including earnings presentation): .
  • Q4 2024 earnings call transcript: .
  • Q3 2024 press release/8-K/presentation and call: .
  • Q2 2024 8-K and presentation: .
  • Other relevant Q4 period press releases: $5M additional repurchase authorization (Dec 19, 2024) ; preferred dividends (Dec 19, 2024) .

Disclaimer: Margin metrics and consensus estimates from S&P Global were unavailable due to request limits; where applicable, comparisons to estimates are omitted. Values that would be retrieved are from S&P Global.*