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AgileThought, Inc. (AGIL)·Q1 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2023 revenue was $41.8M, down 5.4% YoY and 2.8% QoQ; gross margin improved to 34.2% (+290 bps YoY, +260 bps QoQ) as management continued exiting non-core revenues and noted market volatility mid-March impacted results .
  • The company cut FY 2023 revenue outlook from at least $201.6M to at least $185.0M, while raising the gross margin range to 34.5–35.5%; it introduced FY 2023 Adjusted Operating Income of at least $13.7M .
  • Liquidity constraints and financing defaults created going-concern risk: cash was $3.2M as of March 31 and $1.8M available cash as of April 30, with ongoing efforts to obtain funding and restructure debt .
  • Wall Street (S&P Global) consensus was unavailable; publicly reported consensus pointed to a miss versus estimates (EPS −$0.09 vs −$0.07; revenue $41.84M vs ~$43.0M), consistent with the company citing macro volatility and portfolio pruning .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Gross margin expanded to 34.2% (+290 bps YoY, +260 bps QoQ) driven by exit from non-core revenues and small non-strategic accounts; CEO: “We continued our exit from non-core revenues...which helped us perform better than expected on gross margin” .
  • Operational focus and deal governance supported margin trajectory; CFO: “...helped us grow our gross margin and is expected to help us improve our SGA in the coming quarters” .
  • Strategic initiatives launched: new Applied AI and Gaming guilds and appointment of Eric Purdum as CRO to accelerate go-to-market and growth .

What Went Wrong

  • Revenue missed the company’s prior Q1 guidance (at least $43.2M) and declined 5.4% YoY to $41.8M, impacted by market volatility since mid-March and the intentional exit of non-core business .
  • Significant GAAP losses on restructuring/impairment and financing costs: Loss from operations −$35.6M, Net loss −$38.1M, including impairment charges ($19.1M) and loss on debt extinguishment ($10.2M) .
  • Liquidity and debt concerns escalated; defaults under financing arrangements and limited available cash ($1.8M as of April 30) raised substantial doubt about going concern, forcing management to pursue funding and restructurings .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2022Q4 2022Q1 2023
Revenue ($USD Millions)$43.395 $43.061 $41.844
Gross Margin (%)34.3% 31.6% 34.2%
Adjusted Operating Income ($USD Millions)$1.699 $5.066 $(1.186)
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.01) $0.03 $(0.09)

Segment breakdown by geography:

Revenue by Geography ($USD Millions)Q3 2022Q4 2022Q1 2023
United States$27.410 $26.528 $26.113
Latin America$15.985 $16.533 $15.731
Total$43.395 $43.061 $41.844

KPIs and balance sheet/cash metrics:

KPIQ3 2022Q4 2022Q1 2023
Number of large active clients (≥$1M)29 33 (year-end) 33
Top 10 client revenue concentration (%)61.7% 61.4% (year-end) 62.4%
Employees (Total)2,576 2,504 2,255
Cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash ($USD Millions)$10.361 $8.691 $3.174
Total Debt ($USD Millions)$77.422 $76.056 $84.523

Q1 2023 vs estimates (S&P Global unavailable; public consensus shown):

MetricActual Q1 2023Consensus Q1 2023Result
Revenue ($USD Millions)$41.844 ~$43.0 Miss
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.09) $(0.07) Miss

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2023≥ $201.6M ≥ $185.0M Lowered
Gross MarginFY 202333.5%–34.5% 34.5%–35.5% Raised
Adjusted Operating IncomeFY 2023N/A≥ $13.7M New metric
RevenueQ1 2023≥ $43.2M Actual $41.844M Below guidance
Liquidity disclosureAs of Apr 30, 2023N/AAvailable cash $1.8M; going-concern risk disclosed New disclosure

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2022, Q4 2022)Current Period (Q1 2023)Trend
AI/technology initiativesExpansion efforts and new market unit (TMT/US West); demand for digital transformation Launched Applied AI and Gaming guilds; appointed CRO to drive growth Increasing focus on AI and GTM
Macro/volatility and non-core exitExiting non-core business; strong demand despite macro uncertainty Revenue shortfall attributed to market volatility since mid-March and continued non-core exit Macro headwind; portfolio pruning
Regional trends (LATAM vs US)Opened new LATAM offices; LATAM delivery attractive to clients amid geopolitical risks US revenue down YoY; LATAM up slightly YoY; employee base reduced in US and LATAM LATAM relatively resilient; US softer
Financing/credit facilitiesAmendments and waivers to first/second lien facilities; maturity changes Default status, limited liquidity, pursuit of funding and potential restructuring/M&A Elevated financing risk
Margin and SG&A trajectoryCFO targeted faster path to ~40% gross margin; SG&A mid-high-20% with room to improve Gross margin improved QoQ; management expects SG&A improvement in coming quarters Margin improving; SG&A discipline ongoing

Management Commentary

  • CEO (Manuel Senderos): “While the revenues in the quarter were below our guidance, impacted by the recent market volatility, we took strides in building our pipeline... we launched two new guilds: Applied AI and Gaming and appointed Eric Purdum as our new CRO.”
  • CFO (Amit Singh): “Our continued exit from non-core revenues... helped us grow our gross margin and is expected to help us improve our SGA in the coming quarters... improvements in gross margin and SGA are expected to help us achieve better Adjusted Operating Income for the full year than we previously expected.”
  • CFO (prior call context on targets): aiming closer to ~40% gross margin and SG&A trending toward ~20% over time .

Q&A Highlights

  • Participants included William Blair, Alliance Global Partners, Cantor Fitzgerald, Needham & Co., and Canaccord Genuity .
  • Management addressed drivers of the revenue shortfall (macro volatility; continued exit of non-core revenues) and reiterated focus on margin improvement and SG&A discipline .
  • Liquidity and capital strategy were highlighted, including efforts to obtain funding, restructure debt, and evaluate strategic alternatives given going-concern risk .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus data was unavailable for AGIL; therefore, comparisons to S&P consensus could not be made (S&P Global mapping unavailable).
  • Publicly reported consensus from Zacks/Nasdaq indicated Q1 2023 Adjusted EPS of −$0.07 vs actual −$0.09 and revenue ~$43.0M vs actual $41.84M, implying a miss on both metrics .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Revenue miss and FY guidance cut signal near-term growth headwinds from macro volatility and deliberate portfolio pruning; watch for 2H inflection as pipeline matures .
  • Margin trajectory is a relative positive: sustained gross margin gains and SG&A discipline aim to support FY Adjusted Operating Income despite lower revenue guidance .
  • Liquidity and debt risks are the central stock narrative: defaults, limited cash, and going-concern disclosure elevate financing/event risk; track funding, debt restructuring, and any strategic alternatives closely .
  • Strategic GTM upgrades (new CRO; Applied AI and Gaming guilds) may support demand generation and mix shift toward higher-margin offerings over time .
  • Client concentration remains high (top 10 at 62.4%); execution with large accounts is critical for stabilizing US revenue and driving incremental LATAM growth .
  • Balance sheet caution: debt increased QoQ and cash declined materially; aggressive working capital management and covenant compliance will be key in the near term .
  • Trading lens: stock likely reacts most to funding/margin updates and any credible path to de-risk the capital structure; operational wins (AI-driven deals, large logos) could reframe the trajectory if liquidity is addressed .