Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

RT

reAlpha Tech Corp. (AIRE)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 revenue grew 1,909% year over year to $1.25M, driven primarily by mortgage brokerage (reAlpha Mortgage + GTG) and AiChat subscriptions; gross margin was ~50% vs 71% a year ago .
  • Against S&P Global consensus, revenue modestly beat ($1.25M actual vs $1.13M estimate*), but EPS (-$0.08) and Adjusted EBITDA (-$3.47M) missed estimates* as operating expenses ramped on integration and marketing .
  • Liquidity remains tight (cash $0.59M at quarter end) with going-concern language; however, subsequent July offerings enabled full repayment of the Streeterville note (~$4.47M including penalty), reducing near-term financing risk .
  • Strategic execution advanced: AI “Loan Officer Assistant” showed early workflow efficiency gains; national footprint and leadership transition to CEO Mike Logozzo aim to scale operations .
  • Stock catalysts: sustained mortgage volume growth, progress to regain Nasdaq listing compliance, resolution of GEM warrant litigation, and clarity on GTG deferred cash payments timing .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Revenue inflected: $1.25M (+1,909% YoY; +35% QoQ) with $1.01M from mortgage brokerage and $0.16M from AiChat subscriptions in Q2 .
    • Early AI ops leverage: internal Loan Officer Assistant reduced manual processing and per-loan time based on internal testing, supporting scale in mortgage ops .
    • Post-quarter de-risking: July equity raises and note payoff extinguished Streeterville debt and halted monthly redemptions that had pressured liquidity .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Profitability deteriorated: Adjusted EBITDA fell to -$3.47M (vs -$1.96M in Q1; -$1.15M in Q2’24) on higher salaries, marketing, and professional fees tied to integration and capital activities .
    • Gross margin compression vs LY (50% vs 71%) reflecting higher cost to deliver loan brokerage and tech solutions .
    • Liquidity strain and compliance risk: cash was $0.59M at 6/30; going-concern disclosure; Nasdaq minimum bid price and market value notices; GTG deferred cash consideration (up to $1.34M) unpaid and accruing 4% interest after day 180 with potential rescission right .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($)$62,353 $925,635 $1,252,381
Gross Profit ($)$44,103 $518,667 $621,465
Gross Margin (%)71% ~50%
Adjusted EBITDA ($)$(1,147,511) $(1,960,997) $(3,474,092)
Net Loss ($)$(1,478,312) $(2,850,351) $(4,110,016)
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.03) $(0.06) $(0.08)

Segment revenue mix (operational disclosure)

Revenue SourceQ1 2025Q2 2025
reAlpha Mortgage + GTG ($)$386,594 $1,012,262
AiChat Subscriptions ($)$109,552 $158,660
Total Revenue ($)$925,635 $1,252,381

Balance sheet and capital structure KPIs

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025
Cash & Equivalents ($)$1,204,400 $587,311
Note Payable – Streeterville (net) ($)$5,010,623 $3,741,878
Shares Outstanding (period end)46,230,934 52,364,654

Estimates vs. actuals (S&P Global consensus)

MetricQ2 2025 Consensus*Q2 2025 Actual
Revenue ($)$1,132,320*$1,252,381
Primary EPS ($)$(0.0633)*$(0.08)
EBITDA ($)$(2,367,950)*$(3,852,185)

Values marked with * are from S&P Global consensus; actuals per filings. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Quantitative financial guidanceFY/Q3 2025NoneNone providedMaintained none
Liquidity runway (qualitative)2H 2025Cash runway to end of Oct-2025 assuming no further raises New disclosure
DebtN/AStreeterville note outstandingFully repaid on Jul 23, 2025 (post-Q2) De-risked balance sheet

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was available in our source set; themes below reflect MD&A and filings.

TopicPrior Mentions (Q4 2024)Prior Mentions (Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
AI/Technology initiativesLaunch of reAlpha platform and “Claire” AI; AiChat acquisition Continued platform focus; tech services segment only Loan Officer Assistant internal tool efficiency; continued AI emphasis Expanding execution
Mortgage/title expansionHyperfast title capability; Be My Neighbor footprint GTG acquisition; mortgage licensing breadth Mortgage revenues drive growth; expanded into Utah Scaling volumes
Liquidity/capital2024 cash $3.12M; new debt (Streeterville) ATM/Warrant inducement plan; going concern July offerings and full debt repayment; runway to Oct De-risked post-Q2, still tight
Regulatory/legalNAR commission changes context NAR rule change opportunities; litigation with GEM Continued GEM litigation; Nasdaq deficiency notices Ongoing risk
Nasdaq complianceBid price and MVLS deficiency letters with 180-day windows Watchlist item

Management Commentary

  • “We believe that our second quarter’s performance demonstrates the scalability of our platform strategy… We remain focused on balancing our growth with fiscal discipline as we commercialize our AI infrastructure.” — CFO Piyush Phadke .
  • “We are uniquely positioned to transform the homebuying journey through technology, data, and integrated services… we will expand our national footprint, scale our end-to-end platform, and deliver long-term results.” — CEO Mike Logozzo (appointment PR) .

Q&A Highlights

  • No public Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was available in our document set; no Q&A highlights to report.

Estimates Context

  • Revenue beat: Actual $1.25M vs $1.13M estimate* as mortgage origination fees and AiChat subscriptions scaled post-acquisitions .
  • EPS and EBITDA missed: Elevated salaries from acquired teams, $1.48M Q2 marketing spend, and professional/legal fees tied to capital markets activity widened losses vs estimates* .
  • Outlook: With subsequent equity raises and debt repayment, near-term interest expense should decline; however, operating expense intensity and GTG deferred cash obligations may keep consensus cautious absent stronger volume conversion .
    Values marked with * are from S&P Global consensus. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Top-line momentum but profitability lag: Rapid revenue growth is mortgage-led; operating leverage depends on scaling volumes while normalizing marketing/legal spend .
  • Balance sheet improved after Q2: Full payoff of Streeterville reduces financing overhang, but runway guidance still only to late October absent additional financing .
  • Watch compliance and litigation: Bid price/MVLS deficiency windows and GEM litigation outcomes could drive volatility and dilution scenarios .
  • Execution proof points: Mortgage volume growth, AI ops efficiency translating to throughput, and integration synergies are key to margin progression .
  • Cash obligations: Clarify timing of $1.34M GTG deferred cash payments now accruing 4% interest and potential transaction rescission right .
  • Marketing ROI: $1.48M Q2 spend (incl. media-for-equity) should be assessed against lead conversion and revenue trajectory in H2 .
  • Estimate path: Expect consensus to adjust for lower interest expense post-payoff, but to remain conservative on opex and cash needs until sustained positive contribution appears .