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Acurx Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ACXP)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2024 was operationally focused: Acurx announced CMC readiness for Phase 3 following successful pre-meeting FDA correspondence, advanced international regulatory preparations, and highlighted additional supportive Phase 2b microbiome and bile acid data .
  • Financially, net loss narrowed year over year to $(2.82) million and basic/diluted loss per share to $(0.17), with R&D down slightly and G&A lower versus Q3 2023; cash ended at $5.76 million after ~$1.6 million gross ATM proceeds in the quarter .
  • Guidance/timing shifted: management now targets earliest Phase 3 trial start in Q1 next year vs Q2’s hope to start in Q4 2024, contingent on financing; EMA scientific advice is expected late Q4 or more likely Q1 .
  • Stock reaction catalysts near term: formal EMA/UK/Canada/Japan regulatory interactions, any territorial licensing or government non‑dilutive funding, and clarity on Phase 3 start/sequencing (single vs sequential trials) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Achieved CMC readiness for Phase 3 without a formal FDA meeting, enabling progression to Phase 3 protocol execution and international filings; “we're delighted to announce CMC readiness for Phase III” .
  • Strengthened scientific case: Phase 2b data presented at IDWeek showed ibezapolstat’s favorable bile acid profile and microbiome preservation, with 5/5 IBZ patients followed for 3 months post‑EOT experiencing no recurrence; “these exciting results demonstrate two properties… which may contribute to the anti‑recurrence effect” .
  • Protection strategy: new USPTO patent covering treatment of CDI while reducing recurrence and improving gut microbiome health, expiring June 2042, supporting a durable competitive moat .

What Went Wrong

  • Phase 3 timing slipped: Q2 commentary targeted Q4 2024 start “if funded,” Q3 updated to earliest Q1, reflecting funding and regulatory sequencing constraints (EMA advice before EU enrollment) .
  • Financing mix remains unresolved: management prefers non‑dilutive paths (government, territorial licenses, royalty financing) but still raised capital via ATM ($1.6M gross in Q3), and lacks firm commitments; dilution risk persists if equity is needed .
  • Estimate benchmarking unavailable: Wall Street consensus via S&P Global could not be retrieved in this session, limiting beat/miss analysis and the degree of investor validation vs Street expectations (note below) [functions.GetEstimates errors].

Financial Results

Quarterly P&L and Cash Progression

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Cash And Equivalents ($USD)$8,920,926 $6,360,858 $5,762,564
Research & Development ($USD)$1,555,011 $1,825,582 $1,198,184
General & Administrative ($USD)$2,822,878 $2,296,244 $1,623,413
Total Operating Expenses ($USD)$4,377,889 $4,121,826 $2,821,597
Net Loss ($USD)$(4,377,889) $(4,121,826) $(2,821,597)
Loss per Share (Basic/Diluted)$(0.28) $(0.26) $(0.17)
Weighted Avg Shares15,472,507 15,824,654 16,363,473
Shares Outstanding (Quarter End)15,757,102 15,996,168 16,770,378
ATM Proceeds (Gross, period)$4.4M in Q1 ~$0.3M in Q2 PR; CFO cited ~$3.0M on call (discrepancy) ~$1.6M in Q3

Notes: The Q2 ATM proceeds discrepancy (press release ~$0.3M vs call ~$3.0M) should be reconciled with management; we treat press release values as primary .

Year-over-Year Comparison (Q3 2024 vs Q3 2023)

MetricQ3 2023Q3 2024YoY Change
Research & Development ($USD)$1,348,985 $1,198,184 $(150,801)
General & Administrative ($USD)$1,765,996 $1,623,413 $(142,583)
Total Operating Expenses ($USD)$3,114,981 $2,821,597 $(293,384)
Net Loss ($USD)$(3,114,981) $(2,821,597) $293,384
Loss per Share (Basic/Diluted)$(0.24) $(0.17) $0.07
Weighted Avg Shares13,005,128 16,363,473 +3,358,345

Results vs Estimates

  • Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global were unavailable during this session due to access limits; thus EPS/revenue beat/miss cannot be determined (see Estimates Context below) [functions.GetEstimates errors].

Segment breakdown

  • Not applicable; Acurx is a development-stage biopharma with no reported product revenues in the period .

KPIs (Operating and Financing)

KPIQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Cash ($USD)$8.92M $6.36M $5.76M
Patent milestoneNew USPTO patent granted, expires 2042 Patent reiterated as competitive advantage
Regulatory readinessEnd-of-Phase 2 agreement with FDA Preparing CMC FDA meeting submission CMC readiness achieved via pre‑meeting correspondence
International filingsEMA SME designation Preparing EU/UK/JP/CA submissions EMA meeting targeted late Q4 or Q1
ATM usage (gross)~$4.4M ~$0.3M PR; call ~$3.0M (discrepancy) ~$1.6M

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Phase 3 first patient inTimingHope to start Q4 2024 “if funded” Earliest start Q1 next year; EMA advice likely Q1 Lowered/Delayed
Phase 3 program designProgramTwo international Phase 3 registration trials; ~450 MITT per trial, 1:1 vs vancomycin Unchanged; ~150 sites; 450 patients per trial; sequential option highlighted Maintained
CMC statusRegulatoryCMC meeting request submitted; anticipated Q4 CMC readiness achieved without formal meeting Raised
International regulatoryEU/UK/JP/CAPreparing submissions post-FDA clarity EMA meeting late Q4/early Q1; proceed to UK, Canada, Japan thereafter Raised (more concrete timing)
Cash runwayLiquidityWith ATM, likely mid-2026; without, mid-2025 (call commentary) Not updated in Q3 call PR; cash ended Q3 at $5.76M Maintained (no formal update)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2024)Previous Mentions (Q2 2024)Current Period (Q3 2024)Trend
Regulatory readiness (FDA)End-of-Phase 2 agreement; Phase 3 design set CMC meeting requested for Q4 CMC readiness achieved; Phase 3 plan reaffirmed Strengthening
International filings (EMA, etc.)EMA SME designation Preparing EU/UK/JP/CA guidance requests EMA meeting targeted Q4/Q1; then UK, Canada, Japan Advancing
Funding strategyStrategic transactions; non‑dilutive preferred Royalty financing, territorial deals; grants; ATM used Government “tech watch” meeting; multiple dialogues; non‑dilutive emphasis Active, multi‑track
Phase 3 design/timingTwo pivotal, 450 MITT each; 18–24 months Target Q4 start if funded Earliest Q1 start; 150 sites; sequential option Slight delay; scope clarified
Microbiome/bile acidsOutperformance vs vancomycin; preservation ESCMID oral presentation IDWeek poster: favorable bile acid profile; no recurrence in 5/5 IBZ Reinforced
Diagnostic predictive modelNot highlightedNot highlightedPatent filed; stool metrics predictive by day 3; monitoring in Phase 3 Emerging initiative
ACX‑375/AnthraxNot highlightedNot highlightedIn vitro activity incl. ciprofloxacin‑resistant Anthrax; planning preclinical program New optionality
Policy (PASTEUR Act, BARDA)Priority review discussed PASTEUR unlikely in year; potential BARDA expansion PASTEUR “more prominent”; continued pursuit of government support Ongoing advocacy

Management Commentary

  • “We're delighted to announce CMC readiness for Phase III in addition to FDA agreement on our clinical plan forward for Phase III.” – David Luci .
  • “The trial design is 2 Phase III registration trials… about 150 trial sites, 450 patients per trial… 1:1 randomized against oral vancomycin for a 10‑day treatment period.” – David Luci .
  • “These exciting results demonstrate two properties of ibezapolstat which may contribute to the anti‑recurrence effect… preservation and restoration of beneficial bacterial classes… and persistent secondary bile acids.” – Dr. Kevin Garey (quoted in PR) .
  • “We prefer anything that's non‑dilutive… government along with territorial license and co‑development partners… active dialogue now in Europe and Japan and South America.” – David Luci .
  • “We will continue to evaluate what we call our predictive model… could be a diagnostic… to reduce the $2.8 billion per year cost burden for recurrent C. difficile infection.” – David Luci .

Q&A Highlights

  • Predictive diagnostic model: proprietary stool-based metrics by day 3 may predict reinfection risk; patent filed; will be evaluated in Phase 3 .
  • International regulatory plan: EMA meeting late Q4/early Q1, then UK, Canada, Japan; sequencing tied to finalized FDA CMC position .
  • Funding options: preference for non‑dilutive sources—government (incl. October tech watch meeting), territorial licenses, royalty financing; PASTEUR Act seen as more promising near term .
  • Phase 3 design and timing: two trials, 900 patients total; sequential execution possible given exclusivity; earliest start Q1 next year .
  • ACX‑375/Anthrax program: preclinical stage; potential government stockpiling markets rather than traditional commercial sales .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for Q3 2024 EPS and revenue were unavailable during this session due to access limitations, so beat/miss analysis vs Street cannot be provided at this time [functions.GetEstimates errors].
  • Given the company’s development stage and lack of reported product revenue, Street comparisons are typically focused on EPS/loss per share and cash runway; we recommend updating this section once SPGI access is restored.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Regulatory de‑risking improved: CMC readiness plus prior End‑of‑Phase 2 agreement lowers execution risk going into Phase 3; watch for EMA advice to greenlight EU sites .
  • Funding is the gating factor: multiple non‑dilutive pathways are active (government, royalty financing, territorial licenses); equity dilution risk remains if those fall short; monitor near‑term deal announcements .
  • Phase 3 start appears modestly delayed: earliest Q1 next year vs earlier Q4 hope; this likely shifts timelines but sequential trial option mitigates capital intensity .
  • Scientific differentiation: favorable microbiome/bile acid profile and anti‑recurrence signals support potential clinical and economic value in CDI; new USPTO patent to 2042 strengthens moat .
  • Optionality beyond CDI: ACX‑375 Anthrax findings create a potential government‑funded asset path; risk/reward depends on preclinical/animal data and BARDA-type support .
  • Trading implications (near term): stock likely sensitive to funding headlines (royalty/territorial/government), EMA meeting timing, and Phase 3 site activation; dips on timeline slippage may reverse on financing clarity .
  • Medium‑term thesis: If Phase 3 confirms non‑inferiority with anti‑recurrence profile, ibezapolstat could compete for frontline CDI use, with durable protections (QIDP/Fast Track, exclusivity, patent) supporting commercialization prospects .

Sources: Q3 2024 press release and 8‑K furnishing (including full financial tables and highlights) ; Q3 2024 earnings call transcript ; Q2/Q1 2024 press releases and calls for trend analysis ; IDWeek/Oct 21 PR on bile acids and microbiome .