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Arteris, Inc. (AIP)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered revenue at the top end of guidance ($16.50M, +13% YoY) and record KPIs (ACV+royalties $69.1M; RPO $99.3M, +28% YoY), but EPS was slightly below consensus as higher OpEx—largely FX-driven—offset gross-margin strength .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus*, revenue was a small beat ($16.50M vs $16.35M*), while Primary EPS missed modestly (-$0.11 vs -$0.0975*); EBITDA was below consensus due to operating spending and FX *.
  • Guidance: Q3 revenue $16.8–$17.2M and FY 2025 revenue $66–$70M were reiterated/tightened; FY non-GAAP operating loss widened to $10.5–$15.5M (from $7.0–$14.0M prior), citing FX headwinds .
  • Strategic catalysts: AMD licensed FlexGen for high-performance AI chiplets; Arteris expanded multi-die/UCIe support and launched Magillem Packaging—strengthening AI and chiplet positioning and likely investor focus on medium-term ACV and RPO trajectory .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Record ACV+royalties ($69.1M) and RPO ($99.3M), underscoring demand and backlog visibility; CEO: “record Annual Contract Value plus royalties... RPO... year-over-year increase of 28%” .
    • Strategic wins: AMD licensed FlexGen “for high-performance data transport for its chiplets powering AI” across a broad product set; CEO highlighted FlexGen as “breakthrough technology” recognized with an AI Breakthrough Award .
    • Platform expansion: broadened UCIe/AMBA support, EDA collaborations (Synopsys/Cadence), and RISC‑V partnerships; launch of Magillem Packaging to automate IP packaging for chiplets/SoCs .
  • What Went Wrong

    • EPS/EBITDA missed consensus* despite revenue beat, reflecting higher non-GAAP OpEx from FX; CFO: “OpEx is currently running higher... as a result of the weaker U.S. Dollar” *.
    • Operating loss widened YoY (GAAP -$8.25M vs -$7.44M), with elevated R&D and sales investment to support growth and new product development .
    • Free cash flow turned negative in Q2 (-$2.84M) versus positive in Q1, tied to working-capital timing and capital purchases .

Financial Results

Quarterly P&L summary (oldest → newest)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$15.49 $16.53 $16.50
Gross Margin % (GAAP)90% 91% 89%
Gross Margin % (Non-GAAP)91% 92% 91%
Operating Loss (GAAP, $M)$(7.10) $(7.71) $(8.25)
Operating Loss (Non-GAAP, $M)$(2.76) $(3.18) $(3.53)
Net Loss (GAAP, $M)$(8.20) $(8.12) $(9.13)
EPS (GAAP)$(0.20) $(0.20) $(0.22)
Net Loss (Non-GAAP, $M)$(3.86) $(3.59) $(4.42)
EPS (Non-GAAP)$(0.10) $(0.09) $(0.11)

YoY: Q2 2025 revenue +13% YoY; non-GAAP operating loss flat YoY (both -$3.5M) .

Revenue breakdown by type (oldest → newest)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Licensing, support & maintenance ($M)$14.02 $15.34 $15.09
Variable royalties & other ($M)$1.47 $1.20 $1.41
Total Revenue ($M)$15.49 $16.53 $16.50

Key KPIs and liquidity (oldest → newest)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
ACV + Royalties ($M)$65.1 $66.8 $69.1
Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO, $M)$88.4 $88.9 $99.3
Confirmed Design Starts (#)25
Free Cash Flow ($M)$2.68 $(2.84)
Cash, Cash Equivalents & Investments ($M)~$52.35 (13.68+30.16+8.50) ~$55.09 (16.37+25.94+12.78) $53.9

Consensus vs Actual (S&P Global; oldest → newest)

MetricQ4 2024 Estimate*Q4 2024 ActualQ1 2025 Estimate*Q1 2025 ActualQ2 2025 Estimate*Q2 2025 Actual
Revenue ($M)$15.43*$15.49 $15.93*$16.53 $16.35*$16.50
Primary EPS$(0.1075)*$(0.10) $(0.0925)*$(0.09) $(0.0975)*$(0.11)
EBITDA ($M)$(2.61)*$(6.21) $(2.49)*$(6.86) $(2.72)*$(7.40)

Values marked with * are from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
ACV + royalties ($M)FY 2025$71.0–$79.0 $72.0–$78.0 Narrowed; midpoint slightly lower
Revenue ($M)FY 2025$65.0–$71.0 $66.0–$70.0 Tightened; midpoint broadly unchanged
Non-GAAP operating loss ($M)FY 2025$7.0–$14.0 $10.5–$15.5 Widened/worsened (FX-driven)
Free cash flow ($M)FY 2025$0.0–$8.0 $1.0–$7.0 Range narrowed
ACV + royalties ($M)Q3 2025$69.5–$72.5 New
Revenue ($M)Q3 2025$16.8–$17.2 New
Non-GAAP operating loss ($M)Q3 2025$3.0–$4.0 New
Free cash flow ($M)Q3 2025$0.5–$3.5 New

Management attributed FY non-GAAP operating loss widening primarily to weaker USD vs EUR increasing OpEx .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’24 and Q1’25)Current Period (Q2’25)Trend
AI/technology initiativesFlexGen launch; record ACV+royalties; added major OEMs; Intel Foundry alliances AMD licensed FlexGen; >2 dozen FlexGen evaluations; AI Breakthrough Award Strengthening adoption/validation
Multi-die/chiplets & UCIeEarly chiplet momentum; ecosystem building Expanded multi-die solution; broader UCIe/AMBA support; EDA collaborations Capability expansion
Product performanceMagillem/CSRCompiler licenses at top customers Magillem Packaging launched to automate IP packaging Toolchain build-out
Macro/FXNoted macro uncertainty; positive FCF in Q1 FX increased OpEx; assuming prevailing FX for 2025 guidance FX headwind to OpEx
Customer outsourcingStrengthening interest in commercial System IP “Promising signs of accelerated interest… increase their outsourcing” Demand tailwind
Chiplet adoption levels~600–700 SoCs; ~30 heterogeneous chiplet projects (~5%); rising to ~30% over next years Early innings, rising
Regulatory/legalNST case: claims dismissed without prejudice (WD Tex.) No new claims; monitoring Stable/legal overhang reduced

Management Commentary

  • CEO on growth drivers: “Record Annual Contract Value plus royalties of $69.1 million… RPO of $99.3 million… we remain confident in Arteris’ long-term growth opportunity” .
  • CEO on AMD: “FlexGen… provide high performance data transport in AMD chiplets powering AI… will be used… across AMD’s broad portfolio” .
  • CFO on execution and margin: “We had a strong second quarter… revenue… at the top end of our guidance… Non-GAAP gross margin 91%” .
  • CFO on guidance and FX: “OpEx is currently running higher… as a result of the weaker U.S. Dollar… we have assumed… prevailing foreign exchange rates remain at these levels” .

Q&A Highlights

  • AMD scope and rationale: AMD extensively evaluated FlexGen vs alternatives and chose it to augment Infinity Fabric for non-coherent applications; multi-license, multi-product use including AI data center chiplet SoCs .
  • Timing/magnitude: The AMD “whale” deal was contemplated in prior guidance; Arteris typically has “one or two” major deals per quarter .
  • Chiplet market: ~30 heterogeneous chiplet projects observed now (~5% of ~600–700 SoCs), expected to rise toward ~30% of design starts over the next couple years .
  • Book-to-bill: Management doesn’t monitor explicitly, but characterized RPO growth to nearly $100M (+28% YoY) as a strong leading indicator .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 revenue beat: $16.50M actual vs $16.35M consensus* *.
  • EPS miss: Primary EPS -$0.11 actual vs -$0.0975 consensus* *.
  • EBITDA miss: -$7.40M actual vs -$2.72M consensus* *.
  • FY 2025 consensus currently ~$68.97M revenue*, consistent with company’s $66–$70M guidance *.
    Values marked with * are from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Execution remains solid: revenue at the high end and record ACV/RPO support durable top-line growth into 2H, while non-GAAP gross margins stay >90% .
  • Near-term EPS risk skewed to OpEx/FX: FY non-GAAP operating loss widened due to FX; monitor EUR/USD and hiring cadence vs sales conversion .
  • Strategic positioning improving: AMD FlexGen validation and expanded multi-die/UCIe ecosystem should enhance win rates in AI, automotive, and HPC chiplets .
  • Watch free cash flow trajectory: Q1 positive FCF flipped to Q2 negative; FY FCF guide $1–$7M implies improved working-capital dynamics in 2H .
  • KPI momentum is the stock’s narrative: Sustained RPO growth (+28% YoY) and rising ACV+royalties underpin visibility; design starts (25 in Q2) support future royalties .
  • Estimates likely to tighten: Modest revenue beats and margin investments suggest consensus EPS adjustments may lag; monitor sell-side revisions post-call *.
  • Medium-term thesis: Commercial System IP outsourcing cycle (AI/chiplets complexity) favors Arteris’ portfolio; investors should focus on ACV pipelines, ecosystem partnerships, and conversion of FlexGen evaluations into revenue .
Notes: 
- All quantitative data and guidance are sourced from Arteris’ Q2 2025 8-K/press release and 10-Q, and the Q2 2025 earnings call transcript as cited. 
- Consensus estimates marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.