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Enact Holdings, Inc. (ACT)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 delivered solid profitability with GAAP net income of $163M ($1.05 diluted EPS) and adjusted operating income of $169M ($1.09 adjusted diluted EPS); ROE was 13.0% (adjusted 13.5%) as reserve releases continued to support results .
- Core KPIs were resilient: primary insurance-in-force (IIF) hit a record $269B; persistency stayed elevated at 82%; net premiums earned were $246M; loss ratio ticked up to 10% on a smaller reserve release versus Q3; expense ratio was 24% .
- Capital strength and returns remain key: PMIERs sufficiency stood at 167% ($2.1B above requirements); 2024 capital returned totaled $354M; Board declared a $0.185 dividend; management targets 2025 capital returns in line with ~$350M in 2024 while keeping flexibility .
- Strategic CRT execution and ratings momentum: Enact executed forward quota share and XOL deals for 2025–2026, and Fitch upgraded EMICO to A and senior debt to BBB in Jan-2025, reinforcing balance sheet resilience and capital flexibility .
- Consensus comparisons: S&P Global EPS/revenue consensus for Q4 2024 was unavailable at time of this report (SPGI API limit). We cannot characterize a beat/miss vs. Street; we will update once available (S&P Global data unavailable).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record IIF and resilient premiums despite macro headwinds: Primary IIF reached $269B (+2% YoY) with net premiums earned of $246M (+2% YoY), supported by attractive adjacencies and portfolio growth .
- Strong capital and active capital returns: PMIERs sufficiency of 167% ($2.1B above requirements); $354M capital returned in 2024; Q4 dividend of $0.185 declared; ongoing buybacks (2.1M shares for $74M in Q4) .
- Credit performance and reserve releases remained supportive: Reserve release of $56M on strong cures (52% cure rate), helping keep loss ratio at 10% amid seasonal delinquency uptick and hurricane effects .
Management quotes:
- “Our very strong performance in 2024 underscores the effectiveness of our strategy and the continued successful execution of our priorities.” — Rohit Gupta, CEO .
- “We remain committed to prudent risk management and capital optimization while also supporting our ability to serve our customers.” — Hardin (Dean) Mitchell, CFO (re CRT program) .
What Went Wrong
- Sequential margin compression: Loss ratio rose to 10% from 5% in Q3, driven by a smaller reserve release and higher new delinquencies ex-hurricanes (+1%) .
- Slight premium pressure QoQ: Net premiums earned decreased 1% sequentially, primarily from higher ceded premiums (quota share dynamics) .
- Expenses up QoQ: Operating expenses increased to $58M and expense ratio to 24% (incentive comp), partly offset by full-year cost initiatives; sequential step-up from 22% in Q3 .
Financial Results
Core P&L and Margins (oldest → newest)
Notes: Q/Q softness reflects higher ceded premiums and smaller reserve release; investment income benefited from higher yields .
Revenue Components (oldest → newest)
KPIs and Balance Sheet (oldest → newest)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategy and execution: “In a complex economic environment, we responsibly grew our portfolio, drove operational efficiencies, maintained a strong balance sheet and generated meaningful capital returns to our shareholders.” — Rohit Gupta, CEO .
- Credit and cures: “A resilient consumer, strong embedded equity and our loss mitigation efforts continued to drive robust cure rates at 52% for the quarter.” — Rohit Gupta .
- Premium and ceding dynamics: “Our net earned premium rate was 35.5 bps, down 0.8 bps sequentially, driven by higher ceded premiums” — Hardin (Dean) Mitchell, CFO .
- Expense outlook: “For 2025, we anticipate a range of $220M to $225M as we continue to prudently manage our expense base while also investing in our growth initiatives and modernization” — CFO .
- Capital returns: “We expect capital return to shareholders to be aligned with the $350 million returned in 2024… subject to market conditions and regulatory approvals” — CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Capital return cadence: Management guides to ~$350M for 2025 with flexibility to reassess upward if performance/macro/regulatory backdrop improve, mirroring 2024 mid-year raise process .
- Enact Re trajectory: Adjacency continues to perform with attractive risk-adjusted returns; potential for greater GSE CRT volume under various scenarios; growth expected to be gradual and disciplined .
- Portfolio seasoning and delinquencies: Average age 3.8 years approaches plateau; new delinquency development should begin to slow excluding macro/natural disaster noise .
- 2023 origination vintage: Early, but performing well with no emerging deterioration noted .
- Disaster impact: Q4 included hurricane-related delinquencies (booked at 2% claim rate vs. 9% baseline) given historically high cure rates on hurricane delinquencies .
Estimates Context
- We attempted to pull S&P Global consensus (EPS and revenue) for Q4 2024 and the prior two quarters; however, the SPGI service returned a daily limit error. As a result, we cannot assess beats/misses versus Wall Street consensus at this time (S&P Global data unavailable). We will update these comparisons upon access restoration.
- Company did not provide explicit revenue/EPS guidance ranges; 2025 commentary focused on OpEx range, CRT execution, and capital return cadence .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Elevated persistency and record IIF continue to underpin earnings power even with muted origination volumes; portfolio quality and embedded equity support strong cures and reserve releases .
- CRT strategy (forward quota share and XOL for 2025/26) plus ratings momentum bolster capital efficiency and resilience, sustaining robust PMIERs sufficiency and enabling continued shareholder returns .
- Near-term margin dynamics hinge on ceding (lowering net earned rate modestly) and the cadence of reserve releases; investment income tailwind persists as the book yield increases with elevated rates .
- Expense outlook is disciplined ($220–$225M in 2025) while funding modernization; this provides visibility on cost structure into next year .
- 2025 capital return guide (~$350M) remains a central pillar; upside flexibility exists contingent on performance/macro/regulatory conditions .
- Disaster-related delinquencies should largely cure given policy design, but seasonality and aging dynamics bear monitoring into 1H25 (primary delinquency rate rose to 2.45% in Q4) .
- Pending consensus context: once S&P Global estimates are accessible, assess whether sustained reserve releases, rising investment income, and ceding impacts net to beats/misses.
Appendix: Additional Capital and Liquidity Facts
- PMIERs sufficiency 167% ($2.052B) vs. 173% ($2.190B) in Q3; Enact held $243M cash and $298M invested assets at HoldCo as of 12/31/24; debt-to-capital 13% .
- 2024 shareholder returns: $243M buybacks (7.6M shares at avg $31.95) and dividends; in Q4, 2.1M shares repurchased for $74M; additional 0.6M shares in January 2025 for $19M .
All figures and statements above are sourced from Enact’s Q4 2024 press release and 8-K, the Q4 2024 earnings call, and related press releases, as cited inline.